Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

NCAA men’s college basketball parlay predictions Feb. 27: Count on Rutgers to hang tough with No. 15 Michigan

The No. 15 Michigan Wolverines host the Rutgers Scarlet Knights in Thursday’s marquee college basketball matchup, and that game factors into this +368 parlay.

The pregame narrative: I’m backing Rutgers with a boatload of points against a Michigan team that rarely earns blowout victories. Elsewhere, look for a pair of lesser-known West Coast squads to stay hot.

Check out my NCAA basketball predictions for Feb. 27.

NCAA basketball predictions

Full college basketball betting markets

Parlay: Rutgers +12 | UC San Diego -5.5 | Portland ML (+365)

Rutgers +12 (-175): A couple of critical things went against the Scarlet Knights when they last faced the Wolverines, and yet they still almost pulled off the win.

Rutgers lost, 66-63, as a 6.5-point home dog while its top scorer, Dylan Harper, sat out with an ankle injury.

And the Scarlet Knights’ second-leading scorer, Ace Bailey, failed to pick up the slack by shooting 0-for-7 from beyond the arc. And yet the game still went down to the wire.

On an average night, Harper and Bailey combine to average more than 35 points. Both freshmen will be high lottery picks in this year’s NBA draft.

Also, both will be available tonight, which gives me faith that Michigan won’t run away with this game.

Michigan has gone 11 consecutive games without covering a -12.5 spread. And Rutgers is 10-1 against this number in its past 11 matchups.

Other parlay picks

UC San Diego -5.5 (-110): Don’t be surprised if the UC San Diego Tritons wind up in the NCAA tournament.

Good teams win and great teams cover, right? Well, UCSD (24-4, 14-2 Big West) is doing both.

The Tritons are 21-5 ATS, per Team Rankings, which is the best ATS record in NCAA Division I.

UCSD is riding a nine-game win streak, covering in all nine of those games.

All nine wins during the streak have come by 10+ points.

The Tritons’ epic run includes a 25-point home win over the Cal State Northridge Matadors, who they’ll face again tonight.

That’s the only loss for Cal State Northridge in the past six weeks, but I don’t see the Matadors slowing down UCSD right now.

Portland moneyline (-182): KenPom.com is projecting a one-point win for the Pepperdine Waves over the Portland Pilots. I just can’t make sense of that.

On Feb. 1, Portland demolished Pepperdine, 84-64, on the road as a 9-point underdog. That was the start of a notable divergence for these programs.

From that game onward, Portland is 5-1 ATS with four upset wins.

In the same span, Pepperdine is 1-6 SU (2-5 ATS).

Also, the Waves are just 2-10 on the road this season. And the only player on the injury report for either side is Pepperdine’s starting centre, Boubacar Coulibaly (questionable).

Tons of signs are pointing to a win for the Pilots, and I’ll gladly back them to round out this ticket.

Picks made at 1:25 p.m. ET 02/27/2025

Pelicans vs. Suns same-game parlay predictions Feb. 27: Bet on Devin Booker, Phoenix to excel at home

The slumping Phoenix Suns look to right the ship on Thursday night against the New Orleans Pelicans.

The pregame narrative: Phoenix has been shaky lately but really should win at home. This +260 SGP also includes prop overs for Devin Booker and Trey Murphy.

Check out my Pelicans vs. Suns same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 27.

Pelicans vs. Suns predictions

Parlay: Suns ML | Booker over 7.5 assists | Murphy 3+ threes (+260)

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Suns moneyline (-295): The Pelicans have won three of their past four games, but two of those were against the Victor Wembanyama-less Spurs.

More notably, none of those wins came on the road.

New Orleans has the worst road record in the NBA (4-24). The team hasn’t won as a visitor since Jan. 14 (at Chicago), losing eight road games since.

Phoenix is at serious risk of missing out on the postseason, but it typically still gets the job done at home.

When playing inside PHX Arena, the Suns are 16-11 (compared to 11-20 on the road). They’ve won five of their past six games as home favourites.

SGP legs

Booker over 7.5 assists (-113): I’m not always comfortable backing Booker at this number, given that he’s averaging 6.8 assists this year.

But his recent production has been very encouraging, and he’s also got a great matchup tonight.

Booker has 8+ assists in 6 of his past 7 games.

In that span, he’s posted 17.0 potential assists per game, per NBA.com. Potential assists are any passes that lead directly to a shot, so he’s setting his teammates up a ton.

The Pelicans allow the sixth-most assists to opposing point guards (9.38/game), as well as fourth-most assists overall (28.7/game).

Murphy 3+ threes (-230): With a healthy average of 8.5 attempted 3s per game, Murphy tends to give himself a chance to cash this milestone on a nightly basis.

Right now, he’s matching his high volume with impressive efficiency, too.

In his past 11 games, Murphy has …

3.8 makes/game
8.6 attempts/game
44.2 3PT%
3+ threes in 8 of 11

The talented small forward went 3-for-6 from deep against the Suns earlier this season. Phoenix is a solid matchup, as the team allows the eighth-most 3s per game (13.9).

Picks made at 1:15 p.m. ET 02/27/2025.

NCAA men’s college basketball parlay predictions Feb. 27: Count on Rutgers to hang tough with No. 15 Michigan

The No. 15 Michigan Wolverines host the Rutgers Scarlet Knights in Thursday’s marquee college basketball matchup, and that game factors into this +368 parlay.

The pregame narrative: I’m backing Rutgers with a boatload of points against a Michigan team that rarely earns blowout victories. Elsewhere, look for a pair of lesser-known West Coast squads to stay hot.

Check out my NCAA basketball predictions for Feb. 27.

NCAA basketball predictions

Full college basketball betting markets

Parlay: Rutgers +12.5 | UC San Diego -5.5 | Portland ML (+368)

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Rutgers +12.5 (-177): A couple of critical things went against the Scarlet Knights when they last faced the Wolverines, and yet they still almost pulled off the win.

Rutgers lost, 66-63, as a 6.5-point home dog while its top scorer, Dylan Harper, sat out with an ankle injury.

And the Scarlet Knights’ second-leading scorer, Ace Bailey, failed to pick up the slack by shooting 0-for-7 from beyond the arc. And yet the game still went down to the wire.

On an average night, Harper and Bailey combine to average more than 35 points. Both freshmen will be high lottery picks in this year’s NBA draft.

Also, both will be available tonight, which gives me faith that Michigan won’t run away with this game.

Michigan has gone 11 consecutive games without covering a -12.5 spread. And Rutgers is 10-1 against this number in its past 11 matchups.

Other parlay picks

UC San Diego -5.5 (-110): Don’t be surprised if the UC San Diego Tritons wind up in the NCAA tournament.

Good teams win and great teams cover, right? Well, UCSD (24-4, 14-2 Big West) is doing both.

The Tritons are 21-5 ATS, per Team Rankings, which is the best ATS record in NCAA Division I.

UCSD is riding a nine-game win streak, covering in all nine of those games.

All nine wins during the streak have come by 10+ points.

The Tritons’ epic run includes a 25-point home win over the Cal State Northridge Matadors, who they’ll face again tonight.

That’s the only loss for Cal State Northridge in the past six weeks, but I don’t see the Matadors slowing down UCSD right now.

Portland moneyline (-180): KenPom.com is projecting a one-point win for the Pepperdine Waves over the Portland Pilots. I just can’t make sense of that.

On Feb. 1, Portland demolished Pepperdine, 84-64, on the road as a 9-point underdog. That was the start of a notable divergence for these programs.

From that game onward, Portland is 5-1 ATS with four upset wins.

In the same span, Pepperdine is 1-6 SU (2-5 ATS).

Also, the Waves are just 2-10 on the road this season. And the only player on the injury report for either side is Pepperdine’s starting centre, Boubacar Coulibaly (questionable).

Tons of signs are pointing to a win for the Pilots, and I’ll gladly back them to round out this ticket.

Picks made at 11:05 a.m. ET 02/27/2025

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 27: Fade Doncic, bet overs on Irving and Banchero

Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving are no longer teammates, but I’ve paired them up to be two of my three NBA prop targets for Thursday night.

The pregame narrative: Doncic is a superstar, but he doesn’t look like it from 3-point range right now. I’m fading him while taking the over on Irving and Paolo Banchero‘s point totals.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 27.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Irving over 27.5 points (-109)

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Irving almost willed the Dallas Mavericks to a win over the Los Angeles Lakers the other night, and he must remain the offensive focal point of this Doncic-less team.

Doncic got hurt on Christmas Day and never played again for the Mavs. From that game onward, Irving has paced the team in per-game rates for minutes, points, shots, attempted 3s and free throws.

Most recently, the veteran guard has really dazzled as a scorer. Look at his past nine matchups for Dallas:

28.1 PPG
30+ points in 5 of 9
37.8 3PT%
94.4 FT%

Irving dropped 35 points against the Lakers on Tuesday. He’s now hit the 30-point milestone in four of his past five.

Tonight, Irving faces a Charlotte Hornets squad at the end of an excruciatingly long road trip. There was an all-star break in between, mind you, but Charlotte is about to play its ninth consecutive road game.

On the season, the Hornets are 5-23 on the road with a 116.2 defensive rating. That’s the seventh-worst defensive rating among all road teams.

Irving already toasted Charlotte once without Doncic this season, and I expect him to do it again.

Key stat: On Jan. 20, Irving had 33 points on a game-high 24 shots against the Hornets in Charlotte.

Best NBA picks

Doncic under 3.5 threes (-132): I cashed this bet at plus money in Tuesday’s Mavericks/Lakers game, and unfortunately the price has gone up.

Still, based on his 3-point shooting struggles lately, this extra juice isn’t keeping me away.

Doncic went 1-for-7 beyond the arc last time out.

He’s shooting 26.9% from 3-point range over his past seven games, cashing this under six times.

With Dallas, Doncic went under 3.5 threes in both matchups against the Minnesota Timberwolves, who he’ll face tonight.

Minnesota’s defence ranks sixth in both 3-point percentage (35.1%) and attempted 3s (36.1/game).

Banchero over 23.5 points (-124): Banchero has gone over 23.5 points in four of his past six games despite posting a 39.3 FG% in that span.

How? By being a good old-fashioned volume shooter.

Banchero has the sixth-highest usage rate in the NBA (32.6%). He also attempts 32.1% of his team’s shots when he’s on the floor, which is the fourth-highest rate in the whole league.

When the Orlando Magic faced the Golden State Warriors earlier this month, Banchero finished with just 18 points despite chucking a game-high 24 shots.

If he keeps up that kind of volume — and his season-long numbers say he can — this point total will always be attainable.

Picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 02/27/2025.

NCAA men’s college basketball parlay predictions Feb. 26: Bet on Arkansas, No. 25 BYU to win in +310 ticket

The Arkansas Razorbacks are on the March Madness bubble, and I’m backing them to win tonight as part of a +310 parlay.

The pregame narrative: Elsewhere in the world of college hoops, look for the No. 25 BYU Cougars to earn a road win and for the Utah State Aggies vs. Boise State Broncos matchup to clear an alt total.

Check out my NCAA basketball predictions for Feb. 26.

NCAA basketball predictions

Full college basketball betting markets

Parlay: Arkansas ML | BYU ML | Utah St./Boise St. o147.5 points (+310)

Arkansas moneyline (-163): Give credit to coach John Calipari, who seems to be turning Arkansas around just in time. And against a gauntlet of a schedule, no less.

Six of the Razorbacks’ seven games this month have been against Quad 1-A opponents, as measured by BartTorvik.com. Arkansas went 3-3 in those games, and all three losses came by eight or fewer points.

One of the wins came against the Texas Longhorns, who Arkansas will see again tonight.

Arkansas beat Texas, 78-70, on the road on Feb. 5.

The score was misleadingly close. Arkansas took the lead less than four minutes into the game and never relinquished it, leading by as many as 23 in the second half.

Texas is 0-3 in Quad 1-A road matchups, as well as 2-5 in SEC road games this year.

Other parlay picks

BYU moneyline (-200): BYU kicked off its Big 12 schedule right this season, blasting the Arizona State Sun Devils, 76-56, on New Year’s Eve.

A lot of time has passed since then, but the Sun Devils haven’t done anything to change my perception of them. I expect another win for BYU in the rematch.

Arizona State (13-14, 4-12 Big 12) has lost six of its past seven games. And the Sun Devils are just 5-7 at home this year.

BYU (19-8, 10-6) has won four games in a row, as well as eight of 10.

In their first head-to-head matchup, BYU held advantages in free throw attempts (+4), rebounds (+10) and assists (+6).

The Cougars can run up the score from inside or outside the arc. They have the fourth-highest effective FG% in NCAA Division I (57.4%), and they attempt 48.2% of all shots from 3-point range (14th-most in D-I).

Utah State/Boise State over 147.5 points (-143): If you’re staying up for this 10:30 p.m. tip-off, expect to see some offence.

When Utah State and Boise State last matched up (Jan. 11), they both shot better than 50.0% from the floor in a game that totalled 160 points.

Overs are collectively 28-23-2 for these teams.

Both KenPom and Bart Torvik are projecting 155 total points for tonight’s matchup.

This should be a classic case of the offences simply being better than the defences.

According to KenPom, both teams rank inside the top 50 for adjusted offensive efficiency — and outside the top 50 for adjusted defensive efficiency.

A lot of shots were falling in their first matchup of the year, but if that’s not the case tonight, Utah State and Boise State have proven they can rack up points at the free-throw line.

Both teams rank inside the top 70 teams in free throw attempts per game.

Picks made at 2:35 p.m. ET 02/26/2025

NCAA men’s college basketball parlay predictions Feb. 26: Bet on Arkansas, No. 25 BYU to win in +326 ticket

The Arkansas Razorbacks are on the March Madness bubble, and I’m backing them to win tonight as part of a +326 parlay.

The pregame narrative: Elsewhere in the world of college hoops, look for the No. 25 BYU Cougars to earn a road win and for the Utah State Aggies vs. Boise State Broncos matchup to clear an alt total.

Check out my NCAA basketball predictions for Feb. 26.

NCAA basketball predictions

Full college basketball betting markets

Parlay: Arkansas ML | BYU ML | Utah St./Boise St. o147.5 points (+326)

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Arkansas moneyline (-150): Give credit to coach John Calipari, who seems to be turning Arkansas around just in time. And against a gauntlet of a schedule, no less.

Six of the Razorbacks’ seven games this month have been against Quad 1-A opponents, as measured by BartTorvik.com. Arkansas went 3-3 in those games, and all three losses came by eight or fewer points.

One of the wins came against the Texas Longhorns, who Arkansas will see again tonight.

Arkansas beat Texas, 78-70, on the road on Feb. 5.

The score was misleadingly close. Arkansas took the lead less than four minutes into the game and never relinquished it, leading by as many as 23 in the second half.

Texas is 0-3 in Quad 1-A road matchups, as well as 2-5 in SEC road games this year.

Other parlay picks

BYU moneyline (-200): BYU kicked off its Big 12 schedule right this season, blasting the Arizona State Sun Devils, 76-56, on New Year’s Eve.

A lot of time has passed since then, but the Sun Devils haven’t done anything to change my perception of them. I expect another win for BYU in the rematch.

Arizona State (13-14, 4-12 Big 12) has lost six of its past seven games. And the Sun Devils are just 5-7 at home this year.

BYU (19-8, 10-6) has won four games in a row, as well as eight of 10.

In their first head-to-head matchup, BYU held advantages in free throw attempts (+4), rebounds (+10) and assists (+6).

The Cougars can run up the score from inside or outside the arc. They have the fourth-highest effective FG% in NCAA Division I (57.4%), and they attempt 48.2% of all shots from 3-point range (14th-most in D-I).

Utah State/Boise State over 147.5 points (-143): If you’re staying up for this 10:30 p.m. tip-off, expect to see some offence.

When Utah State and Boise State last matched up (Jan. 11), they both shot better than 50.0% from the floor in a game that totalled 160 points.

Overs are collectively 28-23-2 for these teams.

Both KenPom and Bart Torvik are projecting 155 total points for tonight’s matchup.

This should be a classic case of the offences simply being better than the defences.

According to KenPom, both teams rank inside the top 50 for adjusted offensive efficiency — and outside the top 50 for adjusted defensive efficiency.

A lot of shots were falling in their first matchup of the year, but if that’s not the case tonight, Utah State and Boise State have proven they can rack up points at the free-throw line.

Both teams rank inside the top 70 teams in free throw attempts per game.

Picks made at 1:35 p.m. ET 02/26/2025

Spurs vs. Rockets same-game parlay predictions Feb. 26: Bet on Houston to cover, Fox to cover assists milestone

The Houston Rockets host the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday night in an all-Texas tussle.

The pregame narrative: San Antonio’s season is beginning to spiral, which is why I like Houston to earn a comfortable home win this evening. I’m also banking on solid performances from Alperen Sengun and De’Aaron Fox to round out this +400 SGP.

Check out my Spurs vs. Rockets same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 26.

Spurs vs. Rockets predictions

Parlay: Rockets -9.5 | Sengun 10+ rebounds | Fox 6+ assists (+400)

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Rockets -9.5 (-110): San Antonio lost Victor Wembanyama to a season-ending injury last week, which also marks the end of any hope they’d had at sneaking into the play-in tournament.

After losing back-to-back games against the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday and Tuesday, tank mode has officially been activated.

The Spurs are a dreadful 9-18 on the road, including a 1-7 ATS record as visitors this month.

San Antonio is also 6-15 overall without Wemby.

Houston is in an ATS slump of its own, but after beating the Milwaukee Bucks last night I expect the Rockets to steamroll the Spurs.

When these teams last met in Houston back in November, the Rockets won by 27 points … and that was with Wemby on the court.

SGP legs

Sengun 10+ rebounds (-235): The greatest beneficiary in this matchup against the Wemby-less Spurs is probably Sengun. Without a 7-foot-4 bully in the paint, Sengun should feast as a rebounder.

Sengun is averaging 10.5 rebounds this season.

He has 10+ boards in 35 of 55 games (63.6%) — including 8 of his past 10.

Dating back to Jan. 8, Sengun has 8+ rebounds in 19 of his past 20 games. The exception was a game that he exited after just three minutes of action.

With such a high floor, I expect Sengun to hit this rebounding milestone against most teams.

Without Wemby, the Spurs will primarily have Bismack Biyombo and Jeremy Sochan in the paint. Both players are 6-foot-8, which gives Sengun (6-foot-11) a size advantage.

Fox 6+ assists (-167): Wembanyama’s absence thrusts Fox into the spotlight as the Spurs’ No. 1 scoring option. But that doesn’t mean his passing prowess will fall by the wayside.

In nine games with the Spurs, Fox has averaged 7.2 assists.

He has 5+ assists in every game (and 6+ assists in 6 of 9).

Chris Paul’s presence in the San Antonio backcourt might dampen Fox’s ceiling as a passer, but he’s still going to tee up plenty of teammates every game.

In the four games since Wemby’s injury, Fox has averaged 14.8 potential assists, according to NBA.com’s player tracking data. That leads the Spurs and puts him in an excellent position to cash this milestone on a nightly basis.

Picks made at 10:55 a.m. ET 02/26/2025.

Raptors vs. Pacers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 26: Bet on Toronto alt spread, Gradey Dick 3s prop in +375 SGP

For the third and final time this season, the Toronto Raptors face the Indiana Pacers.

The pregame narrative: Wednesday’s matchup comes on a back-to-back for the Raptors, who’ve beaten the Pacers twice already as underdogs this season. In my +285 SGP, I’m backing Toronto on an alt spread to go with prop milestones for Gradey Dick and Myles Turner.

Check out my Raptors vs. Pacers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 26.

Raptors vs. Pacers predictions

Parlay: Raptors +12.5 | Dick over 1.5 threes | Turner over 16.5 points (+375)

Raptors +12.5 (-154): Many times over this season, my colleagues and I have written about the Raptors’ ability to lose a bunch of games while remaining competitive. And that is still holding true.

Toronto is 18-40 SU but 34-23-1 ATS.
The Raptors’ 32-20-1 ATS (61.5%) record as underdogs is the 2nd-best hit rate in the NBA among teams with five or more applicable games.

Since Jan. 1, Toronto has covered a +12.5 spread in 19 of 25 games. The team is 17th in net rating in that span, which is far better than you’d probably expect from a lottery-bound bunch.

Also, the Raptors are 2-0 SU against the Pacers this year, winning both games —as underdogs — by a double-digit margin.

Indiana is just 3-7 ATS in its past 10.

SGP legs

Dick over 1.5 threes (-167): Simply put, Dick hits this milestone more often than not. And he’s been particularly reliable in recent games.

Here are Dick’s full-season numbers from 3-point range:

2.1 threes per game
6.1 attempts per game
34.9 3PT%
2+ threes in 35 of 51 games

In his past 11 games, the attempts have dipped (4.7/game), but the hit rate has held up. Dick has cashed this bet in eight of those 11 matchups.

In three career games against Indiana, the second-year guard is 8-of-14 from deep and has hit this milestone twice.

The Pacers are a perfectly average team in terms of 3-point defence, yielding the 15th-lowest 3PT% (35.8). So this isn’t a matchup to shy away from.

Turner over 16.5 points (-130): Why has Turner upped his 3-point volume in recent games? I’m not sure, but I know it’s a boon for his scoring potential.

On the season, Turner has averaged 5.4 attempted 3s per game, which is sixth among NBA centres.

In 11 games since Jan. 16, though, that average is up to 6.9 attempts. And he’s fired eight-plus 3s in three straight games.

Turner has established a solid scoring floor in the past month and a half, scoring 14-plus points in 11 of 13 games. One of the outliers was a game in which he got hurt and exited after six minutes.

The 6-foot-11 centre could be in for a greater scoring workload if teammate Tyrese Haliburton (questionable) sits out. On Toronto’s side, centre Jakob Poeltl, who has missed eight games with a hip injury, is also questionable.

But regardless of what the injury report says, Turner’s shot chart and recent production have been solid enough for me to want in on this point total, which he has cleared in three straight games.

Picks made at 9:25 a.m. ET 02/26/2025.

Raptors vs. Pacers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 26: Bet on Toronto alt spread, Gradey Dick 3s prop in +285 SGP

For the third and final time this season, the Toronto Raptors face the Indiana Pacers.

The pregame narrative: Wednesday’s matchup comes on a back-to-back for the Raptors, who’ve beaten the Pacers twice already as underdogs this season. In my +285 SGP, I’m backing Toronto on an alt spread to go with prop milestones for Gradey Dick and Myles Turner.

Check out my Raptors vs. Pacers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 26.

Raptors vs. Pacers predictions

Parlay: Raptors +12.5 | Dick 2+ threes | Turner 15+ points (+285)

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Raptors +12.5 (-167): Many times over this season, my colleagues and I have written about the Raptors’ ability to lose a bunch of games while remaining competitive. And that is still holding true.

Toronto is 18-40 SU but 34-23-1 ATS.
The Raptors’ 32-20-1 ATS (61.5%) record as underdogs is the 2nd-best hit rate in the NBA among teams with five or more applicable games.

Since Jan. 1, Toronto has covered a +12.5 spread in 19 of 25 games. The team is 17th in net rating in that span, which is far better than you’d probably expect from a lottery-bound bunch.

Also, the Raptors are 2-0 SU against the Pacers this year, winning both games —as underdogs — by a double-digit margin.

Indiana is just 3-7 ATS in its past 10.

SGP legs

Dick 2+ threes (-143): Simply put, Dick hits this milestone more often than not. And he’s been particularly reliable in recent games.

Here are Dick’s full-season numbers from 3-point range:

2.1 threes per game
6.1 attempts per game
34.9 3PT%
2+ threes in 35 of 51 games

In his past 11 games, the attempts have dipped (4.7/game), but the hit rate has held up. Dick has cashed this bet in eight of those 11 matchups.

In three career games against Indiana, the second-year guard is 8-of-14 from deep and has hit this milestone twice.

The Pacers are a perfectly average team in terms of 3-point defence, yielding the 15th-lowest 3PT% (35.8). So this isn’t a matchup to shy away from.

Turner 15+ points (-182): Why has Turner upped his 3-point volume in recent games? I’m not sure, but I know it’s a boon for his scoring potential.

On the season, Turner has averaged 5.4 attempted 3s per game, which is sixth among NBA centres.

In 11 games since Jan. 16, though, that average is up to 6.9 attempts. And he’s fired eight-plus 3s in three straight games.

Turner has established a solid scoring floor in the past month and a half, scoring 14-plus points in 11 of 13 games. One of the outliers was a game in which he got hurt and exited after six minutes.

The 6-foot-11 centre could be in for a greater scoring workload if teammate Tyrese Haliburton (questionable) sits out. On Toronto’s side, centre Jakob Poeltl, who has missed eight games with a hip injury, is also questionable.

But regardless of what the injury report says, Turner’s shot chart and recent production have been solid enough for me to want in on this milestone prop.

Picks made at 9:15 a.m. ET 02/26/2025.

Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks Feb. 25: Bet on Kevin Durant, Jaren Jackson Jr. to fill the net

Kevin Durant is still a pure bucket-getter, and I’m all over his points prop on Tuesday when the Phoenix Suns visit the Memphis Grizzlies.

The pregame narrative: Tonight marks the second matchup between these Western Conference squads in the past two weeks, and Durant will look to build off his stellar showing from last time. I also like Jaren Jackson Jr. to clear his projected scoring total.

Check out my Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks for Feb. 25.

Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks

Best bet: Durant over 26.5 points (-118)

Durant had a rare down night in Toronto on Sunday on a back-to-back. Overall, though, he’s been shooting the lights out in his age-36 season.

26.9 PPG (6th in the NBA)
53.2 FG%
40.1 3PT%

Durant ranks fourth in the NBA in FG% among 54 players who average 15-plus shots. And he’s 14th in 3PT% among 86 players who average 5.5 or more attempts.

The four-time scoring champ has been a microwave recently, too. He’s shooting 55.4% from the floor since the start of the new year.

It’s been a disastrous season for the Suns, who sit outside the postseason picture and owe massive sums of money to Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal again next season.

The silver lining to a rather bleak situation is that Durant can still ball with the best of ’em.

Durant has cashed this bet in four of his past six games, including a 34-point outburst against Memphis on Feb. 11.

Key stat: In four games against the Grizzlies while playing for Phoenix — dating back to December 2023 — Durant has averaged 28.3 PPG and cashed this bet three times.

Quick pick

Jackson over 21.5 points (-118): Jackson has been a bit quieter as a scorer lately, going under this total in five of his past six games. But you have to like the matchup tonight.

The Suns allow the fourth-most points to opposing centres (24.8), per Betting Pros. Jackson is technically a power forward, but he’s far more of a frontcourt scoring threat for Memphis than Zach Edey.

In his past four matchups against Phoenix, Jackson has averaged 30.0 points and cashed this bet three times.

The Suns rank 26th in defensive rating (115.8) and likely won’t have much of an answer for JJJ tonight.

Picks made at 3:40 p.m. ET on 02/25/2025.