The slumping Phoenix Suns look to right the ship on Thursday night against the New Orleans Pelicans.
The pregame narrative: Phoenix has been shaky lately but really should win at home. This +260 SGP also includes prop overs for Devin Booker and Trey Murphy.
Check out my Pelicans vs. Suns same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 27.
Pelicans vs. Suns predictions
Parlay: Suns ML | Booker over 7.5 assists | Murphy 3+ threes (+260)
Suns moneyline (-295): The Pelicans have won three of their past four games, but two of those were against the Victor Wembanyama-less Spurs.
More notably, none of those wins came on the road.
New Orleans has the worst road record in the NBA (4-24). The team hasn’t won as a visitor since Jan. 14 (at Chicago), losing eight road games since.
Phoenix is at serious risk of missing out on the postseason, but it typically still gets the job done at home.
When playing inside PHX Arena, the Suns are 16-11 (compared to 11-20 on the road). They’ve won five of their past six games as home favourites.
SGP legs
Booker over 7.5 assists (-113): I’m not always comfortable backing Booker at this number, given that he’s averaging 6.8 assists this year.
But his recent production has been very encouraging, and he’s also got a great matchup tonight.
- Booker has 8+ assists in 6 of his past 7 games.
- In that span, he’s posted 17.0 potential assists per game, per NBA.com. Potential assists are any passes that lead directly to a shot, so he’s setting his teammates up a ton.
The Pelicans allow the sixth-most assists to opposing point guards (9.38/game), as well as fourth-most assists overall (28.7/game).
Murphy 3+ threes (-230): With a healthy average of 8.5 attempted 3s per game, Murphy tends to give himself a chance to cash this milestone on a nightly basis.
Right now, he’s matching his high volume with impressive efficiency, too.
In his past 11 games, Murphy has …
- 3.8 makes/game
- 8.6 attempts/game
- 44.2 3PT%
- 3+ threes in 8 of 11
The talented small forward went 3-for-6 from deep against the Suns earlier this season. Phoenix is a solid matchup, as the team allows the eighth-most 3s per game (13.9).
Picks made at 1:15 p.m. ET 02/27/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.