Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

NCAA men’s college basketball parlay predictions Feb. 25: Bet on No. 11 Wisconsin, LSU to cover alt spreads

A trio of 9 p.m. ET matchups involving ranked teams has my attention for Tuesday’s college basketball parlay predictions.

The pregame narrative: The No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide play a ton of high-scoring games, and I’m calling for another one tonight against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. I’m also backing alt spreads with the LSU Tigers and the No. 11 Wisconsin Badgers to round out this +244 ticket.

Check out my NCAA basketball predictions for Feb. 25.

NCAA basketball predictions

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Parlay: Miss. St./Alabama o167.5 points | LSU +14.5 | Wisconsin -9.5 (+244)

Embed: #110180

Mississippi State/Alabama over 167.5 points (-182): Four weeks ago, Mississippi State and Alabama totalled 172 points in a matchup in Starkville. They’ve got the tools for a similarly high-scoring battle tonight.

Alabama has the 5th-shortest average possession length, per KenPom.com, and ranks 1st in scoring (90.8 PPG).

Mississippi State has the 75th-shortest average possession length and ranks 60th in scoring (79.3 PPG).

The Tide play in a lot of track meets, with a proven ability to push the pace against other willing opponents.

Against fellow SEC schools that rank in the top 75 in possession length — Mississippi State included — Alabama has cleared this point total in six of seven games.

Overs are also 3-0 in Mississippi State’s road games this month.

Other parlay picks

LSU +14.5 (-190): The No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers are tourney-bound, and LSU is not. But I don’t expect the Vols to cover this number on the road.

LSU is 10-6 ATS at home, covering a +14.5 spread in all but one of those games.

Tennessee is 3-6 ATS on the road, covering a -14.5 spread in only one of those games.

Tennessee’s defence is arguably the best in the country, but its primary strength is defending the 3-point shot. LSU does its best work in the paint, so that shouldn’t be much of a clash for its style.

On the flip side, the Tigers are a respectable defensive team that ranks 30th in NCAA Division I in effective field goal percentage.

Buckets likely won’t come easy for a Tennessee squad playing on the road for the fourth time in five games.

Wisconsin -9.5 (-225): Let’s wrap this up with some Big Ten ball, riding with a Badgers squad that will be eager to bounce back after a collapse on Saturday.

Wisconsin allowed a 16-2 run against Oregon in the final five minutes and lost in overtime. But prior to that, the Badgers had been buzzing.

Greg Gard’s squad is 11-5 in Big Ten play, covering a -9.5 spread in nine of 14 games since the new year.

Overall, Wisconsin is 17-9-1 ATS this year — and 8-2 in its past 10.

Washington ranks outside the top 150 in eFG% on offence and defence. It’s just not a very good team.

KenPom projects a 16-point win for the Badgers, while BartTorvik.com projects an 18-point win.

Picks made at 1:35 p.m. ET 02/25/2025

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Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks Feb. 25: Bet on Kevin Durant, Jaren Jackson Jr. to fill the net

Kevin Durant is still a pure bucket-getter, and I’m all over his points prop on Tuesday when the Phoenix Suns visit the Memphis Grizzlies.

The pregame narrative: Tonight marks the second matchup between these Western Conference squads in the past two weeks, and Durant will look to build off his stellar showing from last time. I also like Jaren Jackson Jr. to clear his projected scoring total.

Check out my Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks for Feb. 25.

Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks

Best bet: Durant over 26.5 points (-115)

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Durant had a rare down night in Toronto on Sunday on a back-to-back. Overall, though, he’s been shooting the lights out in his age-36 season.

26.9 PPG (6th in the NBA)
53.2 FG%
40.1 3PT%

Durant ranks fourth in the NBA in FG% among 54 players who average 15-plus shots. And he’s 14th in 3PT% among 86 players who average 5.5 or more attempts.

The four-time scoring champ has been a microwave recently, too. He’s shooting 55.4% from the floor since the start of the new year.

It’s been a disastrous season for the Suns, who sit outside the postseason picture and owe massive sums of money to Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal again next season.

The silver lining to a rather bleak situation is that Durant can still ball with the best of ’em.

Durant has cashed this bet in four of his past six games, including a 34-point outburst against Memphis on Feb. 11.

Key stat: In four games against the Grizzlies while playing for Phoenix — dating back to December 2023 — Durant has averaged 28.3 PPG and cashed this bet three times.

Quick pick

Jackson over 21.5 points (-112): Jackson has been a bit quieter as a scorer lately, going under this total in five of his past six games. But you have to like the matchup tonight.

The Suns allow the fourth-most points to opposing centres (24.8), per Betting Pros. Jackson is technically a power forward, but he’s far more of a frontcourt scoring threat for Memphis than Zach Edey.

In his past four matchups against Phoenix, Jackson has averaged 30.0 points and cashed this bet three times.

The Suns rank 26th in defensive rating (115.8) and likely won’t have much of an answer for JJJ tonight.

Picks made at 10:30 a.m. ET on 02/25/2025.

Luka Doncic props vs. Mavericks Feb. 25: Fade Lakers star in first game against Dallas since trade

All month, since arguably the biggest trade in NBA history went down, anticipation has been building for Luka Doncic‘s first matchup against the Dallas Mavericks.

The pregame narrative: On Tuesday, Doncic will face his former team as a member of the Los Angeles Lakers. Four games into his L.A. tenure, the five-time All-NBA guard appears to be at full go and is expected to put up huge numbers.

Check out these Luka Doncic props for the Feb. 25 matchup against the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic props vs. Mavericks

Doncic markets	Betting odds
Over 31.5 points	-110
Under 31.5 points	-130
Over 9.5 rebounds	-112
Under 9.5 rebounds	-125
Over 7.5 assists	-150
Under 7.5 assists	+105
Over 39.5 PA	-118
Under 39.5 PA	-120
Over 3.5 threes	-163
Under 3.5 threes	+115
Over 17.5 RA	+100
Under 17.5 RA	-143

Best Doncic prop bet

Best Bet: Under 3.5 threes (+115)

It feels safe to assume Doncic wants to bury the Mavericks. A stellar performance on Tuesday would help bolster the already strong sentiment that he’s winning the breakup.

And I expect that he will have a great night, but that doesn’t mean I’m going to blindly bet overs.

Defensively, the Mavericks are most vulnerable around the rim right now. That’s where Doncic and the Lakers should impose their will.

Three notable bigs for the Mavericks are out: Anthony Davis, Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively. Another one, Dwight Powell, is listed as doubtful.

Dallas has allowed the fifth-fewest attempted 3s per game this season (36.0).

Doncic has gone under 3.5 threes in 15/26 games (57.8%).

Doncic has never been shy about getting shots up, but it hasn’t been a strong year for him beyond the arc. Among 64 players averaging six or more attempted 3s, he’s 50th in 3PT% (34.3).

Through four games with the Lakers, he’s shooting just 27.3% from deep.

Also, keep in mind that the Lakers (-9) are pretty sizeable home favourites. I’m sure Doncic will want to land some punches against the Mavs, but this is the first of three games in four days for L.A.

Between the possibility of a blowout and the obvious mismatch in the paint, Doncic feels like a worthy fade candidate at this number.

Key stat: Dallas is allowing just 3.0 threes per game to opposing point guards, per Betting Pros. That’s the eighth-fewest in the NBA.

Pick as of 9:50 a.m. ET on 02/25/2025.

Luka Doncic props vs. Mavericks Feb. 25: Fade Lakers star in first game against Dallas since trade

All month, since arguably the biggest trade in NBA history went down, anticipation has been building for Luka Doncic‘s first matchup against the Dallas Mavericks.

The pregame narrative: On Tuesday, Doncic will face his former team as a member of the Los Angeles Lakers. Four games into his L.A. tenure, the five-time All-NBA guard appears to be at full go and is expected to put up huge numbers.

Check out these Luka Doncic props for the Feb. 25 matchup against the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic props vs. Mavericks

Doncic markets	Betting odds
Over 31.5 points	-114
Under 31.5 points	-117
10+ rebounds	-114
Over 7.5 assists	-148
Under 7.5 assists	+112
Over 49.5 PRA	-115
Under 49.5 PRA	-115
Over 3.5 threes	-148
Under 3.5 threes	+112
To record a double-double	-175
To record a triple-double	+500

Best Doncic prop bet

Best Bet: Under 3.5 threes (+112)

Embed: #110160

It feels safe to assume Doncic wants to bury the Mavericks. A stellar performance on Tuesday would help bolster the already strong sentiment that he’s winning the breakup.

And I expect that he will have a great night, but that doesn’t mean I’m going to blindly bet overs.

Defensively, the Mavericks are most vulnerable around the rim right now. That’s where Doncic and the Lakers should impose their will.

Three notable bigs for the Mavericks are out: Anthony Davis, Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively. Another one, Dwight Powell, is listed as doubtful.

Dallas has allowed the fifth-fewest attempted 3s per game this season (36.0).

Doncic has gone under 3.5 threes in 15/26 games (57.8%).

Doncic has never been shy about getting shots up, but it hasn’t been a strong year for him beyond the arc. Among 64 players averaging six or more attempted 3s, he’s 50th in 3PT% (34.3).

Through four games with the Lakers, he’s shooting just 27.3% from deep.

Also, keep in mind that the Lakers (-9) are pretty sizeable home favourites. I’m sure Doncic will want to land some punches against the Mavs, but this is the first of three games in four days for L.A.

Between the possibility of a blowout and the obvious mismatch in the paint, Doncic feels like a worthy fade candidate at this number.

Key stat: Dallas is allowing just 3.0 threes per game to opposing point guards, per Betting Pros. That’s the eighth-fewest in the NBA.

Pick as of 9:10 a.m. ET on 02/25/2025.

Best college basketball prop bet Feb. 22: Ride with Arkansas’ Adou Thiero vs. Missouri

In Saturday night’s matchup between the No. 15 Missouri Tigers and the Arkansas Razorbacks, I’m expecting big things from Adou Thiero.

The pregame narrative: The junior guard transferred to Arkansas from Kentucky, heading over with head coach John Calipari. Now, Thiero leads the Razorbacks in scoring, and they’ll need him to come up big tonight.

Check out my college basketball prop bet for Feb. 22.

College basketball prop bet

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Best Bet: Thiero 15+ points (-132)

Embed: #110031

Thiero is the Arkansas Razorbacks’ leading scorer, averaging 15.8 points.

He’s cashed this bet in 13 of 25 games on the year but scored just 12 points when the Razorbacks last faced the No. 15 Missouri Tigers on Jan. 18.

This time around, I expect a different result for Thiero. Here’s why:

Arkansas guard Boogie Fland, who’s second on the team in scoring (15.1 PPG), got hurt during the previous matchup with Mizzou and is out the rest of the year. That means more of a scoring burden should fall to Thiero.

Thiero went 2-for-2 from the free throw line against Missouri, which is uncharacteristically low volume. He averages 6.7 free throw attempts, and if he’s in that range tonight, it’ll raise his scoring floor.

So again, although Thiero fell a bit short of this milestone against Missouri last month, things should be different this time around.

This should also be an offence-friendly matchup as both teams enjoy to push the pace.

Arkansas and Missouri rank 66th and 80th, respectively, in terms of shortest average offensive possession, per KenPom.com.

Key stat: Since his 12-point performance against Mizzou, Thiero has averaged 14.5 points and 7.6 free throw attempts.

Pick made at 2:40 p.m. ET 02/22/2025

Hornets vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 22: Fade Avdija but back Portland to win

Looking to snap a losing skid, the Portland Trail Blazers host the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday night in the NBA’s final matchup of the evening.

The pregame narrative: Nick Smith Jr. had a rough shooting night when he last faced Portland, and I’m skeptical he’ll have many opportunities to flip the script tonight. I’m fading Smith and Deni Avdija while backing Portland to win in a +400 SGP.

Check out my Hornets vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 22.

Hornets vs. Trail Blazers predictions

Parlay: Trail Blazers ML | Smith under 2.5 threes | Avdija under 6.5 rebounds (+350)

Trail Blazers moneyline (-200): Portland is on a four-game losing streak, but all four of those losses came against reputable teams in the playoff picture (Timberwolves, Nuggets twice, Lakers).

Charlotte is not even close to that calibre, with a 14-40 record and a Cooper-Flagg-sized lottery dream.

Prior to its four-game skid, Portland had rattled off a 10-1 stretch in which all 10 wins came as the underdog. Even a play-in spot is a long shot at this point, but at least the Blazers are putting up a fight.

Portland is 4-1 against Charlotte since the start of the 2022-23 season. That includes a 102-97 win for the Blazers in Charlotte last month.

The Hornets are 5-20 on the road with an unsightly -7.6 net rating (26th in the NBA).

SGP legs

Smith under 2.5 threes (-154): If Smith was going to go over 2.5 threes against the Blazers, he needed to do it last time out when both LaMelo Ball and Miles Bridges were out.

Instead, he turned in a 2-for-10 performance from beyond the arc to fall short.

Ball and Bridges combine to average 18.9 attempted 3s per game, so having them back in the lineup tonight should really cut down on Smith’s chances.

And it’s not like Portland is a plus matchup for 3-point shooters, anyway. The Blazers allow the sixth-fewest makes (12.8/game) and the third-fewest attempts (35.3/game).

Avdija under 6.5 rebounds (-118): Deandre Ayton is out tonight, but the Blazers still have enough size in their rotation that I just can’t get behind Avdija at this rebound number.

Led by 7-foot-2 centre Donovan Clingan, the Blazers have plenty of size in the frontcourt. Robert Williams just came back from injury, too, while Toumani Camara has at least five rebounds in 12 of his past 13 games.

There are simply too many mouths to feed on the glass, and Avdija isn’t asserting himself.

In his past nine matchups, Avdija has averaged 4.9 rebounds. He’s cashed this under in 8/9 games in that span.

Avdija had five rebounds vs. Charlotte on Jan. 24, and that was with both Ayton and Williams out.

On the season, Avdija has hit this under in 34 of 53 games (64.2%).

Picks made at 1:30 p.m. ET on 02/22/2025.

NCAA men’s college basketball parlay predictions Feb. 22: Bet on No. 15 Missouri, No. 19 Arizona to win

Saturday’s college basketball action rolls from noon through late at night, and I’m targeting three games tipping off at 8 p.m. or beyond.

The pregame narrative: The No. 15 Missouri Tigers and No. 19 Arizona Wildcats are both solid picks to knock off teams they’ve already beaten this season. Elsewhere, I expect the Saint Mary’s Gaels to cover a fairly generous spread.

Check out my NCAA basketball predictions for Feb. 22.

NCAA basketball predictions

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Parlay: Saint Mary’s +6.5 | Missouri ML | Arizona ML (+355)

Saint Mary’s +6.5 (-110): The Gonzaga Bulldogs have been the class of the West Coast Conference for quite some time, but Saint Mary’s is typically right there nipping at the Zags’ heels.

The Gaels are more than just pests for the Zags; they’re legitimate competition. Saint Mary’s is 3-1 SU against Gonzaga since February 2024, winning each of those games as an underdog.

That includes a 62-58 victory on Feb. 1 of this year, despite the fact that the Gaels shot just 11-of-22 from the free throw line. Saint Mary’s went +6 in the rebounding department and held Gonzaga to a 17.6% shooting clip beyond the arc.

Another upset win is possible, but I’m also content banking this many points with the road team.

Saint Mary’s has covered this number in 27 of 28 games (the exception was a seven-point loss vs. Utah State in December). Gonzaga is just 5-9 ATS as a home favourite.

Other parlay picks

Missouri moneyline (-125): Last month, Missouri earned an 18-point win over the Arkansas Razorbacks thanks to some efficient 3-point shooting and a massive advantage at the free throw line.

The Tigers had 19 free throw attempts — compared to just eight for Arkansas — and shot 11-of-23 (47.8%) from beyond the arc.

That type of 3-point shooting likely won’t be repeated, but Mizzou has proven it knows how to get to the line. The Tigers average 20.1 free throw attempts, which is the most in NCAA Division I.

Missouri is 9-4 in the SEC, with four wins over currently ranked teams (Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Mississippi State). Arkansas has floundered in conference play, going 4-9 and losing to all of the top teams.

As an NCAA tournament bubble team, Arkansas will play hungry at home. But Missouri is the better squad and should come out with a win.

Arizona moneyline (-300): Arizona is 11-2 at home this year, and both of those losses came against top-five teams (Duke, Houston).

The BYU Cougars are pretty good, but they’re not that good.

In fact, Arizona downed BYU earlier this month, 85-74, as the road team. So I have plenty of confidence in the Wildcats to sweep the season series tonight in Tucson.

BYU is 3-5 on the road this season, with losses to Cincinnati and TCU (teams that Arizona has already beaten).

Arizona is 14-3 since Dec. 18, stacking wins over Baylor (twice), Iowa State and Texas Tech in that span.

Picks made at 1:20 p.m. ET 02/22/2025

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 22: Bet on LeBron, Durant to fill the net

LeBron James and Kevin Durant are the headliners in my Saturday NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Both LeBron and KD are lighting it up as scorers right now, and I expect that to continue. I’m also bullish on Alperen Sengun in a plus matchup against the Utah Jazz.

Check out how I’m betting on them in the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 22.

Best NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Durant over 2.5 threes (-118)

Given that Durant gets most of his buckets in the mid-range, his stellar 3-point shooting often goes overlooked.

As far as prop markets go, Durant’s problem is volume — not efficiency. When he puts up enough 3s, plenty are bound to go in.

Since 2020-21, Durant has a 40.9 3PT% on 5.4 attempts. He’s averaged 40.0 3PT% or better in four of those five seasons.

In 125 games with the Suns, Durant has averaged 2.3 made 3s on 41.8 3PT%.

In order to feel good about Durant hitting this milestone, you need to see him matched up with a team that allows a lot of 3s. I trust his efficiency enough that I’m just looking for a volume-based matchup.

Enter the Chicago Bulls.

Thanks in part to their fast-paced play, the Bulls allow the second-most 3s in the NBA (39.7/game).

In fairness to the Bulls, they also allow the third-lowest opponent 3PT% (34.4). But I’ll take that trade-off since I’m just looking for Durant to get shots up.

Durant should also be encouraged to heave deep shots based on how well it’s going right now. In his past 10 games, Durant is shooting 48.5% beyond the arc and averaging 3.3 makes.

Key stat: Durant has 3+ threes in 13 of 22 home games this season.

Quick picks

Sengun over 20.5 points (-112): Sengun has seen starter’s minutes in two previous matchups against the Jazz, and he put in some solid work against them both times.

Jan. 5, 2023: 20 points on 7-of-14 shooting (32 min)
Jan. 20, 2024: 37 points on 15-of-26 shooting (42 min)

Sengun’s scoring average this season (18.9 PPG) isn’t quite at this mark. But I’m a fan of the matchup, so a slight uptick in production is well within reach.

Utah allows 23.8 PPG to opposing centres, per Betting Pros, which is the sixth-highest total in the NBA.

Excluding a recent game that he left early due to injury, Sengun has averaged 20.2 points since Jan. 7.

LeBron over 24.5 points (-130): Eventually, Luka Doncic will regain his shooting stroke and this scoring milestone will be more difficult for LeBron to obtain.

But right now, with Doncic still ramping up after a few underwhelming games in Lakers colours, LeBron is worth a play at this price.

The King has dropped 40-plus points twice already this month. And he’s cashed this prop in nine of his past 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets are a strong team, but they don’t excel defensively (17th in defensive rating). LeBron has 25-plus points in seven of eight games against Denver since last February.

Picks made at 1:10 p.m. ET on 02/22/2025.

Hornets vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 22: Fade Avdija but back Portland to win

Looking to snap a losing skid, the Portland Trail Blazers host the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday night in the NBA’s final matchup of the evening.

The pregame narrative: Nick Smith Jr. had a rough shooting night when he last faced Portland, and I’m skeptical he’ll have many opportunities to flip the script tonight. I’m fading Smith and Deni Avdija while backing Portland to win in a +400 SGP.

Check out my Hornets vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 22.

Hornets vs. Trail Blazers predictions

Parlay: Trail Blazers ML | Smith under 2.5 threes | Avdija under 6.5 rebounds (+400)

Embed: #110010

Trail Blazers moneyline (-180): Portland is on a four-game losing streak, but all four of those losses came against reputable teams in the playoff picture (Timberwolves, Nuggets twice, Lakers).

Charlotte is not even close to that calibre, with a 14-40 record and a Cooper-Flagg-sized lottery dream.

Prior to its four-game skid, Portland had rattled off a 10-1 stretch in which all 10 wins came as the underdog. Even a play-in spot is a long shot at this point, but at least the Blazers are putting up a fight.

Portland is 4-1 against Charlotte since the start of the 2022-23 season. That includes a 102-97 win for the Blazers in Charlotte last month.

The Hornets are 5-20 on the road with an unsightly -7.6 net rating (26th in the NBA).

SGP legs

Smith under 2.5 threes (-162): If Smith was going to go over 2.5 threes against the Blazers, he needed to do it last time out when both LaMelo Ball and Miles Bridges were out.

Instead, he turned in a 2-for-10 performance from beyond the arc to fall short.

Ball and Bridges combine to average 18.9 attempted 3s per game, so having them back in the lineup tonight should really cut down on Smith’s chances.

And it’s not like Portland is a plus matchup for 3-point shooters, anyway. The Blazers allow the sixth-fewest makes (12.8/game) and the third-fewest attempts (35.3/game).

Avdija under 6.5 rebounds (+102): Deandre Ayton is out tonight, but the Blazers still have enough size in their rotation that I just can’t get behind Avdija at this rebound number.

Led by 7-foot-2 centre Donovan Clingan, the Blazers have plenty of size in the frontcourt. Robert Williams just came back from injury, too, while Toumani Camara has at least five rebounds in 12 of his past 13 games.

There are simply too many mouths to feed on the glass, and Avdija isn’t asserting himself.

In his past nine matchups, Avdija has averaged 4.9 rebounds. He’s cashed this under in 8/9 games in that span.

Avdija had five rebounds vs. Charlotte on Jan. 24, and that was with both Ayton and Williams out.

On the season, Avdija has hit this under in 34 of 53 games (64.2%).

Picks made at 12:20 p.m. ET on 02/22/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 22: Bet on LeBron, Durant to fill the net

LeBron James and Kevin Durant are the headliners in my Saturday NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Both LeBron and KD are lighting it up as scorers right now, and I expect that to continue. I’m also bullish on Alperen Sengun in a plus matchup against the Utah Jazz.

Check out how I’m betting on them in the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 22.

Best NBA prop bets

Best bet: Durant 3+ threes (-122)

Embed: #109970

Given that Durant gets most of his buckets in the mid-range, his stellar 3-point shooting often goes overlooked.

As far as prop markets go, Durant’s problem is volume — not efficiency. When he puts up enough 3s, plenty are bound to go in.

Since 2020-21, Durant has a 40.9 3PT% on 5.4 attempts. He’s averaged 40.0 3PT% or better in four of those five seasons.

In 125 games with the Suns, Durant has averaged 2.3 made 3s on 41.8 3PT%.

In order to feel good about Durant hitting this milestone, you need to see him matched up with a team that allows a lot of 3s. I trust his efficiency enough that I’m just looking for a volume-based matchup.

Enter the Chicago Bulls.

Thanks in part to their fast-paced play, the Bulls allow the second-most 3s in the NBA (39.7/game).

In fairness to the Bulls, they also allow the third-lowest opponent 3PT% (34.4). But I’ll take that trade-off since I’m just looking for Durant to get shots up.

Durant should also be encouraged to heave deep shots based on how well it’s going right now. In his past 10 games, Durant is shooting 48.5% beyond the arc and averaging 3.3 makes.

Key stat: Durant has 3+ threes in 13 of 22 home games this season.

Quick picks

Sengun 20+ points (-124): Sengun has seen starter’s minutes in two previous matchups against the Jazz, and he put in some solid work against them both times.

Jan. 5, 2023: 20 points on 7-of-14 shooting (32 min)
Jan. 20, 2024: 37 points on 15-of-26 shooting (42 min)

Sengun’s scoring average this season (18.9 PPG) isn’t quite at this milestone. But I’m a fan of the matchup, so a slight uptick in production is well within reach.

Utah allows 23.8 PPG to opposing centres, per Betting Pros, which is the sixth-highest total in the NBA.

Excluding a recent game that he left early due to injury, Sengun has averaged 20.2 points since Jan. 7.

LeBron 25+ points (-132): Eventually, Luka Doncic will regain his shooting stroke and this scoring milestone will be more difficult for LeBron to obtain.

But right now, with Doncic still ramping up after a few underwhelming games in Lakers colours, LeBron is worth a play at this price.

The King has dropped 40-plus points twice already this month. And he’s cashed this prop in nine of his past 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets are a strong team, but they don’t excel defensively (17th in defensive rating). LeBron has 25-plus points in seven of eight games against Denver since last February.

Picks made at 10:30 a.m. ET on 02/22/2025.