Kevin Durant is still a pure bucket-getter, and I’m all over his points prop on Tuesday when the Phoenix Suns visit the Memphis Grizzlies.
The pregame narrative: Tonight marks the second matchup between these Western Conference squads in the past two weeks, and Durant will look to build off his stellar showing from last time. I also like Jaren Jackson Jr. to clear his projected scoring total.
Check out my Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks for Feb. 25.
Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks
Best bet: Durant over 26.5 points (-118)
Durant had a rare down night in Toronto on Sunday on a back-to-back. Overall, though, he’s been shooting the lights out in his age-36 season.
- 26.9 PPG (6th in the NBA)
- 53.2 FG%
- 40.1 3PT%
Durant ranks fourth in the NBA in FG% among 54 players who average 15-plus shots. And he’s 14th in 3PT% among 86 players who average 5.5 or more attempts.
The four-time scoring champ has been a microwave recently, too. He’s shooting 55.4% from the floor since the start of the new year.
It’s been a disastrous season for the Suns, who sit outside the postseason picture and owe massive sums of money to Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal again next season.
The silver lining to a rather bleak situation is that Durant can still ball with the best of ’em.
Durant has cashed this bet in four of his past six games, including a 34-point outburst against Memphis on Feb. 11.
Key stat: In four games against the Grizzlies while playing for Phoenix — dating back to December 2023 — Durant has averaged 28.3 PPG and cashed this bet three times.
Quick pick
Jackson over 21.5 points (-118): Jackson has been a bit quieter as a scorer lately, going under this total in five of his past six games. But you have to like the matchup tonight.
The Suns allow the fourth-most points to opposing centres (24.8), per Betting Pros. Jackson is technically a power forward, but he’s far more of a frontcourt scoring threat for Memphis than Zach Edey.
In his past four matchups against Phoenix, Jackson has averaged 30.0 points and cashed this bet three times.
The Suns rank 26th in defensive rating (115.8) and likely won’t have much of an answer for JJJ tonight.
Picks made at 3:40 p.m. ET on 02/25/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.