Category: NBA

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 26: Expect scoring from Paul George, DeMar DeRozan and Ivica Zubac

NBA prop bets

Three prop picks are in play for Wednesday’s nine-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Veterans Paul George and DeMar DeRozan are tonight’s top targets. I also have a recommendation on Ivica Zubac.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 26.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: George over 17.5 points (-109)

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Star centre Joel Embiid is out, likely for some time. Check out how George has fared against this line with and without Embiid in the lineup (per StatMuse): 

  • With Embiid: 4-14 (14.2 PPG)
  • Without Embiid: 10-10 (18.1 PPG)

George’s first year with the Philadelphia 76ers has been a disaster. His scoring output hasn’t been this low since his sophomore season (2011-12).

A recent tendon injury to his finger has limited George and forced him to play with a splint. He was injured earlier in the season, too.

That doesn’t let him off the hook completely, but it does help explain his lack of production. 

George said the all-star break provided some much-needed rest and he’s responded with 15-plus points in three straight games.

It’s hard to celebrate that for a player of George’s calibre, but it’s baby steps considering how badly his month started. 

The nine-time all-star averaged 10.2 points through his first five games of February. 

George is moving in the right direction and I like that to continue tonight with Embiid out.

Key stat: George has topped 25 points in both meetings against the New York Knicks, who have done a poor job defending wing players.

Best NBA picks

DeRozan over 21.5 points (-103): Sticking with scoring props, I’m taking the over on a reasonable DeRozan line.

The risk here is blowout potential against the depleted Utah Jazz, who are last in the Western Conference. But there’s plenty to like about this matchup.

  • Utah ranks No. 28 in the NBA in opponent points per game.
  • The Jazz get shredded by wings, allowing the fourth-most points to small forwards and second most to shooting guards (per Betting Pros).
  • DeRozan is averaging 24.8 points in nine games since De’Aaron Fox was traded to the San Antonio Spurs.

The veteran, known more for his midrange game and ability from the line, has been propping up his point totals with his outside shot.

DeRozan has canned multiple triples in half of his games this month.

Zubac over 15.5 points (-132): If Kawhi Leonard is humming alongside guards James Harden and Norman Powell, it’s going to make Zubac’s nightly scoring projection difficult.

It’s easier to see the upside with one of them out. That’s the case tonight in a plus matchup against the Chicago Bulls.

Powell has missed three straight games and is out Wednesday. Zubac has averaged 18.3 points over those contests, hitting the 20-point mark twice.

He’s 8-3 against this number without Powell this season. Expect the Los Angeles Clippers’ big man to produce.

  • The Bulls rank last in the NBA in points allowed in the paint.
  • Zubac is fourth in paint touches per game and second in field goal attempts in the paint, per NBA.com.
  • Chicago allows the second-most points to centres.

Picks made at 11:43 a.m. ET on 02/26/2025.

Spurs vs. Rockets same-game parlay predictions Feb. 26: Bet on Houston to cover, Fox to cover assists milestone

Spurs vs. Rockets predictions

The Houston Rockets host the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday night in an all-Texas tussle.

The pregame narrative: San Antonio’s season is beginning to spiral, which is why I like Houston to earn a comfortable home win this evening. I’m also banking on solid performances from Alperen Sengun and De’Aaron Fox to round out this +400 SGP.

Check out my Spurs vs. Rockets same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 26.

Spurs vs. Rockets predictions

Parlay: Rockets -9.5 | Sengun 10+ rebounds | Fox 6+ assists (+400)

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Rockets -9.5 (-110): San Antonio lost Victor Wembanyama to a season-ending injury last week, which also marks the end of any hope they’d had at sneaking into the play-in tournament.

After losing back-to-back games against the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday and Tuesday, tank mode has officially been activated.

  • The Spurs are a dreadful 9-18 on the road, including a 1-7 ATS record as visitors this month.
  • San Antonio is also 6-15 overall without Wemby.

Houston is in an ATS slump of its own, but after beating the Milwaukee Bucks last night I expect the Rockets to steamroll the Spurs.

When these teams last met in Houston back in November, the Rockets won by 27 points … and that was with Wemby on the court.

SGP legs

Sengun 10+ rebounds (-235): The greatest beneficiary in this matchup against the Wemby-less Spurs is probably Sengun. Without a 7-foot-4 bully in the paint, Sengun should feast as a rebounder.

  • Sengun is averaging 10.5 rebounds this season.
  • He has 10+ boards in 35 of 55 games (63.6%) — including 8 of his past 10.
  • Dating back to Jan. 8, Sengun has 8+ rebounds in 19 of his past 20 games. The exception was a game that he exited after just three minutes of action.

With such a high floor, I expect Sengun to hit this rebounding milestone against most teams.

Without Wemby, the Spurs will primarily have Bismack Biyombo and Jeremy Sochan in the paint. Both players are 6-foot-8, which gives Sengun (6-foot-11) a size advantage.

Fox 6+ assists (-167): Wembanyama’s absence thrusts Fox into the spotlight as the Spurs’ No. 1 scoring option. But that doesn’t mean his passing prowess will fall by the wayside.

  • In nine games with the Spurs, Fox has averaged 7.2 assists.
  • He has 5+ assists in every game (and 6+ assists in 6 of 9).

Chris Paul’s presence in the San Antonio backcourt might dampen Fox’s ceiling as a passer, but he’s still going to tee up plenty of teammates every game.

In the four games since Wemby’s injury, Fox has averaged 14.8 potential assists, according to NBA.com’s player tracking data. That leads the Spurs and puts him in an excellent position to cash this milestone on a nightly basis.

Picks made at 10:55 a.m. ET 02/26/2025.

Raptors vs. Pacers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 26: Bet on Toronto alt spread, Gradey Dick 3s prop in +375 SGP

Raptors vs. Bulls prop picks

For the third and final time this season, the Toronto Raptors face the Indiana Pacers.

The pregame narrative: Wednesday’s matchup comes on a back-to-back for the Raptors, who’ve beaten the Pacers twice already as underdogs this season. In my +285 SGP, I’m backing Toronto on an alt spread to go with prop milestones for Gradey Dick and Myles Turner.

Check out my Raptors vs. Pacers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 26.

Raptors vs. Pacers predictions

Parlay: Raptors +12.5 | Dick over 1.5 threes | Turner over 16.5 points (+375)

Raptors +12.5 (-154): Many times over this season, my colleagues and I have written about the Raptors’ ability to lose a bunch of games while remaining competitive. And that is still holding true.

  • Toronto is 18-40 SU but 34-23-1 ATS.
  • The Raptors’ 32-20-1 ATS (61.5%) record as underdogs is the 2nd-best hit rate in the NBA among teams with five or more applicable games.

Since Jan. 1, Toronto has covered a +12.5 spread in 19 of 25 games. The team is 17th in net rating in that span, which is far better than you’d probably expect from a lottery-bound bunch.

Also, the Raptors are 2-0 SU against the Pacers this year, winning both games —as underdogs — by a double-digit margin.

Indiana is just 3-7 ATS in its past 10.

SGP legs

Dick over 1.5 threes (-167): Simply put, Dick hits this milestone more often than not. And he’s been particularly reliable in recent games.

Here are Dick’s full-season numbers from 3-point range:

  • 2.1 threes per game
  • 6.1 attempts per game
  • 34.9 3PT%
  • 2+ threes in 35 of 51 games

In his past 11 games, the attempts have dipped (4.7/game), but the hit rate has held up. Dick has cashed this bet in eight of those 11 matchups.

In three career games against Indiana, the second-year guard is 8-of-14 from deep and has hit this milestone twice.

The Pacers are a perfectly average team in terms of 3-point defence, yielding the 15th-lowest 3PT% (35.8). So this isn’t a matchup to shy away from.

Turner over 16.5 points (-130): Why has Turner upped his 3-point volume in recent games? I’m not sure, but I know it’s a boon for his scoring potential.

  • On the season, Turner has averaged 5.4 attempted 3s per game, which is sixth among NBA centres.
  • In 11 games since Jan. 16, though, that average is up to 6.9 attempts. And he’s fired eight-plus 3s in three straight games.

Turner has established a solid scoring floor in the past month and a half, scoring 14-plus points in 11 of 13 games. One of the outliers was a game in which he got hurt and exited after six minutes.

The 6-foot-11 centre could be in for a greater scoring workload if teammate Tyrese Haliburton (questionable) sits out. On Toronto’s side, centre Jakob Poeltl, who has missed eight games with a hip injury, is also questionable.

But regardless of what the injury report says, Turner’s shot chart and recent production have been solid enough for me to want in on this point total, which he has cleared in three straight games.

Picks made at 9:25 a.m. ET 02/26/2025.

Raptors vs. Pacers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 26: Bet on Toronto alt spread, Gradey Dick 3s prop in +285 SGP

Raptors vs. Bulls prop picks

For the third and final time this season, the Toronto Raptors face the Indiana Pacers.

The pregame narrative: Wednesday’s matchup comes on a back-to-back for the Raptors, who’ve beaten the Pacers twice already as underdogs this season. In my +285 SGP, I’m backing Toronto on an alt spread to go with prop milestones for Gradey Dick and Myles Turner.

Check out my Raptors vs. Pacers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 26.

Raptors vs. Pacers predictions

Parlay: Raptors +12.5 | Dick 2+ threes | Turner 15+ points (+285)

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Raptors +12.5 (-167): Many times over this season, my colleagues and I have written about the Raptors’ ability to lose a bunch of games while remaining competitive. And that is still holding true.

  • Toronto is 18-40 SU but 34-23-1 ATS.
  • The Raptors’ 32-20-1 ATS (61.5%) record as underdogs is the 2nd-best hit rate in the NBA among teams with five or more applicable games.

Since Jan. 1, Toronto has covered a +12.5 spread in 19 of 25 games. The team is 17th in net rating in that span, which is far better than you’d probably expect from a lottery-bound bunch.

Also, the Raptors are 2-0 SU against the Pacers this year, winning both games —as underdogs — by a double-digit margin.

Indiana is just 3-7 ATS in its past 10.

SGP legs

Dick 2+ threes (-143): Simply put, Dick hits this milestone more often than not. And he’s been particularly reliable in recent games.

Here are Dick’s full-season numbers from 3-point range:

  • 2.1 threes per game
  • 6.1 attempts per game
  • 34.9 3PT%
  • 2+ threes in 35 of 51 games

In his past 11 games, the attempts have dipped (4.7/game), but the hit rate has held up. Dick has cashed this bet in eight of those 11 matchups.

In three career games against Indiana, the second-year guard is 8-of-14 from deep and has hit this milestone twice.

The Pacers are a perfectly average team in terms of 3-point defence, yielding the 15th-lowest 3PT% (35.8). So this isn’t a matchup to shy away from.

Turner 15+ points (-182): Why has Turner upped his 3-point volume in recent games? I’m not sure, but I know it’s a boon for his scoring potential.

  • On the season, Turner has averaged 5.4 attempted 3s per game, which is sixth among NBA centres.
  • In 11 games since Jan. 16, though, that average is up to 6.9 attempts. And he’s fired eight-plus 3s in three straight games.

Turner has established a solid scoring floor in the past month and a half, scoring 14-plus points in 11 of 13 games. One of the outliers was a game in which he got hurt and exited after six minutes.

The 6-foot-11 centre could be in for a greater scoring workload if teammate Tyrese Haliburton (questionable) sits out. On Toronto’s side, centre Jakob Poeltl, who has missed eight games with a hip injury, is also questionable.

But regardless of what the injury report says, Turner’s shot chart and recent production have been solid enough for me to want in on this milestone prop.

Picks made at 9:15 a.m. ET 02/26/2025.

Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks Feb. 25: Bet on Kevin Durant, Jaren Jackson Jr. to fill the net

Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks

Kevin Durant is still a pure bucket-getter, and I’m all over his points prop on Tuesday when the Phoenix Suns visit the Memphis Grizzlies.

The pregame narrative: Tonight marks the second matchup between these Western Conference squads in the past two weeks, and Durant will look to build off his stellar showing from last time. I also like Jaren Jackson Jr. to clear his projected scoring total.

Check out my Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks for Feb. 25.

Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks

Best bet: Durant over 26.5 points (-118)

Durant had a rare down night in Toronto on Sunday on a back-to-back. Overall, though, he’s been shooting the lights out in his age-36 season.

  • 26.9 PPG (6th in the NBA)
  • 53.2 FG%
  • 40.1 3PT%

Durant ranks fourth in the NBA in FG% among 54 players who average 15-plus shots. And he’s 14th in 3PT% among 86 players who average 5.5 or more attempts.

The four-time scoring champ has been a microwave recently, too. He’s shooting 55.4% from the floor since the start of the new year.

It’s been a disastrous season for the Suns, who sit outside the postseason picture and owe massive sums of money to Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal again next season.

The silver lining to a rather bleak situation is that Durant can still ball with the best of ’em.

Durant has cashed this bet in four of his past six games, including a 34-point outburst against Memphis on Feb. 11.

Key stat: In four games against the Grizzlies while playing for Phoenix — dating back to December 2023 — Durant has averaged 28.3 PPG and cashed this bet three times.

Quick pick

Jackson over 21.5 points (-118): Jackson has been a bit quieter as a scorer lately, going under this total in five of his past six games. But you have to like the matchup tonight.

The Suns allow the fourth-most points to opposing centres (24.8), per Betting Pros. Jackson is technically a power forward, but he’s far more of a frontcourt scoring threat for Memphis than Zach Edey.

In his past four matchups against Phoenix, Jackson has averaged 30.0 points and cashed this bet three times.

The Suns rank 26th in defensive rating (115.8) and likely won’t have much of an answer for JJJ tonight.

Picks made at 3:40 p.m. ET on 02/25/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 25: Back Fox and Porzingis on Tuesday night

NBA prop bets

I have two prop bet recommendations for Tuesday’s seven-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Tonight’s picks are on San Antonio Spurs guard De’Aaron Fox and Boston Celtics big man Kristaps Porzingis.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 25.

Best NBA prop bets

Best bet: Fox over 24.5 points (-125)

Tonight’s San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans matchup has the second-highest projected total of the evening.

A shade under 240 points, scoring is expected and I want a piece of the player with the highest upside.

Fox has only played eight games with the Spurs since his trade from the Sacramento Kings. Of those eight, five came alongside superstar teammate Victor Wembanyama, who’s out for the season.

The star point guard has averaged 21.4 points over his brief Spurs tenure, but this new situation hasn’t really told us much and won’t until Wembanyama is (hopefully) back on the court next season.

Here’s why I like Fox to eat tonight:

  • Fox has dropped 26-plus points in two of his last three games without Wembanyama.
  • He has taken seven attempts from deep in three straight games.
  • The Pelicans allow the 2nd-most threes per game and rank 23rd in opponent 3PT%.

The 6-foot-3 southpaw, who averaged 25.0 points with the Kings, should be active from long range, driving up his output.

Expect some huge games from Fox down the stretch. This looks like it will be one of them.

Key stat: New Orleans is 28th in the NBA in defensive rating.

Quick pick

Porzingis over 7.5 rebounds (-108): Centres tend to perform well against the Toronto Raptors, who may once again be without Jakob Poeltl tonight.

Poeltl is questionable as of Tuesday afternoon and has been out since early February. Even if he does play, he’ll likely have his minutes capped.

He’s the best rebounder (by far) on the Raptors, who allow the eighth-most rebounds to centres, according to Betting Pros.

Porzingis has hit this at a below-50% rate this season, but one of those times came against Toronto in January.

And he’s gotten to seven rebounds in 65% of his games, so he’s often living around this number.

Picks made at 12:57 p.m. ET on 02/25/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 25: Back Reaves, Fox and Porzingis on Tuesday night

NBA prop bets

I have three prop bet recommendations for Tuesday’s seven-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Tonight’s picks are on guards De’Aaron Fox and Austin Reaves, and Boston Celtics big man Kristaps Porzingis.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 25.

Best NBA prop bets

Best bet: Fox over 24.5 points (-112)

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Tonight’s San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans matchup has the second-highest projected total of the evening.

A shade under 240 points, scoring is expected and I want a piece of the player with the highest upside.

Fox has only played eight games with the Spurs since his trade from the Sacramento Kings. Of those eight, five came alongside superstar teammate Victor Wembanyama, who’s out for the season.

The star point guard has averaged 21.4 points over his brief Spurs tenure, but this new situation hasn’t really told us much and won’t until Wembanyama is (hopefully) back on the court next season.

Here’s why I like Fox to eat tonight:

  • Fox has dropped 26-plus points in two of his last three games without Wembanyama.
  • He has taken seven attempts from deep in three straight games.
  • The Pelicans allow the 2nd-most threes per game and rank 23rd in opponent 3PT%.

The 6-foot-3 southpaw, who averaged 25.0 points with the Kings, should be active from long range, driving up his output.

Expect some huge games from Fox down the stretch. This looks like it will be one of them.

Key stat: New Orleans is 28th in the NBA in defensive rating.

Quick picks

Reaves over 28.5 PRA (-104): You’ll be paying a premium if you’re backing Luka Doncic on Tuesday night. 

The discount prices are officially over ahead of tonight’s game against his former team following his best game (32 points) as a Los Angeles Laker.

But there’s an opportunity to get his teammate at a light line.

Reaves has scored 20-plus points in two of the four games he’s played with Doncic. 

The 26-year-old guard is a strong No. 3 option on the Lakers and can benefit from playing alongside playmakers like Doncic and LeBron James, who draw extra defenders. 

Reaves is 8-1 against this line in February. The one game he fell short was when he was ejected.

The Dallas Mavericks have defended guards well, but they’re 24th in defensive rating this month and will surely be paying significant attention to Doncic.

Porzingis over 7.5 rebounds (+100): Centres tend to perform well against the Toronto Raptors, who may once again be without Jakob Poeltl tonight.

Poeltl is questionable as of Tuesday afternoon and has been out since early February. Even if he does play, he’ll likely have his minutes capped.

He’s the best rebounder (by far) on the Raptors, who allow the eighth-most rebounds to centres, according to Betting Pros.

Porzingis has hit this at a below-50% rate this season, but one of those times came against Toronto in January.

And he’s gotten to seven rebounds in 65% of his games, so he’s often living around this number.

Picks made at 12:57 p.m. ET on 02/25/2025.

Mavericks vs. Lakers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 25: Back LeBron James and Max Christie at +320

Mavericks vs. Lakers predicitions

All eyes are on Luka Doncic as he faces the Dallas Mavericks for the first time as a Los Angeles Laker, though I’m looking elsewhere for value.

The pregame narrative: The Mavericks are dealing with a rash of injuries, which doesn’t bode well for them at Crypto.com Arena. Take L.A. to win alongside props on LeBron James and Max Christie in this +320 SGP.

Check out my Mavericks vs. Lakers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 25.

Mavericks vs. Lakers predictions

Parlay: Lakers moneyline | James 8+ rebounds | Christie over 11.5 points (+320)

Lakers moneyline (-400): The Mavericks are somehow winning ballgames with Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively and Daniel Gafford sidelined.

Dallas is 5-4 since trading away Doncic, having covered this number in six of its last seven.

That’s been largely thanks to the stellar efforts of Kyrie Irving (27.1 PPG in February) and the newly acquired Christie. But the Lakers have been rolling teams and are great at shutting down opposing point guards.

  • Los Angeles has won 12 of its past 15 games. It is also 11-8 ATS as a home favourite this season.
  • The Lakers allow the 8th-fewest PPG to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros. Don’t be surprised if Irving has a quiet night.

Doncic finally looked like himself in L.A.’s last game, scoring 32 points in 31 minutes while adding 10 rebounds and seven assists.

A blowout is well within the cards tonight.

SGP legs

James 8+ rebounds (-120): LeBron is still flying high in his 22nd season and I want to tap into his abilities as a rebounder on Tuesday.

The King is averaging 7.7 rebounds per game on the season and has been a beast on the glass in the eight games since Davis was traded.

  • 8.9 rebounds per game
  • 7+ rebounds in 6 of 7 games
  • 8+ rebounds in 4 of 7 games

The Mavericks rank 26th in rebounding rate this month (47.0%) and have been rotating 6-foot-7 Kessler Edwards and 6-foot-6 P.J. Washington at centre.

Christie over 11.5 points (-110): Everyone is looking for — and probably betting on — a Doncic revenge game but Christie shouldn’t be overlooked.

The 22-year-old shooting guard was packaged with Davis and a first-round pick for Doncic and has been solid in eight games coming off the bench with the Mavs.

  • 32.6 MPG
  • 15.2 PPG
  • 51.1 FG%
  • 41.9 3PT%
  • 15+ points in 7 of 8 games

This line seems very low considering L.A. will throw plenty of its defensive resources at Irving.

Look for Christie to his shots up against his old team.

Picks made at 12:30 p.m. ET 02/25/2025.

Mavericks vs. Lakers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 25: Back LeBron James and Max Christie at +320

Mavericks vs. Lakers predicitions

All eyes are on Luka Doncic as he faces the Dallas Mavericks for the first time as a Los Angeles Laker, though I’m looking elsewhere for value.

The pregame narrative: The Mavericks are dealing with a rash of injuries, which doesn’t bode well for them at Crypto.com Arena. Take L.A. on an alternate spread alongside props on LeBron James and Max Christie in this +320 SGP.

Check out my Mavericks vs. Lakers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 25.

Mavericks vs. Lakers predictions

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Parlay: Lakers -2.5 | James 8+ rebounds | Christie over 11.5 points (+320)

Lakers -2.5 (-375): The Mavericks are somehow winning ballgames with Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively and Daniel Gafford sidelined.

Dallas is 5-4 since trading away Doncic, having covered this number in six of its last seven.

That’s been largely thanks to the stellar efforts of Kyrie Irving (27.1 PPG in February) and the newly acquired Christie. But the Lakers have been rolling teams and are great at shutting down opposing point guards.

  • Los Angeles has won 12 of its past 15 games, covering the spread in 11 of those wins. It is also 11-8 ATS as a home favourite this season.
  • The Lakers allow the 8th-fewest PPG to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros. Don’t be surprised if Irving has a quiet night.

Doncic finally looked like himself in L.A.’s last game, scoring 32 points in 31 minutes while adding 10 rebounds and seven assists.

A blowout is well within the cards tonight.

SGP legs

James 8+ rebounds (-125): LeBron is still flying high in his 22nd season and I want to tap into his abilities as a rebounder on Tuesday.

The King is averaging 7.7 rebounds per game on the season and has been a beast on the glass in the eight games since Davis was traded.

  • 8.9 rebounds per game
  • 7+ rebounds in 6 of 7 games
  • 8+ rebounds in 4 of 7 games

The Mavericks rank 26th in rebounding rate this month (47.0%) and have been rotating 6-foot-7 Kessler Edwards and 6-foot-6 P.J. Washington at centre.

Christie over 11.5 points (-130): Everyone is looking for — and probably betting on — a Doncic revenge game but Christie shouldn’t be overlooked.

The 22-year-old shooting guard was packaged with Davis and a first-round pick for Doncic and has been solid in eight games coming off the bench with the Mavs.

  • 32.6 MPG
  • 15.2 PPG
  • 51.1 FG%
  • 41.9 3PT%
  • 15+ points in 7 of 8 games

This line seems very low considering L.A. will throw plenty of its defensive resources at Irving.

Look for Christie to his shots up against his old team.

Picks made at 10:39 a.m. ET 02/25/2025.

Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks Feb. 25: Bet on Kevin Durant, Jaren Jackson Jr. to fill the net

Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks

Kevin Durant is still a pure bucket-getter, and I’m all over his points prop on Tuesday when the Phoenix Suns visit the Memphis Grizzlies.

The pregame narrative: Tonight marks the second matchup between these Western Conference squads in the past two weeks, and Durant will look to build off his stellar showing from last time. I also like Jaren Jackson Jr. to clear his projected scoring total.

Check out my Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks for Feb. 25.

Suns vs. Grizzlies prop picks

Best bet: Durant over 26.5 points (-115)

Embed: #110164

Durant had a rare down night in Toronto on Sunday on a back-to-back. Overall, though, he’s been shooting the lights out in his age-36 season.

  • 26.9 PPG (6th in the NBA)
  • 53.2 FG%
  • 40.1 3PT%

Durant ranks fourth in the NBA in FG% among 54 players who average 15-plus shots. And he’s 14th in 3PT% among 86 players who average 5.5 or more attempts.

The four-time scoring champ has been a microwave recently, too. He’s shooting 55.4% from the floor since the start of the new year.

It’s been a disastrous season for the Suns, who sit outside the postseason picture and owe massive sums of money to Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal again next season.

The silver lining to a rather bleak situation is that Durant can still ball with the best of ’em.

Durant has cashed this bet in four of his past six games, including a 34-point outburst against Memphis on Feb. 11.

Key stat: In four games against the Grizzlies while playing for Phoenix — dating back to December 2023 — Durant has averaged 28.3 PPG and cashed this bet three times.

Quick pick

Jackson over 21.5 points (-112): Jackson has been a bit quieter as a scorer lately, going under this total in five of his past six games. But you have to like the matchup tonight.

The Suns allow the fourth-most points to opposing centres (24.8), per Betting Pros. Jackson is technically a power forward, but he’s far more of a frontcourt scoring threat for Memphis than Zach Edey.

In his past four matchups against Phoenix, Jackson has averaged 30.0 points and cashed this bet three times.

The Suns rank 26th in defensive rating (115.8) and likely won’t have much of an answer for JJJ tonight.

Picks made at 10:30 a.m. ET on 02/25/2025.