I have two prop bet recommendations for Tuesday’s seven-game NBA slate.
The pregame narrative: Tonight’s picks are on San Antonio Spurs guard De’Aaron Fox and Boston Celtics big man Kristaps Porzingis.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 25.
Best NBA prop bets
Best bet: Fox over 24.5 points (-125)
Tonight’s San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans matchup has the second-highest projected total of the evening.
A shade under 240 points, scoring is expected and I want a piece of the player with the highest upside.
Fox has only played eight games with the Spurs since his trade from the Sacramento Kings. Of those eight, five came alongside superstar teammate Victor Wembanyama, who’s out for the season.
The star point guard has averaged 21.4 points over his brief Spurs tenure, but this new situation hasn’t really told us much and won’t until Wembanyama is (hopefully) back on the court next season.
Here’s why I like Fox to eat tonight:
- Fox has dropped 26-plus points in two of his last three games without Wembanyama.
- He has taken seven attempts from deep in three straight games.
- The Pelicans allow the 2nd-most threes per game and rank 23rd in opponent 3PT%.
The 6-foot-3 southpaw, who averaged 25.0 points with the Kings, should be active from long range, driving up his output.
Expect some huge games from Fox down the stretch. This looks like it will be one of them.
Key stat: New Orleans is 28th in the NBA in defensive rating.
Quick pick
Porzingis over 7.5 rebounds (-108): Centres tend to perform well against the Toronto Raptors, who may once again be without Jakob Poeltl tonight.
Poeltl is questionable as of Tuesday afternoon and has been out since early February. Even if he does play, he’ll likely have his minutes capped.
He’s the best rebounder (by far) on the Raptors, who allow the eighth-most rebounds to centres, according to Betting Pros.
Porzingis has hit this at a below-50% rate this season, but one of those times came against Toronto in January.
And he’s gotten to seven rebounds in 65% of his games, so he’s often living around this number.
Picks made at 12:57 p.m. ET on 02/25/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.