Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

59 Super Bowl Stats for Super Bowl 59

Want to be the smarty pants of your Super Bowl party?

Well, you’re in the right spot. From against-the-spread trends and player data, to national anthem run times and Gatorade shower colours, we’ve compiled a wide-ranging list of insightful tidbits for the NFL’s big game.

Before the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs kick off on Feb. 9, check out our 59 Super Stats for Super Bowl 59, and use our NFL Team and Player Stats pages when doing research before placing your bets.

Super Bowl 59 stats

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Player/Coach stats

1. Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has 22 rushes inside the five-yard line this season (second-most in the NFL).

2. Hurts, who had three rushing TDs in the NFC championship, also had three rushing TDs vs. the Chiefs in Super Bowl 57.

3. Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes averaged just 3.4 air yards per attempt during the regular season (32nd among quarterbacks with 250+ attempts).

4. Mahomes’ stats in four Super Bowls: 267.8 yards/game, 7 TDs, 5 INTs.

5. Hurts has eight passing TDs and nine rushing TDs in his postseason career (eight games).

6. Hurts threw two interceptions in his playoff debut back in 2021, but he hasn’t been picked off in the postseason since. His 206 consecutive INT-free postseason passes are just nine shy of Drew Brees’ NFL record (215).

7. Mahomes has 6+ rush attempts in five straight playoff games. In 20 career playoff games, he’s averaged 5.4 carries and 29.1 rush yards.

8. Mahomes is 17-3 in his playoff career. He’s second all-time among QBs in playoff wins, trailing only Tom Brady (35).

9. Eagles running back Saquon Barkley has 4+ red zone carries in eight of his past nine games.

10. Barkley has 13 carries of 20+ yards in his past 10 games.

11. During the regular season, Barkley averaged an NFL-high 3.8 yards per rush before contact.

12. Barkley has rushed for 205+ yards twice this season (including in the divisional round). The Super Bowl rushing record is 204 yards, set by Washington’s Timmy Smith in Super Bowl 22.

13. In Kansas City’s AFC championship win over Buffalo, Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce had just 19 yards on two catches. But before that, he had posted 70+ receiving yards in 14 straight postseason matchups.

14. Kelce recently made his 10th consecutive Pro Bowl, but did so while posting career lows in receiving yards (823), TDs (three) and yards per reception (8.5).

15. Kelce has only been targeted inside the 10-yard line once in his past nine games.

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16. Eagles kicker Jake Elliott is 1-for-8 on field goals from 50+ yards (including a miss in the NFC championship game).

17. Over the past three postseasons, Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker is 23-for-23 on PATs and 21-for-22 on field goal attempts (his lone miss came in Super Bowl 57 against the Eagles).

18. Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt has a rushing TD in all six career postseason games.

19. In the past 15 Super Bowls, 11 MVP winners have been quarterbacks (including Mahomes in three of the past four). In that time, two defensive players have been MVP — but none since Denver edge rusher Von Miller in Super Bowl 50.

20. A running back hasn’t been Super Bowl MVP since Terrell Davis in 1998.

21. Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert has 4+ catches in nine straight playoff games. He had six catches for 60 yards against the Chiefs in Super Bowl 57.

22. In the NFC championship win over Washington, Eagles receiver A.J. Brown had six catches for 96 yards and a touchdown … and that was his exact stat line against the Chiefs in Super Bowl 57.

23. Eagles receiver DeVonta Smith has caught all 12 of his targets this postseason (exactly four in each game). His 76.4% catch rate ranks in the 92nd percentile.

24. From Weeks 1-12, Chiefs receiver Xavier Worthy had zero games with 5+ catches. He has since recorded 5+ catches in seven straight games (excluding Week 18 when he was among KC’s resting starters).

25. Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco has averaged fewer than 4.0 yards per rush in six straight games.

26. Kansas City’s Andy Reid and Philadelphia’s Nick Sirianni will be the fifth head coaching duo to meet in multiple Super Bowls. In the previous four instances, the head coach who won the first matchup also won the second (including Reid last year vs. 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan).

Super Bowl team stats

27. Both the Chiefs (32 points) and the Eagles (55 points) set their season-high scoring totals in the conference championship round.

28. The Chiefs have won nine straight playoff games (one shy of the Patriots’ record, which was set between 2001-05).

29. The Chiefs have only lost four fumbles this season (tied for the second-fewest in the NFL).

30. The Eagles forced 22 fumbles this season (tied for most in the NFL).

31. The Chiefs have won 17 consecutive one-score games.

32. The Eagles allowed the fewest pass yards per attempt (5.5) and the lowest dropback success rate (41.5%).

33. The Eagles led the NFL in rushing TDs (39), run play percentage (56.52%) and EPA per rush.

34. Only five of the Eagles’ 20 opponents have amassed 250+ passing yards.

35. Philly is third in the NFL in fourth-down conversion rate (73.33%). KC is right behind in fourth (70.0%).

36. The Chiefs have struggled to prevent conversions on third down (43.9%. 28th in the NFL). The Eagles have struggled to prevent opponents from converting on fourth down (62.5% conversion rate allowed, 23rd in the NFL).

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37. KC ranks fourth in blitz rate (31.6%) and second in QB knockdown rate (12.8%).

38. Philly generates 2.7 seconds of pocket time per dropback for Jalen Hurts (No. 1 in the NFL).

39. These are two of the least-penalized teams in the NFL. Philly averages the third-fewest penalty yards (45.1), and KC averages the fifth-fewest (46.3).

40. Both teams tend to force their opponents to run the ball out on kickoffs. Philly averages the fewest opponent touchbacks per game (2.1) while KC allows the second-fewest (2.4).

41. This is only the second time a pair of teams have met twice in the Super Bowl in three years. The other instance was Bills vs. Cowboys, which was the matchup in 1992 and ’93 (Dallas won both).

Novelty stats

42. In the past 20 years, Super Bowl teams wearing white jerseys are 16-4. The Chiefs will wear white jerseys, while the Eagles will wear green (same jersey matchup as Super Bowl 57).

43. Heads has been the coin toss winner in three of the past four Super Bowls.

44. Tails (30-28) holds a slight edge, historically, in Super Bowl coin toss results and is 7-4 since Super Bowl 48.

45. Purple has been the Gatorade colour in back-to-back Super Bowls (both won by the Chiefs, of course). The Chiefs used orange Gatorade for the celebratory bath in Super Bowl 54.

46. Blue Gatorade has been the colour of choice in three of the past six Super Bowls.

47. The last time a Gatorade colour was used three-plus years in a row was 2005-08 (clear).

48. When the Eagles won Super Bowl 52, they used yellow Gatorade for the celebratory bath. That’s the only time yellow Gatorade has been used in the past 15 Super Bowls.

49. Last year, Reba McEntire performed the U.S. national anthem in 1:35. That was the shortest anthem length in the past 12 Super Bowls.

50. Seven of the past 10 national anthem performances have lasted more than two minutes.

51. Dating back to Super Bowl 33, no national anthem performance has gone under 1:30.

Super Bowl betting stats

52. Underdogs are 5-7 SU and 7-5 ATS in the postseason this year.

53. KC is 9-10 ATS this year, while Philly is 13-7 ATS.

54. Collectively, unders were 22-17 (56.4%) in Chiefs and Eagles games this season.

55. Since 2017, underdogs are 59-39 ATS in the playoffs.

56. Super Bowl underdogs are 11-6 SU and 13-4 ATS in the past 17 years.

57. Overs are 7-5 in the past 12 Super Bowls, and the over has cashed in back-to-back title games.

58. Three of the past four Super Bowl underdogs were given three or fewer points. They all earned SU victories.

59. When playing as either a favourite of three or fewer points, or as an underdog, Mahomes is 28-9-1 ATS in his career.

In addition to NorthStar’s stats pages, Super Bowl stats info in this article was gathered from the following sources: Team Rankings, RBSDM.com, TheLines.com, RotoWire, Fantasy Pros, Action Network, VegasInsider.com.

Why Xavier Worthy and Kareem Hunt will deliver in +420 SGP: Super Bowl same-game parlay picks

When the Kansas City Chiefs were in the Super Bowl last year, neither Xavier Worthy nor Kareem Hunt were on the squad. But I think both of them have a solid role to play in this year’s title game.

The pregame narrative: Super Bowl 59 has no shortage of stars, and I’m counting on a quartet of players to chip in on Sunday. In addition to Worthy and Hunt, this +420 SGP has predictions on Dallas Goedert and Jalen Hurts.

Check out my Super Bowl same-game parlay picks on Worthy, Goedert and more for Sunday’s matchup between the Chiefs and Eagles.

Super Bowl same-game parlay picks

Parlay: Worthy 40+ receiving yards | Goedert 40+ receiving yards | Hunt 40+ rushing yards | Hurts 30+ rushing yards (+420)

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Worthy 40+ receiving yards (-278): Transitioning from college to the NFL is a huge adjustment, and most rookie receivers need some time to hit their stride.

Worthy, the 28th-overall pick last spring, certainly fits that mould.

From Weeks 1-10, Worthy averaged 4.8 targets, 2.2 catches and 27.3 yards. He had 40+ yards in just 2/9 games.

From Week 11 onward, he’s averaging 6.8 targets, 5.0 catches and 52.2 yards.

And really, Worthy’s numbers since Week 11 are unfavourably skewed. He only played one offensive snap in Week 18 before resting the remainder of the game.

Removing that outlier from the equation, Worthy has 40-plus yards in nine straight games, securing at least four catches in each matchup.

With that kind of sustained production, it’s clear he’s a go-to guy for KC.

As a first-rounder, Worthy was drafted to be great. And after some understandable ramp-up time earlier in the season, he’s coming through when the Chiefs need him most.

Other parlay picks

Goedert 40+ receiving yards (-240): Philly’s Week 18 matchup against the Giants was largely meaningless. But it meant a lot for Goedert.

The veteran tight end missed four games with a knee injury heading into the season finale. So, while most of his offensive co-stars rested, Goedert used the game to test his health.

Fortunately, he passed with flying colours, catching four passes for 55 yards in just 13 snaps.

Goedert kept the good times rolling in the postseason, where he’s had four-plus catches and 45-plus yards in all three games.

The Chiefs allowed the most yards per game to opposing tight ends this season (70.1). This should be a smash play.

Back Hunt, Hurts on the ground

Hunt 40+ rushing yards (-155): KC entrusted Hunt with a true RB1 role in the AFC championship, and he justified it with a solid output: 64 yards and a touchdown on 17 carries.

Hunt clearly has command of KC’s backfield ahead of Isiah Pacheco through two playoff matchups:

Hunt: 53.0% snaps, 25 carries, 2 targets

Pacheco: 29.9% snaps, 10 carries, 3 targets

Given how stout the Eagles’ pass defence is — ranking No. 1 in yards per attempt (5.5) — I expect the Chiefs to give Hunt plenty of touches on the ground.

Entering the Super Bowl, Hunt has 40-plus rush yards in four of his past five games.

Hurts 30+ rushing yards (-250): Oddly enough, Hurts rushed for a season-low 16 yards in the NFC championship despite amassing 10 carries (his second-most since Week 12).

One outlier performance won’t steer me away from this yardage milestone, though. Hurts typically has a very reliable floor in the ground game.

6+ carries in 17/18 games
30+ rush yards in 13/18 games
44.5 rush yards/game since Week 8

KC averages the fourth-highest blitz rate in the NFL (31.6%) and the sixth-highest hurry rate (9.0%). If Hurts can evade pressure, there should be plenty of open turf ahead of him.

Against the Chiefs in the Super Bowl two years ago, Hurts rushed 15 times for 70 yards and three TDs.

Picks made at 2:00 p.m. ET on 02/06/2025.

Pacers vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 6: Ride with James Harden, fade Myles Turner in +340 SGP

Thursday’s nightcap features James Harden and the Los Angeles Clippers against the Indiana Pacers.

The pregame narrative: I’m backing Harden on an assists milestone tonight as part of a +340 SGP. This three-leg ticket also includes an alt under and a fade on Myles Turner.

Check out my Pacers vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 6.

Pacers vs. Clippers predictions

Parlay: Under 230.5 points | Harden 8+ assists | Turner under 6.5 rebounds (+340)

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Under 230.5 points (-139): The Clippers have been among the most defensively responsible squads all season. But the Pacers have recently taken up that mantle, too.

Since Jan. 1, the Clippers and Pacers rank 2nd and 4th, respectively, in defensive rating.

L.A. is 1st in opponent points per game in that span, too, while Indiana ranks 8th.

Unders are 4-0 in the Pacers’ past four road games. Only one of those matchups even crested a 220-point total.

As for the Clippers, unders are 10-6 when they’re home favourites this season, per Team Rankings. And seven of their past eight games at Intuit Dome went under this total.

SGP legs

Harden 8+ assists (-305): From an odds standpoint, this is the safest leg of the SGP. And it’s easy to see why.

Harden is averaging 8.4 assists this season. He’s averaged 9.7 APG over his past five seasons.

He has 8+ assists in 12/15 games since Jan. 1, averaging 9.7 assists in that span.

The two-time assists leader has a decent matchup tonight despite the Pacers’ recent defensive improvements.

Indiana allows the ninth-most assists per game to opposing point guards, per Team Rankings.

Turner under 6.5 rebounds (-132): You’d think that a 6-foot-11 centre would clear a rebounding total like this with ease, but that often isn’t the case for Turner.

In his past eight games, Turner has gone under 6.5 rebounds six times. He’s also hit the under in 11 of his past 16.

With that in mind, I view Turner as fade-worthy against this number whenever a particularly tough matchup comes along. And that’s exactly what we have here.

The Clippers rank seventh in rebounding rate (51.2%), and they allow the fifth-fewest rebounds to centres.

Picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET 02/06/2025

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 6: Ride Michael Porter Jr.’s hot streak, DeMar DeRozan’s steady production

There are four NBA matchups tipping off at 9 p.m. ET or later tonight, and I’ve got prop bets from three of them.

The pregame narrative: Michael Porter Jr. is blazing hot right now and is worth a look against an Orlando Magic team at the end of a long road trip. Elsewhere, I’m backing overs on DeMar DeRozan and Jaxson Hayes.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 6.

Best NBA prop bets

Best bet: Porter over 24.5 points/rebounds (-118)

Porter is coming off his two best games of the season, and I’m here to ride the wave.

In consecutive home games against the New Orleans Pelicans, MPJ finished with 36 and 39 points, respectively, while amassing 19 total rebounds and shooting 12-of-21 (57.1%) from 3-point range.

He’ll face a tougher test on Thursday against the Magic, but it makes a difference that this game is at home. Orlando hasn’t displayed its typical defensive tact during its current road swing:

5 games
116.0 defensive rating
114.4 opponent PPG
49.0 opponent FG%

By comparison, here’s what the Magic’s season-long defensive numbers look like: 108.8 defensive rating, 105.5 PPG, 47.3 FG%.

Both teams are playing on a back-to-back, which I believe is a plus for Porter — not just because he’s accustomed to playing at elevation.

Porter has gone over 24.5 points/rebounds in eight of 10 back-to-backs this season. And he should be fully immersed in heat-check mode tonight based on the way he just torched the Pelicans.

On the glass, the Magic allow the fifth-most rebounds per game to opposing small forwards (8.2), per Betting Pros.

Key stat: Porter has cashed this bet in seven of his past nine games, averaging 21.1 points and 6.6 rebounds (27.7 PR) in that span.

Quick picks

DeRozan over 19.5 points (-130): The Sacramento Kings are a team in flux right now, but DeRozan provides a steady scoring presence that is worth backing.

With De’Aaron Fox gone, the Kings are just familiarizing themselves with a Malik Monk-Zach LaVine backcourt. Those players combined to shoot 8-for-24 last night in LaVine’s Sacramento debut.

While the team works out some kinks, DeRozan should be relied upon as a high-floor scoring option.

He’s averaging 24.2 PPG since Jan. 6, cashing this bet in 9/14 games.

In that 14-game span, DeRozan has scored 17+ points every time.

Tonight’s matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is compelling for a midrange fiend like DeRozan. He attempts 40% of his shots from the long midrange area, per Cleaning the Glass, which ranks in the 100th percentile.

Portland allows the second-highest FG% on long midrange shots (46.8%).

Hayes over 6.5 rebounds (-125): Hayes’ days as a starting big are seemingly numbered, as the Lakers acquired Mark Williams on Wednesday night.

Assuming Williams doesn’t suit up right away, Hayes should be back in the five for L.A. tonight with ample opportunities on the glass.

Hayes has six-plus rebounds in five of six games as a starter. He’s cashed this bet in three of those matchups.

Coming off the bench against the Warriors last month, the 7-footer had three boards in just 12 minutes of action.

Golden State allows the third-most rebounds per game to opposing centres (16.3).

Picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 02/06/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 6: Ride Michael Porter Jr.’s hot streak, DeMar DeRozan’s steady production

There are four NBA matchups tipping off at 9 p.m. ET or later tonight, and I’ve got prop bets from three of them.

The pregame narrative: Michael Porter Jr. is blazing hot right now and is worth a look against an Orlando Magic team at the end of a long road trip. Elsewhere, I’m backing overs on DeMar DeRozan and Jaxson Hayes.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 6.

Best NBA prop bets

Best bet: Porter over 24.5 points/rebounds (-121)

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Porter is coming off his two best games of the season, and I’m here to ride the wave.

In consecutive home games against the New Orleans Pelicans, MPJ finished with 36 and 39 points, respectively, while amassing 19 total rebounds and shooting 12-of-21 (57.1%) from 3-point range.

He’ll face a tougher test on Thursday against the Magic, but it makes a difference that this game is at home. Orlando hasn’t displayed its typical defensive tact during its current road swing:

5 games
116.0 defensive rating
114.4 opponent PPG
49.0 opponent FG%

By comparison, here’s what the Magic’s season-long defensive numbers look like: 108.8 defensive rating, 105.5 PPG, 47.3 FG%.

Both teams are playing on a back-to-back, which I believe is a plus for Porter — not just because he’s accustomed to playing at elevation.

Porter has gone over 24.5 points/rebounds in eight of 10 back-to-backs this season. And he should be fully immersed in heat-check mode tonight based on the way he just torched the Pelicans.

On the glass, the Magic allow the fifth-most rebounds per game to opposing small forwards (8.2), per Betting Pros.

Key stat: Porter has cashed this bet in seven of his past nine games, averaging 21.1 points and 6.6 rebounds (27.7 PR) in that span.

Quick picks

DeRozan over 20.5 points (-118): The Sacramento Kings are a team in flux right now, but DeRozan provides a steady scoring presence that is worth backing.

With De’Aaron Fox gone, the Kings are just familiarizing themselves with a Malik Monk-Zach LaVine backcourt. Those players combined to shoot 8-for-24 last night in LaVine’s Sacramento debut.

While the team works out some kinks, DeRozan should be relied upon as a high-floor scoring option.

He’s averaging 24.2 PPG since Jan. 6, cashing this bet in 9/14 games.

In that 14-game span, DeRozan has scored 17+ points every time.

Tonight’s matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is compelling for a midrange fiend like DeRozan. He attempts 40% of his shots from the long midrange area, per Cleaning the Glass, which ranks in the 100th percentile.

Portland allows the second-highest FG% on long midrange shots (46.8%).

Hayes over 6.5 rebounds (-114): Hayes’ days as a starting big are seemingly numbered, as the Lakers acquired Mark Williams on Wednesday night.

Assuming Williams doesn’t suit up right away, Hayes should be back in the five for L.A. tonight with ample opportunities on the glass.

Hayes has six-plus rebounds in five of six games as a starter. He’s cashed this bet in three of those matchups.

Coming off the bench against the Warriors last month, the 7-footer had three boards in just 12 minutes of action.

Golden State allows the third-most rebounds per game to opposing centres (16.3).

Picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 02/06/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 4: Bet on Haliburton, Green and Vucevic to hit overs

With the trade deadline looming, I’m targeting one of the key remaining trade chips in my NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Nikola Vucevic has been hauling in a ton of rebounds lately, and I expect him to continue in a plus matchup on Tuesday. Elsewhere, look for Jalen Green and Tyrese Haliburton to shine from the backcourt.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 4.

Best NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Green 3+ threes (-121)

Green is coming off a rough night as a 3-point shooter (1-for-8). But there are a few reasons why he should continue to let it fly tonight.

Green is on a roll: Despite his poor performance on Monday, Green has been in a groove beyond the arc over the past month. In 16 games from Jan. 3 through Feb. 3, he shot 40.8% from deep and averaged 3.8 makes per game.

Houston needs 3-point shooting: Fred VanVleet (ankle) is considered week-to-week after sustaining an injury on Saturday. VanVleet averages 7.8 attempted 3s per game, which is second on the Rockets behind only Green (8.1).

Brooklyn is a plus matchup: The Nets, who Green will face tonight, allow the second-highest opponent 3PT% (37.5). They also allow the eighth-most 3s to opposing shooting guards (3.6), per Betting Pros.

I won’t let one down night from Green change my outlook on him.

Based on his recent form, VanVleet’s injury and Tuesday’s matchup, there’s a logical recipe here for Green to hit a trio of 3s.

Key stat: Green has cashed three-plus 3s in 11 of his past 16 games.

Quick picks

Haliburton over 27.5 points/assists (-129): This line would’ve seemed curiously low in either of Haliburton’s two previous seasons, but he’s had a bit of a statistical dip in 2024-25.

Even so, I like his chances to hit the over against a team he’s crushed in recent meetings.

Haliburton has breezed past this total in all three games against the Portland Trail Blazers since the start of last season. He averaged 27.3 points and 12.0 assists in those matchups.

In his past 16 games overall, Haliburton has gone over 27.5 PA nine times while shooting 40.0% from beyond the arc.

Portland allows the seventh-most points to opposing point guards (25.0).

Vucevic over 10.5 rebounds (-122): Vucevic’s matchup against the Miami Heat has my attention.

Miami allows the fourth-most rebounds to opposing centres (16.2), as well as the seventh-most rebounds overall.

Vucevic, who might be playing his final game with the Bulls, is positioned to go out on a high note.

He’s averaged 11.3 rebounds over his past 19 games, cashing this bet 14 times in that span.

Picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 02/06/2025.

Kendrick Lamar Super Bowl LIX halftime show props: Odds for first song, total songs and more

For the second time in four years, hip-hop superstar Kendrick Lamar will perform at the Super Bowl halftime show.

The pregame narrative: At Super Bowl 56, Kendrick was one of a handful of artists on the marquee — but at Super Bowl 59, the spotlight is his alone. NorthStar Bets has odds for a handful of prop markets related to Kendrick’s performance, including his first and last songs.

Check out all of our Super Bowl halftime props below.

Super Bowl halftime props

First song

Let’s get an obvious statement out of the way. Kendrick has a lot of boppy, energetic tracks he can open with if he wants to get the crowd jumping.

“Humble” definitely fits that bill and is a reasonable frontrunner in this market. But will Kendrick want to start with a song that asks the crowd to “sit down” in its hook?

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

Song	Odds
Humble	+150
Not Like Us	+300
Squabble Up	+400
King Kunta	+400
A.D.H.D.	+500
DNA	+500
N95	+650
Euphoria	+650
Like That	+650
United in Grief	+650
Swimming Pools	+650
Luther	+650
m.A.A.D. City	+800
Money Trees	+800
Bitch, Don’t Kill My Vibe	+800
TV Off	+800
Gloria	+800

Odds as of 2:30 p.m. on 02/05/25.

It’s been quite a year for Kendrick, who squashed Drake in a multi-diss rap beef last spring before rolling out a critically acclaimed album, “GNX,” in the fall.

If he wants to start with something more current, “Squabble Up” — GNX’s lead single that climbed to No. 1 on Billboard’s Hot 100 in December — is the top choice.

Maybe Kendrick doesn’t want to lean into his newer stuff from the start, though. Remember, this is an artist with three studio albums that peaked at the No. 1 spot in sales.

Click here: Kendrick Lamar halftime betting markets

If you think he’ll reach back into his classics to get the party started, 2015’s “King Kunta” fits the vibe.

For the history buffs, keep in mind that Kendrick’s first song at the Super Bowl 56 halftime show was “m.A.A.D. City,” although his performance came in the middle of the set. And he started with “Euphoria” at The Pop Out: Ken & Friends, his one-night concert in SoCal last summer.

Last song

For anyone looking to bet on Kendrick’s last song, start with this question: How could it not be “Not Like Us”?

The crown jewel of the Drake/Kendrick rap war just earned a five-award sweep at the Grammys:

Song of the Year
Record of the Year
Best Rap Song
Best Rap Performance
Best Music Video

Aside from the biggest Drake stans, this song is sure to get the people going. When “Not Like Us” came on at the Grammys, it evoked something from Taylor Swift that loosely resembled the stanky leg.

Song	Odds
Not Like Us	-134
All the Stars	+175
Humble	+300
Savior	+300
King Kunta	+300
Luther	+500
Family Ties	+500
Love.	+600
TV Off	+650
Like That	+650
Gloria	+650
Squabble Up	+650
Meet the Grahams	+800
Euphoria	+800

Odds as of 2:30 p.m. on 02/05/25.

And let’s not forget that Kendrick ended his Pop Out concert by performing the hit track five times in a row. Seriously … five straight times.

The greatest challenger on the last song prop market is “All the Stars.” That makes sense for a couple of reasons:

SZA, who is featured on the song, is a confirmed guest performer for the halftime show. If she closes out the set with Kendrick, this would be the logical final song.
The starry theme aligns nicely with the Super Bowl. It could make for a nice segue to the game’s second half.
If there are going to be any special effects or pyrotechnics as Kendrick wraps up, this track is arguably the best thematic fit.

Still, though, it’s looking like an uphill battle for any song to outshine “Not Like Us.”

Super Bowl halftime props: Total songs

Most halftime shows fall in a range of 8-to-12 songs. The mid-game break can only be so long, after all.

What it all comes down to is how quickly an artist (or group of artists) is willing to move from one track to the next.

For this prop market, a song is considered to be performed if lyrics are sung for five or more seconds. Instrumental-only tracks do not count.

Song total	Odds
Over 10.5	-112
Under 10.5	-125

Odds as of 2:30 p.m. on 02/05/25.

As mentioned, Kendrick has no shortage of hits to add to his setlist. But how will he balance song quantity versus thoroughness?

According to Setlist.fm, Usher’s performance at Super Bowl 58 last year included 13 songs.

Magic vs. Kings same-game parlay predictions Feb. 5: Fade Sabonis but back the Kings in +450 SGP

The Sacramento Kings, who are trying to figure out life without De’Aaron Fox, host a struggling Orlando Magic squad tonight at Golden 1 Center.

The pregame narrative: Orlando hasn’t won a road game since Jan. 6, and I don’t expect that to change tonight. My +450 SGP includes a Kings moneyline pick, as well as prop bets on Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis and Franz Wagner.

Check out my Magic vs. Kings same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 5.

Magic vs. Kings predictions

Go to full NBA betting markets

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Parlay: Kings ML | Monk 6+ assists | Sabonis under 14.5 rebounds | Wagner 20+ points (+450)

Kings moneyline (-210): I’m not in love with the Kings’ long-term outlook after trading away Fox, but I do think they can kick a Magic squad that is utterly down and out.

Orlando’s past 10 games have been a total disaster:

1-9 SU
1-9 ATS
0-7 on the road
-16.5 net rating (30th in the NBA)
45.5 eFG% (30th in the NBA)

This six-game road swing cannot end soon enough for the Magic, who have to play again in Denver tomorrow night. Yikes.

Sacramento just got back from its own six-game road trip, which concluded with an underdog victory in Minnesota.

The Kings have won seven straight home games, and they should be able to light the beam tonight.

SGP legs

Monk 6+ assists (-235): Even when Fox was playing for the Kings, this was an attainable assist total for Monk. He’s averaging 5.9 assists this season.

Now that Fox is gone, Monk should assume an even greater role as a facilitator. He’s already cashing this bet on nearly a nightly basis.

6+ assists in 15/17 games since Dec. 28
7.5 APG since Dec. 28

Since the calendar flipped to 2025, Monk has led the Kings in potential assists per game (12.2), which accounts for all passes that lead directly to a shot.

If he keeps that up, only half of those potential assists have to convert for this to hit.

Sabonis under 14.5 rebounds (-108): Sabonis is a beast on the glass, I can’t deny that. And he’ll probably secure his third consecutive rebounding title this year.

But when the matchup isn’t right, I’m still going to fade him at a line this high.

Orlando allows the fewest rebounds per game to opposing centres (12.8), per Betting Pros. Part of that is because the team plays at the second-slowest pace in the NBA.

But the Magic also have the 10th-best rebounding rate (50.4%), so it’s not just about their slower style of play.

Sabonis averages 14.3 rebounds and has gone under this total in four of his past five.

Wagner 20+ points (-530): If a leg with this much juice is throwing you off, feel free to skip it. The SGP will come in priced at +325 sans-Franz, but I want Wagner involved to get this thing to +450.

Why?

Because Wagner has 20-plus points in 15 straight games — and 26 of 31 on the season.

His shooting has been atrocious lately, and that hasn’t mattered. His floor is sky-high because the Magic rely on him to shoot a ton.

Wagner is shooting 27.8% from deep (on 7.2 attempts/game) during this 15-game run of 20-point performances. Imagine what’ll happen if he turns that around.

Picks made at 11:30 a.m. ET 02/05/2025

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 5: Bet on De’Aaron Fox in Spurs debut, fade Nikola Jokic

De’Aaron Fox, the San Antonio Spurs’ newest star, is set to make his debut tonight against the Atlanta Hawks.

The pregame narrative: I’ve got a plus-money play on Fox, as well as an under on Nikola Jokic and an over on Walker Kessler.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 5.

Best NBA prop bets

Go to full NBA betting markets

Best bet: Fox over 6.5 assists (+105)

Who else is excited to see some pick-and-roll magic between Fox and Victor Wembanyama tonight?

That was a staple in the Sacramento Kings’ offence with Fox and Domantas Sabonis, and I imagine it’ll be an even sweeter connection for Fox and Wemby. Even if their chemistry doesn’t click immediately, the Spurs’ new point guard now has a 7-foot-4 target to heave to.

Taking the over on 6.5 assists is usually a slight reach for Fox, who averages 6.1 APG. But keep in mind that he played on a Kings squad in which Sabonis (6.5 APG) and Malik Monk (5.9) were both similarly active passers.

Now he comes to a San Antonio squad that has Chris Paul and … not a lot of other facilitators.

Paul (8.2 APG) is the only Spur averaging four-plus assists this year. And he’s listed as questionable on the injury report with with a finger injury.

Fox should see big minutes immediately for the Spurs regardless, and I’m excited to see how he runs this offence. But if Paul is out, I’ll feel particularly good about this play.

Key stat: The Hawks, who Fox is facing tonight, allow the fourth-most assists per game.

Quick picks

Jokic under 27.5 points (-120): Jokic is averaging 29.5 PPG and has a plus matchup against the short-handed New Orleans Pelicans tonight. So why am I fading him against what should be an attainable number?

The main reason is the emerging trend of the big man’s reduced involvement as a scorer. Something shifted a few weeks ago:

Pre-Jan. 12 (32 games): 31.6 PPG, 21.7 FGA, 30.1% usage rate

Jan. 12 onward (12 games): 24.0 PPG, 14.2 FGA, 23.8% usage rate

Could it be that Jokic is trying to pace himself over a long season? Is he ceding more opportunities to Aaron Gordon, who returned in mid-January after multiple injury absences?

Perhaps it’s some combination of both. Regardless, for as efficient as Jokic is, I don’t trust him to shoot enough to hit this over.

Jokic has gone under 27.5 points in eight of his past 12 games, and he’s landed on exactly 28 points twice.

Kessler over 11.5 rebounds (-106): The Utah Jazz are a strong rebounding squad overall, and Kessler is the frontman for the operation.

The 7-foot centre averages 11.5 rebounds (8th in the NBA).

He’s hauled in 12+ rebounds in 11/17 games since Dec. 23, averaging 12.8 RPG in that span.

The Warriors can counter with a 7-footer of their own, but it’s the inexperienced Quinten Post, a two-way player with 11 NBA games under his belt.

Beyond that, Kessler has a height advantage of at least three inches over the rest of the Warriors’ roster.

Given their lack of size, it shouldn’t surprise anyone that the Warriors are a plus matchup for bigs. They allow the fifth-most rebounds to opposing centres (16.2), per Betting Pros.

Kessler had nine boards in 20 minutes against the Warriors in October. He routinely plays 30-plus minutes these days, though, so I expect more.

Picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 02/05/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 5: Bet on De’Aaron Fox in Spurs debut, fade Nikola Jokic

De’Aaron Fox, the San Antonio Spurs’ newest star, is set to make his debut tonight against the Atlanta Hawks.

The pregame narrative: I’ve got a plus-money play on Fox, as well as an under on Nikola Jokic and an over on Walker Kessler.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 5.

Best NBA prop bets

Go to full NBA betting markets

Embed: #108563

Best bet: Fox over 6.5 assists (+105)

Who else is excited to see some pick-and-roll magic between Fox and Victor Wembanyama tonight?

That was a staple in the Sacramento Kings’ offence with Fox and Domantas Sabonis, and I imagine it’ll be an even sweeter connection for Fox and Wemby. Even if their chemistry doesn’t click immediately, the Spurs’ new point guard now has a 7-foot-4 target to heave to.

Taking the over on 6.5 assists is usually a slight reach for Fox, who averages 6.1 APG. But keep in mind that he played on a Kings squad in which Sabonis (6.5 APG) and Malik Monk (5.9) were both similarly active passers.

Now he comes to a San Antonio squad that has Chris Paul and … not a lot of other facilitators.

Paul (8.2 APG) is the only Spur averaging four-plus assists this year. And he’s listed as questionable on the injury report with with a finger injury.

Fox should see big minutes immediately for the Spurs regardless, and I’m excited to see how he runs this offence. But if Paul is out, I’ll feel particularly good about this play.

Key stat: The Hawks, who Fox is facing tonight, allow the fourth-most assists per game.

Quick picks

Jokic under 27.5 points (-110): Jokic is averaging 29.5 PPG and has a plus matchup against the short-handed New Orleans Pelicans tonight. So why am I fading him against what should be an attainable number?

The main reason is the emerging trend of the big man’s reduced involvement as a scorer. Something shifted a few weeks ago:

Pre-Jan. 12 (32 games): 31.6 PPG, 21.7 FGA, 30.1% usage rate

Jan. 12 onward (12 games): 24.0 PPG, 14.2 FGA, 23.8% usage rate

Could it be that Jokic is trying to pace himself over a long season? Is he ceding more opportunities to Aaron Gordon, who returned in mid-January after multiple injury absences?

Perhaps it’s some combination of both. Regardless, for as efficient as Jokic is, I don’t trust him to shoot enough to hit this over.

Jokic has gone under 27.5 points in eight of his past 12 games, and he’s landed on exactly 28 points twice.

Kessler over 11.5 rebounds (-115): The Utah Jazz are a strong rebounding squad overall, and Kessler is the frontman for the operation.

The 7-foot centre averages 11.5 rebounds (8th in the NBA).

He’s hauled in 12+ rebounds in 11/17 games since Dec. 23, averaging 12.8 RPG in that span.

The Warriors can counter with a 7-footer of their own, but it’s the inexperienced Quinten Post, a two-way player with 11 NBA games under his belt.

Beyond that, Kessler has a height advantage of at least three inches over the rest of the Warriors’ roster.

Given their lack of size, it shouldn’t surprise anyone that the Warriors are a plus matchup for bigs. They allow the fifth-most rebounds to opposing centres (16.2), per Betting Pros.

Kessler had nine boards in 20 minutes against the Warriors in October. He routinely plays 30-plus minutes these days, though, so I expect more.

Picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 02/05/2025.