Kendrick Lamar Super Bowl LIX halftime show props: Odds for first song, total songs and more

Super Bowl halftime props

For the second time in four years, hip-hop superstar Kendrick Lamar will perform at the Super Bowl halftime show.

The pregame narrative: At Super Bowl 56, Kendrick was one of a handful of artists on the marquee — but at Super Bowl 59, the spotlight is his alone. NorthStar Bets has odds for a handful of prop markets related to Kendrick’s performance, including his first and last songs.

Check out all of our Super Bowl halftime props below.

Super Bowl halftime props

First song

Let’s get an obvious statement out of the way. Kendrick has a lot of boppy, energetic tracks he can open with if he wants to get the crowd jumping.

“Humble” definitely fits that bill and is a reasonable frontrunner in this market. But will Kendrick want to start with a song that asks the crowd to “sit down” in its hook?

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

SongOdds
Humble+150
Not Like Us+300
Squabble Up+400
King Kunta+400
A.D.H.D.+500
DNA+500
N95+650
Euphoria+650
Like That+650
United in Grief+650
Swimming Pools+650
Luther+650
m.A.A.D. City+800
Money Trees+800
Bitch, Don’t Kill My Vibe+800
TV Off+800
Gloria+800

Odds as of 2:30 p.m. on 02/05/25.

It’s been quite a year for Kendrick, who squashed Drake in a multi-diss rap beef last spring before rolling out a critically acclaimed album, “GNX,” in the fall.

If he wants to start with something more current, “Squabble Up” — GNX’s lead single that climbed to No. 1 on Billboard’s Hot 100 in December — is the top choice.

Maybe Kendrick doesn’t want to lean into his newer stuff from the start, though. Remember, this is an artist with three studio albums that peaked at the No. 1 spot in sales.

Click here: Kendrick Lamar halftime betting markets

If you think he’ll reach back into his classics to get the party started, 2015’s “King Kunta” fits the vibe.

For the history buffs, keep in mind that Kendrick’s first song at the Super Bowl 56 halftime show was “m.A.A.D. City,” although his performance came in the middle of the set. And he started with “Euphoria” at The Pop Out: Ken & Friends, his one-night concert in SoCal last summer.

Last song

For anyone looking to bet on Kendrick’s last song, start with this question: How could it not be “Not Like Us”?

The crown jewel of the Drake/Kendrick rap war just earned a five-award sweep at the Grammys:

  • Song of the Year
  • Record of the Year
  • Best Rap Song
  • Best Rap Performance
  • Best Music Video

Aside from the biggest Drake stans, this song is sure to get the people going. When “Not Like Us” came on at the Grammys, it evoked something from Taylor Swift that loosely resembled the stanky leg.

SongOdds
Not Like Us-134
All the Stars+175
Humble+300
Savior+300
King Kunta+300
Luther+500
Family Ties+500
Love.+600
TV Off+650
Like That+650
Gloria+650
Squabble Up+650
Meet the Grahams+800
Euphoria+800

Odds as of 2:30 p.m. on 02/05/25.

And let’s not forget that Kendrick ended his Pop Out concert by performing the hit track five times in a row. Seriously … five straight times.

The greatest challenger on the last song prop market is “All the Stars.” That makes sense for a couple of reasons:

  1. SZA, who is featured on the song, is a confirmed guest performer for the halftime show. If she closes out the set with Kendrick, this would be the logical final song.
  2. The starry theme aligns nicely with the Super Bowl. It could make for a nice segue to the game’s second half.
  3. If there are going to be any special effects or pyrotechnics as Kendrick wraps up, this track is arguably the best thematic fit.

Still, though, it’s looking like an uphill battle for any song to outshine “Not Like Us.”

Super Bowl halftime props: Total songs

Most halftime shows fall in a range of 8-to-12 songs. The mid-game break can only be so long, after all.

What it all comes down to is how quickly an artist (or group of artists) is willing to move from one track to the next.

For this prop market, a song is considered to be performed if lyrics are sung for five or more seconds. Instrumental-only tracks do not count.

Song totalOdds
Over 10.5-112
Under 10.5-125

Odds as of 2:30 p.m. on 02/05/25.

As mentioned, Kendrick has no shortage of hits to add to his setlist. But how will he balance song quantity versus thoroughness?

According to Setlist.fm, Usher’s performance at Super Bowl 58 last year included 13 songs.

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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.