Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

Super Bowl 59 prop picks: Expect Kareem Hunt to lead Chiefs’ backfield

I expect big things from Kareem Hunt, and he’s featured in my favourite prop bet for Super Bowl 59. I’m also zagging against popular opinion and fading Travis Kelce.

The pregame narrative: Kelce is coming off a quiet game and draws a rough matchup, while Hunt’s situation is just the opposite. Additionally, I like Jalen Hurts to clear a fairly modest passing yards total.

Check out my Super Bowl prop picks below for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles matchup.

Super Bowl prop picks

Best bet: Hunt over 45.5 rushing yards (-118)

When Isiah Pacheco went down early in the season, Hunt stepped in as a free agent and handled a hefty workload for the Chiefs.

Upon Pacheco’s return in Week 13, I expected KC to deploy a timeshare that eventually shifted into Pacheco’s favour.

That really hasn’t been the case in the postseason, though, as Hunt has held a notable usage advantage:

Hunt: 53.0% snaps, 25 carries, 2 targets

Pacheco: 29.9% snaps, 10 carries, 3 targets

Hunt had 17 carries for 64 yards and a touchdown in the AFC title game, marking his highest carry count since Week 9. He’s also scored in four straight games.

Why deviate from the hot hand?

If Hunt retains his RB1 role, this yardage total should be well within reach. Especially since the Eagles’ stout pass defence might force the Chiefs to deploy a more run-heavy approach than usual.

Philadelphia has allowed the fewest pass yards per attempt (5.5) and the lowest success rate per dropback (41.5%), per rbsdm.com.

Look for Hunt to clear this yardage total for a third time in five games.

Key stat: Hunt had twice as many snaps — and more than three times as many carries — as Pacheco in the AFC championship.

Quick picks

Kelce under 62.5 receiving yards (-118): Kelce has 70-plus receiving yards in 14 of his past 15 playoff games … so who do I think I am fading him on the NFL’s biggest stage?

Well, Kelce was used only sparingly in the Chiefs’ AFC championship win against Buffalo (four targets, two catches, 19 yards). And now he draws a daunting matchup against Philadelphia.

The Eagles allowed the fewest yards to opposing tight ends during the regular season (34.8/game).

In 20 total games, only three TEs have gone over 61.5 receiving yards vs. the Eagles.

Kelce, 35, is declining gracefully, but he’s still declining. I know he’ll command plenty of attention from the Eagles on Sunday, but I expect them to keep the clamps on him.

Kelce averaged a career-low 51.4 receiving yards per game during the regular season.

Hurts over 214.5 passing yards (-120): Hurts doesn’t often get to air it out for the Eagles, but he showed how successful he can be as a passer in the NFC title game.

The two-time Pro Bowler completed 20-of-28 passes for 246 yards and two TDs against the Commanders. He joked afterward that the pass-happy attack had “let (him) out of (his) straitjacket a little bit.”

No team runs the ball as often as the Eagles, who have a 55.9% run play percentage this season, per Team Rankings.

But the Chiefs are a better defence against the run than they are against the pass, so Hurts might get out of that run-heavy straitjacket once more. KC’s defence ranks ninth in yards per rush (4.2) and 16th in yards per pass (6.6).

In Super Bowl 57, Hurts torched the Chiefs for 304 yards and a 103.4 QB rating.

NFL picks made at 2:05 p.m. on 02/04/25.

Super Bowl 59 prop picks: Expect Kareem Hunt to lead Chiefs’ backfield

I expect big things from Kareem Hunt, and he’s featured in my favourite prop bet for Super Bowl 59. I’m also zagging against popular opinion and fading Travis Kelce.

The pregame narrative: Kelce is coming off a quiet game and draws a rough matchup, while Hunt’s situation is just the opposite. Additionally, I like Jalen Hurts to clear a fairly modest passing yards total.

Check out my Super Bowl prop picks below for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles matchup.

Super Bowl prop picks

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Best bet: Hunt over 43.5 rushing yards (-115)

When Isiah Pacheco went down early in the season, Hunt stepped in as a free agent and handled a hefty workload for the Chiefs.

Upon Pacheco’s return in Week 13, I expected KC to deploy a timeshare that eventually shifted into Pacheco’s favour.

That really hasn’t been the case in the postseason, though, as Hunt has held a notable usage advantage:

Hunt: 53.0% snaps, 25 carries, 2 targets

Pacheco: 29.9% snaps, 10 carries, 3 targets

Hunt had 17 carries for 64 yards and a touchdown in the AFC title game, marking his highest carry count since Week 9. He’s also scored in four straight games.

Why deviate from the hot hand?

If Hunt retains his RB1 role, this yardage total should be well within reach. Especially since the Eagles’ stout pass defence might force the Chiefs to deploy a more run-heavy approach than usual.

Philadelphia has allowed the fewest pass yards per attempt (5.5) and the lowest success rate per dropback (41.5%), per rbsdm.com.

Look for Hunt to clear this yardage total for a fifth time in six games.

Key stat: Hunt had twice as many snaps — and more than three times as many carries — as Pacheco in the AFC championship.

Quick picks

Kelce under 61.5 receiving yards (-113): Kelce has 70-plus receiving yards in 14 of his past 15 playoff games … so who do I think I am fading him on the NFL’s biggest stage?

Well, Kelce was used only sparingly in the Chiefs’ AFC championship win against Buffalo (four targets, two catches, 19 yards). And now he draws a daunting matchup against Philadelphia.

The Eagles allowed the fewest yards to opposing tight ends during the regular season (34.8/game).

In 20 total games, only three TEs have gone over 61.5 receiving yards vs. the Eagles.

Kelce, 35, is declining gracefully, but he’s still declining. I know he’ll command plenty of attention from the Eagles on Sunday, but I expect them to keep the clamps on him.

Kelce averaged a career-low 51.4 receiving yards per game during the regular season.

Hurts over 199.5 passing yards (-117): Hurts doesn’t often get to air it out for the Eagles, but he showed how successful he can be as a passer in the NFC title game.

The two-time Pro Bowler completed 20-of-28 passes for 246 yards and two TDs against the Commanders. He joked afterward that the pass-happy attack had “let (him) out of (his) straitjacket a little bit.”

No team runs the ball as often as the Eagles, who have a 55.9% run play percentage this season, per Team Rankings.

But the Chiefs are a better defence against the run than they are against the pass, so Hurts might get out of that run-heavy straitjacket once more. KC’s defence ranks ninth in yards per rush (4.2) and 16th in yards per pass (6.6).

In Super Bowl 57, Hurts torched the Chiefs for 304 yards and a 103.4 QB rating.

NFL picks made at 1:25 p.m. on 02/04/25.

Lakers vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 4: Bet on LeBron to score, Clips to cover

It’s an all-L.A. showdown on Tuesday at Intuit Dome, where the Clippers host the Lakers.

The pregame narrative: The Lakers made a trade of seismic proportions over the weekend, and that’s a key reason why I’m backing Ivica Zubac and LeBron James on the prop market tonight. I also expect the Clippers to win by at least a handful of points.

Check out my Lakers vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 4.

Lakers vs. Clippers predictions

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Parlay: Clippers -5.5 | Zubac over 26.5 points/rebounds | LeBron 25+ points (+360)

Clippers -5.5 (-200): For the first time in decades, the Clippers have a legitimate home-court advantage.

After playing second-fiddle to the Lakers at Crypto.com Arena (formerly Staples Center), the Clips have moved to greener pastures at Intuit Dome.

It’s only 40 minutes down the road, but it makes a world of difference.

Inside their new venue, the Clips are 17-8 with a +8.0 net rating. Their 18-7 ATS record at home is the best in the NBA.

Just over two weeks ago, the Clippers hosted the Lakers for the first time at Intuit Dome, and the hosts came away with a 116-102 win.

The Clips’ average margin of victory at home this year is +7.8 points.

SGP legs

Zubac over 26.5 points/rebounds (-130): If you’ve paid attention to any NBA murmurs, you know that Anthony Davis is no longer a Laker. That makes Zubac a really, really compelling piece of tonight’s matchup.

In fairness, Zubac has already shown he can feast against the Lakers with AD on the court.

In their Jan. 19 matchup, Zubac had 21 points and 19 rebounds, marking his third time cashing this bet in the past four all-L.A. matchups.

But now, with AD’s rim protection and rebounding prowess out the door, Zubac looks even more promising.

In his past 13 games, Zubac has averaged 16.1 points and 13.4 rebounds.

LeBron 25+ points (-177): With AD gone and Luka Doncic not yet ready for his Laker debut, LeBron should have the green light to be L.A.’s primary scoring option.

In five games without Davis this year, LeBron has averaged 32.6 PPG and cashed this bet four times.

LeBron has 25+ points in 13/25 games since Dec. 1.

In January, LeBron scored 25 points on the nose against the Clippers. He now has cashed this bet in seven straight games against them.

Picks made at 11:30 a.m. ET 02/04/2025

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 4: Bet on Green and Vucevic to hit overs

With the trade deadline looming, I’m targeting one of the key remaining trade chips in my NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Nikola Vucevic has been hauling in a ton of rebounds lately, and I expect him to continue in a plus matchup on Tuesday. Elsewhere, look for Jalen Green to shine from the backcourt.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 4.

Best NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Green 3+ threes (-143)

Green is coming off a rough night as a 3-point shooter (1-for-8). But there are a few reasons why he should continue to let it fly tonight.

Green is on a roll: Despite his poor performance on Monday, Green has been in a groove beyond the arc over the past month. In 16 games from Jan. 3 through Feb. 3, he shot 40.8% from deep and averaged 3.8 makes per game.

Houston needs 3-point shooting: Fred VanVleet (ankle) is considered week-to-week after sustaining an injury on Saturday. VanVleet averages 7.8 attempted 3s per game, which is second on the Rockets behind only Green (8.1).

Brooklyn is a plus matchup: The Nets, who Green will face tonight, allow the second-highest opponent 3PT% (37.5). They also allow the eighth-most 3s to opposing shooting guards (3.6), per Betting Pros.

I won’t let one down night from Green change my outlook on him.

Based on his recent form, VanVleet’s injury and Tuesday’s matchup, there’s a logical recipe here for Green to hit a trio of 3s.

Key stat: Green has cashed three-plus 3s in 11 of his past 16 games.

Quick pick

Vucevic over 10.5 rebounds (-130): Vucevic’s matchup against the Miami Heat has my attention.

Miami allows the fourth-most rebounds to opposing centres (16.2), as well as the seventh-most rebounds overall.

Vucevic, who might be playing his final game with the Bulls, is positioned to go out on a high note.

He’s averaged 11.3 rebounds over his past 19 games, cashing this bet 14 times in that span.

Picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 02/04/2025.

Suns vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 1: Bet on Ayton, Portland staying hot

The Portland Trail Blazers put a scorching stretch on the line tonight with the Phoenix Suns in town.

The pregame narrative: Portland has been stacking one upset win after another and finds itself as a home underdog on Saturday night. I’m not calling for an upset, but I’ll take the Blazers with points to go with prop bets on Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton in a +305 SGP.

Check out my Suns vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 1.

Suns vs. Trail Blazers predictions

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Embed: #108249

Parlay: Trail Blazers +7.5 | Booker 25+ points | Ayton double-double (+305)

Trail Blazers +7.5 (-205): Portland is enjoying its best stretch of the season, and although that bar is low, you have to hand it to this team for showing some fight.

Though they’re nowhere near a playoff spot, the Blazers (19-29) have rattled off seven straight ATS victories.

Better yet, they’re 6-1 SU in their past seven … and all of those wins came as underdogs.

Portland has covered this number in both matchups against Phoenix this season, and the Blazers have the rest advantage tonight over a Suns team that played in San Francisco on Friday.

Phoenix is a disastrous 2-10-1 ATS with a rest disadvantage this year, per Team Rankings.

Other SGP legs

Booker 25+ points (-182): I had this same pick in a Suns/Warriors SGP last night, and Booker breezed past this number. He’s a good bet to score 25-plus points on any given night.

Booker is averaging 25.7 PPG.

He has 25+ points in 24/42 games (57.1%).

Against the Blazers, he has 25+ points in five of his past six games (including both matchups this year).

Though the Suns played just last night, Booker isn’t a guy to worry about on zero rest. He’s cashed this bet in four straight back-to-backs, hitting the 30-point milestone in three of those.

Ayton double-double (-124): Ayton has six double-doubles in his past 10 games, averaging 14.1 points and 10.8 rebounds in that span. And the Suns are a good matchup for him to stuff the stat sheet again.

Against opposing centres, Phoenix allows …

4th-most points (24.9)
9th-most rebounds (15.8)

The Blazers don’t have anybody averaging 20-plus points. Ayton, who leads the team in rebounds (10.2/game), is one of six players averaging a dozen points or more.

Though he’s unlikely to explode for a huge scoring performance, Ayton is always a good bet to hit the double-digit mark (he has 10-plus points in 28 of 34 games).

And given that Phoenix isn’t the sharpest on the glass, I think a double-double is in reach for the ex-Sun tonight.

Picks made at 2:30 p.m. on 02/01/25.

North Carolina vs. Duke college basketball SGP predictions: Bet on Cooper Flagg, Blue Devils to cruise

The greatest rivalry in college basketball pens another chapter on Saturday night as the Duke Blue Devils host the North Carolina Tar Heels.

The pregame narrative: Saturday marks the 262nd meeting between these schools, and though UNC holds the upper hand overall, Duke is the program with greater hopes this season. I like No. 2 Duke to win comfortably at home, while R.J. Davis and Cooper Flagg should shine for their respective teams.

Check out my North Carolina vs. Duke same-game parlay predictions for the men’s college basketball matchup on Feb. 1.

North Carolina vs. Duke predictions

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Parlay: Duke -9.5 | Davis 15+ points | Flagg 6+ rebounds (+275)

Duke -9.5 (-205): Cameron Indoor Stadium is a bucket list destination for me. But if I was a Tar Heel, it’s the last place I’d want to be on Saturday night.

In addition to a hostile crowd, UNC will have to put up with a Duke squad that has been rolling for months.

Duke owns the nation’s longest active win streak (14 games).

The Blue Devils have won 15/20 games by 10+ points.

The Blue Devils have won 10/12 home games by 10+ points.

North Carolina is coming in licking its wounds, with three losses in its past four games. The lone victory in that stretch came at home — in overtime — against woeful Boston College.

The Tar Heels are 2-4-1 ATS as underdogs this year and 7-14-1 ATS overall. Rivalry games can get weird, but I think it’s more likely that this one gets ugly.

Other parlay picks

Davis 15+ points (-182): UNC’s hopes at an upset rest in the hands of Davis, the fifth-year point guard who is 3-1 in his career at Cameron Indoor. And though I don’t think he can guide his team to a win, I do expect him to fill the net.

The Tar Heels’ offence is unlikely to get much going from the interior, given that the Blue Devils have the tallest team in Division I and allow the second-lowest 2PT% (41.0).

Davis leads his school in scoring (17.6 PPG) and 3-point attempts (6.9/game). He’s going to have to make something happen from the outside.

Last year’s Atlantic Coast Conference leading scorer has cashed this bet in 45 of 59 games (76.3%) since the start of the 2023-24 season.

Flagg 6+ rebounds (-345): While Davis’ time in the Duke/UNC rivalry is coming to an end, Flagg’s experience is just beginning.

It won’t last long, given that Flagg is widely expected to be the No. 1 pick in this year’s NBA draft. But until then, he has an opportunity to make his mark against Duke’s most bitter rivals.

Flagg has 6+ rebounds in 16/20 games.

He’s averaging 8.0 RPG in his true freshman season.

UNC’s starting centre, Jalen Washington, missed last game with a knee injury and is questionable for Saturday. If he’s out or even limited, that helps Flagg.

Furthermore, the Tar Heels rank 249th in offensive rebounding rate (27.9%), per KenPom, so Flagg should have his way on the defensive side of things.

Picks made at 12:55 p.m. ET on 02/01/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 1: Edwards and Monk should build off strong January results

I’m targeting overs on Anthony Edwards and Malik Monk for Saturday’s NBA action.

The pregame narrative: Both hoopers are coming off a great month and are at least worth a look as the calendar flips to February. In Edwards’ case, the sky should be the limit in an ideal matchup.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 1.

Best NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Anthony Edwards over 29.5 points (-118)

January was a remarkable month for Edwards, and I expect him to continue rolling from the outset in February.

Last month, the all-star shooting guard averaged 30.3 points while shooting 43.9% from 3-point range. Minnesota is now riding a five-game win streak, which matches the longest active streak in the NBA.

Anthony Edwards in January:
30.3 ppg
.457 FG/.439 3s
5.8r, 5.8a
First player in Wolves history to average 30, 5.5, 5.5 in a calendar month
— Jon Krawczynski (@JonKrawczynski) January 31, 2025

Edwards and the T-Wolves should keep the good times rolling tonight against the Wizards, who are the laughingstock of the league.

Washington has lost 16 in a row dating back to Jan. 3, and the team allows the most points per game (122.2).

Also, the Wizards allow the fourth-most PPG to opposing shooting guards, per Betting Pros.

There’s plenty of blowout potential in this matchup — Minnesota is a 16-point home favourite — but I’m not overly concerned. Edwards has played 30-plus minutes in 44 of 48 games this year, so it’s not like the T-Wolves have made a habit of pulling him in lopsided matchups.

And if it does turn into a rout, Edwards should be the main reason why.

Key stat: Edwards has 30-plus points in nine of his past 15 games.

Quick pick

Monk over 18.5 points (-125): The Kings have three players averaging at least 20 points, and Monk isn’t one of them.

But he was heavily involved in January, and that might be a sign of things to come on a team that’s reaching a crossroads.

The NBA trade deadline looms on Thursday, and Sacramento guard De’Aaron Fox is among the top names being discussed. If Fox is moved, Monk would certainly be expected to take on a greater role.

So maybe he’s just getting a bit of a head start.

In 13 games last month, Monk averaged 22.5 points on 17.5 field goal attempts. He cashed this bet 10 times.

Picks made at 12:50 p.m. ET on 02/01/2025.

Lakers vs. Knicks prop picks Feb. 1: Fade Reaves, ride with Christie

Saturday night’s marquee NBA matchup features the Los Angeles Lakers and New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden.

The pregame narrative: Most of my focus is on the Lakers’ backcourt, as I’m looking to fade Austin Reaves and take the over on a Max Christie prop. As for the Knicks, look for Karl-Anthony Towns to be a menace on the glass.

Check out my Lakers vs. Knicks prop picks for Feb. 1.

Lakers vs. Knicks prop picks

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Embed: #108218

Best bet: Reaves under 20.5 points (-104)

Reaves is a solid player who chips in on a nightly basis as a scorer, rebounder and passer. But in a less-than-favourable matchup, I think this line is a bit too high.

The Knicks, who sit in third in the Eastern Conference, are far from the best defensive team in the league. But they’re solid:

8th in points allowed/game (110.8)
13th in defensive rating (112.7)

Contrast that with the Washington Wizards, who Reaves saw two nights ago. The Wizards are dead-last in both opponent PPG and defensive rating … but the L.A. guard hardly capitalized. He had 17 points in 30 minutes.

Again, Reaves is a solid player, and he’s not slumping right now.

But for a guy averaging 18.2 PPG on the season, I don’t see a likely path to him going over 20.5 points on Saturday. Especially since he’s accomplished less against lesser competition in recent matchups.

So far on this East Coast swing, Reaves has 17 or fewer points against all three opponents: the Wizards, 76ers and Hornets.

Key stat: Reaves has gone under 20.5 points in 11 of his past 14 games — including six of seven road games.

Quick picks

Christie 2+ threes (-137): Part of my reasoning to fade Reaves tonight is that Christie has commandeered some of the 3-point looks that might otherwise go Reaves’ way.

Look at how Christie’s involvement with the Lakers took off last month:

Pre-January (31 games): 22.0 minutes, 7.1 PPG, 2.6 3PA

January (14 games): 31.4 minutes, 11.0 PPG, 5.6 3PA

The third-year guard more than doubled his 3-point shot volume last month and cashed in at a 39.2% clip.

Christie has gone over 1.5 threes in eight of his past 10 games. Now he faces a Knicks squad that allows the highest 3PT% in the league (37.7).

Towns 14+ rebounds (-118): This is one of my three favourite prop bets from around the league on Saturday, as I wrote about here.

Towns’ shooting numbers have taken a hit since his return from a thumb injury. He’s averaging 18.8 points while shooting 16.7% from 3-point range in his past five games.

Fortunately for him, tonight’s matchup looks like a good time to hang out around the rim and get paid as a board man.

Anthony Davis is out for the Lakers, which means KAT will primarily duke it out down low with Jaxson Hayes. Towns has nearly 30 pounds on Hayes, which should help.

Keep in mind that Towns averages 13.7 rebounds as it is, so this line is reasonable on an average night. In January, the Knicks’ centre averaged 14.4 RPG in 12 games.

Picks made at 10:27 a.m. ET 02/01/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 1: Edwards, Monk and Towns should build off strong January results

I’m targeting overs on Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns and Malik Monk for Saturday’s NBA action.

The pregame narrative: All three hoopers are coming off a great month and are worth at least a look as the calendar flips to February. In Edwards’ case, the sky should be the limit in an ideal matchup.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 1.

Best NBA prop bets

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Embed: #108214

Best bet: Anthony Edwards 30+ points (-113)

January was a remarkable month for Edwards, and I expect him to continue rolling from the outset in February.

Last month, the all-star shooting guard averaged 30.3 points while shooting 43.9% from 3-point range. Minnesota is now riding a five-game win streak, which matches the longest active streak in the NBA.

Anthony Edwards in January:
30.3 ppg
.457 FG/.439 3s
5.8r, 5.8a
First player in Wolves history to average 30, 5.5, 5.5 in a calendar month
— Jon Krawczynski (@JonKrawczynski) January 31, 2025

Edwards and the T-Wolves should keep the good times rolling tonight against the Wizards, who are the laughingstock of the league.

Washington has lost 16 in a row dating back to Jan. 3, and the team allows the most points per game (122.2).

Also, the Wizards allow the fourth-most PPG to opposing shooting guards, per Betting Pros.

There’s plenty of blowout potential in this matchup — Minnesota is a 16-point home favourite — but I’m not overly concerned. Edwards has played 30-plus minutes in 44 of 48 games this year, so it’s not like the T-Wolves have made a habit of pulling him in lopsided matchups.

And if it does turn into a rout, Edwards should be the main reason why.

Key stat: Edwards has 30-plus points in nine of his past 15 games.

Quick picks

Monk 20+ points (-103): The Kings have three players averaging at least 20 points, and Monk isn’t one of them.

But he was heavily involved in January, and that might be a sign of things to come on a team that’s reaching a crossroads.

The NBA trade deadline looms on Thursday, and Sacramento guard De’Aaron Fox is among the top names being discussed. If Fox is moved, Monk would certainly be expected to take on a greater role.

So maybe he’s just getting a bit of a head start.

In 13 games last month, Monk averaged 22.5 points on 17.5 field goal attempts. He cashed this bet 10 times.

Towns 14+ rebounds (-118): A couple of weeks ago, Towns suffered a thumb injury and missed a couple of matchups. He’s played five games since then, but his shooting hasn’t returned to form:

18.8 PPG
45.8 FG%
16.7 3PT%

Keep in mind that Towns is averaging 24.6 PPG this season on 54.0% shooting (42.4% from deep).

A five-game sample isn’t enough to cause alarm, but it might be best for Towns to hang closer to the basket tonight. And with Anthony Davis ruled out for the Lakers on the other side, it makes even more sense.

Without Davis, the Lakers will likely roll with Jaxson Hayes at centre. Towns, who averages 13.7 RPG as it is, has almost 30 pounds on Hayes.

In January, Towns averaged 14.4 rebounds in 12 games. This is an attainable number for him, especially under the circumstances.

Picks made at 9:15 a.m. ET on 02/01/2025.

Saquon Barkley Super Bowl best bet: Take the over on Barkley’s longest rush vs. Chiefs

What’s the single greatest difference between this year’s Philadelphia Eagles and the squad that lost to the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl two years ago? The presence of Saquon Barkley.

The pregame narrative: Barkley, who topped 2,000 rushing yards this year, is the centrepiece of Philly’s run-first attack. He’s had a fantastic playoff run so far and should cause fits for the Chiefs in the Big Game.

Check out our Saquon Barkley best bet and predictions for Super Bowl 59 on Feb. 9 in New Orleans.

Saquon Barkley best bet

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

Barkley prop markets	Betting odds
Over 111.5 rush yards	-114
Under 111.5 rush yards	-114
130+ rush yards	+165
150+ rush yards	+340
Longest rush – Over 24.5 yards	-125
Longest rush – Under 24.5 yards	-105
Over 12.5 receiving yards	-113
Under 12.5 receiving yards	-115
Over 1.5 receptions	-195
Under 1.5 receptions	+148
Over 21.5 rush attempts	-103
Under 21.5 rush attempts	-129
Over 127.5 rushing/receiving yards	-113
Under 127.5 rushing/receiving yards	-115
Anytime TD	-220
2+ TDs	+290

NFL odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET on 01/31/2024.

Best Barkley prop pick vs. Chiefs

Best Bet: Barkley longest rush – Over 24.5 yards (-125)

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I took the over on Barkley’s longest rush in the NFC championship (23.5 yards), and he cashed the bet on his very first touch.

Barkley has the vision to manoeuvre around defenders, the strength to bounce off them and the speed to run right by them. Exhibit A:

https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1883610699072774476

That’s now back-to-back games where Barkley has busted a run of 40-plus yards.

His past 10 games have been a sight to behold:

13 carries of 20+ yards
1+ carries of 25+ yards in 6/10
6.1 yards/carry

Barkley only had 15 carries last week, but that’s partially because he turned a few of them into massive gains (and partially because the Eagles won in blowout fashion).

The first-year Eagle has had 20-plus carries in 12 of 19 games, and a similar workload should await him in Super Bowl 59.

Barkley is dangerous whenever he touches the ball. If he gets 20 or more opportunities, I really like his chances of turning one of them into a massive gain.

Key stat: During the regular season, Barkley averaged 3.8 yards per rush before contact (No. 1 in the NFL), per Fantasy Pros.