I’m targeting overs on Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns and Malik Monk for Saturday’s NBA action.
The pregame narrative: All three hoopers are coming off a great month and are worth at least a look as the calendar flips to February. In Edwards’ case, the sky should be the limit in an ideal matchup.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 1.
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Best bet: Anthony Edwards 30+ points (-113)
January was a remarkable month for Edwards, and I expect him to continue rolling from the outset in February.
Last month, the all-star shooting guard averaged 30.3 points while shooting 43.9% from 3-point range. Minnesota is now riding a five-game win streak, which matches the longest active streak in the NBA.
Edwards and the T-Wolves should keep the good times rolling tonight against the Wizards, who are the laughingstock of the league.
Washington has lost 16 in a row dating back to Jan. 3, and the team allows the most points per game (122.2).
Also, the Wizards allow the fourth-most PPG to opposing shooting guards, per Betting Pros.
There’s plenty of blowout potential in this matchup — Minnesota is a 16-point home favourite — but I’m not overly concerned. Edwards has played 30-plus minutes in 44 of 48 games this year, so it’s not like the T-Wolves have made a habit of pulling him in lopsided matchups.
And if it does turn into a rout, Edwards should be the main reason why.
Key stat: Edwards has 30-plus points in nine of his past 15 games.
Quick picks
Monk 20+ points (-103): The Kings have three players averaging at least 20 points, and Monk isn’t one of them.
But he was heavily involved in January, and that might be a sign of things to come on a team that’s reaching a crossroads.
The NBA trade deadline looms on Thursday, and Sacramento guard De’Aaron Fox is among the top names being discussed. If Fox is moved, Monk would certainly be expected to take on a greater role.
So maybe he’s just getting a bit of a head start.
In 13 games last month, Monk averaged 22.5 points on 17.5 field goal attempts. He cashed this bet 10 times.
Towns 14+ rebounds (-118): A couple of weeks ago, Towns suffered a thumb injury and missed a couple of matchups. He’s played five games since then, but his shooting hasn’t returned to form:
- 18.8 PPG
- 45.8 FG%
- 16.7 3PT%
Keep in mind that Towns is averaging 24.6 PPG this season on 54.0% shooting (42.4% from deep).
A five-game sample isn’t enough to cause alarm, but it might be best for Towns to hang closer to the basket tonight. And with Anthony Davis ruled out for the Lakers on the other side, it makes even more sense.
Without Davis, the Lakers will likely roll with Jaxson Hayes at centre. Towns, who averages 13.7 RPG as it is, has almost 30 pounds on Hayes.
In January, Towns averaged 14.4 rebounds in 12 games. This is an attainable number for him, especially under the circumstances.
Picks made at 9:15 a.m. ET on 02/01/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.