Saquon Barkley Super Bowl best bet: Take the over on Barkley’s longest rush vs. Chiefs

Saquon Barkley best bet

What’s the single greatest difference between this year’s Philadelphia Eagles and the squad that lost to the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl two years ago? The presence of Saquon Barkley.

The pregame narrative: Barkley, who topped 2,000 rushing yards this year, is the centrepiece of Philly’s run-first attack. He’s had a fantastic playoff run so far and should cause fits for the Chiefs in the Big Game.

Check out our Saquon Barkley best bet and predictions for Super Bowl 59 on Feb. 9 in New Orleans.

Saquon Barkley best bet

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

Barkley prop marketsBetting odds
Over 111.5 rush yards-114
Under 111.5 rush yards-114
130+ rush yards+165
150+ rush yards+340
Longest rush – Over 24.5 yards-125
Longest rush – Under 24.5 yards-105
Over 12.5 receiving yards-113
Under 12.5 receiving yards-115
Over 1.5 receptions-195
Under 1.5 receptions+148
Over 21.5 rush attempts-103
Under 21.5 rush attempts-129
Over 127.5 rushing/receiving yards-113
Under 127.5 rushing/receiving yards-115
Anytime TD-220
2+ TDs+290

NFL odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET on 01/31/2024.

Best Barkley prop pick vs. Chiefs

Best Bet: Barkley longest rush – Over 24.5 yards (-125)

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I took the over on Barkley’s longest rush in the NFC championship (23.5 yards), and he cashed the bet on his very first touch.

Barkley has the vision to manoeuvre around defenders, the strength to bounce off them and the speed to run right by them. Exhibit A:

https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1883610699072774476

That’s now back-to-back games where Barkley has busted a run of 40-plus yards.

His past 10 games have been a sight to behold:

  • 13 carries of 20+ yards
  • 1+ carries of 25+ yards in 6/10
  • 6.1 yards/carry

Barkley only had 15 carries last week, but that’s partially because he turned a few of them into massive gains (and partially because the Eagles won in blowout fashion).

The first-year Eagle has had 20-plus carries in 12 of 19 games, and a similar workload should await him in Super Bowl 59.

Barkley is dangerous whenever he touches the ball. If he gets 20 or more opportunities, I really like his chances of turning one of them into a massive gain.

Key stat: During the regular season, Barkley averaged 3.8 yards per rush before contact (No. 1 in the NFL), per Fantasy Pros.

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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.