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Best NBA prop bets March 12: Expect big nights from stars Ja Morant, Kevin Durant and Tyler Herro

Ja Morant and Kevin Durant headline tonight’s top prop picks for Wednesday’s nine-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Both Western Conference stars are playing high-end ball and I expect that to continue. I also have a play on Miami Heat sharpshooter Tyler Herro.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 12.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Morant over 26.5 points (-112)

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This is a hefty number but Morant is on fire ahead of tonight’s matchup.

Morant has been slowed by injuries once again this season, and it shows in his scoring average: 21.7 points per game.

But he sure looks healthy now. Since February, Morant has dropped 24.5 PPG.

Morant has scored 25-plus points eight times in those 13 contests, including five of his last six.

Over those six games, the point guard has taken 20+ shots five times.

Everything points to another big scoring night. March has so far been Morant’s top month for scoring, minutes played and shot volume.

And he gets a juicy matchup against the Utah Jazz, who are last in the Western Conference and rank 29th in the NBA in defensive rating.

Key stat: Utah allows the third-most points to point guards, per Betting Pros.

Best NBA picks

Durant over 35.5 PRA (-120): We need 36 combined points/rebounds/assists from Durant tonight, a number he has been smashing.

Durant is averaging 42.2 PRA in five March games on 40.1 minutes a night.

He has cleared this line in all five games and almost did it on points alone his last time out — a 35-point effort vs. the Grizzlies.

The veteran is 7-4 against this line since the All-Star Game.

Durant dropped 37 points, nine assists and five rebounds in the game before the break against the Houston Rockets, who he sees tonight.

The Phoenix Suns are desperate for wins in their attempt to get into the play-in round and will ride their leading scorer as long as they’re in the mix.

Herro over 21.5 points (-124): This isn’t a great matchup for Herro on the surface but he’ll get the Los Angeles Clippers on a back-to-back.

Los Angeles defends guards well, ranks fourth in defensive rating, and limits opponents from the outside.

But the Heat will have the rest advantage and the Clippers are sure to be undermanned. Kawhi Leonard will almost certainly sit.

Herro is slumping in what’s been a career year but this is still a light line and not a number we’re able to get him at often.

Despite a slow March (20.4 PPG), Herro has notched 21-plus points in four of five games.

The long-range assassin is 6-4 against this line since the ASG and can get dangerous from deep in a hurry, giving him big scoring upside every night.

NBA prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 03/12/2025.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets SGP predictions March 12: Back Minnesota on alt spread, Jokic and Westbrook at +350

Wednesday’s NBA nightcap between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets is loaded with star power.

The pregame narrative: Both Western Conference juggernauts are rolling, and I expect Minnesota to cover an alternate spread on the road. Player prop bets on Nikola Jokic and Russell Westbrook round out this +350 wager.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Nuggets SGP predictions for March 12.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets predictions

Parlay: Timberwolves +7.5 | Jokic over 11.5 rebounds | Westbrook over 25.5 PRA (+350)

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Timberwolves +7.5 (-205): Betting against Denver might seem scary but Minnesota has found its groove and is live to win this game.

The T-Wolves are on a five-game winning streak and have covered a +7.5 spread in 11 of their last 12 outings.

That includes three contests against the Oklahoma City Thunder, two of which Minnesota won outright.

Chris Finch’s squad has had Denver’s number dating back to the start of last season, owning an 8-5 record against the Nuggets and eliminating them from the playoffs in seven games.

In those games, the T-Wolves covered this number 10 times.

NBA SGP legs

Jokic over 11.5 rebounds (-265): Jokic is -104 to record 14-plus rebounds, which speaks to his strong form on the glass.

The three-time MVP is averaging 13.0 rebounds, ranking No. 3 in the NBA.
In his last seven games, Jokic is averaging 16.0 rebounds and has 13-plus in every game.

I’m bullish on Jokic clearing his standard line and would play it as a straight wager but will trim a few boards off for this SGP.

Rudy Gobert just returned from a 10-game absence for the T-Wolves and will be on a minutes restriction tonight (he played 20 minutes on Monday).

That should create a size mismatch in the paint which Jokic can exploit.

Westbrook over 25.5 PRA (-114): Westbrook’s season has had plenty of ups and downs but this seems like a solid spot to back the veteran guard.

Chris Finch was easing Westbrook into action after he missed seven games with a hamstring injury and now he’s back to getting starters minutes:

First five games since return from injury: 23.9 minutes, 18.0 PRA, 0-5 against this line

Last five games since return from injury: 32.1 minutes, 24.6 PRA, 2-3 against this line

Aaron Gordon is listed as doubtful and Westbrook has feasted in his absence. He has averaged 14.4 points, 5.7 rebounds and 7.0 assists (27.1 PRA) in 25 games this season.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets predictions made at 9:15 a.m. ET on 03/12/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 11: Expect Cade Cunningham, Zion Williamson to excel on Tuesday

Tuesday’s NBA slate features just four games, and I’ve got prop bets from three of them.

The pregame narrative: Aaron Nesmith has excelled as a 3-point shooter in recent weeks, and I expect that to continue tonight against the Milwaukee Bucks. Elsewhere, look for productive nights from Cade Cunningham and Zion Williamson.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 11.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Nesmith over 1.5 threes (-182)

This pick lacks some name-brand value — and it doesn’t come with the most exciting price — but I’m bullish about it anyhow.

Nesmith, who was originally a late lottery pick with the Boston Celtics, has taken his game to new heights with the Indiana Pacers.

Through two-plus seasons with the Pacers, the small forward has averaged 1.7 threes on 39.3% shooting.

Nesmith missed a significant chunk of time this year due to an ankle injury, but he’s been an active shooter from beyond the arc over the past month.

Since Feb. 12, Nesmith has averaged 2.5 threes on 41.8% shooting.

He has 2+ threes in 9 of his past 11 games.

Tyrese Haliburton missed Indiana’s three previous games, but his potential return shouldn’t take all of Nesmith’s opportunities away.

Nesmith is still a starter, after all, and he matched a career high with 11 attempted 3s on March 2 with Haliburton in the lineup.

Key stat: Nesmith hasn’t faced the Bucks since last year’s first round playoff matchup. In three home games during that series, he shot 7-of-19 from deep and hit this over twice.

Best NBA picks

Cunningham over 5.5 rebounds (-118): The last time Cunningham faced the Washington Wizards, on Nov. 17, he authored a 21-point triple-double.

In his two matchups against the Wizards in the past 12 months, he totalled 18 rebounds and cashed this bet both times.

Washington has been a favourable rebounding matchup for point guards across the league, allowing the fourth-most boards to that position (6.62), per Betting Pros.

Cunningham averages 6.1 rebounds and is 36-24 against this number.

Williamson over 23.5 points (-110): The Los Angeles Clippers allow the fewest points per game to opposing power forwards, which is a tough starting point for this prop.

But Williamson is as healthy as he’s been for quite some time, and he’s filling the net routinely.

20+ pts in 16 of his past 20 games
24+ pts in 11 of his past 17 games
24.5 PPG this season (26 games)

Right now, Williamson is sitting for back-to-backs but playing the rest of the time. Tonight, he’ll play the Clippers for the first time since March 2024, when he finished with 34 points in 35 minutes at home.

NBA prop picks made at 11:55 a.m. ET on 03/11/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 11: Expect Cade Cunningham, Zion Williamson to excel on Tuesday

Tuesday’s NBA slate features just four games, and I’ve got prop bets from three of them.

The pregame narrative: Aaron Nesmith has excelled as a 3-point shooter in recent weeks, and I expect that to continue tonight against the Milwaukee Bucks. Elsewhere, look for productive nights from Cade Cunningham and Zion Williamson.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 11.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Nesmith over 1.5 threes (-143)

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This pick lacks some name-brand value — and it doesn’t come with the most exciting price — but I’m bullish about it anyhow.

Nesmith, who was originally a late lottery pick with the Boston Celtics, has taken his game to new heights with the Indiana Pacers.

Through two-plus seasons with the Pacers, the small forward has averaged 1.7 threes on 39.3% shooting.

Nesmith missed a significant chunk of time this year due to an ankle injury, but he’s been an active shooter from beyond the arc over the past month.

Since Feb. 12, Nesmith has averaged 2.5 threes on 41.8% shooting.

He has 2+ threes in 9 of his past 11 games.

Tyrese Haliburton missed Indiana’s three previous games, but his potential return shouldn’t take all of Nesmith’s opportunities away.

Nesmith is still a starter, after all, and he matched a career high with 11 attempted 3s on March 2 with Haliburton in the lineup.

Key stat: Nesmith hasn’t faced the Bucks since last year’s first round playoff matchup. In three home games during that series, he shot 7-of-19 from deep and hit this over twice.

Best NBA picks

Cunningham 6+ rebounds (-107): The last time Cunningham faced the Washington Wizards, on Nov. 17, he authored a 21-point triple-double.

In his two matchups against the Wizards in the past 12 months, he totalled 18 rebounds and cashed this bet both times.

Washington has been a favourable rebounding matchup for point guards across the league, allowing the fourth-most boards to that position (6.62), per Betting Pros.

Cunningham averages 6.1 rebounds and is 36-24 against this number.

Williamson over 23.5 points (-108): The Los Angeles Clippers allow the fewest points per game to opposing power forwards, which is a tough starting point for this prop.

But Williamson is as healthy as he’s been for quite some time, and he’s filling the net routinely.

20+ pts in 16 of his past 20 games
24+ pts in 11 of his past 17 games
24.5 PPG this season (26 games)

Right now, Williamson is sitting for back-to-backs but playing the rest of the time. Tonight, he’ll play the Clippers for the first time since March 2024, when he finished with 34 points in 35 minutes at home.

NBA prop picks made at 11:25 a.m. ET on 03/11/2025.

Clippers vs. Pelicans SGP predictions March 11: Fade Trey Murphy but back New Orleans to cover

Despite some awful results in recent road matchups, the Los Angeles Clippers are hefty favourites tonight against the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center.

The pregame narrative: I like New Orleans to cover an outsized spread as home underdogs — even though I’m fading Trey Murphy from deep. To round out this +285 parlay, bet on Ivica Zubac to have a busy night as a rebounder.

Check out my Clippers vs. Pelicans SGP predictions for March 11.

Clippers vs. Pelicans predictions

Parlay: Pelicans +10.5 | Zubac 12+ rebounds | Murphy under 3.5 threes (+285)

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Pelicans +10.5 (-225): New Orleans has the NBA’s third-worst ATS record this season (26-38-1), but I’d still rather be on this side of the spread tonight.

That’s because the Clippers have been an utter ATS nightmare when trying to cover on the road.

L.A. is on a 10-game ATS losing streak as a road team.

The Clippers are just 12-20 ATS on the road this season.

The Clippers are 5-27 against a -10.5 road spread.

These teams met in New Orleans back on Dec. 30, and the Clippers scraped by with a three-point win as 4.5-point favourites. I just can’t back L.A. on a spread this sizable.

NBA SGP legs

Zubac 12+ rebounds (-240): In the aforementioned December matchup, Zubac feasted on the glass. He had 16 of the Clippers’ 40 rebounds, and was six boards clear of anyone on the Pelicans.

New Orleans allows the most rebounds per game to opposing centres (17.49), per Betting Pros, making this a cream-of-the-crop matchup for Zubac.

The Pelicans also allow the second-most rebounds overall (46.6/game) and own the third-lowest rebounding rate (48.1%).

Given that Zubac averages 12.5 rebounds, this milestone should be well within range.

Murphy under 3.5 threes (-175): Murphy is putting up plenty of 3s these days, but his efficiency has been dreadful.

Check out Murphy’s 3-point numbers over his past 15 games:

30.8 3PT%
2.5 makes
8.0 attempts
Under 3.5 threes in 12 of 15

This has been the worst of Murphy’s four seasons in terms of 3-point percentage (36.1%), and I don’t expect him to over-index against the Clippers.

L.A. allows the ninth-lowest 3PT% (35.1) and the 12th-fewest total 3s per game (13.2).

Clippers vs. Pelicans predictions made at 11:00 a.m. ET on 03/11/2025.

Bucks vs. Pacers SGP predictions March 11: Bet on Milwuakee to win, Giannis to produce at +325

The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers re-ignite their rivalry on Tuesday night.

The pregame narrative: Only one game separates Milwaukee (36-27) and Indiana (35-28) in the standings coming down the home stretch. The Bucks have won both meetings against the Pacers this season, and I expect them to pick up another W behind Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Check out my Bucks vs. Pacers SGP predictions for March 11.

Bucks vs. Pacers predictions

Parlay: Bucks ML | Giannis 30+ points | Nesmith 2+ threes (+325)

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Bucks moneyline (-148): This seems like a solid spot to back Milwaukee. The squad enters this contest coming off consecutive losses but had won eight of nine before that.

Take a look at how the Bucks have performed following the all-star break:

7-3 record
+6.0 net rating (8th in the NBA)
108.8 defensive rating (3rd)

A big storyline worth monitoring is the availability of Tyrese Haliburton (questionable), who has missed the last three games with a hip injury.

Indiana lost all three of those games, and if he’s out again, bettors should expect the line to move in Milwaukee’s favour. But I like this wager even if Haliburton plays, considering his recent struggles against the Bucks.

Haliburton has averaged 17.4 points on 41.1% shooting in his last five games versus Milwaukee.

The Bucks beat the Pacers twice this season by a combined 20 points with Haliburton in the lineup.

NBA SGP legs

Giannis 30+ points (-190): All we’re asking out of Giannis tonight is an average performance in an A-plus matchup.

The Greek Freak is averaging 30.1 PPG this season (second in the NBA) and has cleared this line in three straight games.

If you think that’s impressive, check out what he’s done in his last 10 games against the Pacers:

38.2 PPG
64.8% shooting
30+ points in 8 of 10 games
40+ points three times

I expect Giannis to feast once again versus a Pacers team allowing the third-most PPG to power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

Nesmith 2+ threes (-139): Backing Aaron Nesmith to nail a pair of 3s more than doubles this wager’s odds from +128 to +325.

And I don’t think it’s a huge ask considering the small forward’s form and Milwaukee’s defensive tendencies.

Nesmith is averaging 2.6 threes per game on 40.6% shooting since the all-star break.
In that span, he is 8-2 vs. this line.
Milwaukee is allowing the 6th-most 3s per game (39.1).

Nesmith missed both games against the Bucks this year but has been productive against them in the past, averaging 2.3 threes against them on 47.7% shooting since joining the Pacers (nine-game sample).

Bucks vs. Pacers predictions made at 10:00 a.m. ET on 03/11/2025.

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Wizards vs. Raptors SGP predictions March 10: Bet on Washington, Poole in +550 parlay

The Washington Wizards and Toronto Raptors meet for the second time in three days.

The pregame narrative: Washington narrowly edged Toronto on Saturday, and I’m betting on the latter to once again make this a competitive contest. I’m expecting a little less scoring from both sides this time around but am backing the over on Jordan Poole’s point total.

Check out my Wizards vs. Raptors SGP predictions for March 10.

Wizards vs. Raptors predictions

Parlay: Wizards +7.5 | Under 234.5 points | Poole over 21.5 points (+550)

Wizards +7.5 (-125): Washington was a smaller underdog ahead of Saturday’s game (4.5 points) than it is today despite beating Toronto, 118-117.

Part of the reason for that is Khris Middleton’s injury. The small forward is out tonight with an ankle injury, and that dampens the team’s outlook.

Still, I think this is too many points for a Toronto squad that’s playing its third game in four nights.

The Raptors have failed to win by eight-plus points in 15 of their last 17 games.

They’ve also struggled in the role of favourite, going 3-4 against the spread despite sporting an overall ATS record of 37-26-1.

Both these teams are well out of playoff position and I’d be shocked to see one side blow out the other.

NBA SGP legs

Under 234.5 points (-163): Saturday’s game topped this total but I expect less offence on Monday.

The two sides combined for 238 points in that matchup, slightly usurping this total.

Washington’s quick tempo can lead to sporadic scoring as the team ranks fourth in pace. Still, I’m comfortable betting on a low-scoring outing from a squad that ranks last in offensive rating (105.9).

Middleton’s absence will only magnify some of the team’s struggles.

A date with the Raptors likely doesn’t invite much more offence, either. Toronto is a middling 15th in pace (99.87) and 26th in offensive rating (109.9).

Both are bottom-10 teams in the NBA in points per game.

Poole over 22.5 points (-108): I expect Poole to dominate the Raptors again.

The talented point guard put up a gaudy 34 points in Saturday’s victory over Toronto, and he should be active once again.

Poole went 12-of-20 from the field and 7-of-12 from deep.

He has topped this total in three consecutive games, averaging 28.0 points per contest during this run.

Poole should tee off on a Toronto team that ranks 21st in opponent effective field goal percentage.

Wizards vs. Raptors predictions made at 4:17 p.m. ET on 03/10/2025.

Wizards vs. Raptors SGP predictions March 10: Bet on Washington, Poole in +510 parlay

The Washington Wizards and Toronto Raptors meet for the second time in three days.

The pregame narrative: Washington narrowly edged Toronto on Saturday, and I’m betting on the latter to once again make this a competitive contest. I’m expecting a little less scoring from both sides this time around but am backing the over on Jordan Poole‘s point total.

Check out my Wizards vs. Raptors SGP predictions for March 10.

Wizards vs. Raptors predictions

Parlay: Wizards +7.5 | Under 234.5 points | Poole over 21.5 points (+510)

Wizards +7.5 (-104): Washington was a smaller underdog ahead of Saturday’s game (4.5 points) than it is today despite beating Toronto, 118-117.

Part of the reason for that is Khris Middleton’s injury. The small forward is out tonight with an ankle injury, and that dampens the team’s outlook.

Still, I think this is too many points for a Toronto squad that’s playing its third game in four nights.

The Raptors have failed to win by eight-plus points in 15 of their last 17 games.

They’ve also struggled in the role of favourite, going 3-4 against the spread despite sporting an overall ATS record of 37-26-1.

Both these teams are well out of playoff position and I’d be shocked to see one side blow out the other.

NBA SGP legs

Under 234.5 points (-152): Saturday’s game topped this total but I expect less offence on Monday.

The two sides combined for 238 points in that matchup, slightly usurping this total.

Washington’s quick tempo can lead to sporadic scoring as the team ranks fourth in pace. Still, I’m comfortable betting on a low-scoring outing from a squad that ranks last in offensive rating (105.9).

Middleton’s absence will only magnify some of the team’s struggles.

A date with the Raptors likely doesn’t invite much more offence, either. Toronto is a middling 15th in pace (99.87) and 26th in offensive rating (109.9).

Both are bottom-10 teams in the NBA in points per game.

Poole over 21.5 points (-112): I expect Poole to dominate the Raptors again.

The talented point guard put up a gaudy 34 points in Saturday’s victory over Toronto, and he should be active once again.

Poole went 12-of-20 from the field and 7-of-12 from deep.

He has topped this total in three consecutive games, averaging 28.0 points per contest during this run.

Poole should tee off on a Toronto team that ranks 21st in opponent effective field goal percentage.

Wizards vs. Raptors predictions made at 4:17 p.m. ET on 03/10/2025.

Knicks vs. Kings prop picks March 10: Without Jalen Brunson, OG Anunoby has value

Jalen Brunson remains sidelined with an ankle injury, and that has me targeting two of his teammates for Monday’s New York Knicks vs. Sacramento Kings matchup.

The pregame narrative: OG Anunoby has some enticing value on his 3s prop, and that’s my best bet for tonight. I also like Mikal Bridges to go over his points prop after excelling last time out against Sacramento.

Check out my Knicks vs. Kings prop picks for March 10.

Knicks vs. Kings prop picks

Best Bet: Anunoby over 2.5 threes (-106)

If the Knicks want to take advantage of a Grade-A matchup from 3-point land tonight, Anunoby should be the guy leading the charge.

Over the Knicks’ past 15 games, the ex-Raptor leads the team on a per-game basis in makes (2.8) and attempts (7.3).

Let’s take it back even further. Here are Anunoby’s 3-point numbers since Jan. 15:

40.7 3PT%
2.8 makes
6.8 attempts
3+ makes in 9 of 16 games
6+ attempts in 12 of 16 games

Anunoby has attempted eight or more 3s in five straight games. Without Brunson — who’s averaging the third-most attempted 3s for the Knicks this season — I would expect that volume to persist.

And remember, this is a Grade-A matchup for New York’s outside shooters. The Kings allow the third most 3s per game (14.3) and the second-highest 3PT% (37.4) in the NBA.

Anunoby went 4-for-7 beyond the arc against Sacramento on Jan. 25.

Key stat: Anunoby has cashed this bet in six of his past 10 games.

Quick pick

Bridges over 17.5 points (-125): I think it’s safe to say Bridges has underwhelmed in his first year with the Knicks, but the situation he’s facing tonight is a promising one.

In two games without Bridges this season, Bridges scored 20-plus points both times.

One of those games was three nights ago against the Clippers. Bridges shot 8-for-12 from the field (6-for-6 from the free-throw line) to finish with 22 points.

Back in January, when Brunson was healthy, Bridges torched the Kings for 27 points on 10-of-15 shooting. There were plenty of buckets to go around, as four Knicks finished with 20-plus points that night.

Without Brunson, more of the scoring burden should fall to Bridges on Monday night.

Knicks vs. Kings prop picks made at 12:55 p.m. ET 03/10/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets March 10: Expect scoring from Durant, Fox, Turner and Herro on busy Monday night

Monday’s basketball slate is loaded. There are 12 games in the NBA and I’m dialling up four prop picks for the busy night.

The pregame narrative: My best bet is on Kevin Durant and I’m expecting some other stars to deliver scoring, including De’Aaron Fox and Tyler Herro. I have a fourth play on Myles Turner.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 10.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Durant over 32.5 points/rebounds (-112)

The Memphis Grizzlies host the Phoenix Suns in a game that has the highest total of the night.

Both teams are playing for the second consecutive day. Phoenix is last in defensive rating since Feb. 1 and desperate for wins, while the Grizzlies are No. 1 in the NBA in pace.

These teams met in February and combined for 299 points in an overtime win for the Grizzlies.

Scoring should come easy tonight, as it has for Durant in three previous meetings vs. Memphis this season:

Feb. 25: 26 points
Feb. 11: 34 points
Dec. 31: 29 points

Durant has averaged 7.0 rebounds in those matchups and cleared this line every time.

Getting heavy minutes and taking a high volume of shots from the outside, Durant should have another big showing against Memphis.

Key stat: Durant is averaging exactly 33.0 points/rebounds on the season.

Best NBA picks

Fox over 20.5 points (-107): This line was typically five points higher before Fox’s trade to the San Antonio Spurs.

But since the blockbuster, he’s playing with a much weaker supporting cast. His volume and minutes have dropped, while his 3-point shot has cratered.

Fox is 1-7 against this line over his last eight games. Sunday’s loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves was the lone time he eclipsed this mark, using an efficient night to drop 22 points.

This matchup offers promise that Fox, who has three 25.0 PPG seasons under his belt, can do it again.

The Dallas Mavericks have allowed 120-plus points in five straight games.

Guards Damian Lillard (twice), Zach LaVine, Ja Morant, Desmond Bane and Devin Booker have all cleared this line vs. Dallas over that stretch.

Herro over 22.5 points (-122): Here’s another talented scoring guard who we can back on a lighter line tonight.

Herro is having a career year and assuming a much larger piece of the Miami Heat offence.

His scoring is up three PPG and he’s among the most dangerous 3-point shooters in the game.

The Heat get the Charlotte Hornets, who are No. 23 in the NBA in defensive rating since the all-star game.

Herro dropped 27 on the Hornets the last time he faced them.

He had a 22-point game against them earlier in the season.

Herro combined for seven 3-pointers in the two games.

The 25-year-old is 0-4 vs. this line in March but scored 21, 22 and 22 points in three of the games.

Turner prop pick

Turner over 16.5 points (-117): The Indiana Pacers’ big man has at least 16 points in eight of his last nine, topping this number six times.

He’s 0-2 vs. this line against the Chicago Bulls (15 and 16 points), but they still represent a plus matchup.

Chicago allows the third-most points to centres, per Betting Pros, and surrenders an NBA-high 120.6 points per game.

Turner has an improved outside shot, giving him more scoring upside each night. His outlook would be even better if Tyrese Haliburton sits. The star guard has missed back-to-back games and is questionable.

NBA prop picks made at 12:30 p.m. ET on 03/10/2025.