Jordan Horrobin

Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.

Best MLB prop bets June 20: James Wood has value to score vs. Dodgers

MLB prop bets

James Wood and Yusei Kikuchi headline my MLB prop bets for Friday night’s action.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Wood will face Clayton Kershaw — 15 years his senior — for the very first time amid an excellent run of production. As for Kikuchi, he’s looking to work deep against the Houston Astros to give his bullpen a breather.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 20, which includes a prediction on Ryan McMahon.

MLB prop bets

Best Bet: McMahon over 1.5 total bases (+115)

Remember when Zac Gallen was an NL Cy Young contender? Well, he’s nowhere near that territory this season.

Gallen logged a pair of top-five NL Cy Young finishes in 2022-23, and he was solid again last season. But this year, he has career-worst marks in a lot of key categories:

  • ERA (5.19)
  • K/9 (8.4)
  • WHIP (1.350)
  • xSLG (.446)

In the Colorado Rockies’ hitter-friendly park, I expect Gallen’s woes to continue. And McMahon looks like the right guy to capitalize.

The left-hitting cleanup man is in a groove right now, posting a 1.247 OPS over his past 12 games. He has five home runs and three doubles in that span.

His 100 OPS+ for the season is less exciting, but there’s plenty of pop in this bat.

According to Baseball Savant, McMahon ranks in the 98th percentile in average exit velocity (94.7 mph) and the 81st percentile in barrel rate (13.3%).

Keep in mind that MLB.com quantifies barrels as high-value batted balls with an expected SLG of 1.500 or greater.

McMahon hasn’t powered up against Gallen much in the past, but they have seen plenty of each other. The third baseman is 11-for-39 (.282) with three doubles in the matchup.

Last month, McMahon went 2-for-5 in a game started by Gallen, in which the Arizona starter coughed up six runs on eight hits over 5.0 innings.

Key stat: McMahon has gone over 1.5 bases in seven of his past 10 starts.

Best MLB picks

Kikuchi over 17.5 outs (-138): Kikuchi is only 7-8 vs. this outs prop this season, but he’s constantly in a good position to cash the over.

  • Has pitched into the sixth inning or deeper in 12 of 15 starts.
  • 90+ pitches in 12 of 15 starts.

The Los Angeles Angels have the third-fewest relief innings in MLB, but their bullpen has been used quite a bit recently. Six of L.A.’s eight relievers have worked at least twice in the past four days.

Kikuchi has been great since the start of May, posting a 2.28 ERA in nine starts.

Expect him to get every opportunity to work six-plus innings against the Astros.

Wood over 0.5 runs (+125): Clayton Kershaw is off to a solid start in his age-37 season, but this is simply too good of a price for me to ignore with Wood.

The 22-year-old outfielder is on a remarkable 30-game run right now:

  • .405 OBP
  • 1.032 OPS
  • 1+ runs in 15 of 30 games

Wood bats from the left side, which puts him at a slight disadvantage against a southpaw like Kershaw. But given that Wood still has an impressive .284/.352/.526 slash line vs. LHPs this year, that doesn’t concern me too much.

Wood typically bats in the No. 2 spot of the Nationals’ lineup. He runs well for a 6-foot-7 athlete (70th-percentile sprint speed) and can hit the ball a country mile.

MLB prop picks made at 3:30 p.m. ET on 06/20/2025.

Best MLB prop bets June 20: James Wood has value to score vs. Dodgers

MLB prop bets

James Wood and Yusei Kikuchi headline my MLB prop bets for Friday night’s action.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Wood will face Clayton Kershaw — 15 years his senior — for the very first time amid an excellent run of production. As for Kikuchi, he’s looking to work deep against the Houston Astros to give his bullpen a breather.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 20, which includes a prediction on Ryan McMahon.

MLB prop bets

Best Bet: McMahon over 1.5 total bases (+118)

Remember when Zac Gallen was an NL Cy Young contender? Well, he’s nowhere near that territory this season.

Gallen logged a pair of top-five NL Cy Young finishes in 2022-23, and he was solid again last season. But this year, he has career-worst marks in a lot of key categories:

  • ERA (5.19)
  • K/9 (8.4)
  • WHIP (1.350)
  • xSLG (.446)

In the Colorado Rockies’ hitter-friendly park, I expect Gallen’s woes to continue. And McMahon looks like the right guy to capitalize.

The left-hitting cleanup man is in a groove right now, posting a 1.247 OPS over his past 12 games. He has five home runs and three doubles in that span.

His 100 OPS+ for the season is less exciting, but there’s plenty of pop in this bat.

According to Baseball Savant, McMahon ranks in the 98th percentile in average exit velocity (94.7 mph) and the 81st percentile in barrel rate (13.3%).

Keep in mind that MLB.com quantifies barrels as high-value batted balls with an expected SLG of 1.500 or greater.

McMahon hasn’t powered up against Gallen much in the past, but they have seen plenty of each other. The third baseman is 11-for-39 (.282) with three doubles in the matchup.

Last month, McMahon went 2-for-5 in a game started by Gallen, in which the Arizona starter coughed up six runs on eight hits over 5.0 innings.

Key stat: McMahon has gone over 1.5 bases in seven of his past 10 starts.

Embed: #115016

Best MLB picks

Kikuchi over 17.5 outs (-122): Kikuchi is only 7-8 vs. this outs prop this season, but he’s constantly in a good position to cash the over.

  • Has pitched into the sixth inning or deeper in 12 of 15 starts.
  • 90+ pitches in 12 of 15 starts.

The Los Angeles Angels have the third-fewest relief innings in MLB, but their bullpen has been used quite a bit recently. Six of L.A.’s eight relievers have worked at least twice in the past four days.

Kikuchi has been great since the start of May, posting a 2.28 ERA in nine starts.

Expect him to get every opportunity to work six-plus innings against the Astros.

Wood over 0.5 runs (+140): Clayton Kershaw is off to a solid start in his age-37 season, but this is simply too good of a price for me to ignore with Wood.

The 22-year-old outfielder is on a remarkable 30-game run right now:

  • .405 OBP
  • 1.032 OPS
  • 1+ runs in 15 of 30 games

Wood bats from the left side, which puts him at a slight disadvantage against a southpaw like Kershaw. But given that Wood still has an impressive .284/.352/.526 slash line vs. LHPs this year, that doesn’t concern me too much.

Wood typically bats in the No. 2 spot of the Nationals’ lineup. He runs well for a 6-foot-7 athlete (70th-percentile sprint speed) and can hit the ball a country mile.

MLB prop picks made at 2:10 p.m. ET on 06/20/2025.

Rafael Devers props vs. Red Sox June 20: All-star slugger faces Boston for first time

Rafael Devers props

Boston Red Sox fans didn’t need to wait long to see Rafael Devers suited up for a different team.

The pregame narrative: Less than a week after the all-star slugger was traded to the San Francisco Giants, Devers will face Boston at Oracle Park. The June 15 trade was a stunner, especially considering Boston had signed Devers to a 10-year, $313.5 million deal in January 2023.

Check out these Rafael Devers props for the matchup against the Red Sox on Friday, June 20.

Rafael Devers props vs. Red Sox

Devers marketsBetting odds
Over 0.5 hits-215
Under 0.5 hits+160
Over 0.5 runs+107
Under 0.5 runs-143
Over 0.5 RBI+145
Under 0.5 RBI-200
Over 1.5 total bases+107
Under 1.5 total bases-150
To hit a double+310
To hit a home run+340
To hit 2+ home runs+3,400

Best Devers prop bet

Best Bet: Over 1.5 total bases (+107)

Revenge narrative aside, backing Devers against an unproven right-hander is often a viable play.

  • Devers has a .550 SLG in his career vs. RHPs. Tonight, he’ll face Boston rookie Hunter Dobbins, who has allowed a .457 SLG to lefty hitters this season.
  • Dobbins also hasn’t put up great numbers on the road: four games, 4.74 ERA, .801 opponent OPS.

One risk to this prop bet is Devers’ tendency to walk. His 58 walks are the second-most in MLB this season.

Fortunately, Dobbins isn’t likely to issue a bunch of free passes. He has a 4.8% walk rate, which ranks in the 93rd percentile, per Baseball Savant.

As long as Dobbins is shooting strikes, Devers should find something to mash.

Devers is slugging .588 against four-seam fastballs, curveballs and sliders thrown by right-handed pitchers. That’s roughly 80% of Dobbins’ typical pitch mix vs. left-hitting players.

In terms of Dobbins’ pitch arsenal, this matchup is enticing. And Devers’ career-best 147 wRC+ this season shows he can be dangerous on any night.

Key stat: Devers is averaging 1.9 total bases per game.

Embed: #115010

Rafael Devers prop odds as of 11:28 a.m. ET on 06/20/2025.

White Sox vs. Blue Jays prop picks June 20: Expect Kirk to provide pop in series opener

Blue Jays picks

The struggling Chicago White Sox are in town for a three-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

The pregame narrative: Chicago has lost eight games in a row and is a pretty hefty underdog on Friday night against Toronto. The Blue Jays have won 11 of their past 13 home games and are 24-14 at home overall this season.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the White Sox for June 20, featuring Davis Martin and Alejandro Kirk.

Blue Jays picks vs. White Sox

Best Bet: Martin over 17.5 outs (-125)

Martin is a mediocre and relatively anonymous pitcher who has been good enough this year for a floundering White Sox team.

Through 14 outings (13 starts), the former 14th-round draftee has posted a 3.79 ERA and a 4.54 FIP. He’s also tied for fifth on the team in bWAR (1.2).

A lot of Martin’s value comes from being an innings-eater, and I’m hoping there’s more of that to come on Friday.

  • 80.2 innings (most on White Sox)
  • 17.3 outs per game
  • 18+ outs in six straight

The White Sox had a bullpen game on Thursday, deploying nine relievers in a 10-inning matchup. They are only deploying a four-man rotation right now and currently have another bullpen game lined up for Sunday.

Some depth from Martin would provide a breather for a relief corps that definitely needs it.

Keeping one’s pitch count in check is a helpful way to go deeper into games. And Martin does that.

His 5.7% walk rate ranks in the 84th percentile, per Baseball Savant. He doesn’t have a lot of other glowing statistics, but he at least forces the other team to put the ball in play.

Key stat: Martin has pitched into the sixth inning or deeper in 11 of 13 starts.

Quick pick

Kirk over 1.5 total bases (+110): Most Toronto hitters haven’t seen Martin before, and that includes Kirk. But he’s having a great month and profiles well in this matchup.

  • In June, Kirk is slashing .355/.375/.613. He has averaged 2.5 bases per game.
  • Martin is a right-hander with reverse splits, meaning he performs worse against right-hitting opponents. RHHs are slugging .476 against him this season.

Martin is a five-pitch pitcher who throws all three fastball variations: four-seamers, sinkers and cutters. All in all, righty hitters see a diet of roughly 75% fastballs from him.

Kirk just so happens to be a machine against fastballs from RHPs, posting a combined .330/.366/.521 slash line against the three variations.

Blue Jays picks made at 10:20 a.m. ET on 06/20/2025.

White Sox vs. Blue Jays prop picks June 20: Expect Kirk to provide pop in series opener

Blue Jays picks

The struggling Chicago White Sox are in town for a three-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

The pregame narrative: Chicago has lost eight games in a row and is a pretty hefty underdog on Friday night against Toronto. The Blue Jays have won 11 of their past 13 home games and are 24-14 at home overall this season.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the White Sox for June 20, featuring Davis Martin and Alejandro Kirk.

Blue Jays picks vs. White Sox

Best Bet: Martin over 17.5 outs (-122)

Martin is a mediocre and relatively anonymous pitcher who has been good enough this year for a floundering White Sox team.

Through 14 outings (13 starts), the former 14th-round draftee has posted a 3.79 ERA and a 4.54 FIP. He’s also tied for fifth on the team in bWAR (1.2).

A lot of Martin’s value comes from being an innings-eater, and I’m hoping there’s more of that to come on Friday.

  • 80.2 innings (most on White Sox)
  • 17.3 outs per game
  • 18+ outs in six straight

The White Sox had a bullpen game on Thursday, deploying nine relievers in a 10-inning matchup. They are only deploying a four-man rotation right now and currently have another bullpen game lined up for Sunday.

Some depth from Martin would provide a breather for a relief corps that definitely needs it.

Keeping one’s pitch count in check is a helpful way to go deeper into games. And Martin does that.

His 5.7% walk rate ranks in the 84th percentile, per Baseball Savant. He doesn’t have a lot of other glowing statistics, but he at least forces the other team to put the ball in play.

Key stat: Martin has pitched into the sixth inning or deeper in 11 of 13 starts.

Embed: #115000

Quick pick

Kirk over 1.5 total bases (+114): Most Toronto hitters haven’t seen Martin before, and that includes Kirk. But he’s having a great month and profiles well in this matchup.

  • In June, Kirk is slashing .355/.375/.613. He has averaged 2.5 bases per game.
  • Martin is a right-hander with reverse splits, meaning he performs worse against right-hitting opponents. RHHs are slugging .476 against him this season.

Martin is a five-pitch pitcher who throws all three fastball variations: four-seamers, sinkers and cutters. All in all, righty hitters see a diet of roughly 75% fastballs from him.

Kirk just so happens to be a machine against fastballs from RHPs, posting a combined .330/.366/.521 slash line against the three variations.

Blue Jays picks made at 9:25 a.m. ET on 06/20/2025.

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Giannis Antetokounmpo next team NBA odds: Bucks’ star expected to stay put, Raptors have 10-to-1 odds

Giannis next team odds

The Milwaukee Bucks are in a state of flux, which has naturally put Giannis Antetokounmpo in the rumour mill of offseason trade discussions.

The latest: Will the Bucks drum up what little assets they still have to keep their competitive window open, or is it time to hit the reset button? Based on the odds for where Giannis will start the 2025-26 season, Milwaukee seems likely to run it back.

Check out our latest Giannis next team odds as of June 19.

Giannis next team odds

Click linked odds to add selection to betslip. Note: Lines changed/market no longer available if grey.

Check out our full NBA markets page.

TeamBetting odds
Milwaukee Bucks-500
New York Knicks+800
San Antonio Spurs+1,000
Toronto Raptors+1,000
Houston Rockets+1,600
Brooklyn Nets+3,000
Dallas Mavericks+3,000
Miami Heat+3,000

Giannis next team odds as of 3:30 p.m. on 06/19/2025.

Latest rumours

  • On June 10, ESPN’s Brian Windhorst poured cold water on Giannis trade rumours by reporting that there “is no Giannis Antetokounmpo trade market” and that the Greek Freak has not asked to be moved.
  • As the Bucks weigh their options moving forward, sources confirmed to ESPN’s Bobby Marks that the team will be “aggressively exploring options in free agency and trades to complement Antetokounmpo.”
  • The Giannis rumour mill started to turn in mid-May, when ESPN’s Shams Charania reported that Giannis was “open-minded” about exploring whether his best long-term fit is in Milwaukee or elsewhere. This report came two weeks after the Indiana Pacers eliminated the fifth-seeded Bucks in the first round, 4-1.

Raptors odds to sign Giannis

The Raptors are a fringe fit for Kevin Durant (+1,200), and they’re in the same range when it comes to Giannis.

It’d be impossible to think about the Raptors adding a megastar via trade and not comparing it to the Kawhi Leonard deal that led to an NBA championship in 2019.

Such a trade would be a bit different with Giannis, though, since he’s under contract through 2027 and owns a player option for 2027-28.

So if a trade to Toronto happened, it wouldn’t be a one-and-done situation the way Kawhi’s tenure was.

The Raptors do have some assets that could entice the Bucks, including the No. 9 pick in the 2025 draft and Scottie Barnes. But it’s difficult to see a Giannis trade that leaves Toronto with enough quality pieces to legitimately compete.

After all, the Raptors were a 30-win team that landed in the lottery last season.

Knicks are Giannis’ likeliest suitor

The Bucks have an 83.33% implied probability of keeping Giannis, so this is all relative. But among the external suitors, the Knicks are the top option on the board.

New York was two wins away from reaching the NBA Finals, and the team’s entire rotation is under contract for another year. After making major changes last offseason, does it make sense to do another shakeup now?

Probably not. But if Giannis tries to force his way to Manhattan, then it’s worth the Knicks’ time to explore a deal.

Karl-Anthony Towns, who’s due an estimated $172 million over the next three seasons, would presumably be at the centre of a Knicks trade package. New York owns an extra first and second in the 2026 draft, but it doesn’t have a first-rounder in 2025.

Another team in the mix is San Antonio (+1,000), which could be motivated if Kevin Durant is traded elsewhere.

The Spurs, who have +250 odds to trade for Durant, have a bounty of draft picks to play with. They own the Nos. 2 and 14 picks in this year’s draft, as well as nine extra second-rounders between 2026-31.

On the player side, San Antonio has plenty of trade ammo, too. If the Spurs really want to make a Victor Wembanyama/Giannis frontcourt happen, they could dangle the likes of Stephon Castle, Jeremy Sochan and/or Keldon Johnson.

Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets June 19: Tatis has value to score a run

Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets

The Los Angeles Dodgers are gunning for a four-game home sweep against the San Diego Padres on Thursday night.

The pregame narrative: L.A. survived a ninth-inning rally from San Diego last night and is now 5-1 against its divisional rival this season. In Thursday’s series finale, Yoshinobu Yamamoto and the Dodgers are heavy favourites to win.

Check out my Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets for June 19, featuring Fernando Tatis Jr. and Freddie Freeman.

Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets

Best Bet: Tatis over 0.5 runs (-118)

Even though he’s going through a bit of a power outage this month, Tatis is still finding his way around the basepaths.

In 16 games this month, Tatis has scored 16 runs — despite posting just a .362 SLG.

He has fewer strikeouts in June (11) than he has walks and hits by pitch (13). That’s certainly a boon to the on-base percentage.

As a whole this season, Tatis has once again established himself as an upper-tier hitter in terms of contact quality.

The outfielder ranks in the 84th percentile or better in xBA, xSLG, hard-hit rate and average exit velocity.

Backing Tatis to score at plus money feels like a bargain, especially when you consider that L.A.’s Yamamoto isn’t in peak form right now.

Over his past seven outings, Yamamoto has a 4.46 ERA in 38.1 innings.

Also, Yamamoto allowed eight runs on eight hits against the Padres last year in just 6.0 innings. And Tatis is 3-for-5 with a double and a walk against him.

Key Stat: Tatis has scored a run in seven of his past nine games.

Best MLB picks

Freeman under 1.5 total bases (-130): Freeman’s .944 OPS this year makes him a risky fade candidate in any given game, but I think this is a reasonable time to back the under.

It’s been a messy month so far for Freeman, who’s batting .219 with 18 total bases in 17 games.

He’ll face rookie right-hander Ryan Bergert tonight, who has a 2.33 ERA through 19.1 innings. Freeman, like the rest of the Dodgers, will be seeing Bergert for the first time.

It’s a tiny sample, but Bergert has been particularly tough on left-hitting players so far this season. LHHs are just 3-for-32 (.094) with 10 strikeouts against him.

Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets made at 3:37 p.m. ET on 06/19/2025.

Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets June 19: Tatis has plus-money value to score a run

Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets

The Los Angeles Dodgers are gunning for a four-game home sweep against the San Diego Padres on Thursday night.

The pregame narrative: L.A. survived a ninth-inning rally from San Diego last night and is now 5-1 against its divisional rival this season. In Thursday’s series finale, Yoshinobu Yamamoto and the Dodgers are heavy favourites to win.

Check out my Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets for June 19, featuring Fernando Tatis Jr. and Freddie Freeman.

Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets

Best Bet: Tatis over 0.5 runs (+104)

Even though he’s going through a bit of a power outage this month, Tatis is still finding his way around the basepaths.

In 16 games this month, Tatis has scored 16 runs — despite posting just a .362 SLG.

He has fewer strikeouts in June (11) than he has walks and hits by pitch (13). That’s certainly a boon to the on-base percentage.

As a whole this season, Tatis has once again established himself as an upper-tier hitter in terms of contact quality.

The outfielder ranks in the 84th percentile or better in xBA, xSLG, hard-hit rate and average exit velocity.

Backing Tatis to score at plus money feels like a bargain, especially when you consider that L.A.’s Yamamoto isn’t in peak form right now.

Over his past seven outings, Yamamoto has a 4.46 ERA in 38.1 innings.

Also, Yamamoto allowed eight runs on eight hits against the Padres last year in just 6.0 innings. And Tatis is 3-for-5 with a double and a walk against him.

Key Stat: Tatis has scored a run in seven of his past nine games.

Embed: #114976

Best MLB picks

Freeman under 1.5 total bases (-141): Freeman’s .944 OPS this year makes him a risky fade candidate in any given game, but I think this is a reasonable time to back the under.

It’s been a messy month so far for Freeman, who’s batting .219 with 18 total bases in 17 games.

He’ll face rookie right-hander Ryan Bergert tonight, who has a 2.33 ERA through 19.1 innings. Freeman, like the rest of the Dodgers, will be seeing Bergert for the first time.

It’s a tiny sample, but Bergert has been particularly tough on left-hitting players so far this season. LHHs are just 3-for-32 (.094) with 10 strikeouts against him.

Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets made at 11:37 a.m. ET on 06/19/2025.

Best MLB prop bets June 19: Fade Spencer Strider vs. Mets

MLB prop bets

It’s getaway day in MLB, but I’m looking at some evening matchups for my prop picks.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Spencer Strider is coming off a superb outing, but that still looks like an anomaly compared to the rest of his 2025 production. Elsewhere, Junior Caminero and Brent Rooker are both swinging hot bats and look to keep their production rolling.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 19.

MLB prop bets

Best Bet: Strider under 7.5 Ks (-163)

Is Strider back … or did he just have the good fortune of facing the Rockies?

Strider lost five consecutive starts to begin his 2025 season, posting a 5.40 ERA and 22.4% K rate in the process.

Then he faced Colorado, mowing down 13 batters (59.1 K%) in 6.0 scoreless innings.

That one dazzling start is skewing his numbers quite a bit, but I know the Rockies are a far more favourable matchup than tonight’s opponents, the Mets.

The Rockies have the second-highest K rate in the majors (26.5%). They also have MLB’s highest whiff rate vs. sliders (37.6%), according to Baseball Savant, and that is Strider’s primary put-away pitch.

The Mets, meanwhile, have the league’s fifth-lowest K rate (20.3%) and the third-lowest whiff rate against sliders (28.9%).

Familiarity is also on the Mets’ side, too. The current New York lineup has seen Strider for a combined 93 plate appearances, logging just a 21.5 K% in those opportunities. For context, the league-average K rate is 22.0%.

New York’s active lineup is 26-for-80 with a .563 SLG against Strider. So even if he’s somewhat efficient, the Mets could chase him from the game early.

Key stat: Prior to facing the Rockies, Strider went under 7.5 Ks in all five starts.

Best MLB picks

Caminero over 1.5 total bases (+125): Caminero came alive last night to help the Rays overcome an eight-run deficit and beat the Orioles. He went 4-for-5 and drove in two.

The 21-year-old is now on quite the offensive run over his past 25 games:

  • .323 BA
  • .697 SLG
  • 2.76 bases/game
  • 2+ bases in 15 of 25

So far this month, he’s not even performing as well as Baseball Savant thinks he should be. That’s a scary thought for opposing teams.

Caminero has a .258 BA in June, versus a .290 xBA. He only has a 12.7 K% this month and is clearly seeing the ball well.

Rooker over 1.5 total bases (-118): Rooker is mashing lefties about as well as anyone this year. Backing him at home against a southpaw is typically a worthwhile play.

The A’s slugger has a .328/.426/.655 slash line against left-handers this season, good for a 203 wRC+ (fifth in MLB).

He’s also on a stellar run since May 22:

  • .357 BA
  • .602 SLG
  • 2.27 bases/game
  • 2+ bases in 13 of 26

The Athletics’ home field, Sutter Health Park, ranks as the second-friendliest offensive environment, per Baseball Savant.

Look for Rooker to let it fly with Astros rookie LHP Colton Gordon on the mound.

MLB prop picks made at 9:35 a.m. ET on 06/19/2025.

Best MLB prop bets June 19: Fade Spencer Strider vs. Mets

MLB prop bets

It’s getaway day in MLB, but I’m looking at some evening matchups for my prop picks.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Spencer Strider is coming off a superb outing, but that still looks like an anomaly compared to the rest of his 2025 production. Elsewhere, Junior Caminero and Brent Rooker are both swinging hot bats and look to keep their production rolling.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 19.

MLB prop bets

Best Bet: Strider under 6.5 Ks (+123)

Is Strider back … or did he just have the good fortune of facing the Rockies?

Strider lost five consecutive starts to begin his 2025 season, posting a 5.40 ERA and 22.4% K rate in the process.

Then he faced Colorado, mowing down 13 batters (59.1 K%) in 6.0 scoreless innings.

That one dazzling start is skewing his numbers quite a bit, but I know the Rockies are a far more favourable matchup than tonight’s opponents, the Mets.

The Rockies have the second-highest K rate in the majors (26.5%). They also have MLB’s highest whiff rate vs. sliders (37.6%), according to Baseball Savant, and that is Strider’s primary put-away pitch.

The Mets, meanwhile, have the league’s fifth-lowest K rate (20.3%) and the third-lowest whiff rate against sliders (28.9%).

Familiarity is also on the Mets’ side, too. The current New York lineup has seen Strider for a combined 93 plate appearances, logging just a 21.5 K% in those opportunities. For context, the league-average K rate is 22.0%.

New York’s active lineup is 26-for-80 with a .563 SLG against Strider. So even if he’s somewhat efficient, the Mets could chase him from the game early.

Key stat: Prior to facing the Rockies, Strider went under 6.5 Ks in four of five starts.

Embed: #114957

Best MLB picks

Caminero over 1.5 total bases (+125): Caminero came alive last night to help the Rays overcome an eight-run deficit and beat the Orioles. He went 4-for-5 and drove in two.

The 21-year-old is now on quite the offensive run over his past 25 games:

  • .323 BA
  • .697 SLG
  • 2.76 bases/game
  • 2+ bases in 15 of 25

So far this month, he’s not even performing as well as Baseball Savant thinks he should be. That’s a scary thought for opposing teams.

Caminero has a .258 BA in June, versus a .290 xBA. He only has a 12.7 K% this month and is clearly seeing the ball well.

Rooker over 1.5 total bases (-108): Rooker is mashing lefties about as well as anyone this year. Backing him at home against a southpaw is typically a worthwhile play.

The A’s slugger has a .328/.426/.655 slash line against left-handers this season, good for a 203 wRC+ (fifth in MLB).

He’s also on a stellar run since May 22:

  • .357 BA
  • .602 SLG
  • 2.27 bases/game
  • 2+ bases in 13 of 26

The Athletics’ home field, Sutter Health Park, ranks as the second-friendliest offensive environment, per Baseball Savant.

Look for Rooker to let it fly with Astros rookie LHP Colton Gordon on the mound.

MLB prop picks made at 9:35 a.m. ET on 06/19/2025.