The Los Angeles Dodgers are gunning for a four-game home sweep against the San Diego Padres on Thursday night.
The pregame narrative: L.A. survived a ninth-inning rally from San Diego last night and is now 5-1 against its divisional rival this season. In Thursday’s series finale, Yoshinobu Yamamoto and the Dodgers are heavy favourites to win.
Check out my Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets for June 19, featuring Fernando Tatis Jr. and Freddie Freeman.
Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets
Best Bet: Tatis over 0.5 runs (-118)
Even though he’s going through a bit of a power outage this month, Tatis is still finding his way around the basepaths.
In 16 games this month, Tatis has scored 16 runs — despite posting just a .362 SLG.
He has fewer strikeouts in June (11) than he has walks and hits by pitch (13). That’s certainly a boon to the on-base percentage.
As a whole this season, Tatis has once again established himself as an upper-tier hitter in terms of contact quality.
The outfielder ranks in the 84th percentile or better in xBA, xSLG, hard-hit rate and average exit velocity.
Backing Tatis to score at plus money feels like a bargain, especially when you consider that L.A.’s Yamamoto isn’t in peak form right now.
Over his past seven outings, Yamamoto has a 4.46 ERA in 38.1 innings.
Also, Yamamoto allowed eight runs on eight hits against the Padres last year in just 6.0 innings. And Tatis is 3-for-5 with a double and a walk against him.
Key Stat: Tatis has scored a run in seven of his past nine games.
Best MLB picks
Freeman under 1.5 total bases (-130): Freeman’s .944 OPS this year makes him a risky fade candidate in any given game, but I think this is a reasonable time to back the under.
It’s been a messy month so far for Freeman, who’s batting .219 with 18 total bases in 17 games.
He’ll face rookie right-hander Ryan Bergert tonight, who has a 2.33 ERA through 19.1 innings. Freeman, like the rest of the Dodgers, will be seeing Bergert for the first time.
It’s a tiny sample, but Bergert has been particularly tough on left-hitting players so far this season. LHHs are just 3-for-32 (.094) with 10 strikeouts against him.
Padres vs. Dodgers prop bets made at 3:37 p.m. ET on 06/19/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.