Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

Kevin Durant next team NBA odds: Heat and Rockets favoured, Raptors have 12-to-1 odds

Entering the 2025 NBA offseason, Kevin Durant is once again the headliner in trade discussions.

The latest: This is nothing new for Durant, who’s been traded twice since 2019. The 15-time all-star is expected to be moved sometime before the new season begins, and a pair of Texas teams are among the favourites to land him.

Check out our latest Durant next team odds as of June 18.

Durant next team odds

Click linked odds to add selection to betslip. Note: Lines changed/market no longer available if grey.

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Team	Betting odds
Miami Heat	+200
Houston Rockets	+200
San Antonio Spurs	+250
Minnesota TImberwolves	+400
Phoenix Suns	+800
Toronto Raptors	+1,200
New York Knicks	+2,000
Cleveland Cavaliers	+3,000

Durant next team odds as of 3:30 p.m. on 06/18/2025.

Latest rumours

Durant can’t exactly dictate where he might be traded, but he can still voice his opinion on the matter. According to ESPN’s Shams Charania, Durant has identified the Heat, Rockets and Spurs as his “preferred trade destinations.” It’s believed that any of those teams would commit to Durant beyond the 2025-26 season.

On June 17, reporter Marc Stein told Sportsnet that the Suns are “trying to get back as much as they can” in dealing Durant. That might seem obvious in any trade scenario, but it also means they may not simply send him to one of his preferred spots. Durant is signed for the upcoming season at a cap hit of $57.4 million.

The Timberwolves are among the teams with the shortest odds to land Durant. But team sources told The Athletic that they aren’t interested in adding him unless he’s on board with the move.

On June 16, The Athletic reported that the Rockets have presented the Suns with a “firm offer,” but that Phoenix was “seriously underwhelmed” by it. The Spurs, meanwhile, have reportedly been conservative in Durant discussions.

Raptors odds to sign Durant

It worked with Kawhi Leonard … could it work again?

Leonard was dealt to the Raptors ahead of their storybook 2018-19 season, and the free-agent-to-be was the superstar Toronto needed to achieve its championship dreams.

He bolted for Los Angeles shortly thereafter, but that’s a price worth paying when the result is an NBA title.

There’s no indication that Durant wants to play for Toronto, so acquiring him would likely be a one-and-done deal, too.

Durant had remarkable shooting splits in his age-36 season (52.7/43.0/83.9), but are the Raptors one major piece away from NBA Finals contention?

Coming off a 30-win season that landed the team in the lottery, it doesn’t seem that way. This might be more of a long shot than the 12-to-1 odds indicate.

Heat, Rockets favoured to acquire Durant

Unsurprisingly, Durant’s reportedly preferred landing spots have the shortest odds to reel in the four-time scoring champ.

That’s because those are the only teams that can confidently expect to negotiate with Durant beyond the 2025-26 season.

Houston’s intrigue starts with the fact that it owns some pretty important Phoenix draft capital. The Rockets have the Suns’ 2025 first (No. 10), 2027 first and swap rights to their 2029 first.

From a player standpoint, Jalen Green could be a feasible headliner. Rising sophomore Reed Sheppard, meanwhile, is an intriguing asset whose opportunities were limited by the Rockets’ deep lineup.

After back-to-back first-round exits following their 2023 run to the NBA Finals, Miami might feel that Durant can put the team back into legitimate contender status. Remember, the Eastern Conference is in flux in the wake of Jayson Tatum’s injury and Giannis Antetokounmpo’s trade rumours.

The question is whether Miami can assemble a package that entices Phoenix, given that the Heat have minimal draft picks. Kel’el Ware had an encouraging rookie season, so maybe he’d be in the mix.

Let’s not forget about San Antonio, a team any player should want to play for now that Victor Wembanyama is rounding into superstar form. Also, Durant played his college ball less than two hours up the road in Austin.

The Spurs already made a timeline-advancing trade this past season by acquiring De’Aaron Fox, so maybe they decide to keep their foot on the gas. With two top-15 picks in the 2025 draft and nine extra second-rounders between 2026-31, there’s a lot of draft capital to play with. Not to mention guys like Jeremy Sochan and Keldon Johnson who can contribute for the Suns right away.

Padres vs. Dodgers SGP predictions June 18: Bet on Ohtani to fuel offence in +290 parlay

There’s been no shortage of offence so far in the season series between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres.

The pregame narrative: L.A. is 4-1 vs. San Diego this season, putting its league-best offence to good use. The Dodgers have scored 14 runs so far through two games in this week’s series. With a lineup featuring Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Teoscar Hernandez and more, that’s hardly a surprise.

Check out my Padres vs. Dodgers predictions, including Ohtani and Gavin Sheets.

Padres vs. Dodgers predictions

Parlay: Over 8.5 runs | Ohtani over 1.5 total bases | Sheets over 0.5 hits (+290)

Over 8.5 runs (-167): Tonight’s pitching matchup is about as anonymous as it gets for a marquee series like this.

San Diego’s Stephen Kolek is a 28-year-old with fewer than 100 career MLB innings. L.A.’s Emmet Sheehan, meanwhile, is making just his 14th big-league appearance (and first since 2023 after undergoing Tommy John surgery).

I think the lineups should absolutely have the upper hand.

The Dodgers have the highest overs rate in MLB (44-29-1, 60.3%), per Team Rankings.

L.A. leads the majors in runs per game (5.58) and OPS (.801).

In five matchups this month, the Dodgers and Padres are averaging 11.4 total runs and are 4-1 vs. this total.

Given that tonight marks the sixth head-to-head meeting between these teams in just 10 days, both lineups should be fully familiar with the bullpens they’ll face, too.

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MLB SGP legs

Ohtani over 1.5 total bases (-132): Ohtani went hitless last night, but he’s been routinely crushing the ball and is fully deserving of this price.

Ohtani leads the NL in home runs (25), SLG (.634) and total bases (182).

He’s averaging 2.53 total bases per game.

Prior to last night’s dud, Ohtani had gone over 1.5 bases in 14 of 21 games. He posted a .313/.411/.675 slash line in that span.

Left-hitting players have a .488 SLG against Kolek this year, and Ohtani is the best left-hitting player in the world.

Sheets over 0.5 hits (-137): Having escaped the doldrums of the Chicago White Sox organization, Sheets is having himself a solid year.

The first-year Padre is batting a career-high .268 while posting a 53.8% hard-hit rate (94th percentile, per Baseball Savant).

He has cashed this bet in 35 of 59 starts (59.3%) and enters tonight on a six-game hitting streak.

It’s difficult to know what to expect from Sheehan, but lefty hitters did have a solid .742 OPS against him in his 2023 rookie season.

Padres vs. Dodgers predictions made at 1:30 p.m. ET on 06/18/2025.

Best MLB prop bets June 18: Misiorowski has value in his second MLB start

There’s a full slate of MLB action on Wednesday night, and I’m indirectly backing Tarik Skubal in one of my three picks.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Skubal, who’s facing the Pittsburgh Pirates, has been basically untouchable over the past month — especially for lefties. Elsewhere, Milwaukee Brewers youngster Jacob Misiorowski looks to build off a dazzling MLB debut.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 18, also featuring Jose Altuve.

MLB prop bets

Best Bet: Cruz under 0.5 hits (-106)

To get a hit, you have to put the ball in play. I’m not confident in Cruz doing that in tonight’s matchup against Tarik Skubal.

Among 158 qualified hitters vs. left-handed pitching, Cruz ranks …

155th in K rate (37.7%)
24th in walk rate (14.3%)

That means 52.0% of his plate appearances against LHPs finish without a ball in play — the third-highest rate in the majors.

Now add in the fact that the nastiest left-hander in the sport, Tarik Skubal, is on the mound tonight.

Skubal has held left-hitting players to 12 hits (.156 BA) while posting 26 strikeouts (32.9 K%) so far.

And he’s been absurdly effective in his past four starts: 30.2 innings, 15 hits, one run, 32 Ks.

You think Cruz is going to flip the script in a lefty-lefty matchup against arguably the best pitcher in the world? I don’t. And a plus-money price for him to stay hitless looks like a bargain.

Key stat: Cruz is 8-for-65 (.123) vs. LHPs this year with 29 strikeouts.

Best MLB picks

Altuve over 0.5 RBI (+140): This has been a season of great upheaval for Altuve, as he finally relinquished his starting post at second base along with the leadoff spot in the Astros’ order.

But as Altuve bounces between left field, designated hitter and second base on the fielding side of things, it seems he’s found a home in the No. 3 spot of Houston’s lineup.

After sliding from leadoff to No. 2, Altuve moved into the No. 3 spot on May 19 — and he’s been raking ever since.

26 games
.320 BA
.922 OPS
17 RBI

I wanted a way to back someone on Houston in the hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park, where the Athletics have temporarily claimed a home.

Sutter is 25% more offence-friendly than the average stadium this year, per Baseball Savant.

A’s starter Luis Severino knows that all too well. In nine home starts, he has a 7.10 ERA and an .819 opponent OPS.

Misiorowski over 4.5 Ks (-125): Misiorowski was even better than advertised in his MLB debut on June 12, tossing 5.0 hitless innings (with five strikeouts) against the Cardinals.

During his debut, Misiorowski touched 102 mph with his fastball and garnered a 35.1% whiff rate. For context, only 16 MLB pitchers have a higher whiff rate than that in 2025.

The consensus top-100 prospect slipped on the mound early in the sixth inning and exited due to cramping. He was only at 86 pitches, so clearly there was more left in the tank.

With stuff as potent as what Misiorowski has, I think this is a very doable number. The Chicago Cubs aren’t a high-strikeout team, but they also haven’t seen this 6-foot-7 flamethrower in action yet.

MLB prop picks made at 1:45 p.m. ET on 06/18/2025.

Best MLB prop bets June 18: Misiorowski has value in his second MLB start

There’s a full slate of MLB action on Wednesday night, and I’m indirectly backing Tarik Skubal in one of my three picks.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Skubal, who’s facing the Pittsburgh Pirates, has been basically untouchable over the past month — especially for lefties. Elsewhere, Milwaukee Brewers youngster Jacob Misiorowski looks to build off a dazzling MLB debut.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 18, also featuring Jose Altuve.

MLB prop bets

Best Bet: Oneil Cruz under 0.5 hits (+108)

To get a hit, you have to put the ball in play. I’m not confident in Cruz doing that in tonight’s matchup against Tarik Skubal.

Among 158 qualified hitters vs. left-handed pitching, Cruz ranks …

155th in K rate (37.7%)
24th in walk rate (14.3%)

That means 52.0% of his plate appearances against LHPs finish without a ball in play — the third-highest rate in the majors.

Now add in the fact that the nastiest left-hander in the sport, Skubal, is on the mound tonight.

Skubal has held left-hitting players to 12 hits (.156 BA) while posting 26 strikeouts (32.9 K%) so far.

And he’s been absurdly effective in his past four starts: 30.2 innings, 15 hits, one run, 32 Ks.

You think Cruz is going to flip the script in a lefty-lefty matchup against arguably the best pitcher in the world? I don’t. And a plus-money price for him to stay hitless looks like a bargain.

Key stat: Cruz is 8-for-65 (.123) vs. LHPs this year with 29 strikeouts.

Embed: #114936

Best MLB picks

Altuve over 0.5 RBI (+130): This has been a season of great upheaval for Altuve, as he finally relinquished his starting post at second base along with the leadoff spot in the Astros’ order.

But as Altuve bounces between left field, designated hitter and second base on the fielding side of things, it seems he’s found a home in the No. 3 spot of Houston’s lineup.

After sliding from leadoff to No. 2, Altuve moved into the No. 3 spot on May 19 — and he’s been raking ever since.

26 games
.320 BA
.922 OPS
17 RBI

I wanted a way to back someone on Houston in the hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park, where the Athletics have temporarily claimed a home.

Sutter is 25% more offence-friendly than the average stadium this year, per Baseball Savant.

A’s starter Luis Severino knows that all too well. In nine home starts, he has a 7.10 ERA and an .819 opponent OPS.

Misiorowski over 4.5 Ks (-122): Misiorowski was even better than advertised in his MLB debut on June 12, tossing 5.0 hitless innings (with five strikeouts) against the Cardinals.

During his debut, Misiorowski touched 102 mph with his fastball and garnered a 35.1% whiff rate. For context, only 16 MLB pitchers have a higher whiff rate than that in 2025.

The consensus top-100 prospect slipped on the mound early in the sixth inning and exited due to cramping. He was only at 86 pitches, so clearly there was more left in the tank.

With stuff as potent as what Misiorowski has, I think this is a very doable number. The Chicago Cubs aren’t a high-strikeout team, but they also haven’t seen this 6-foot-7 flamethrower in action yet.

MLB prop picks made at 11:55 a.m. ET on 06/18/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks best bet June 18: Bet on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to score

The Toronto Blue Jays won in dramatic fashion on Tuesday night, and now they’ll look to pick up a series win on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. helped fuel the comeback victory with a three-hit, three-RBI night against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Tonight, with Vlad Jr. looking to stay hot, Eric Lauer will take the ball for the Jays.

Check out my Blue Jays best bet vs. the Diamondbacks for June 18.

Blue Jays best bet vs. Diamondbacks

Best Bet: Guerrero over 0.5 runs (-106)

This bet cashed last night, and I feel good about running it back.

As was the case in the series opener, the Diamondbacks send out another struggling starter to the mound at Rogers Centre tonight. This time, it’s Eduardo Rodriguez (2-3, 6.27 ERA).

In fairness to Rodriguez, his two starts since returning from an injured list stint have been better: 11.1 innings, 12 hits, four runs, eight strikeouts.

That’s not exactly dominant, though, and I wouldn’t say it wipes away what has been a season of mediocrity.

The left-hander ranks between the 40th and 60th percentile in xBA, xERA, whiff rate and chase rate, per Baseball Savant.

Guerrero has had plenty of looks at E-Rod, batting 5-for-15 with three walks (.444 OBP).

This is about more than just the individual matchup, though.

Guerrero is crushing left-handed pitching this year, posting a 173 wRC+ in that matchup (15th in MLB).

Coming off a three-hit game last night, Guerrero is 10-6 vs. this prop since May 29.

Key stat: Since May 1, Guerrero has scored in 27 of 41 games (65.9%), posting a .393 OBP in that span.

Blue Jays best bet made at 8:45 a.m. ET on 06/18/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks prop picks June 18: Bet on Guerrero to score, fade Lauer’s Ks prop

The Toronto Blue Jays won in dramatic fashion on Tuesday night, and now they’ll look to pick up a series win on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. helped fuel the comeback victory with a three-hit, three-RBI night against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Tonight, with Vlad Jr. looking to stay hot, Eric Lauer will take the ball for the Jays.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Diamondbacks for June 18.

Blue Jays picks vs. Diamondbacks

Best Bet: Guerrero over 0.5 runs (-112)

This bet cashed last night, and I feel good about running it back.

As was the case in the series opener, the Diamondbacks send out another struggling starter to the mound at Rogers Centre tonight. This time, it’s Eduardo Rodriguez (2-3, 6.27 ERA).

In fairness to Rodriguez, his two starts since returning from an injured list stint have been better: 11.1 innings, 12 hits, four runs, eight strikeouts.

That’s not exactly dominant, though, and I wouldn’t say it wipes away what has been a season of mediocrity.

The left-hander ranks between the 40th and 60th percentile in xBA, xERA, whiff rate and chase rate, per Baseball Savant.

Guerrero has had plenty of looks at E-Rod, batting 5-for-15 with three walks (.444 OBP).

This is about more than just the individual matchup, though.

Guerrero is crushing left-handed pitching this year, posting a 173 wRC+ in that matchup (15th in MLB).

Coming off a three-hit game last night, Guerrero is 10-6 vs. this prop since May 29.

Key stat: Since May 1, Guerrero has scored in 27 of 41 games (65.9%), posting a .393 OBP in that span.

Embed: #114924

Quick pick

Lauer under 3.5 Ks (-121): This is obviously a very low line for a starting pitcher, but I still see a compelling recipe for an under.

In eight outings as either a starter or bulk reliever, Lauer has averaged 3.5 Ks per game.

The Diamondbacks have the lowest K rate in the majors vs. left-handed pitching (17.6%).

Lauer has worked no more than 4.2 innings in any outing this season.

Given his seemingly capped workload, Lauer will have to be decently efficient to clear this mark. And that’s a tough task against a high-contact opponent like Arizona.

Lauer’s primary put-away pitch is his curveball, which has garnered a 32.1% whiff rate this season. Arizona’s whiff rate against lefty curveballs is just 25.0% (fourth-lowest in MLB).

Blue Jays picks made at 8:45 a.m. ET on 06/18/2025.

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CFL 2025 Week 3 odds and betting lines: Stampeders push for 3-0 start, Lions await Rourke’s status

The Calgary Stampeders look to stay unbeaten in the early stages of a new season as home favourites in Week 3.

The latest: Calgary only won five games last year en route to the worst record in the CFL. But after back-to-back wins as underdogs, the Stamps have a decent shot to spring to a 3-0 mark in 2025.

Check out the latest CFL Week 3 odds for the start of the 2025 season, beginning Thursday, June 19.

CFL Week 3 odds

Alouettes (-239) vs. Elks (+195)
Spread: Montreal -5.5 (-106)
Date: June 19 at 7 p.m. MT

Roughriders (-154) vs. Argonauts (+130)
Spread: Saskatchewan -2.5 (-120)
Date: June 20 at 5:30 p.m. MT

Redblacks (-110) vs. Stampeders (-110)
Spread: PK
Date: June 21 at 2 p.m. MT

Blue Bombers (-143) vs. Lions (+120)
Spread: Winnipeg -2.5 (-112)
Date: June 21 at 5 p.m. MT

Full CFL betting markets

Week 3 betting notes

The Alouettes steamrolled their first two opponents — including the defending champion Argonauts — posting a pair of victories by a combined 39 points. Montreal’s strong defence buoyed the team to an East Division title last year, and so far, the Als have allowed a league-low 255.5 net yards per game.

Toronto isn’t going to start 0-3 in its title defence season … right? Well, the Argonauts are home underdogs against the Roughriders, who’ve covered both games as favourites to start their season. Two ex-Argos, A.J. Ouellette and Ka’Deem Carey, will man the backfield for the Riders on Friday night.

Calgary has proven all it possibly could through two weeks, with a pair of underdog wins by 10-plus points. Although Ottawa is 0-2 to start, its offence remains dangerous under Dru Brown. Dating back to last season, Brown has thrown for 400-plus yards in four straight starts (he missed last week due to injury but is expected back in Week 3).

BC faces Winnipeg for the second time in as many weeks, and the injury status of Nathan Rourke is worth watching out for. Rourke, who leads all CFL quarterbacks in passing yards, passing TDs and rushing yards, exited during BC’s Week 2 loss with an apparent oblique injury. Winnipeg is now 9-3 vs. BC since the start of the 2022 season.

The current expectation is for Nathan Rourke to take part in #BCLions day 1 practice on Tuesday, in some fashion. Probably limited. Still too early to tell if he will play on Saturday vs #Bombers, but there is some optimism as of now pic.twitter.com/1i4XRdWkTw
— Farhan Lalji (@FarhanLaljiTSN) June 17, 2025

CFL Week 3 odds as of 4:05 p.m. on 06/17/2025.

CFL 2025 Week 3 odds and betting lines: Stampeders push for 3-0 start, Lions await Rourke’s status

The Calgary Stampeders look to stay unbeaten in the early stages of a new season as home favourites in Week 3.

The latest: Calgary only won five games last year en route to the worst record in the CFL. But after back-to-back wins as underdogs, the Stamps have a decent shot to spring to a 3-0 mark in 2025.

Check out the latest CFL Week 3 odds for the start of the 2025 season, beginning Thursday, June 19.

CFL Week 3 odds

Alouettes vs. Elks

Embed: #114903

Roughriders vs. Argonauts

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Redblacks vs. Stampeders

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Blue Bombers vs. Lions

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Full CFL betting markets

Week 3 betting notes

The Alouettes steamrolled their first two opponents — including the defending champion Argonauts — posting a pair of victories by a combined 39 points. Montreal’s strong defence buoyed the team to an East Division title last year, and so far, the Als have allowed a league-low 255.5 net yards per game.

Toronto isn’t going to start 0-3 in its title defence season … right? Well, the Argonauts are home underdogs against the Roughriders, who’ve covered both games as favourites to start their season. Two ex-Argos, A.J. Ouellette and Ka’Deem Carey, will man the backfield for the Riders on Friday night.

Calgary has proven all it possibly could through two weeks, with a pair of underdog wins by 10-plus points. Although Ottawa is 0-2 to start, its offence remains dangerous under Dru Brown. Dating back to last season, Brown has thrown for 400-plus yards in four straight starts (he missed last week due to injury but is expected back in Week 3).

BC faces Winnipeg for the second time in as many weeks, and the injury status of Nathan Rourke is worth watching out for. Rourke, who leads all CFL quarterbacks in passing yards, passing TDs and rushing yards, exited during BC’s Week 2 loss with an apparent oblique injury. Winnipeg is now 9-3 vs. BC since the start of the 2022 season.

The current expectation is for Nathan Rourke to take part in #BCLions day 1 practice on Tuesday, in some fashion. Probably limited. Still too early to tell if he will play on Saturday vs #Bombers, but there is some optimism as of now pic.twitter.com/1i4XRdWkTw
— Farhan Lalji (@FarhanLaljiTSN) June 17, 2025

CFL Week 3 odds as of 1:10 p.m. on 06/17/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks prop picks June 17: Bet on Guerrero, Suarez to drive offence

The Toronto Blue Jays open a three-game series at Rogers Centre on Tuesday night against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The pregame narrative: Brandon Pfaadt (8-4, 5.50 ERA) has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball this year, and he’s struggled the most in road starts. Toronto is 9-1 in its past 10 home games, with series wins over the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Diamondbacks for June 17, with predictions on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Eugenio Suarez.

Blue Jays picks vs. Diamondbacks

Best Bet: Guerrero over 0.5 runs (-118)

Toronto’s offence should be able to get to Pfaadt. I mean, pretty much everybody else has.

Pfaadt has the third-worst expected batting average (.331) and the fifth-worst expected ERA (7.22) in the majors. He has a 7.80 ERA over his past seven starts, so the nightmarish xERA is holding up.

On the road, Pfaadt has allowed 28 runs in seven starts. Toronto’s offence has no excuse tonight, and Guerrero should be one of the key offensive drivers.

I’m always hesitant to back Guerrero over 1.5 total bases because he walks a lot (89th percentile, per Baseball Savant) and has an underwhelming .414 SLG.

But from the No. 2 spot in the Blue Jays’ order, Guerrero has excelled at finding a way on base and coming around to score.

He has 1+ runs in 38 of 70 games (54.3%).

Guerrero’s xBA (.321) ranks second in the majors behind only Aaron Judge. Vladdy is also seventh in MLB in xwOBA (.407).

In the range of even money, I think there’s plenty of value on this prop given the compelling matchup.

Key stat: Since the start of May, Guerrero has scored in 26 of 40 games, posting a .385 OBP in that span.

Quick pick

Suarez over 1.5 hits/runs/RBI (-106): Suarez has a lot of all-or-nothing in his swing profile, but he usually only needs one good hack to cash this bet.

The third baseman is only batting .233, but he has a .527 SLG with 21 home runs (fifth in MLB).

Entering tonight, Suarez has homered in three of his past four games and is 8-5 vs. this prop in June.

Chris Bassitt has a low walk rate (5.5%, 86th percentile) and a league-average K rate (22.5%, 53rd percentile), so Suarez should have an opportunity or two to barrel something up.

Suarez is 3-for-8 with a home run and two doubles in his career vs. Bassitt.

Blue Jays picks made at 11:45 a.m. ET on 06/17/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks prop picks June 17: Bet on Guerrero, Suarez to drive offence

The Toronto Blue Jays open a three-game series at Rogers Centre on Tuesday night against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The pregame narrative: Brandon Pfaadt (8-4, 5.50 ERA) has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball this year, and he’s struggled the most in road starts. Toronto is 9-1 in its past 10 home games, with series wins over the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Diamondbacks for June 17, with predictions on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Eugenio Suarez.

Blue Jays picks vs. Diamondbacks

Best Bet: Guerrero over 0.5 runs (-106)

Toronto’s offence should be able to get to Pfaadt. I mean, pretty much everybody else has.

Pfaadt has the third-worst expected batting average (.331) and the fifth-worst expected ERA (7.22) in the majors. He has a 7.80 ERA over his past seven starts, so the nightmarish xERA is holding up.

On the road, Pfaadt has allowed 28 runs in seven starts. Toronto’s offence has no excuse tonight, and Guerrero should be one of the key offensive drivers.

I’m always hesitant to back Guerrero over 1.5 total bases because he walks a lot (89th percentile, per Baseball Savant) and has an underwhelming .414 SLG.

But from the No. 2 spot in the Blue Jays’ order, Guerrero has excelled at finding a way on base and coming around to score.

He has 1+ runs in 38 of 70 games (54.3%).

Guerrero’s xBA (.321) ranks second in the majors behind only Aaron Judge. Vladdy is also seventh in MLB in xwOBA (.407).

In the range of even money, I think there’s plenty of value on this prop given the compelling matchup.

Key stat: Since the start of May, Guerrero has scored in 26 of 40 games, posting a .385 OBP in that span.

Embed: #114901

Quick pick

Suarez over 1.5 total bases (+130): Suarez has a lot of all-or-nothing in his swing profile, but he usually only needs one good hack to cash this bet.

The third baseman is only batting .233, but he has a .527 SLG with 21 home runs (fifth in MLB).

Entering tonight, Suarez has homered in three of his past four games and is 8-5 vs. this prop in June.

Chris Bassitt has a low walk rate (5.5%, 86th percentile) and a league-average K rate (22.5%, 53rd percentile), so Suarez should have an opportunity or two to barrel something up.

Suarez is 3-for-8 with a home run and two doubles in his career vs. Bassitt.

Blue Jays picks made at 11:45 a.m. ET on 06/17/2025.