After sustaining their first loss of the season last week, the Minnesota Vikings are on the road against the Los Angeles Rams for Thursday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: Minnesota’s offence continues to hum, and I like the over on its team total in this primetime matchup. On the other side, look for Tutu Atwell to continue to produce in L.A.’s aerial attack.
Check out my Vikings vs. Rams best bets for the Week 8 Thursday Night Football matchup.
Vikings vs. Rams best bets
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Best bet: Atwell over 39.5 receiving yards (-114)
It’s taken some time for Atwell to blossom, but the 2021 second-round draftee is finally coming into his own.
Coming off a team-high nine targets, Atwell appears to have carved out a solid role for himself in the Rams’ depleted receiving room. He has four or more receptions in four consecutive games, clearing the 50-yard mark in each of those.
Listed at just 5-foot-9 and 165 pounds, Atwell may seem best suited for an underneath role. But he’s a speedster on the outside and is no stranger to running vertical routes.
From Weeks 3-5, Atwell saw more than 75 air yards in each game, per Player Profiler (data for his Week 7 performance wasn’t available as of this writing).
Cooper Kupp (ankle) practiced in full to start the week and is expected to return on Thursday. Kupp’s presence should eat into Atwell’s target share, but I also expect their play styles to complement each other, given that Kupp handles more of the underneath and crossing routes.
Also, Kupp is a player the Rams are reportedly interested in trading before the Nov. 5 deadline.
Will L.A. give him a full workload in his first game in six weeks, especially with a possible trade looming? I’m not so sure.
Either way, Atwell has become a reliable target for Matthew Stafford and I think he can hit this mark again.
Key stat: Atwell has gained 40-plus receiving yards in five consecutive games.
Quick pick
Vikings over 24.5 points (-112): Offence wasn’t the issue in the Vikings’ first loss of the season.
Sam Darnold turned in another efficient performance last week, Justin Jefferson starred as he usually does, and Aaron Jones looked great after being a game-time decision.
Minnesota has scored 23-plus points in every game this season and has cashed this over in four of six. Now the Vikes face a Rams team that ranks 26th in defensive EPA per play, and I think this is a good spot for them to keep feasting.
L.A. has only allowed two of its six opponents to go over 24.5 points … but three others finished with exactly 24.
More than anything, it was encouraging to see a strong effort on Sunday from Jones (14 carries, 93 yards, one TD). And there’s a chance T.J. Hockenson returns, which would add another layer to an offence that already knows how to create plenty of headaches.
Picks made at 3:15 p.m. ET 10/22/2024.