Jordan Horrobin

Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.

Steelers vs. Browns Week 12 TNF prop picks: Jeudy, Harris both have chance to shine on Thursday Night Football

Browns vs. Steelers prop picks

The red-hot Pittsburgh Steelers hit the road to face the Cleveland Browns in an all-AFC-North instalment of Thursday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Jerry Jeudy seems to have gelled right away with Cleveland’s new starting quarterback, and I like Jeudy to continue hauling in passes. Elsewhere, look for at least one chunk play from Cedric Tillman and for Najee Harris to cash in on ample red zone opportunities.

Check out my Steelers vs. Browns prop picks for Thursday Night Football on Nov. 21.

Steelers vs. Browns prop picks

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Best Bet: Jeudy over 3.5 receptions (-127)

Jameis Winston has thrown 40-plus passes in all three of his starts this year, which has led to a healthy target share for pretty much every Cleveland receiver.

If he keeps that up, it’ll be great news for Jeudy and Co. But even if the volume comes back to Earth a bit, I like the Browns’ WR1 to still see ample looks.

Jeudy has been Cleveland’s steadiest receiver with Winston under centre while also flashing his big-play ability.

In each of the past three games, Jeudy has …

  • 8+ targets
  • 5+ catches
  • 70+ yards

Last week, he exploded for 142 yards on six catches, highlighted by an 89-yard touchdown. That type of effort helps a receiver stay on a quarterback’s good side.

Pittsburgh has one of the NFL’s top defences, ranking No. 2 in scoring and No. 8 in yards allowed. But the Steelers’ best work is in stopping the ground game, not the aerial attack.

The Steelers allow the 18th-most passing yards per game on the 12th-most yards per attempt. By contrast, they’re fourth in rush yards per game and fifth in yards per rush.

Look for Winston and the Browns to continue sending a high volume of targets toward Jeudy in an effort to crack a tough Pittsburgh D.

Key stat: Jeudy leads the Browns in targets (72) and yards (560). He’s averaging 3.9 catches per game.

Quick pick

Tillman longest reception – Over 18.5 yards (-114): While I like Jeudy as a volume play for Cleveland, I view Tillman as more of a home run hitter.

  • Tillman only caught three of eight targets last week, but two of them went for 20+ yards
  • He now has four catches of 20+ yards in three weeks with Winston at QB

It’s clear the Browns are scheming some deep targets for Tillman, a second-year wideout from Tennessee who was drafted in the third round.

In three straight games before last week, Tillman saw 115-plus air yards each game, per Player Profiler.

Harris anytime TD (+100): Pittsburgh has two wins this year without scoring a touchdown, and Thursday’s over/under (36.5 points) suggests another ugly game is in the offing.

But if someone is going to score, it should be Harris. And at even-money odds, I’ll take that bet.

Harris only has three TDs this year, but they’ve all come in his past five games. And he’s had some fantastic red zone opportunities in that span:

  • 4.4 red zone rushes/game
  • 2+ carries inside the 10-yard line each game
  • 1+ carries inside the 5-yard line each game

The Browns’ rush defence has been woeful this year, allowing 4.8 yards per attempt (27th in the NFL) and 14 TDs (29th). If the volume of top-quality carries persists, Harris should be able to capitalize.

Picks made at 12:15 p.m. ET 11/20/2024.

Hawks vs. Warriors prop picks Nov. 20: Bet on Steph Curry to cook against Atlanta

Hawks vs. Warriors prop picks

The Atlanta Hawks wrap up their West Coast road trip tonight against Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors.

The pregame narrative: Curry’s points prop is my favourite bet of the night as he draws a really compelling matchup. I’m also looking for Dyson Daniels to continue being a defensive menace and for Clint Capela to have an impact as a rebounder.

Check out my Hawks vs. Warriors prop picks for Nov. 20.

Hawks vs. Warriors prop picks

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Best Bet: Curry over 25.5 points (-125)

After missing three games with an ankle injury, Curry has come back with impressive efficiency. Look at his splits over his past seven matchups:

  • 50.0 FG%
  • 43.5 3PT%
  • 92.0 FT%

That’s resulted in 25.0 PPG this month, and it would be higher if not for a couple of minutes limitations caused by blowouts.

Curry sat out the fourth quarter on Nov. 15 against Memphis as his Warriors cruised to victory. His playing time was also cut short in a 19-point loss against Cleveland on Nov. 8.

A blowout is a risk tonight, as Golden State is an 8.5-point home favourite against Atlanta. But if that’s the case, hopefully it’s because Curry puts up some big numbers early that leads to the separation.

Opposing guards tend to love their matchup against the Hawks, and why not? Guards are shooting an NBA-best 39.9% from 3-point range against Atlanta.

Curry is attempting just south of 10.0 threes per game, so his opportunity to rack up points from deep is tantalizing.

The Hawks have already found this out the hard way.

In Curry’s past five games against Atlanta (since 2021), he’s scored 30-plus points four times while averaging 6.2 threes.

Key stat: Curry has gone over 25.5 points in four of his past six games. Also, he’s averaged 27.9 PPG at home since the 2022-23 season.

Quick pick

Capela over 7.5 rebounds (-150): Though he doesn’t play massive minutes, Capela grabs plenty of boards as the Hawks’ starting centre. There’s a lot of juice on this over, but that’s because of how attainable is it for a guy averaging 8.2 rebounds/game.

The 6-foot-10 veteran is on a roll right now, going over 7.5 rebounds in six straight matchups.

Atlanta and Golden State are both playing at top-five paces in the NBA right now, which should make for a game with plenty of possessions. And plenty of rebounds.

  • GSW allows the most rebounds/game to opposing centres (18.1), per Betting Pros
  • GSW allows the seventh-most rebounds/game overall (45.6)
  • Capela has 9+ rebounds in 6/7 games vs. GSW since 2021

Picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET 11/20/2024.

Hawks vs. Warriors prop picks Nov. 20: Bet on Steph Curry to cook against Atlanta

Hawks vs. Warriors prop picks

The Atlanta Hawks wrap up their West Coast road trip tonight against Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors.

The pregame narrative: Curry’s points prop is my favourite bet of the night as he draws a really compelling matchup. I’m also looking for Dyson Daniels to continue being a defensive menace and for Clint Capela to have an impact as a rebounder.

Check out my Hawks vs. Warriors prop picks for Nov. 20.

Hawks vs. Warriors prop picks

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Embed: #100875

Best Bet: Curry over 25.5 points (-122)

After missing three games with an ankle injury, Curry has come back with impressive efficiency. Look at his splits over his past seven matchups:

  • 50.0 FG%
  • 43.5 3PT%
  • 92.0 FT%

That’s resulted in 25.0 PPG this month, and it would be higher if not for a couple of minutes limitations caused by blowouts.

Curry sat out the fourth quarter on Nov. 15 against Memphis as his Warriors cruised to victory. His playing time was also cut short in a 19-point loss against Cleveland on Nov. 8.

A blowout is a risk tonight, as Golden State is an 8.5-point home favourite against Atlanta. But if that’s the case, hopefully it’s because Curry puts up some big numbers early that leads to the separation.

Opposing guards tend to love their matchup against the Hawks, and why not? Guards are shooting an NBA-best 39.9% from 3-point range against Atlanta.

Curry is attempting just south of 10.0 threes per game, so his opportunity to rack up points from deep is tantalizing.

The Hawks have already found this out the hard way.

In Curry’s past five games against Atlanta (since 2021), he’s scored 30-plus points four times while averaging 6.2 threes.

Key stat: Curry has gone over 25.5 points in four of his past six games. Also, he’s averaged 27.9 PPG at home since the 2022-23 season.

Quick pick

Daniels over 3.5 steals/blocks (-122): Daniels was the centrepiece of Atlanta’s trade that sent Dejounte Murray to New Orleans, and so far it’s working out really, really well.

The third-year combo guard is exceptionally active on the defensive end, leading the NBA in steals (3.4/game) and deflections (7.0/game).

He’s not just a steals threat, though. Daniels swatted four shots last time out and is averaging 1.1 blocks per game.

That equates to 4.5 stocks (steals/blocks) per game on the season, and it makes this line look a bit low.

Daniels has gone over 3.5 stocks in eight of 13 games this season — including six of his past seven.

Capela over 8.5 rebounds (-108): Though he doesn’t play massive minutes, Capela grabs plenty of boards as the Hawks’ starting centre.

The 6-foot-10 veteran is especially on a roll right now, going over 8.5 rebounds in five of his past six games.

Atlanta and Golden State are both playing at top-five paces in the NBA right now, which should make for a game with plenty of possessions. And plenty of rebounds.

  • GSW allows the most rebounds/game to opposing centres (18.1), per Betting Pros
  • GSW allows the seventh-most rebounds/game overall (45.6)
  • Capela has 9+ rebounds in 6/7 games vs. GSW since 2021

Picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET 11/20/2024.

Warriors vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions Nov. 18: Bet on Harden, fade Curry in +400 SGP

Warriors vs. Clippers predictions

On the latter half of a back-to-back, the Los Angeles Clippers host the surging Golden State Warriors at Intuit Dome.

The pregame narrative: Golden State (10-2) has been one of the top teams so far this season, and I expect it to get revenge on Los Angeles after their matchup went the Clippers’ way last month. This +400 SGP also features prop bets on Stephen Curry and James Harden.

Check out my Warriors vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 18.

Warriors vs. Clippers predictions

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Parlay: Warriors moneyline + Harden over 19.5 points + Curry under 4.5 threes (+400)

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Warriors moneyline (-182): Golden State was a 9-point home favourite when it lost to L.A., 112-104, late last month. But that seems to have woken something up in the Warriors.

  • GSW is 8-1 straight up and 7-2 ATS since then, rising to the top of the Western Conference
  • In just the past two weeks, the Dubs have beaten the Celtics, Thunder and Mavericks

Are the Warriors just a pleasant surprise, or is this for real? They have the third-best net rating (+10.5) and rank third in opponent field goal rate (43.6%).

Golden State was off the past two days, while L.A. just hosted the Jazz last night. The Warriors are 11-2 straight up with a rest advantage since the start of last year, per Team Rankings, and I’m happy to ride their wave.

SGP legs

Harden over 19.5 points (-186): Remember when Harden averaged 30-plus points in three straight seasons? That was three teams and five-plus years ago … and it’s probably not coming back.

But Harden still gets plenty of shots up, and he’s a threat to hit the 20-point milestone every single night.

The 16th-year guard is averaging 20.6 PPG and has cashed this bet in eight of 14 games.

Despite an off night against the Warriors earlier this year (6-of-19 shooting), Harden got to the free-throw line nine times and still finished with 23 points.

Dating back to last season, Harden has tallied 21-plus points in four straight against the Warriors. His ceiling as a scorer isn’t at its peak, but his floor is still very high.

Curry under 4.5 threes (-137): Curry’s 3-point stroke is as elite as ever, but the shot volume is down. So he can still have a strong night from beyond the arc and miss this total.

  • 43.2 3PT% (highest since 2018-19)
  • 9.0 attempted 3s per game (lowest since 2014-15)

Curry has only played nine games, so it’s quite possible he’ll return to averaging 11-plus attempted 3s as he did in five of the previous six seasons.

This is a nice price to buy in on his volume dip, though, so that’s what I’m going to do.

This season, Curry has gone under 4.5 threes in seven of nine games. He’s also hit this under in five of seven against the Clippers since 2022-23.

Curry is listed as questionable with a knee injury, which is worth monitoring.

Picks made at 12:30 p.m. on 11/18/24.

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Pacers vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions Nov. 18: Ride with Mathurin and an alt over in +255 SGP

Pacers vs. Raptors predictions

Dragging a seven-game losing skid with them, the Toronto Raptors host the Indiana Pacers at Scotiabank Arena tonight.

The pregame narrative: The road team won all four matchups between these teams last year, but I’m not picking a side on Monday. I’m backing the over on a teased-down total and looking for Bennedict Mathurin and Jakob Poeltl to chip in for their teams.

Check out my Pacers vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 18.

Pacers vs. Raptors predictions

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Parlay: Over 229.5 points + Poeltl over 9.5 rebounds + Mathurin over 19.5 points (+255)

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Over 229.5 points (-159): I don’t expect Toronto and Indiana to run up the score quite like they did last season, but this is still a very attainable total for them to clear.

All four of their head-to-head matchups last year went over the 250-point marker. Indiana played at the second-fastest pace in the league in 2023-24, though, which certainly helped.

The Pacers rank 16th in possessions per game this season, while Toronto is up a bit higher at 13th. Not lightning quick, but not exactly slow either.

I’m hoping these teams capture some of the high-scoring matchups that fuelled last season’s results, but there are other reasons to like this pick:

  • The over is 9-2 in Indiana’s past 11 games
  • The over is 4-2 in Toronto’s home games, with an average total of 237.5 points

SGP legs

Poeltl over 9.5 rebounds (-240): Nine years after he was a lottery pick for the Raptors, Poeltl is putting together some of the production you might expect from a once-highly-touted hooper.

The seven-footer is posting career-highs in minutes (32.6), points (16.2) and rebounds (11.6), averaging a double-double for the first time.

His steadiness on the glass is part of what makes Poeltl a good guy to bet on this season:

  • 8+ rebounds in every game
  • 10+ rebounds in 9/14 games

Last year, Poeltl had 10-plus rebounds in two of three matchups against the Pacers. Indiana is allowing the 11th-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, per Betting Pros.

Mathurin over 19.5 points (-177): The last time Mathurin faced the Raptors, he filled the next for 34 points on 11-of-15 shooting.

That was last season, but it’s a nice indicator of what the Montreal native is capable of. And after a few quiet games to begin this campaign, he’s putting up some really encouraging numbers.

Check out what Mathurin has accomplished over his past nine games:

  • 51.6 FG%
  • 45.7 3PT%
  • 21.9 PPG
  • 20+ points in 6/9 games

Mathurin slid into the Pacers’ starting lineup at the beginning of November and hasn’t left. In a game where I expect a hearty point total, look for the third-year wing to do his part.

Picks made at 10:25 a.m. on 11/18/24.

Texans vs. Cowboys Week 11 MNF best bets and odds: Bet on Nico Collins in return from injury

Texans vs. Cowboys best bets

It’s an all-Texas showdown on Monday Night Football to close out NFL Week 11.

The pregame narrative: The Houston Texans are road favourites against the spiralling Dallas Cowboys, and I’m laying the points. In the prop market, I expect Nico Collins to have a triumphant return for Houston.

Check out my Texans vs. Dallas best bets for Monday Night Football on Nov. 18.

Texans vs. Cowboys best bets

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Best Bet: Texans -6.5 (-138)

This has been a season to forget for the Cowboys — and for the Dallas fans who’ve paid hard-earned money to watch their team at Jerry World.

Dallas is 0-4 straight up and against the spread inside its home stadium. That’s right … Jake Paul has more wins at AT&T Stadium this year than the boys in blue.

The last time we saw the Texans on the road, they struggled in a 21-13 loss on Halloween night against the Jets. Not great, but the Cowboys are so down in the dumps right now that I really don’t care.

Dallas has been outscored by an average of 23.5 points in its four home games. That’s about as bleak as it gets.

Last Sunday, in Cooper Rush’s first start in place of the injured Dak Prescott, Dallas collected just 146 total yards and six points.

On the other sideline, the Texans are getting a much-needed playmaker back as Collins will suit up for the first time since Week 5. He leads the NFL with 113.4 receiving yards/game and makes a world of difference for Houston’s offensive ceiling.

Dallas is a mess and Houston is hungry for a win. I want no part of the Cowboys’ sinking ship.

Key stat: The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS as underdogs this year.

Quick pick

Collins over 71.5 receiving yards (-120): There was optimism that Collins would be back for Week 10, but the Texans played it safe. Now, the star receiver is coming off a full week of practice and should be completely good to go.

When Collins is healthy, the numbers speak for themselves.

  • 93.2 receiving yards per game since the start of last season
  • 75+ receiving yards in eight straight regular season games

Teams are getting pretty much whatever they want against the Cowboys this year. Dallas ranks 31st in points allowed and 26th in yards allowed.

Picks made at 2:08 p.m. ET 11/17/2024.

Best NBA prop bets Nov. 17: Powell, Sengun look poised for big performances

NBA prop bets

There’s no shortage of NBA action on Sunday, and I’m backing three players on the prop market.

The pregame narrative: In the late window, look for Norman Powell to bounce back in a Grade-A matchup. I also like Josh Hart and Alperen Sengun to put up big rebound/assist totals.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Nov. 17.

NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Hart over 15.5 rebounds/assists (-106)

This was one of my favourite prop markets to play last season, as Hart put in some truly absurd rebound/assist totals in the second half with Julius Randle out.

Well, Randle is gone — and so is Isaiah Hartenstein — which means the Knicks have a lot of rebounds up for grabs. Literally.

New York’s top rebounder is Karl-Anthony Towns (12.2 RPG), but Hart is next on the list (9.2 RPG). He’s also second on the team in assists per game (5.9).

KAT is questionable for tonight’s matchup against the Brooklyn Nets, but either way, this is an enticing price to back Hart.

Brooklyn is a solid matchup for players who like to contribute as rebounders and/or passers:

  • 26th in rebounding rate (48.2%)
  • 7th-most assists allowed per game

Two nights ago, Hart posted nine rebounds and nine assists against the Nets at Madison Square Garden. Over his past 10 games, he’s averaging 16.1 RA.

One thing about Hart is, barring foul trouble, he’s going to play a significant portion of the game. He’s averaging 36.8 minutes so far, which means lots of time to rack up stats.

Key stat: Hart has gone over 15.5 rebounds/assists in five of his past six games.

Quick picks

Powell over 20.5 points (-118): Powell only has 21 total points over his past two games thanks to some cold shooting, but I love his matchup tonight.

The Utah Jazz, who are playing on a back-to-back, allow the fifth-most points per game to opposing shooting guards (24.9), per Betting Pros.

Utah also allows the fifth-most attempted 3s per game and the fifth-highest opposing 3-point percentage. All of this is speaking Powell’s language.

Prior to his two-game funk, Powell hit this over eight games in a row.

On the season, he’s averaging 23.6 PPG while shooting 48.0% from 3-point range on 7.8 attempts.

The gravy train might get derailed whenever Kawhi Leonard returns, but I’ll enjoy it for now.

Sengun over 14.5 rebounds/assists (-138): The Chicago Bulls play at the fastest pace in the NBA. That means maximum opportunities for players to pile up rebounds and assists.

Sengun is averaging 15.9 RA this season and has cashed this bet in seven of 13 games. So he’s a decent candidate to hit this over regardless of opponent.

But I’m particularly bullish with Sengun facing the Bulls, who allow the most assists per game and the eighth-most rebounds.

At 6-foot-11, Sengun is more of a rebounder than a passer. But he has 27 assists over his past five games, so he can contribute just fine in that regard, too.

Picks made at 1:00 p.m. ET on 11/17/2024.

Texans vs. Cowboys Week 11 MNF best bets and odds: Bet on Nico Collins in return from injury

Texans vs. Cowboys best bets

It’s an all-Texas showdown on Monday Night Football to close out NFL Week 11.

The pregame narrative: The Houston Texans are road favourites against the spiralling Dallas Cowboys, and I’m laying the points. In the prop market, I expect Nico Collins to have a triumphant return for Houston.

Check out my Texans vs. Dallas best bets for Monday Night Football on Nov. 18.

Texans vs. Cowboys best bets

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Embed: #100628

Best Bet: Texans -6.5 (-127)

This has been a season to forget for the Cowboys — and for the Dallas fans who’ve paid hard-earned money to watch their team at Jerry World.

Dallas is 0-4 straight up and against the spread inside its home stadium. That’s right … Jake Paul has more wins at AT&T Stadium this year than the boys in blue.

The last time we saw the Texans on the road, they struggled in a 21-13 loss on Halloween night against the Jets. Not great, but the Cowboys are so down in the dumps right now that I really don’t care.

Dallas has been outscored by an average of 23.5 points in its four home games. That’s about as bleak as it gets.

Last Sunday, in Cooper Rush’s first start in place of the injured Dak Prescott, Dallas collected just 146 total yards and six points.

On the other sideline, the Texans are getting a much-needed playmaker back as Collins will suit up for the first time since Week 5. He leads the NFL with 113.4 receiving yards/game and makes a world of difference for Houston’s offensive ceiling.

Dallas is a mess and Houston is hungry for a win. I want no part of the Cowboys’ sinking ship.

Key stat: The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS as underdogs this year.

Quick pick

Collins over 74.5 receiving yards (-121): There was optimism that Collins would be back for Week 10, but the Texans played it safe. Now, the star receiver is coming off a full week of practice and should be completely good to go.

When Collins is healthy, the numbers speak for themselves.

  • 93.2 receiving yards per game since the start of last season
  • 75+ receiving yards in eight straight regular season games

Teams are getting pretty much whatever they want against the Cowboys this year. Dallas ranks 31st in points allowed and 26th in yards allowed.

Picks made at 2:08 p.m. ET 11/17/2024.

Jazz vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions Nov. 17: Take Utah to cover, Sexton to shine in +310 SGP

Jazz vs. Clippers predictions

The Utah Jazz are in Los Angeles on a back-to-back to face the Clippers in a late-night Sunday matchup.

The pregame narrative: Collin Sexton is getting more run for the Jazz these days, and I like him to fill the net for the visitors tonight. I’m also backing Utah on an alt spread and expecting Norman Powell to bounce back after a pair of quiet performances.

Check out my Jazz vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 17.

Jazz vs. Clippers predictions

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Parlay: Jazz +13.5 + Powell over 19.5 points + Sexton over 14.5 points (+310)

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Jazz +13.5 (-182): Utah is just 6-6 ATS this season, but it’s showing a lot more fight in recent games.

The Jazz covered as 7-point underdogs last night and are now 4-2 ATS in their past six. They earned three straight-up victories as underdogs in that span.

With home-court and rest advantages, Los Angeles is the rightful favourite tonight. But I don’t see the Clippers covering a number this big.

L.A.’s largest margin of victory this season is 12 points, and its five other wins came by fewer than 10.

SGP legs

Powell over 19.5 points (-148): After back-to-back rough shooting performances, Powell is in a prime get-right spot against Utah.

Powell shot 8-for-29 (27.6%) over his past two games. Before that, he scored 20-plus points in 10 straight.

What makes the Jazz such a nice matchup for him?

  • Utah allows the fifth-most points to opposing shooting guards (24.9), per Betting Pros
  • Utah’s opponents have the fifth-highest 3-point percentage (37.4%)

If the Jazz are at all fatigued after playing last night, that should make Powell even more of a threat. But he’s cashing this prop at a sky-high clip against everybody so far this season.

Sexton over 14.5 points (-122): Sexton’s minutes are trending up, and so is his scoring volume. Go figure.

  • First six games: 23.6 minutes, 9.3 FGA, 13.5 PPG
  • Past six games: 30.2 minutes, 13.5 FGA, 18.3 PPG

Sexton has tallied 15-plus points in five of his past six games, as well as eight of 12 games on the year.

The Clippers are a solid defensive team, but this is a very attainable point total for a guy who’s reclaiming a nice role in the Jazz’s offence after averaging 18.7 PPG last season.

Picks made at 12:30 p.m. on 11/17/24.

Best NBA prop bets Nov. 17: Powell, Sengun look poised for big performances

NBA prop bets

There’s no shortage of NBA action on Sunday, and I’m backing three players on the prop market.

The pregame narrative: In the late window, look for Norman Powell to bounce back in a Grade-A matchup. I also like Josh Hart and Alperen Sengun to put up big rebound/assist totals.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Nov. 17.

NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Hart over 15.5 rebounds/assists (+102)

Embed: #100624

This was one of my favourite prop markets to play last season, as Hart put in some truly absurd rebound/assist totals in the second half with Julius Randle out.

Well, Randle is gone — and so is Isaiah Hartenstein — which means the Knicks have a lot of rebounds up for grabs. Literally.

New York’s top rebounder is Karl-Anthony Towns (12.2 RPG), but Hart is next on the list (9.2 RPG). He’s also second on the team in assists per game (5.9).

KAT is questionable for tonight’s matchup against the Brooklyn Nets, but either way, this is an enticing price to back Hart.

Brooklyn is a solid matchup for players who like to contribute as rebounders and/or passers:

  • 26th in rebounding rate (48.2%)
  • 7th-most assists allowed per game

Two nights ago, Hart posted nine rebounds and nine assists against the Nets at Madison Square Garden. Over his past 10 games, he’s averaging 16.1 RA.

One thing about Hart is, barring foul trouble, he’s going to play a significant portion of the game. He’s averaging 36.8 minutes so far, which means lots of time to rack up stats.

Key stat: Hart has gone over 15.5 rebounds/assists in five of his past six games.

Quick picks

Powell over 20.5 points (-112): Powell only has 21 total points over his past two games thanks to some cold shooting, but I love his matchup tonight.

The Utah Jazz, who are playing on a back-to-back, allow the fifth-most points per game to opposing shooting guards (24.9), per Betting Pros.

Utah also allows the fifth-most attempted 3s per game and the fifth-highest opposing 3-point percentage. All of this is speaking Powell’s language.

Prior to his two-game funk, Powell hit this over eight games in a row.

On the season, he’s averaging 23.6 PPG while shooting 48.0% from 3-point range on 7.8 attempts.

The gravy train might get derailed whenever Kawhi Leonard returns, but I’ll enjoy it for now.

Sengun over 15.5 rebounds/assists (-108): The Chicago Bulls play at the fastest pace in the NBA. That means maximum opportunities for players to pile up rebounds and assists.

Sengun is averaging 15.9 RA this season and has cashed this bet in seven of 13 games. So he’s a decent candidate to hit this over regardless of opponent.

But I’m particularly bullish with Sengun facing the Bulls, who allow the most assists per game and the eighth-most rebounds.

At 6-foot-11, Sengun is more of a rebounder than a passer. But he has 27 assists over his past five games, so he can contribute just fine in that regard, too.

Picks made at 10:00 a.m. ET on 11/17/2024.