There’s no shortage of NBA action on Sunday, and I’m backing three players on the prop market.
The pregame narrative: In the late window, look for Norman Powell to bounce back in a Grade-A matchup. I also like Josh Hart and Alperen Sengun to put up big rebound/assist totals.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Nov. 17.
NBA prop bets
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Best bet: Hart over 15.5 rebounds/assists (+102)
This was one of my favourite prop markets to play last season, as Hart put in some truly absurd rebound/assist totals in the second half with Julius Randle out.
Well, Randle is gone — and so is Isaiah Hartenstein — which means the Knicks have a lot of rebounds up for grabs. Literally.
New York’s top rebounder is Karl-Anthony Towns (12.2 RPG), but Hart is next on the list (9.2 RPG). He’s also second on the team in assists per game (5.9).
KAT is questionable for tonight’s matchup against the Brooklyn Nets, but either way, this is an enticing price to back Hart.
Brooklyn is a solid matchup for players who like to contribute as rebounders and/or passers:
- 26th in rebounding rate (48.2%)
- 7th-most assists allowed per game
Two nights ago, Hart posted nine rebounds and nine assists against the Nets at Madison Square Garden. Over his past 10 games, he’s averaging 16.1 RA.
One thing about Hart is, barring foul trouble, he’s going to play a significant portion of the game. He’s averaging 36.8 minutes so far, which means lots of time to rack up stats.
Key stat: Hart has gone over 15.5 rebounds/assists in five of his past six games.
Quick picks
Powell over 20.5 points (-112): Powell only has 21 total points over his past two games thanks to some cold shooting, but I love his matchup tonight.
The Utah Jazz, who are playing on a back-to-back, allow the fifth-most points per game to opposing shooting guards (24.9), per Betting Pros.
Utah also allows the fifth-most attempted 3s per game and the fifth-highest opposing 3-point percentage. All of this is speaking Powell’s language.
Prior to his two-game funk, Powell hit this over eight games in a row.
On the season, he’s averaging 23.6 PPG while shooting 48.0% from 3-point range on 7.8 attempts.
The gravy train might get derailed whenever Kawhi Leonard returns, but I’ll enjoy it for now.
Sengun over 15.5 rebounds/assists (-108): The Chicago Bulls play at the fastest pace in the NBA. That means maximum opportunities for players to pile up rebounds and assists.
Sengun is averaging 15.9 RA this season and has cashed this bet in seven of 13 games. So he’s a decent candidate to hit this over regardless of opponent.
But I’m particularly bullish with Sengun facing the Bulls, who allow the most assists per game and the eighth-most rebounds.
At 6-foot-11, Sengun is more of a rebounder than a passer. But he has 27 assists over his past five games, so he can contribute just fine in that regard, too.
Picks made at 10:00 a.m. ET on 11/17/2024.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.