Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

Best NBA prop bets Dec. 15: Ride with Devin Booker, fade Ja Morant

A trio of stars make up Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Devin Booker and Jaylen Brown are both solid picks to turn in productive performances, while Ja Morant is my fade candidate in a suboptimal matchup.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Dec. 15.

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Best bet: Booker over 9.5 rebounds/assists (+100)

Booker is in his fourth straight season averaging better than 9.5 rebounds/assists per game, so an even-money price at this number will pique my interest most nights.

Despite being listed as a shooting guard, Booker’s facilitation skills are on display plenty for the Phoenix Suns.

He’s second on the team in assists per game (6.5) and is second in potential assists per game (11.8), which means any pass that leads directly to a shot.

And though Booker isn’t a dominant force as a rebounder, he does his part as a 6-foot-6 guard.

Tonight’s matchup is against the Portland Trail Blazers, who allow the sixth-most rebounds per game to opponents. The Blazers also allow the fifth-most assists per game to opposing shooting guards, per Betting Pros.

Booker has averaged 10.9 RA since Halloween night and should have a nice opportunity to go over this total on Sunday.

Key stat: Booker has cashed this bet in four straight games against the Trail Blazers, which includes a nine-rebound, nine-assist outing against them in November.

Quick picks

Morant under 1.5 threes (-124): Morant has never been a high-volume shooter (or scorer) from 3-point range, and I wouldn’t expect that to change tonight against the Los Angeles Lakers.

Now in his sixth year, Morant is a career 31.8% shooter from deep, averaging 1.3 made 3s per game. This year, he’s averaging 1.5 makes on 31.9% efficiency.

In four games against the Lakers since January 2023, Morant is 6-for-21 (28.6%) from deep against L.A.

There are times when Morant is a fair pick to can multiple 3s, but it’d have to be a plus matchup. That’s not what I’m seeing for him on Sunday.

Brown over 22.5 points (-122): The Washington Wizards are an easy target, and Brown tends to take advantage.

Since the 2022-23 season, Brown has scored 23+ points in five of seven matchups against Washington. That includes both meetings so far this season.

As a whole this year, Brown is averaging 24.5 PPG despite a dip in shooting efficiency.

Brown has 23+ points in 14/20 games this year.

Efficiently or not, I like him to clear this mark against a Wizards team that allows the most points in the NBA.

Picks made at 9:00 a.m. ET on 12/15/2024.

Army vs. Navy college football prop picks: Ride with Daily, Heidenreich in 125th rivalry game

Before college football fans lock in for bowl season, let’s take a moment to enjoy another chapter in the storied history of the Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen rivalry.

The pregame narrative: Saturday marks the 125th meeting between the military academies, and it’s the best matchup on paper in decades. I’m taking overs on a pair of prop bets involving Army’s Bryson Daily and Navy’s Eli Heidenreich.

Check out my top Army vs. Navy prop picks for this Dec. 14 rivalry matchup.

Army vs. Navy prop picks

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Best Bet: Daily 2+ touchdowns (-143)

This seems like a lot of juice to deal with for a multi-touchdown scorer. But Daily’s season-long production justifies it.

Despite playing under centre as Army’s quarterback, Daily has a 2024 stat line that would make any running back blush:

264 carries (24.0/game)
1,480 yards (134.5/game)
29 rush TDs
2+ rush TDs in 10/11 games

In Army’s traditional triple-option offensive scheme, the quarterback is rarely asked to throw. As such, Daily has just 78 pass attempts on the year.

There’s also no question that Daily is the alpha weapon for the Black Knights. He has 99 carries, 416 yards and 19 touchdowns more than anyone else on the team.

Last year, in his first full season as a starter, Daily rushed 27 times for 84 yards and zero TDs against Navy. He’s going to want to improve upon that.

On senior day, I expect Daily to put a stamp on an epic season by finding the end zone multiple times against his bitter rival.

Key stat: According to gameonpaper.com, Navy is better equipped to stop the pass than the run. The Midshipmen rank 27th in defensive EPA per pass in the country and 82nd in defensive EPA per rush.

Quick pick

Heidenreich over 39.5 receiving yards (-117): Army is favoured for the fourth time in six years in this rivalry game, which means Navy could find itself playing from behind.

Though Navy runs the ball north of 75.0% of the time — as do Army and Air Force — it might need to mix in more passing plays to remain competitive. And that’s where Heidenreich comes in.

Heidenreich is listed as a running back on some websites, but he’s a “snipe” according to the Naval Academy. That means he shares the responsibilities of both a tailback and a receiver.

This year, the junior leads the Midshipmen in receiving yards, averaging 54.3 per game.

After tallying 56 yards on four catches against Army last year, Heidenreich has accrued 40-plus yards in seven of 11 games this year.

Picks made at 3:50 p.m. on 12/13/2024.

Steelers vs. Eagles Week 15 same-game parlay predictions: Bet on Jalen Hurts to score, Pittsburgh to cover in +525 ticket

The battle of the Keystone State is on tap for Sunday in Philadelphia, where the Eagles host the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The pregame narrative: Both teams are still fighting for the top seed in their respective conferences, and I expect a close game. My +525 SGP includes an anytime TD pick for Jalen Hurts as well as a very manageable scrimmage yards prop for Jaylen Warren.

Check out my Steelers vs. Eagles same-game parlay predictions for Week 15 below.

Steelers vs. Eagles same-game parlay predictions

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Parlay: Steelers +10.5 + Hurts anytime TD + Warren over 51.5 rushing/receiving yards (+525)

Steelers +10.5 (-235): I’m not willing to fully commit to the idea of the Steelers being a great team.

Maybe it’s the head-scratching revival of Russell Wilson. Maybe it’s the fact they have two wins this season in which they didn’t score a touchdown. Or maybe it’s the pedigree of six straight seasons without a postseason win.

Regardless, I have to set my biases aside and at least acknowledge that the Steelers (10-3) are a very good team. And they should be more than capable of covering this alt spread.

Pittsburgh is 10-3-0 ATS, including a 5-0 mark as an underdog, per Team Rankings. All three of its losses have come by five points or fewer.

Philadelphia was a Xavier Legette drop away from potentially losing to the Carolina Panthers last week at home. The Eagles are 4-9 against a -10.5 spread, and a blowout over the Steelers seems doubtful.

Other parlay picks

Hurts anytime TD (-108): Pittsburgh’s defence has been solid, but I expect Philly to make some noise in the ground game.

The Eagles’ offence ranks No. 1 in rush EPA, per rbsdm.com, while the Steelers’ defence ranks 12th in rush EPA (and 26th since its Week 10 bye).

Teams tend not to run much against Pittsburgh, but that’s at the centre of Philadelphia’s identity.

MVP candidate Saquon Barkley churns for most of the yards, but in the goal-to-go area, Hurts is often the one capitalizing.

Since Week 7, look at Hurts’ production as a runner:

10 TDs
17 carries inside the 10-yard line
1+ carries inside the 5-yard line in 6/8 games

In the same span, Barkley has eight TDs, 15 carries inside the 10 and only four games with a carry inside the five.

The frequency and the success rate of the tush push make Hurts a great play at this anytime TD price.

Warren over 51.5 rushing/receiving yards (-112): No one will mistake Warren for being an RB1, but he’s involved enough in the Steelers’ offence to clear this mark routinely.

Dating back to Week 7, Warren has topped this yardage total in seven straight games. Here’s what his production has looked like in that span:

68.7 scrimmage yards/game
9+ carries in 6/7 games
3+ targets in 6/7 games

In Pittsburgh’s past seven games, Warren is averaging 5.6 yards per touch while Najee Harris is averaging 4.3.

It’s largely Harris’ backfield, especially in the running game, but there’s no reason to suspect Warren’s workload to completely fall off.

Also, Warren out-targeted Harris, 5-0, last week. If the Steelers are playing from behind and need to throw more, that should help Warren.

Picks made at 1:20 p.m. on 12/13/24.

Bills vs. Lions Week 15 same-game parlay predictions: Bet on Josh Allen to score, Buffalo to cover an alt spread

The most exciting NFL Sunday matchup this week is a potential Super Bowl preview between the Buffalo Bills and the Detroit Lions.

The pregame narrative: Detroit and Buffalo are two of the top-four teams in the Super Bowl futures market, and I’m expecting a close game at Ford Field. In addition to a Bills alt spread, I like Josh Allen to score and Jameson Williams to continue feasting at home.

Check out my Bills vs. Rams same-game parlay predictions for Week 15 below.

Bills vs. Lions same-game parlay predictions

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Parlay: Bills +7.5 + Allen anytime TD + Williams over 51.5 receiving yards (+370)

Bills +7.5 (-335): Both teams have strong ATS records, and this could easily be a game that comes down to whichever side has the ball last. With that in mind, I’m willing to pay quite a premium to get Buffalo plus a touchdown and a hook.

Aside from a 35-10 road loss in Baltimore in Week 4, the Bills have covered this number in every game.

In fact, Buffalo (8-5-0 ATS this year) has covered this number in all but three games since the start of the 2021 season — including the playoffs.

Detroit (9-4-0 ATS) is arguably the most dangerous team in the NFL this year. Its status as the SB LIX frontrunner is justified, but not all of its recent wins have been convincing.

The Lions are 4-4 against this number in their past eight games, including back-to-back home wins by a field goal.

Other parlay picks

Allen anytime TD (+100): Allen went into battering ram mode last week, and I could see him doing it again.

With three rushing TDs from the one-yard line, Allen scored against the Rams even when they knew it was coming.

Stopping a 6-foot-5, 237-pound quarterback is easier said than done.

Allen has now scored a TD in four straight games, and he has 11 rush attempts inside the 10-yard line over his past eight games.

He has enough elusiveness to score from 10-plus yards away, but he also has enough size and determination to do a reputable Jalen Hurts impression at the goal line.

Williams over 51.5 receiving yards (-115): Coming out of his two-game suspension in Weeks 8-9, Williams has been a valued asset in the Lions’ offence.

5+ targets in 5/5 games
4-1 vs. this yardage number
5+ catches in three straight

Williams also tends to do his best work on home turf. At Ford Field this year, the 2022 first-rounder is averaging 85.3 yards/game while going 5-1 against this prop.

The Rams had two receivers clear this line with ease against Buffalo last week, and WR3 Tutu Atwell came close (45 yards).

Williams’ involvement has been steady, and this isn’t a hefty ask for a guy with 14 catches of 20-plus yards this season.

Picks made at 11:10 a.m. on 12/13/24.

Clippers vs. Nuggets same-game parlay predictions Dec. 13: Bet on Harden, Jokic in +270 SGP

For the third time this season, the Los Angeles Clippers face the Denver Nuggets.

The pregame narrative: The Clippers have enjoyed some success against the Nuggets so far, and I expect Friday’s game to at least be close. My +270 SGP also features prop bets on James Harden and Nikola Jokic.

Check out my Clippers vs. Nuggets same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 13.

Clippers vs. Nuggets predictions

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Parlay: Clippers +9.5 + Harden over 19.5 points + Jokic over 1.5 threes (+270)

Clippers +9.5 (-190): At 16-9-0 ATS this season, the Clippers have been one of the NBA’s best teams when it comes to covering the spread.

And though L.A. has suffered back-to-back home blowout losses entering Friday (vs. Timberwolves, vs. Rockets), I like this team to at least keep the game to a single-digit margin.

LAC is 2-0 vs. DEN this year, winning both games outright as an underdog.

The Clippers are 20-5 against a +9.5 spread.

The Nuggets are just 6-16 against a -9.5 spread.

The Clippers (14-11) also have a slightly better record than the Nuggets (12-10) and are neck-and-neck in terms of net rating.

This is a hearty sum of points to be able to palatably bank with L.A.

SGP legs

Harden over 19.5 points (-240): Harden was the hero when his Clippers downed the Nuggets on Dec. 1. For this parlay, I’m only asking him to be about half as productive now as he was then.

Harden piled up 39 points against Denver, which included a perfect 13-for-13 run at the free throw line.

Back on Oct. 26, Harden went 12-for-13 at the line as part of a 23-point performance against the Nuggets. Considering Denver allows the eighth-fewest free throw attempts per game, that’s a testament to The Beard’s ability to draw whistles.

Whether at the line, beyond the arc, or somewhere in between, I expect Harden to hit this very manageable scoring milestone again tonight.

He’s averaging 21.6 PPG and has cashed this bet in nine of his past 12 games.

Jokic over 1.5 threes (-127): I’d be happy to ride with this as a straight wager, as Jokic continues to produce with exceptional efficiency from 3-point land.

On the season, Jokic is averaging 2.2 makes on 50.0% shooting from deep. Among players attempting at least 4.0 threes per game, that’s the highest 3PT% in the NBA.

Volume is always somewhat of a concern, but that’s ticked up to 5.4 attempted 3s per game over his past eight games.

Jokic has now canned multiple 3s in nine of his past 10.

Picks made at 9:20 a.m. on 12/13/24.

Best NBA prop bets Dec. 12: Bet on De’Aaron Fox, Cade Cunningham in three-game slate

The Sacramento Kings face the New Orleans Pelicans in the third and final NBA game on Thursday’s schedule, and I’ve got two prop bets from the game.

The pregame narrative: De’Aaron Fox and Herbert Jones both draw enticing matchups that have me eyeing overs on their prop markets. In Boston, look for Cade Cunningham to rack up assists against the Celtics.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Dec. 12.

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Best bet: Fox over 6.5 assists (+100)

The Kings are a rare case in which their centre (Domantas Sabonis) averages more assists per game than their point guard (Fox).

But Fox’s involvement as a passer has trended up over the past month or so, and it’s at a point where this prop market is interesting to me.

Since Nov. 10, Fox has averaged 12.8 potential assists per game, which accounts for all passes that lead directly to shots.

In nine games before that, he’d only averaged 9.3 potential assists, according to NBA.com’s player tracking data.

Sabonis is averaging 8.9 potential assists since Nov. 10 — down from 12.0 beforehand.

Tonight’s matchup against the Pelicans should be a solid one for Fox to continue his pass-happy ways. The Pelicans allow the fifth-most assists to opposing point guards (9.9/game), per Betting Pros.

Though Fox will never monopolize the playmaking duties within the Kings’ starting five, he’s in a situation on Thursday that should lead to plenty of assists.

Key stat: Fox is 11-5 against this assist number in his past 16 games, averaging 6.9 APG in that span.

Quick picks

Jones over 1.5 threes (+100): Jones just returned from a shoulder injury three games ago, but he walked right back into a hearty workload and has played 37 minutes in back-to-back games.

He’s not a volume shooter, but at plus-money odds, I think canning multiple 3s should absolutely be attainable.

Jones, who shot 41.8% from deep last season, has cashed this bet in two of three games since his return. He’s 5-for-13 beyond the arc in that span.

The Kings are a grade-A matchup for any 3-point shooter, as they allow the second-most 3s per game (15.0) on the second-highest percentage (37.7%).

Cunningham over 8.5 assists (-150): I don’t mind backing Cunningham over 9.5 assists at +120, but this isn’t a prohibitive amount of juice to pay at a slightly lower line.

Cunningham takes more shots than anyone else on the Detroit Pistons, but he tallies the most assists, too. And he’s been fantastic against this line for quite a while.

9+ assists in 13/14 games since Nov. 4
Coming off a season-high 15 assists
Averaging 9.4 APG on the year

Cunningham had 14 assists against Boston on Dec. 4 after posting 10 assists in the same matchup on Oct. 26.

Picks made at 9:05 a.m. ET on 12/12/2024.

Rams vs. 49ers Week 15 same-game parlay predictions: Bet on Guerendo, Nacua on Thursday Night Football

NFL Week 15 kicks off with a massive NFC West showdown on Thursday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: The San Francisco 49ers’ season is on its last legs, but they’re favoured at home against the Los Angeles Rams. I’m backing L.A. to cover an alt underdog spread in my +450 SGP, which also features prop bets on Puka Nacua and Isaac Guerendo.

Check out my Rams vs. 49ers same-game parlay predictions for Week 15 below.

Rams vs. 49ers same-game parlay predictions

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Parlay: Rams +3.5 + Nacua over 74.5 rec. yards + Guerendo anytime TD (+450)

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Rams +3.5 (-137): I know Los Angeles is the road team on Thursday night, but I still don’t understand why it’s getting points against a suspect San Francisco squad.

The Rams beat the Niners, 27-24, back in September. More recently, the Rams are 5-2 straight up and against the spread since Week 7.

None of L.A.’s recent wins was bigger than its 44-42 defeat of the Buffalo Bills last Sunday. That same Buffalo team beat San Francisco, 35-10, the week before.

The 49ers are 2-5 ATS since Week 7. Unsurprisingly, not having Christian McCaffrey has been a problem. I expect them to either win close or not at all.

Other parlay picks

Nacua over 74.5 receiving yards (-205): The Rams sorely missed Nacua earlier this season, when he was sidelined with a knee injury.

What he’s accomplished in seven games since returning is exceptional:

10.1 targets/game
7.1 catches/game
96.1 yards/game
9+ targets and 75+ yards in 5/7 games

The Rams are at their best when they’re scheming to get the ball in Nacua’s hands. He had his best game of the season last week, which included 12 catches, 178 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns.

Nacua has cashed this prop in 10 of 15 games dating back to the 2023 season.

Guerendo anytime TD (-137): Guerendo is listed as questionable after battling a foot injury through the week, but ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported that he “plans to play” and said he “feels good.”

If he’s in there, I think Guerendo has a nice chance to score.

Last week, in his first opportunity as a starter, Guerendo rushed 15 times for 78 yards and two TDs.

Guerendo scored on both of his carries inside the five-yard line.

The Rams’ defence is 24th in scoring and 28th in rushing yards allowed.

San Francisco’s running back room is exceptionally thin right now, but Guerendo is at least somewhat of a proven commodity. He should have some valuable opportunities as long as he’s on the field.

Picks made at 10:25 a.m. on 12/12/24.

Best NBA prop bets Dec. 12: Bet on De’Aaron Fox, Cade Cunningham in three-game slate

The Sacramento Kings face the New Orleans Pelicans in the third and final NBA game on Thursday’s schedule, and I’ve got two prop bets from the game.

The pregame narrative: De’Aaron Fox and Herbert Jones both draw enticing matchups that have me eyeing overs on their prop markets. In Boston, look for Cade Cunningham to rack up assists against the Celtics.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Dec. 12.

NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Fox over 6.5 assists (-104)

The Kings are a rare case in which their centre (Domantas Sabonis) averages more assists per game than their point guard (Fox).

But Fox’s involvement as a passer has trended up over the past month or so, and it’s at a point where this prop market is interesting to me.

Since Nov. 10, Fox has averaged 12.8 potential assists per game, which accounts for all passes that lead directly to shots.

In nine games before that, he’d only averaged 9.3 potential assists, according to NBA.com’s player tracking data.

Sabonis is averaging 8.9 potential assists since Nov. 10 — down from 12.0 beforehand.

Tonight’s matchup against the Pelicans should be a solid one for Fox to continue his pass-happy ways. The Pelicans allow the fifth-most assists to opposing point guards (9.9/game), per Betting Pros.

Though Fox will never monopolize the playmaking duties within the Kings’ starting five, he’s in a situation on Thursday that should lead to plenty of assists.

Key stat: Fox is 11-5 against this assist number in his past 16 games, averaging 6.9 APG in that span.

Quick picks

Jones over 1.5 threes (+107): Jones just returned from a shoulder injury three games ago, but he walked right back into a hearty workload and has played 37 minutes in back-to-back games.

He’s not a volume shooter, but at plus-money odds, I think canning multiple 3s should absolutely be attainable.

Jones, who shot 41.8% from deep last season, has cashed this bet in two of three games since his return. He’s 5-for-13 beyond the arc in that span.

The Kings are a grade-A matchup for any 3-point shooter, as they allow the second-most 3s per game (15.0) on the second-highest percentage (37.7%).

Cunningham over 8.5 assists (-137): I don’t mind backing Cunningham over 9.5 assists at +120, but this isn’t a prohibitive amount of juice to pay at a slightly lower line.

Cunningham takes more shots than anyone else on the Detroit Pistons, but he tallies the most assists, too. And he’s been fantastic against this line for quite a while.

9+ assists in 13/14 games since Nov. 4
Coming off a season-high 15 assists
Averaging 9.4 APG on the year

Cunningham had 14 assists against Boston on Dec. 4 after posting 10 assists in the same matchup on Oct. 26.

Picks made at 9:05 a.m. ET on 12/12/2024.

Mavericks vs. Thunder same-game parlay predictions Dec. 10: Doncic, Gilgeous-Alexander should both shine in NBA Cup quarterfinals

Luka Doncic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander are the two biggest stars in tonight’s NBA Cup matchup in Oklahoma City, and I’m backing both in a +260 SGP.

The pregame narrative: Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks look poised to at least make Tuesday’s quarterfinals close, while SGA should provide plenty of scoring for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Check out my Mavericks vs. Thunder same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 10.

Mavericks vs. Thunder predictions

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Parlay: Mavericks +7.5 + Doncic over 7.5 rebounds + Gilgeous-Alexander over 29.5 points (+260)

Mavericks +7.5 (-182): Both teams are playing well right now, but Dallas enters this game on a particularly nice run.

Check out what the Mavericks have accomplished since Nov. 16:

11-1 SU record
10-2 ATS record
4-1 SU as underdogs
+11.6 net rating (1st in the NBA)

Want to guess who has the second-highest net rating in that span? Yup, it’s the Thunder (+10.8).

But what that tells me is that this should be a close game, not a blowout in OKC’s favour.

Dallas won in Oklahoma City on Nov. 17 without Doncic in the lineup. He’ll play tonight, which is obviously a world of a difference for the Mavs.

Oh, and Dallas has covered a +7.5 spread in 23 of 24 games this season.

SGP legs

Doncic over 7.5 rebounds (-215): Doncic’s numbers have sagged across the board this season, but he’s still good for eight-plus rebounds on most nights.

Last year’s third-place MVP finisher is averaging 8.3 rebounds per game. His best rebounding work has come in the past week, as he has 10-plus boards in three straight games.

The Thunder allow the most rebounds per game to opponents, and Doncic has feasted against them before.

In eight matchups against OKC last season (playoffs included), he cleared this total seven times while averaging 10.8 RPG.

Gilgeous-Alexander over 29.5 points (-180): Gilgeous-Alexander can score from anywhere, which makes him such a dangerous weapon regardless of his opponent.

He’s attempting 6.1 threes this year, which is a career-high for the seven-year vet. But he also ranks fifth in the NBA in free throw attempts per game (8.1).

Mix in some above-average shooting from the mid-range, and you’re looking at a bonafide bucket-getter.

SGA has averaged 30.6 PPG since the start of the 2022-23 season.

He’s scored 26-plus points in 13 straight games, averaging 32.7 PPG in that span.

Dating back to last year’s postseason, SGA has scored 30+ points in six straight vs. Dallas.

Picks made at 11:00 a.m. on 12/10/24.

Magic vs. Bucks same-game parlay predictions Dec. 10: Bet on Giannis, Suggs in NBA Cup quarterfinals

The first elimination matchup of the NBA Cup takes place in Milwaukee, where the Bucks host the severely shorthanded Orlando Magic.

The pregame narrative: Orlando won’t have Paolo Banchero or Franz Wagner on Tuesday, which is part of the reason Jalen Suggs looks interesting in the prop market. Even so, I like Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks to take care of business.

Check out my Magic vs. Bucks same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 10.

Magic vs. Bucks predictions

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Parlay: Bucks -2.5 + Giannis over 29.5 points + Suggs over 2.5 threes (+290)

Bucks -2.5 (-265): Orlando won its first game without Banchero and Wagner on Sunday. But that was a home game against a Phoenix Suns team playing on a back-to-back.

Tuesday’s matchup in Milwaukee will be a much tougher task.

The Bucks are 10-3 since Nov. 12, covering a -2.5 spread in nine of those victories.

Last year, Milwaukee won both home games against Orlando and covered this number both times.

Orlando has spent most of the season without Banchero, but the absence of its top two scorers will likely be too much to deal with.

SGP legs

Giannis over 29.5 points (-155): Orlando has been one of the better teams at defending the rim this season, but I don’t think that’ll matter with Giannis looming on the other side.

The Magic are allowing the second-fewest points per game to opposing power forwards (per Betting Pros), as well as the fifth-lowest field goal percentage around the rim (per Cleaning the Glass).

But they haven’t done much to slow down Giannis in the past.

Dating back to the 2022-23 season, Giannis has scored 31-plus points in four straight games against Orlando. He hit the 35-point milestone in both matchups last season.

And given that he’s averaging a career-high 32.5 PPG this year, I’m quite comfortable backing him at this number.

Suggs over 2.5 threes (-162): As a straight wager, Suggs over 3.5 threes might be the best play for this game. But I want a bit more security in this SGP format.

Suggs leads the Magic in attempted 3s per game (7.1), with Banchero and Wagner trailing right behind him. With both stars out, Suggs should be firing at will from deep.

Especially in this matchup.

Opposing point guards are averaging the most points (28.3) and the third-most 3s (3.6) per game against Milwaukee.

Suggs is 12-for-30 (40.0%) from deep over his past three games and should lean into that success as Orlando’s primary 3-point shooter.

Picks made at 9:25 a.m. on 12/10/24.

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