A trio of stars make up Sunday’s NBA prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Devin Booker and Jaylen Brown are both solid picks to turn in productive performances, while Ja Morant is my fade candidate in a suboptimal matchup.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Dec. 15.
NBA prop bets
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Best bet: Booker over 9.5 rebounds/assists (+100)
Booker is in his fourth straight season averaging better than 9.5 rebounds/assists per game, so an even-money price at this number will pique my interest most nights.
Despite being listed as a shooting guard, Booker’s facilitation skills are on display plenty for the Phoenix Suns.
He’s second on the team in assists per game (6.5) and is second in potential assists per game (11.8), which means any pass that leads directly to a shot.
And though Booker isn’t a dominant force as a rebounder, he does his part as a 6-foot-6 guard.
Tonight’s matchup is against the Portland Trail Blazers, who allow the sixth-most rebounds per game to opponents. The Blazers also allow the fifth-most assists per game to opposing shooting guards, per Betting Pros.
Booker has averaged 10.9 RA since Halloween night and should have a nice opportunity to go over this total on Sunday.
Key stat: Booker has cashed this bet in four straight games against the Trail Blazers, which includes a nine-rebound, nine-assist outing against them in November.
Quick picks
Morant under 1.5 threes (-124): Morant has never been a high-volume shooter (or scorer) from 3-point range, and I wouldn’t expect that to change tonight against the Los Angeles Lakers.
Now in his sixth year, Morant is a career 31.8% shooter from deep, averaging 1.3 made 3s per game. This year, he’s averaging 1.5 makes on 31.9% efficiency.
In four games against the Lakers since January 2023, Morant is 6-for-21 (28.6%) from deep against L.A.
There are times when Morant is a fair pick to can multiple 3s, but it’d have to be a plus matchup. That’s not what I’m seeing for him on Sunday.
Brown over 22.5 points (-122): The Washington Wizards are an easy target, and Brown tends to take advantage.
- Since the 2022-23 season, Brown has scored 23+ points in five of seven matchups against Washington. That includes both meetings so far this season.
- As a whole this year, Brown is averaging 24.5 PPG despite a dip in shooting efficiency.
- Brown has 23+ points in 14/20 games this year.
Efficiently or not, I like him to clear this mark against a Wizards team that allows the most points in the NBA.
Picks made at 9:00 a.m. ET on 12/15/2024.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.