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Timberwolves vs. Bulls same-game parlay predictions Nov. 7: Fade Coby White, back Anthony Edwards in a +330 SGP

On a back-to-back, the Chicago Bulls welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves to the Windy City tonight.

The pregame narrative: I’m taking a teased-up under for Thursday’s point total, which features two teams that are particularly adept at defending the perimeter. This +330 SGP also involves a fade of Coby White and modest overs for Anthony Edwards and Mike Conley.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Bulls same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 7.

Timberwolves vs. Bulls predictions

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Parlay: Under 235.5 points + Edwards over 4.5 rebounds + White under 21.5 points + Conley over 7.5 points (+330)

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Under 235.5 points (-265): Chicago won both matchups against Minnesota straight up as an underdog last year, but I don’t want to mess with either side tonight. Instead, I like a rested Timberwolves squad to help keep scoring down.

Minnesota, which has been off the past two days, ranks in the top 10 in points allowed (109.7/game) and opponent effective field goal percentage (51.8%).

All seven of the Timberwolves’ games have gone under this number. Five of the Bulls’ eight games have gone under this number, too.

Chicago ranks first in pace but 28th in offensive rating. If the Timberwolves can bog things down, this under should easily hit again.

SGP legs

Edwards over 4.5 rebounds (-215): Edwards is a high-flying scorer first and foremost, but he’s also an effective rebounder from the backcourt.

He’s averaged at least 4.7 rebounds per game in all five of his NBA seasons, and he’s cashed this bet in six of seven games.

Last year, Edwards posted double-digit rebound totals in both matchups against the Bulls, so asking for merely half of that production seems quite reasonable.

Chicago has allowed the third-most rebounds per game so far this season.

White under 21.5 points (-275): Roughly two-thirds of White’s shots this season have come from beyond the arc, and that’s why I want to fade him as a scorer tonight.

Minnesota has held opponents to 31.3% shooting from 3-point range and is allowing the fewest 3s per game (10.9).

Last night, White went 3-of-13 from the field (and 1-of-7 from deep) to produce a season-low eight points. He’s gone under this total in six of eight games.

Conley over 7.5 points (-230): Year 18 has been a grind for Conley so far, as he’s shooting just 30.0% from the floor through seven games. But even a modest bounce-back should lead to him clearing this total.

Conley is coming off his best showing of the season, in which he had 11 points on 4-of-8 shooting. He’s now gone over 7.5 points in four of his past five matchups.

Last year, he cleared this total in both games against Chicago — piling up 19 points in his most recent meeting, which came in March.

NBA picks made at 9:40 a.m. on 11/07/24.

Best NBA prop bets Nov. 7: Back Anfernee Simons, fade Anthony Edwards

I’ve got a pair of prop bets from Thursday’s slim three-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Anfernee Simons is the top dog in Portland and I expect him to torch the San Antonio Spurs tonight. Elsewhere, I’m fading Anthony Edwards from deep a tough matchup.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Thursday, Nov. 7.

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Best bet: Simons over 21.5 points (-113)

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Simons is a streaky player but he’s Portland’s No. 1 option and gets a nice matchup.

The seventh-year shooting guard leads the team in points (19.5) and field goal attempts (16.9) per game.

He’s coming off a 24-point outing against the New Orleans Pelicans and had 20 against the Phoenix Suns before that. Overall, Simons has cleared this total in four of eight games.

Those aren’t eye-popping numbers, but keep in mind he’s shooting 38.5% from the field and 31.0% from deep. That’s well below his career averages and marks from last year, so some positive regression should be on the horizon.

The Spurs are a great slump-buster, especially for players who like to let it fly from deep.

San Antonio is 10th in defensive rating but that’s because Victor Wembanyama makes anything near the rim a no-fly zone. On the perimeter, the Spurs are allowing opponents to cash in at the sixth-highest rate (37.8%) in the NBA.

Simons attempts 8.3 threes per game and shot 38.5% from beyond the arc last year.

San Antonio is also on a back-to-back, so we’ll see how that affects its defensive rotation and Wembanyama’s minutes.

Key stat: Simons averaged 23.6 PPG last season and scored 40 points in his only game against the Spurs.

Quick picks

Edwards under 3.5 threes (-134): Fading Edwards is risky, but this is the spot to do it.

The 3-5 Chicago Bulls might need to re-think their defensive scheme but right now they’re locking up the perimeter and getting demolished in the paint.

Chicago is ceding the most paint points per game (57.3) with the fourth-lowest opponent 3-point shooting percentage (31.3%). Teams aren’t voluntarily going inside as the Bulls’ opponents are taking 39.5 threes a game, the fifth-most in basketball.

There is a risk that Edwards might clear this strictly based on volume but I trust Chicago’s perimeter defence to keep him at bay.

There is also a good chance of a Minnesota Timberwolves blowout, which would mean fewer minutes for Edwards.

Picks made at 8:13 a.m. ET on 11/07/2024.

Best NBA prop bets Nov. 6: Count on guards Westbrook, Suggs and Brunson to deliver

After Tuesday’s night off, the NBA is back with a loaded 12-game slate tonight.

The pregame narrative: I’m targeting guards Jalen Suggs, Russell Westbrook and Jalen Brunson.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Wednesday, Nov. 6.

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Best bet: Suggs over 18.5 points (-113)

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Point guards have lit up the Indiana Pacers this season, including Suggs.

Suggs is averaging a career-high 17.6 points — five points more than his previous best — and dropped 25 on Indiana at the end of October.

He had a season-best 28 after that and has cleared this line in two of the three games star Paolo Banchero has been sidelined.

Suggs is getting major run for an Orlando Magic team that needs his production with Banchero (oblique) out indefinitely. The 23-year-old has played 35-plus minutes in four of his past five games.

More minutes have led to increased shot volume, including from long range where he’s nailing 2.5 a night at a respectable 35.7% rate.

Suggs has also been adding a few points a night from the line, where he’s shooting 90.0%.

Five different point guards have scored more than 20 points on the Pacers over their seven games.

Key stat: Indiana is allowing the fourth-most points to PGs in the NBA, according to Betting Pros.

Quick picks

Westbrook over 20.5 points/rebounds (-112): The veteran guard has only cleared this line twice in seven games. But his situation and role with the Denver Nuggets has entirely changed.

The Nuggets are without two-fifths of their starting rotation, including point guard Jamal Murray.

Westbrook is coming off a season-high 34 minutes (his second straight 30-plus minute game), dropping 21 points with six boards.

Getting to 20 against the Oklahoma City Thunder (No. 1 in the NBA in defensive rating) will be difficult, but Denver will need Westbrook to be aggressive offensively.

Aaron Gordon is also out, meaning Denver is missing 30-plus points per night between him and Murray.

Westbrook should also benefit from playing a team that’s weak on the glass. OKC ranks 27th in the NBA in rebounding rate and surrenders the most to opposing point guards.

He had five rebounds against them in 21 minutes in his Nuggets debut.

Westbrook has largely been in a reserve role the last few seasons but averaged 21.1 points/rebounds, according to StatMuse, in the 32 games he started for the Los Angeles Clippers since 2023.

Brunson over 2.5 threes (+102): Brunson’s long-range volume is down but he’s shooting 50.0% from deep on five attempts per game.

He has cleared this line in half his games and gets an ultra-juicy matchup versus the Atlanta Hawks tonight:

Atlanta ranks 28th in PPG allowed
Last in opponent 3-point percentage
29th in PPG allowed to point guards

Opponents are averaging 42.8 threes against them per game, which is also the most in the NBA.

Brunson has the sixth-highest usage rate in the NBA, according to StatMuse, and gets a Hawks team playing at the third-fastest pace. He won’t be short on opportunities to carve them up on Wednesday.

Picks made at 1:16 p.m. ET on 11/06/2024.

Thunder vs. Nuggets same-game parlay predictions Nov. 6: Back Gilgeous-Alexander, Jokic at +295

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets meet for a Western Conference heavyweight showdown.

The pregame narrative: OKC is the West’s last unbeaten team and I can’t see that changing against a shorthanded Denver team tonight. Back the Thunder to cover an alternate spread alongside prop bets on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic.

Check out my Thunder vs. Nuggets same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 6.

Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions

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Parlay: Thunder -3.5 + Gilgeous-Alexander over 6.5 assists + Jokic over 11.5 rebounds (+295)

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Thunder -3.5 (-190): OKC is dismantling teams right now.

The Thunder are a perfect 7-0 with a league-best +17.1 net rating. They’ve won each game by at least 12 points and began the season with a 15-point drumming of the Nuggets in Denver two weeks ago.

Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon were on the court then and are both out tonight.

Murray and Gordon were Denver’s second and fourth-ranked scorers from a year ago and that leaves the likes of Russell Westbrook and Christian Braun to pick up the slack.

Jokic is the best player on the planet but even he can’t do it all against a Thunder squad firing on all cylinders.

I expect OKC to comfortably win tonight.

SGP legs

Gilgeous-Alexander over 6.5 assists (-157): It’s very early but Gilgeous-Alexander is favoured to win the MVP after a red-hot start.

The Canadian superstar is averaging 25.7 points to pair with 6.9 assists, clearing this line in five of seven games.

He had eight helpers against Denver when these teams met a few weeks back and has logged nine assists in back-to-back games.

The Nuggets aren’t what they used to be defensively and sit a pedestrian 17th in defensive rating while allowing the second-most assists per game to point guards (11.3), according to Fantasy Pros.

As long as this isn’t a complete blowout, SGA should get enough run to clear this total.

Jokic over 11.5 rebounds (-225): The only hole to poke in the OKC’s game right now is its rebounding.

The Thunder had the third-worst rebounding rate last year (48.4%) and own the fourth-worst so far (47.7%). They will have help on the glass when Isaiah Hartenstein returns from injury but until then remain a prime fade candidate.

Jokic had 12 rebounds against OKC in October and has cleared this line in back-to-back games with 30 total boards in that span.

He’s played close to or over 40 minutes in each of Denver’s competitive games and has a notable size advantage against 208-pound Chet Holmgren.

NBA picks made at 10:50 a.m. on 11/06/24.

76ers vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions Nov. 6: Bet on George to bounce back, Zubac to be active on glass in +370 ticket

Three player props make up my same-game parlay for the Philadelphia 76ers vs. Los Angeles Clippers game.

The pregame narrative: This is Paul George’s second game back from injury and I expect an uptick in production. I’m adding prop picks on big men Ivica Zubac and Andre Drummond to round out a +370 ticket.

Check out my 76ers vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 6.

76ers vs. Clippers predictions

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Parlay: George over 26.5 points/rebounds + Zubac over 11.5 rebounds + Drummond over 0.5 blocks (+370)

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George over 26.5 points/rebounds (-124): In his first game back, George scored 15 points on 4-of-14 shooting from the field and 1-for-7 from three.

It’s important to note that George is still on the injury report but is probable to play, per Rotowire. If he suits up, I expect a similar workload as last game (32 minutes).

Last season, the all-star was close to the 50/40/90 club as he shot 47.1% from the field, 41.3% from 3-point range and 90.7% at the charity stripe.

If George shoots anywhere near his usual standard, he could clear this line with points alone. It’s also nice to know that he’s averaged 6.3 rebounds per game in his career.

The 76ers are in dire need of another scorer and George is one of the best shot creators in the NBA.

SGP legs

Zubac over 11.5 rebounds (-141): Zubac has been a beast on the glass this season.

The big man is averaging 13.0 rebounds per game and has cleared this line in six straight games.

On top of that, the 76ers have been prone to giving up a lot of rebounds to similar centres. Jusuf Nurkic had 15 his last time out and Zach Edey recorded his first double-digit rebound game against Philly.

Even strong rebounder Jalen Duren had six boards in 10 minutes before getting ejected in his matchup with the 76ers.

This all suggests Zubac is in for another huge night in the paint.

Drummond over 0.5 steals (-225): For his size, Drummond isn’t much of a shot-blocker anymore but he is always active in the steals department.

The veteran big has at least a steal in five of his six games this season and is averaging 1.8 per game.

Los Angeles gives up the second-most steals to centres per game (2.42). Five of the seven centres to start against the Clippers this season have recorded one or more steals.

Picks made at 10:24 a.m. on 11/06/24.

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Raptors vs. Kings props Nov. 6: Back DeRozan, Dick to have big nights

The Toronto Raptors and Sacramento Kings meet for the second time in a week.

The pregame narrative: Toronto beat Sacramento as a 9.5-point underdog during Vince Carter’s jersey retirement on Saturday and the Raps are getting even more points tonight. On the prop market, I expect DeMar DeRozan and Gradey Dick to show out.

Check out my Raptors vs. Kings props for Nov. 6.

Raptors vs. Kings props

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Best Bet: DeRozan over 24.5 points (-112)

The revenge game narrative gets overused but there’s legitimate beef here.

Toward the end of Saturday’s festivities, during which DeRozan dropped 33 points and four assists, Drake felt the need to say: “If you ever put (up) a DeRozan banner, I’ll pull that thing down myself.”

DeRozan responded postgame with: “He’s gonna have a long way to climb to get there.”

Talking smack is one thing but the former Raptor has a golden opportunity to back it up on the court tonight. DeRozan has scored 20-plus points in all seven games as a King and is averaging 25.4 PPG on 17.0 field-goal attempts.

His floor as a scorer is high and the Raptors chronically struggle to defend small forwards.

Toronto allowed the most points per game to that position last year and is giving up the 10th-most points this season, according to Fantasy Pros.

DeRozan took a season-high 27 shots on Saturday and I expect him to be the primary attacker this evening.

Key stat: DeRozan has cleared this line in four of seven games (three straight) and came within a basket of it two additional times.

Quick pick

Dick over 2.5 threes (-175): I’m not a fan of paying this much juice but Dick has been torching teams from beyond the arc and gets a nice matchup.

The Kings are allowing opponents to shoot a healthy 37.2% from beyond the arc and Dick hit 3-of-8 attempts against them a few days ago.

The sophomore shooting guard has now cleared this number in three straight games and four of his last six after a rocky start to the season. Dick is leading the Raptors in 3-point attempts per game (7.4) and is playing north of 30 minutes per night.

From a pure volume standpoint, this seems like a smash play.

Picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET 11/06/2024.

Raptors vs. Kings props Nov. 6: Back DeRozan, Dick to have big nights

The Toronto Raptors and Sacramento Kings meet for the second time in a week.

The pregame narrative: Toronto beat Sacramento as a 9.5-point underdog during Vince Carter’s jersey retirement on Saturday and is getting the same amount of points tonight. On the prop market, I expect DeMar DeRozan and Gradey Dick to show out.

Check out my Raptors vs. Kings props for Nov. 6.

Raptors vs. Kings props

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Best Bet: DeRozan over 28.5 points and assists (-114)

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The revenge game narrative gets overused but there’s legitimate beef here.

Toward the end of Saturday’s festivities, during which DeRozan dropped 33 points and four assists, Drake felt the need to say: “If you ever put (up) a DeRozan banner, I’ll pull that thing down myself.”

DeRozan responded postgame with: “He’s gonna have a long way to climb to get there.”

Talking smack is one thing but the former Raptor has a golden opportunity to back it up on the court tonight. DeRozan has scored 20-plus points in all seven games as a King and is averaging 25.4 PPG on 17.0 field-goal attempts.

His floor as a scorer is high and the Raptors chronically struggle to defend small forwards.

Toronto allowed the most points per game to that position last year and is giving up the 10th-most points this season, according to Fantasy Pros. It also allowed the third-most assists per game to SFs in 2023.

DeRozan took a season-high 27 shots on Saturday and I expect him to be the primary attacker this evening. And if Toronto wants to send more bodies his way that should open up lanes for easy assists.

Key stat: DeRozan has cleared this line in four of seven games (three straight) with no fewer than 26 points and assists.

Quick pick

Dick over 2.5 threes (-139): This line has been moving around all morning and was sitting at -145 at one point. I’m not a fan of paying this much juice but Dick has been torching teams from beyond the arc and gets a nice matchup.

The Kings are allowing opponents to shoot a healthy 37.2% from beyond the arc and Dick hit 3-of-8 attempts against them a few days ago.

The sophomore shooting guard has now cleared this number in three straight games and four of his last six after a rocky start to the season. Dick is leading the Raptors in 3-point attempts per game (7.4) and is playing north of 30 minutes per night.

From a pure volume standpoint, this seems like a smash play.

Picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET 11/06/2024.

NBA parlay picks Nov. 6: Back the Celtics, Cavaliers and Suns +280

I’m targeting two of the Eastern Conference’s best teams in this +280 NBA parlay.

The pregame narrative: The Cleveland Cavaliers are undefeated and the Boston Celtics are borderline unstoppable at home. I like both teams to win and am also taking the Phoenix Suns to cover as home favourites against the Miami Heat.

Check out the full NBA parlay picks for Nov. 6.

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Parlay: Cavaliers moneyline + Celtics -4.5 + Suns -5.5 (+280)

Cavaliers moneyline (-300): Cleveland is the East’s last unbeaten team and has been demolishing opponents en route to an 8-0 record.

The Cavs have a +12.7 net rating (fourth-best in the NBA) and the league’s best true shooting percentage (63.0%).

Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland make up a dynamite backcourt averaging a combined 43.6 PPG, and they should have a field day against the New Orleans Pelicans’ depleted roster.

Dejounte Murray, Trey Murphy III and CJ McCollum are all out, which means Jose Alvarado and Jordan Hawkins are the team’s 1-2 combo. Zion Williamson also missed Monday’s game with a hamstring injury and is considered day-to-day.

Even on the road, I expect the Cavs to rout the Pelicans.

Other picks

Celtics -4.5 (-200): Boston is coming off a season where it went 37-5 during the regular season on its famed parquet floors, posting the best regular season home net rating (+15.5) since the 2016-17 Golden State Warriors.

The Celtics were just as dominant in the playoffs (8-2) and are off to a 2-0 start at TD Garden so far.

Sure, the 6-1 Warriors are on a roll right now and have Steph Curry back in the lineup, but they have barely had to play any tough teams so far. Golden State has beaten New Orleans (twice), Washington, Utah, Portland and Houston — and only the Rockets are above .500.

I expect reality to set in for an average team against a true juggernaut.

Suns -5.5 (-110): Phoenix has rattled off five straight wins since losing on the road to the Los Angeles Lakers on Oct. 25.

The Suns are a perfect 4-0 at home with the eighth-best home net rating (+6.3) in the NBA. They haven’t been a great ATS team (2-5), but neither have the Heat (2-4).

Miami is 2-0 on the road but those wins came against the Hornets and Wizards.

I think this will be a matchup nightmare for Miami, who is allowing opponents to shoot 44.3% from the midrange, the eighth-worst mark in the NBA according to Cleaning the Glass.

Kevin Durant and Devin Booker are prolific scorers from that area of the court and should have big nights.

Picks made at 1:43 p.m. on 11/05/2024.

NBA parlay picks Nov. 6: Back the Celtics, Cavaliers and Suns +296

I’m targeting two of the Eastern Conference’s best teams in this +296 NBA parlay.

The pregame narrative: The Cleveland Cavaliers are undefeated and the Boston Celtics are borderline unstoppable at home. I like both teams to win and am also taking the Phoenix Suns to cover as home favourites against the Miami Heat.

Check out the full NBA parlay picks for Nov. 6.

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Parlay: Cavaliers moneyline + Celtics -4.5 + Suns -5.5 (+296)

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Cavaliers moneyline (-295): Cleveland is the East’s last unbeaten team and has been demolishing opponents en route to an 8-0 record.

The Cavs have a +12.7 net rating (fourth-best in the NBA) and the league’s best true shooting percentage (63.0%).

Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland make up a dynamite backcourt averaging a combined 43.6 PPG, and they should have a field day against the New Orleans Pelicans’ depleted roster.

Dejounte Murray, Trey Murphy III and CJ McCollum are all out, which means Jose Alvarado and Jordan Hawkins are the team’s 1-2 combo. Zion Williamson also missed Monday’s game with a hamstring injury and is considered day-to-day.

Even on the road, I expect the Cavs to rout the Pelicans.

Other picks

Celtics -4.5 (-186): Boston is coming off a season where it went 37-5 during the regular season on its famed parquet floors, posting the best regular season home net rating (+15.5) since the 2016-17 Golden State Warriors.

The Celtics were just as dominant in the playoffs (8-2) and are off to a 2-0 start at TD Garden so far.

Sure, the 6-1 Warriors are on a roll right now and have Steph Curry back in the lineup, but they have barely had to play any tough teams so far. Golden State has beaten New Orleans (twice), Washington, Utah, Portland and Houston — and only the Rockets are above .500.

I expect reality to set in for an average team against a true juggernaut.

Suns -5.5 (-109): Phoenix has rattled off five straight wins since losing on the road to the Los Angeles Lakers on Oct. 25.

The Suns are a perfect 4-0 at home with the eighth-best home net rating (+6.3) in the NBA. They haven’t been a great ATS team (2-5), but neither have the Heat (2-4).

Miami is 2-0 on the road but those wins came against the Hornets and Wizards.

I think this will be a matchup nightmare for Miami, who is allowing opponents to shoot 44.3% from the midrange, the eighth-worst mark in the NBA according to Cleaning the Glass.

Kevin Durant and Devin Booker are prolific scorers from that area of the court and should have big nights.

Picks made at 1:43 p.m. on 11/05/2024.

Nov. 6 NBA odds, schedule and matchups: Thunder, Cavaliers test unbeaten records on the road

After a pause from regular season action to observe the U.S. presidential election day, the NBA is back in full force on Wednesday with 12 matchups.

The latest: Both remaining unbeaten teams, the Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder, are road favourites. Elsewhere, Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors are road underdogs against the defending-champion Boston Celtics.

Check out today’s basketball schedule and our NBA odds for Nov. 6.

NBA odds: Nov. 6

Visit all of tonight’s NBA markets. Click on game odds below to bet now.

Detroit Pistons vs. Charlotte Hornets

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Orlando Magic vs. Indiana Pacers

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New York Knicks vs. Atlanta Hawks

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Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics

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Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies

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San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets

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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicans

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Chicago Bulls vs. Dallas Mavericks

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets

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Miami Heat vs. Phoenix Suns

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Toronto Raptors vs. Sacramento Kings

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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Los Angeles Clippers

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Betting insights

After a three-game absence, Curry (ankle) returned on Monday and scored 24 points in 24 minutes for the Warriors. Golden State coach Steve Kerr said he “doesn’t anticipate a big minutes restriction” for Curry on Wednesday. The Warriors are 6-1 straight up and against the spread, covering both underdog spreads they’ve faced this year.

Cleveland is 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS. It leads the NBA in effective field goal percentage (60.9%) and is second in points per game off turnovers (19.2). New Orleans, meanwhile, is just 2-6 ATS and has already lost three times SU as a favourite.

OKC isn’t just beating teams … it’s burying them. All seven of the Thunder’s victories have come by 12 or more points — including a 15-point win as road underdogs against the Nuggets in the season opener. OKC has won four in a row against Denver dating back to last season.

Paul George had an ugly debut for the 76ers on Monday, scoring 15 points on 4-of-14 shooting with six turnovers. Philly dropped to 1-5 on the season and is still awaiting the return of Joel Embiid. The Clippers are missing a star, too, with Kawhi Leonard still on the shelf for an unknown amount of time. One strong trend for the 76ers has been overs, which are 5-1 this season.

The Raptors have struggled to close out victories, but they’ve been dynamite from an ATS perspective. Toronto has covered seven straight games after losing by 30 points in the season opener (to a still-unbeaten Cleveland squad). Last week, the Raptors beat the Kings SU as 9.5-point underdogs.