Category: NBA

Mavericks vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions Dec. 7: Back Toronto to cover, Barnes to let it fly at +295

Mavericks vs. Raptors predictions

On Saturday, the Toronto Raptors welcome another Western Conference powerhouse in the Dallas Mavericks.

The pregame narrative: Toronto lost by 37 points to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday but I feel good about the Raptors putting in a better effort tonight and covering a teased-up spread. I’m including prop picks on Scottie Barnes and Dereck Lively to close out the parlay.

Check out my Mavericks vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 7.

Mavericks vs. Raptors predictions

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Parlay: Raptors +12.5 + Barnes over 1.5 threes + Lively over 7.5 rebounds (+295)

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Raptors +12.5 (-190): Thursday’s 129-92 blowout loss hasn’t made me forget how competitive the Raptors have been at home this season.

They were coming off four straight home wins over the Indiana Pacers (twice), Minnesota Timberwolves and Miami Heat — all of which are formidable opponents.

Toronto has failed to cover this lofty spread just twice now in 11 games at Scotiabank Arena. The first time was against the Cleveland Cavaliers on opening night.

The Raps have a 6-5 home record despite being 7-16 overall which makes sense considering the youth on the squad.

The team plays hard every night and is more effective offensively at home, which has led to many competitive games.

Dallas has won seven straight on the road but only covered this spread once against the Washington Wizards.

SGP legs

Barners over 1.5 threes (-130): Since returning from injury, Barnes has been quite the volume shooter.

  • He’s averaging 2.3 made 3s on 7.3 attempts over the past eight games.
  • Barnes made 2+ threes in seven of those contests.

Although the efficiency isn’t where it needs to be (31.5% over the last eight, 29.0% on the season), this leg is more about volume, which has been there consistently.

Barnes has taken five or more threes in eight straight games and I don’t see any reason why that would change on Saturday.

Lively over 7.5 rebounds (-175): The second-year pro has seen his role expand as the season rolls on.

Jason Kidd is trusting Lively more than ever, and the youngster’s rebounding numbers have been great.

  • Lively had 10+ rebounds in back-to-back games and cleared this line in three of the last four.
  • The big man played a season-high 32 minutes on Dec. 3 against the Memphis Grizzlies.

Lively only played 19 minutes last time out, but that was due to Dallas’ 36-point blowout win over the Wizards.

The good news is he still managed to pull down 11 rebounds. If Jakob Poeltl (questionable) is good to go Saturday, Lively’s size will be needed to compete on the glass.

Toronto allows the ninth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres (15.4).

Picks made at 9:19 a.m. ET 12/07/2024.

Best NBA prop bets Dec. 7: Bet on Tatum, fade Morant in Grizzlies vs. Celtics

NBA prop bets

I’m fading one star and tailing another in Saturday’s Memphis Grizzlies vs. Boston Celtics matchup.

The pregame narrative: Jayson Tatum shoots a ton of 3s, and his matchup against Memphis should encourage him to keep that up. On the other side, Ja Morant is a solid plus-money fade as a rebounder. I’m also fading Jalen Duren

Check out the best NBA prop bets on Dec. 7.

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Best bet: Tatum over 3.5 threes (-108)

Tatum loves shooting 3s, and the Memphis Grizzlies seem content with conceding them. This has volume play written all over it.

Memphis is actually one of the top teams at defending 3-point land, holding opponents to 33.9% shooting (fourth in the NBA) from outside.

But the Grizzlies play fast, which leads to more total attempted 3s.

  • Opponents are firing 39.6 shots per game beyond the arc, which is the fourth-most in the league.
  • Non-corner 3s are what the Grizzlies are most willing to allow, which makes sense because it’s a less efficient shot. Opponents are attempting 30.8% of all shots from a non-corner 3-point area, which is the fourth-highest in the NBA.
  • That’s where Tatum comes in. He ranks in the 91st percentile of non-corner 3s attempted, per Cleaning The Glass.

If Memphis opts to defend the interior and/or the corners more thoroughly, Tatum should take his opportunities to let it fly.

That’s been a theme this season for the MVP hopeful, anyway. He’s averaging career highs in average makes (4.0) and attempts (10.5) from deep.

Key stat: Tatum has cashed this bet in 11 of his past 15 games. He also has an 0-for-10 performance from 3-point range in that span, which shows he’ll keep shooting even on a down night.

Quick picks

Duren under 8.5 rebounds (+100): If you’re a centre facing the New York Knicks, good luck.

Karl-Anthony Towns anchors the group at the five, but he gets ample help when needed from guys like OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges.

Collectively, the Knicks allow the fewest rebounds per game to their opponents. And according to Betting Pros, they also allow the fewest rebounds centres in particular.

Duren has hit this under in five of his past seven games. When he faced the Knicks on Nov. 1, he finished with seven rebounds .

Morant under 4.5 rebounds (-108): Morant was a strong rebounder in each of the previous three seasons, but his volume is way down this year.

It’s tough to tell if that’ll continue, but I’m willing to take a shot at this price.

  • Morant is averaging 4.0 rebounds/game in 13 games.
  • He’s finished u4.5 rebounds in six straight games, collecting with three or fewer rebounds in five straight.

Picks made at 9:10 a.m. ET on 12/07/2024.

Best NBA prop bets Dec. 7: Bet on Tatum, fade Morant in Grizzlies vs. Celtics

NBA prop bets

I’m fading one star and tailing another in Saturday’s Memphis Grizzlies vs. Boston Celtics matchup.

The pregame narrative: Jayson Tatum shoots a ton of 3s, and his matchup against Memphis should encourage him to keep that up. On the other side, Ja Morant is a solid plus-money fade as a rebounder. I’m also fading Jalen Duren

Check out the best NBA prop bets on Dec. 7.

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Best bet: Tatum over 3.5 threes (-112)

Tatum loves shooting 3s, and the Memphis Grizzlies seem content with conceding them. This has volume play written all over it.

Memphis is actually one of the top teams at defending 3-point land, holding opponents to 33.9% shooting (fourth in the NBA) from outside.

But the Grizzlies play fast, which leads to more total attempted 3s.

  • Opponents are firing 39.6 shots per game beyond the arc, which is the fourth-most in the league.
  • Non-corner 3s are what the Grizzlies are most willing to allow, which makes sense because it’s a less efficient shot. Opponents are attempting 30.8% of all shots from a non-corner 3-point area, which is the fourth-highest in the NBA.
  • That’s where Tatum comes in. He ranks in the 91st percentile of non-corner 3s attempted, per Cleaning The Glass.

If Memphis opts to defend the interior and/or the corners more thoroughly, Tatum should take his opportunities to let it fly.

That’s been a theme this season for the MVP hopeful, anyway. He’s averaging career highs in average makes (4.0) and attempts (10.5) from deep.

Key stat: Tatum has cashed this bet in 11 of his past 15 games. He also has an 0-for-10 performance from 3-point range in that span, which shows he’ll keep shooting even on a down night.

Quick picks

Duren under 17.5 points/rebounds (-117): If you’re a centre facing the New York Knicks, good luck.

Karl-Anthony Towns anchors the group at the five, but he gets ample help when needed from guys like OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges.

Collectively, the Knicks allow the fewest rebounds per game to their opponents. And according to Betting Pros, they allow the fewest rebounds and the fifth-fewest points to centres in particular.

Duren has hit this under in six of his past eight games. When he faced the Knicks on Nov. 1, he finished with just five points and seven rebounds (12 PR).

Morant under 4.5 rebounds (+102): Morant was a strong rebounder in each of the previous three seasons, but his volume is way down this year.

It’s tough to tell if that’ll continue, but I’m willing to take a shot at this price.

  • Morant is averaging 4.0 rebounds/game in 13 games.
  • He’s finished u4.5 rebounds in six straight games, collecting with three or fewer rebounds in five straight.

Picks made at 9:10 a.m. ET on 12/07/2024.

Bucks vs. Celtics same-game parlay predictions Dec. 6: Take Boston to win, Giannis to score at +300

Bucks vs. Celtics predictions

The Boston Celtics host the Milwaukee Bucks in the third contest between these teams.

The pregame narrative: Even though Boston is in the first half of a back-to-back, I like the Celtics to defeat the Bucks at home. To round out the parlay, I am including prop picks on Giannis Antetokounmpo and the returning Khris Middleton.

Check out my Bucks vs. Celtics same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 6.

Bucks vs. Celtics predictions

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Parlay: Celtics moneyline + Antetokounmpo over 27.5 points + Middleton over 2.5 assists (+300)

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Celtics moneyline (-295): The Celtics defeated the Bucks twice already this season and I don’t expect tonight’s game to be any different.

The reigning champions are among the best-scoring teams in the league, which gives them a favourable matchup against a team who have struggled to defend elite shooting.

Jayson Tatum missed Wednesday’s game against the Detroit Pistons but Boston still put up 130 points in a winning effort. He’s listed as available tonight, which is great news for the Celtics.

Joe Mazzulla’s lineup is loaded with sharpshooters like Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, and Payton Pritchard who are capable of filling the void.

Although the Bucks are seemingly back in business, their poor away record cannot be ignored.

Milwaukee is just 3-6 on the road this season and has lost its last five games in Boston.

A lot of factors are pointing toward a Celtics victory in this one.

SGP legs

Antetokounmpo over 27.5 points (-182): Although I like the Celtics to win, I expect Giannis to keep rolling here.

The Greek Freak is averaging a league-best 32.6 points per game and has cleared this line in his last six games (41, 37, 32, 42, 28 and 31).

Boston’s defence is solid but Giannis has cooked it this season:

  • On Oct. 28, the star big man scored 30 points despite shooting 33 percent from the free-throw line (2-for-6).
  • On Nov. 11, he dropped 43 points while shooting 62.1 percent from the field.

With Boston playing the first of a back-to-back, one of Kristap Porzingis or Al Horford could miss this game. This leaves more space for Giannis to wreak havoc in the paint.

Middleton over 2.5 assists (-130): Middleton makes his season debut tonight and will be on a minutes restriction.

However, if the three-time All-Star receives at least 20 minutes on the floor I believe this line is a notch too low.

In the four games against Boston last season, Middleton recorded at least six assists with Antetokounmpo and Lilliard on the court.

He averaged 5.3 assists and 27 minutes a night across 55 games last season.

Having not played in over seven months, I believe there’s value in his assists prop.

Picks made at 12:33 p.m. on 12/06/24.

Best NBA prop bets Dec. 6: Take overs with Sharpe, LaVine and Sabonis

NBA prop bets

Tonight’s NBA prop bets feature Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine and Shaedon Sharpe.

The pregame narrative: I like all three players to hit overs that involve scoring points, but the Sabonis pick capitalizes on his talent as a passer, too.

Check out the best NBA prop bets on Dec. 6.

NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Sharpe over 17.5 points (-108)

The Portland Trail Blazers are loaded with depth pieces rather than superstars, but in some ways Sharpe is still rising above the pack.

The London, Ontario native suffered a shoulder injury in training camp that caused him to miss the first eight games of the season. After three ramp-up games, he returned to a full workload on Nov. 12.

And from that point on, Sharpe has been the Trail Blazers’ leading scorer, averaging 20.3 PPG in 11 games.

Mind you, five other Blazers are averaging at least 10.0 PPG in that span (minimum eight games played), so the bulk of the scoring could go to a hot hand on any given night.

But based on Friday’s matchup against the Utah Jazz, I think tonight is a nice spot for Sharpe to shine.

  • Utah allows the second most PPG to opposing shooting guards (24.6), per Betting Pros.
  • Utah allows the second-most attempted 3s per game to its opponents (39.6).

Key stat: Sharpe is averaging 16.8 points in his past five matchups against the Jazz dating back to March 2023.

Quick picks

LaVine over 2.5 threes (-143): The highest projected total of the night, by a mile, belongs to the Pacers/Bulls matchup in Chicago (247 points). This is a good way to tap into that matchup.

LaVine is shooting 42.5% from outside, averaging 3.1 makes per night. And he’s been even hotter lately.

  • 44.4% 3-point shooting in his past nine games.
  • 3+ threes in 7/9 games since Nov. 18.

The Bulls’ second-leading scorer has also cashed this bet in three of his past five against Indiana, averaging 3.2 makes on 8.0 attempted 3s.

Sabonis over 24.5 points/assists (-125): This is a really compelling number for one of the best big men in the game.

Sabonis is averaging 20.8 points and 6.3 assists (27.1 PA) this season. He’s cashed this bet in 14 of 21 games.

Victor Wembanyama might be back tonight for the San Antonio Spurs after sitting out on Thursday, but that doesn’t faze me.

  • Sabonis is 4/4 against this line in his previous matchups against Wemby, which includes a pair of matchups this year.
  • Since the start of last season, Sabonis is averaging 25.6 points and 7.4 assists vs. San Antonio.

Picks made at 12:18 p.m. ET on 12/06/2024.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions Dec. 6: Fade Edwards, Kuminga in +240 SGP

Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions

Two of the NBA’s top defensive teams meet up in San Francisco on Friday night as the Golden State Warriors host the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The pregame narrative: I’m all about the unders for tonight’s matchup, including a pair of prop bets on Anthony Edwards and Jonathan Kuminga.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 6.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions

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Embed: #102672

Parlay: Under 224.5 points + Edwards under 26.5 points + Kuminga under 5.5 rebounds (+240)

Under 224.5 points (-205): Last year, the Timberwolves’ success was largely built on their lockdown defence, which posted an NBA-best defensive rating.

This year’s squad had some shaky nights on defence early on, but things are changing.

  • Each of Minnesota’s past three opponents was held to 92 points or fewer.
  • Unders are 5-2 for Minnesota since Nov. 21.
  • Six of the T-Wolves’ past seven games went under 224.5 points.

Golden State has also been a defensively-minded squad, ranking fourth in the NBA in defensive rating this year.

Unders are 2-0 when the Warriors are on a back-to-back, and four of the past five meetings between these teams finished below this total.

SGP legs

Edwards under 26.5 points (-195): Edwards’ scoring success this year has been built on some explosive production from the 3-point line. But that’s what Golden State is best at defending.

The Warriors allow the fewest 3s per game to opposing shooting guards (2.6), according to Betting Pros, as well as the lowest 3PT% to opponents as a whole (32.8%).

Edwards has been fantastic beyond the arc this season, canning 4.5 threes per game at a 42.3% clip.

But if his 3-point production is capped, the rest of his scoring should be, too.

Edwards has gone under this number in eight of his past 12 games, averaging 24.1 PPG in that span. He’s also been under in five of seven matchups versus Golden State since the 2022-23 season.

Kuminga under 5.5 rebounds (-190): At 6-foot-8 and 210 pounds, Kuminga is a bit undersized for a frontcourt player. And he rarely imposes his will as a rebounder.

  • Kuminga averaged a career-high 4.8 rebounds last year and is down to 4.3 RPG so far in 2024-25.
  • He’s gone under 5.5 rebounds in 15/19 games.

Minnesota is a tough matchup for Kuminga to buck that trend. The T-Wolves allow the sixth-fewest rebounds overall and the second-fewest to power forwards.

Kuminga has gone under 5.5 rebounds in six straight games against Minnesota.

Picks made at 10:50 a.m. on 12/06/24.

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Best NBA prop bets Dec. 6: Take overs with Sharpe, LaVine and Sabonis

NBA prop bets

Tonight’s NBA prop bets feature Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine and Shaedon Sharpe.

The pregame narrative: I like all three players to hit overs that involve scoring points, but the Sabonis pick capitalizes on his talent as a passer, too.

Check out the best NBA prop bets on Dec. 6.

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Best bet: Sharpe over 16.5 points (-117)

The Portland Trail Blazers are loaded with depth pieces rather than superstars, but in some ways Sharpe is still rising above the pack.

The London, Ontario native suffered a shoulder injury in training camp that caused him to miss the first eight games of the season. After three ramp-up games, he returned to a full workload on Nov. 12.

And from that point on, Sharpe has been the Trail Blazers’ leading scorer, averaging 20.3 PPG in 11 games.

Mind you, five other Blazers are averaging at least 10.0 PPG in that span (minimum eight games played), so the bulk of the scoring could go to a hot hand on any given night.

But based on Friday’s matchup against the Utah Jazz, I think tonight is a nice spot for Sharpe to shine.

  • Utah allows the second most PPG to opposing shooting guards (24.6), per Betting Pros.
  • Utah allows the second-most attempted 3s per game to its opponents (39.6).
  • Sharpe has cashed this line in 7/11 games since returning to a full workload.

Key stat: Sharpe is averaging 16.8 points in his past five matchups against the Jazz dating back to March 2023.

Quick picks

LaVine over 2.5 threes (-130): The highest projected total of the night, by a mile, belongs to the Pacers/Bulls matchup in Chicago (247 points). This is a good way to tap into that matchup.

LaVine is shooting 42.5% from outside, averaging 3.1 makes per night. And he’s been even hotter lately.

  • 44.4% 3-point shooting in his past nine games.
  • 3+ threes in 7/9 games since Nov. 18.

The Bulls’ second-leading scorer has also cashed this bet in three of his past five against Indiana, averaging 3.2 makes on 8.0 attempted 3s.

Sabonis over 24.5 points/assists (-130): This is a really compelling number for one of the best big men in the game.

Sabonis is averaging 20.8 points and 6.3 assists (27.1 PA) this season. He’s cashed this bet in 14 of 21 games.

Victor Wembanyama might be back tonight for the San Antonio Spurs after sitting out on Thursday, but that doesn’t faze me.

  • Sabonis is 4/4 against this line in his previous matchups against Wemby, which includes a pair of matchups this year.
  • Since the start of last season, Sabonis is averaging 25.6 points and 7.4 assists vs. San Antonio.

Picks made at 10:13 a.m. ET on 12/06/2024.

Best NBA prop bets Dec. 5: Fade Podziemski, ride with Vucevic and Booker

NBA prop bets

Neither Steph Curry nor Victor Wembanyama are playing tonight, and those situations influenced two of my Thursday night NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: In the late-night spot, I’m fading Brandin Podziemski from 3-point range in a tough matchup. But I do like the over on a pair of props involving Nikola Vucevic and Devin Booker.

Check out the best NBA prop bets on Dec. 5.

NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Podziemski under 1.5 threes (-120)

Curry’s absence theoretically frees up plenty of 3-point shooting opportunities for his teammates. But I don’t expect much out of Podziemski from deep.

That’s partially because I don’t expect much out of the Golden State Warriors from the 3-point line as a whole.

Tonight’s opponents, the Houston Rockets, have put up stellar defensive numbers beyond the arc:

  • 5th in 3PT% (34.3)
  • 2nd in 3s allowed per game (11.9)
  • 3rd in opponent attempted 3s per game (34.7)

Curry was out when the Warriors faced the Rockets last month. In that matchup, Podziemski went 0-for-3 from deep.

On the season, Podziemski is shooting just 20.6% from 3-point range. He was a 38.5% shooter from deep last year, but he still only averaged 1.2 makes due to low volume.

Buddy Hield is 22-for-41 (53.7%) from 3-point range in the four games Curry has missed this season. If anyone should be letting it fly for the Warriors tonight, it’s him.

Key stat: Podziemski has gone under 1.5 threes in 16 of 19 games, averaging 0.7 threes so far this season.

Quick picks

Booker over 10.5 rebounds and assists (-106): Booker is averaging 3.8 rebounds and 6.6 assists this year (10.4 RA), which puts him right in line with this number.

And given the juicy matchup he’ll see tonight against the New Orleans Pelicans, I think an over is well within reach.

New Orleans allows the second-most rebounds (7.4/game) and the second-most assists (5.3/game) to opposing shooting guards, per Betting Pros.

Booker has cashed this bet in nine of his past 16 games, amassing 11.2 RA in that span.

Vucevic over 19.5 points (-130): Tonight could be a huge night for Vucevic with Wembanyama sitting out for the San Antonio Spurs.

Last year, in his lone matchup against the Wemby-less Spurs, Vucevic had 24 points in 31 minutes. He also added 16 rebounds.

I don’t mind a points/rebounds prop for the 14th-year centre, but the points prop feels a bit safer.

Vucevic is averaging 20.9 PPG and will be able to operate without a 7-foot-4 menace guarding him in the paint.

Picks made at 12:58 p.m. ET on 12/05/2024.

Rockets vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions Dec. 5: Back Houston to win, Hield from deep at +275

Rockets vs. Warriors predictions

The Golden State Warriors host the Houston Rockets in Thursday’s NBA nightcap.

The pregame narrative: I believe a short-handed Golden State team will lose its sixth straight game. Additional prop bets on Buddy Hield and Jalen Green round out this +275 wager.

Check out my Rockets vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 5.

Rockets vs. Warriors predictions

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Embed: #102588

Parlay: Rockets moneyline + Buddy Hield over 2.5 threes + Jalen Green over 0.5 steals (+275)

Rockets moneyline (-162): This is a revenge spot for the Rockets, who suffered a 127-121 overtime loss to the Warriors earlier in the season.

Golden State is on a five-game losing streak. Without Stephen Curry and Draymond Green, I believe their losing woes continue against an improving Rockets team.

Golden State is 87-148 all-time without Curry. The situation worsens without the presence of Green, whose versatility and defensive prowess would be the X-factor in this matchup.

Houston is winless in its last 14 games against the Warriors, so laying a juicy moneyline price could be discomforting. However, these two teams are trending in opposite directions.

The Rockets are 6-0 after a loss this season.

After a nine-point defeat to the Kings on Tuesday, Ime Udoka’s team will be determined to get back on track.

SGP legs

Hield over 2.5 threes (-190): In Curry’s absence, the Warriors will depend on Hield to produce from behind the arc.

In the four games without Curry, he has drained at least three shots from distance:

  • Oct. 29 vs. Pelicans: 7-for-11 from three.
  • Oct. 30 vs. Pelicans: 4-for-12 from three.
  • Nov. 2 at Rockets: 6-for-10 from three.
  • Nov. 27 vs. Thunder: 5-for-8 from three.

Houston’s strong defence doesn’t present the best matchup for the veteran guard, who has shown to be streaky. However, the heavy shot volume will make up for his inconsistencies.

This line feels like a layup.

Green over 0.5 steals (-190): Green is slowly evolving into a solid defender.

The 22-year-old guard has recorded a steal in seven of the last 10 games.

Curry is the Warriors’ primary ball handler. Without him and Draymond creating plays, the team is prone to a few more turnovers.

This opens up plenty of minutes for Brandin Podziemski, who has seen his turnover rate increase when tasked to create his own offence.

This is a favourable matchup for Green to rack up defensive stats.

Picks made at 12:08 p.m. on 12/04/24.

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Best NBA prop bets Dec. 5: Fade Podziemski, ride with Vucevic and Booker

NBA prop bets

Neither Steph Curry nor Victor Wembanyama are playing tonight, and those situations influenced two of my Thursday night NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: In the late-night spot, I’m fading Brandin Podziemski from 3-point range in a tough matchup. But I do like the over on a pair of props involving Nikola Vucevic and Devin Booker.

Check out the best NBA prop bets on Dec. 5.

NBA prop bets

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Embed: #102573

Best bet: Podziemski under 1.5 threes (-122)

Curry’s absence theoretically frees up plenty of 3-point shooting opportunities for his teammates. But I don’t expect much out of Podziemski from deep.

That’s partially because I don’t expect much out of the Golden State Warriors from the 3-point line as a whole.

Tonight’s opponents, the Houston Rockets, have put up stellar defensive numbers beyond the arc:

  • 5th in 3PT% (34.3)
  • 2nd in 3s allowed per game (11.9)
  • 3rd in opponent attempted 3s per game (34.7)

Curry was out when the Warriors faced the Rockets last month. In that matchup, Podziemski went 0-for-3 from deep.

On the season, Podziemski is shooting just 20.6% from 3-point range. He was a 38.5% shooter from deep last year, but he still only averaged 1.2 makes due to low volume.

Buddy Hield is 22-for-41 (53.7%) from 3-point range in the four games Curry has missed this season. If anyone should be letting it fly for the Warriors tonight, it’s him.

Key stat: Podziemski has gone under 1.5 threes in 16 of 19 games, averaging 0.7 threes so far this season.

Quick picks

Booker over 10.5 rebounds and assists (+107): Booker is averaging 3.8 rebounds and 6.6 assists this year (10.4 RA), which puts him right in line with this number.

And given the juicy matchup he’ll see tonight against the New Orleans Pelicans, I think an over is well within reach.

New Orleans allows the second-most rebounds (7.4/game) and the second-most assists (5.3/game) to opposing shooting guards, per Betting Pros.

Booker has cashed this bet in nine of his past 16 games, amassing 11.2 RA in that span.

Vucevic over 20.5 points (-109): Tonight could be a huge night for Vucevic with Wembanyama sitting out for the San Antonio Spurs.

Last year, in his lone matchup against the Wemby-less Spurs, Vucevic had 24 points in 31 minutes. He also added 16 rebounds.

I don’t mind a points/rebounds prop for the 14th-year centre, but the points prop feels a bit safer.

Vucevic is averaging 20.9 PPG and will be able to operate without a 7-foot-4 menace guarding him in the paint.

Picks made at 10:13 a.m. ET on 12/05/2024.