Category: NBA

Knicks vs. Raptors prop picks Dec. 9: Bet on Barrett and Anunoby to show out against old teams

NBA Betting Ontario

Many former teammates meet when the New York Knicks visit the Toronto Raptors on Monday night.

The pregame narrative: RJ Barrett used to play for the Knicks and has a good chance to go off against his former team. Additionally, I like prop picks on Jakob Poeltl and OG Anunoby.

Check out my Knicks vs. Raptors prop picks for Dec. 9.

Knicks vs. Raptors prop picks

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Best Bet: Barrett over 21.5 points (-130)

I would never miss the chance to get in on a revenge game narrative, but I also feel this is a great matchup for Barrett.

The Knicks boast one of the best offences in basketball, but they can be shaky on the defensive end.

New York allows the second-highest field goal percentage to opponents at the rim (46.7%), and Barrett excels at driving to the basket.

The Toronto native makes 6.1 shots per game at the rim at a 52.9% clip. That’s more makes in the area than 98% of the league, per 3stepbasket.com.

This is also a buy-low spot for Barrett. He went under this mark in two straight but cleared this line in the four previous games.

On top of that, he’s been balling at home.

Key stat: Barrett averages 27.7 points per game at Scotiabank Arena this season.

Quick pick

Poeltl over 10.5 rebounds (-125): Toronto is fourth in the league in rebounds per game (46.1) and Poeltl is a big reason why.

  • He averages 11.6 RPG
  • He’s cleared this line in 12/20 games dating back to Oct. 28

I believe Toronto will lean on the 7-footer in this matchup with the Knicks.

Karl-Anthony Towns is questionable to play but if he’s good to go, the Raps will need Poeltl in the low post contesting for rebounds.

If Towns is out, Poeltl will have a mismatch against the lesser experienced Jericho Sims.

Either way, I like his chances of clearing this modest line.

Anunoby over 2.5 threes made (+100): Here’s another chance to get in on the revenge narrative.

This pick becomes a lot juicier if Towns is out, so keep an eye on that throughout the day.

That’s because KAT shoots a high volume of threes per game (5.2) for a centre.

But even if Towns is in, Anunoby shoots his fair share of 3-pointers per game (5.9) and is hitting them at a 38.2% clip.

Anunoby has hit this line in two of the last three games, and I predict he shows out against the team that traded him away at the deadline last season.

Picks made at 11:19 a.m. ET 12/09/2024.

Knicks vs. Raptors prop picks Dec. 9: Bet on Barrett and Anunoby to show out against old teams

NBA Betting Ontario

Many former teammates meet when the New York Knicks visit the Toronto Raptors on Monday night.

The pregame narrative: RJ Barrett used to play for the Knicks and has a good chance to go off against his former team. Additionally, I like prop picks on Jakob Poeltl and OG Anunoby.

Check out my Knicks vs. Raptors prop picks for Dec. 9.

Knicks vs. Raptors prop picks

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Embed: #102857

Best Bet: Barrett over 21.5 points (-123)

I would never miss the chance to get in on a revenge game narrative, but I also feel this is a great matchup for Barrett.

The Knicks boast one of the best offences in basketball, but they can be shaky on the defensive end.

New York allows the second-highest field goal percentage to opponents at the rim (46.7%), and Barrett excels at driving to the basket.

The Toronto native makes 6.1 shots per game at the rim at a 52.9% clip. That’s more makes in the area than 98% of the league, per 3stepbasket.com.

This is also a buy-low spot for Barrett. He went under this mark in two straight but cleared this line in the four previous games.

On top of that, he’s been balling at home.

Key stat: Barrett averages 27.7 points per game at Scotiabank Arena this season.

Quick pick

Poeltl over 10.5 rebounds (-136): Toronto is fourth in the league in rebounds per game (46.1) and Poeltl is a big reason why.

  • He averages 11.6 RPG
  • He’s cleared this line in 12/20 games dating back to Oct. 28

I believe Toronto will lean on the 7-footer in this matchup with the Knicks.

Karl-Anthony Towns is questionable to play but if he’s good to go, the Raps will need Poeltl in the low post contesting for rebounds.

If Towns is out, Poeltl will have a mismatch against the lesser experienced Jericho Sims.

Either way, I like his chances of clearing this modest line.

Anunoby over 2.5 threes made (-113): Here’s another chance to get in on the revenge narrative.

This pick becomes a lot juicier if Towns is out, so keep an eye on that throughout the day.

That’s because KAT shoots a high volume of threes per game (5.2) for a centre.

But even if Towns is in, Anunoby shoots his fair share of 3-pointers per game (5.9) and is hitting them at a 38.2% clip.

Anunoby has hit this line in two of the last three games, and I predict he shows out against the team that traded him away at the deadline last season.

Picks made at 9:35 a.m. ET 12/09/2024.

NBA schedule, odds and betting lines Dec. 10: Thunder favoured at home vs. Mavericks

NBA schedule

Tuesday night features the first set of NBA Cup quarterfinal matchups.

The latest: The Milwaukee Bucks face a shorthanded Orlando Magic squad that is missing key players. Elsewhere, the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Dallas Mavericks in a rematch of last year’s Western Conference semifinals.

Check out our basketball betting lines and NBA schedule for Dec. 10.

NBA schedule: Dec. 10

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Orlando Magic vs. Milwaukee Bucks

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

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Betting insights

  • The Magic will have their two best players sidelined for Tuesday’s game. Franz Wagner tore his right oblique last week, and Paolo Banchero is nearing his return but is still out with the same injury. The Bucks have no injury restrictions and are 8.5-point favourites, understandably so.
  • Orlando is 2-6 ATS as an underdog this season. Milwaukee is 8-2 straight up in its past 10 games but just 5-5 ATS in that span.
  • The first-place Thunder host the scorching-hot Dallas Mavericks, who have won seven straight games. Dallas beat OKC in a 121-119 thriller earlier this year and took care of the Thunder in six games in last year’s playoffs. Dallas is 5-2-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
  • Dallas is 10-2 ATS in its past 12 games, winning four of those straight up as an underdog. OKC is 5-1-1 ATS in its past seven games and was favoured in each of them.

Knicks vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions Dec. 9: Ride with Barnes, Toronto in +310 SGP

Knicks vs. Raptors predictions

There’s only one NBA game tipping off Monday night, and it takes place inside Toronto’s Scotiabank Arena.

The pregame narrative: The Raptors host the New York Knicks, a squad that dominated this head-to-head matchup a season ago. Even so, I like Toronto to cover an alt spread at home tonight, and I’m backing Scottie Barnes and Jalen Brunson on the prop market to round out this SGP.

Check out my Knicks vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 9.

Knicks vs. Raptors predictions

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Parlay: Raptors +10.5 + Barnes over 7.5 assists + Brunson over 2.5 threes (+310)

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Raptors +10.5 (-240): The NBA standings don’t mirror the ATS standings, but Raptors fans can at least be proud of their team’s effort level this season.

Toronto is 7-17 overall but 16-8 ATS. That includes a 9-3 ATS record at home.

Teasing the spread up to +10.5 means taking it to a number Toronto has covered in 17 of 24 games (70.8%).

New York has gone 2-6 ATS in its past eight games as a road favourite, losing five of those games straight up (at Mavericks, Jazz, Pacers, Hawks, Rockets).

Karl-Anthony Towns missed the Knicks’ Dec. 7 game, which was a home loss to the Pistons as 8-point favourites. He’s listed as questionable, and if he’s out — or even limited — that’ll certainly help Toronto.

SGP legs

Barnes over 7.5 assists (-155): Barnes went under this number in all three of his matchups against the Knicks last season, but he was also playing a less pass-happy brand of basketball.

  • 2023-24: 6.1 assists, 10.7 potential assists/game
  • 2024-25: 7.8 assists, 14.9 potential assists/game

That uptick in potential assists, which tracks the number of passes/game that immediately lead to a shot, tells a great story about how often Barnes is facilitating for his teammates.

Only six players in the NBA are averaging more potential assists per game. Barnes is ahead of big-time passers like Luka Doncic, James Harden and LaMelo Ball.

Barnes has cleared 7.5 assists in five straight games. He finished with exactly seven assists in each of the three games before that.

Brunson over 2.5 threes (-113): I like this as a straight wager, and it provides a nice boost to this SGP because of the negative correlation with Toronto’s alt spread.

Brunson is on an extended heater, shooting 45.5% from 3-point range over his past 13 games. He’s cashed this bet nine times in that span.

Toronto allows the eighth-most 3s per game to opposing point guards (3.3), per Betting Pros, and Brunson hit this over in three of four matchups against the Raps last year.

Picks made at 9:25 a.m. ET 12/09/2024.

Trail Blazers vs. Lakers same-game parlay predictions Dec. 8: Back Deandre Ayton to play strong defence in +310 wager

Trail Blazers vs. Lakers predictions

The Portland Trail Blazers visit the struggling Los Angeles Lakers.

The pregame narrative: The Lakers are 3-7 across their last 10 games and I expect Portland to cover a teased-up spread. I’m filling out my parlay with prop picks on Deni Avdija and Deandre Ayton.

Check out my Trail Blazers vs. Lakers same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 8.

Trail Blazers vs. Lakers predictions

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Parlay: Trail Blazers +10.5 + Avdija over 11.5 points + Ayton over 0.5 blocks (+310)

Trail Blazers +10.5 (-157): The Lakers are in a cold spell right now at a tough point in their schedule.

The team is about to play its fifth game in eight days before having a five-day break. While the rest is much needed for the veteran-riddled Lakers, they still have Portland to deal with on Sunday.

And the Blazers haven’t been a team to take lightly.

Portland is surprisingly 8-15 on the season but has been blown out in back-to-back games. However, it covered this spread in seven of nine previous contests heading into those losses.

The Blazers are 12-10-1 ATS this season while the Lakers are 9-14-0 ATS. I’ll ride with the better-rested team here on a lofty spread.

SGP legs

Avdija over 11.5 points (-143): Every so often I find a play for the hardcore ball fans and I think I found one here.

Avdija was placed back in a bench role recently but that hasn’t slowed him down. In three games off the bench, the fifth-year pro cleared this line twice, averaging 14.0 points in that span.

On Sunday, he finds himself in a strong matchup with the Lakers.

  • Los Angeles has the fifth-worst defensive rating (118.8).
  • The Lakers allow the fifth-most points to small forwards (23.6).

Avdija cleared this line in nine straight before dropping six points against the Utah Jazz on Friday.

Ayton over 0.5 blocks (-143): Here’s the situation for the Blazers on Sunday:

  • Robert Williams is ruled out
  • Donovan Clingan is ruled out

That’s two centres missing from the rotation. That leaves one player that can protect the rim and that’s Ayton.

The big man has a block in four of the past five games and is averaging just under one rejection per game (0.8).

With Anthony Davis hanging out in the paint, Portland will be forced to rely on Ayton which should result in an uptick in minutes.

That’s really the key to this leg. The more Ayton is out there, the more likely he is to get a block on defence.

Picks made at 12:45 p.m. on 12/08/24.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions Dec. 8: Count on Steph Curry to lead Golden State at +310

Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors run in back on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: Steph Curry and Anthony Edwards headline my +310 wager for this marquee matchup. I am also backing the home team on an alternate spread.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 8.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions

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Parlay: Warriors +4 + Curry over 22.5 points + Edwards over 23.5 points (+310)

Warriors+4 (-205): This game is basically a pick’em but I decided to buy points for the home side.

It might seem odd as the Timberwolves beat the Warriors, 107-90, on Friday but I expect a better effort from Golden State.

The Warriors are in a bit of a downward spiral at the moment but the Chase Center has been their haven since its inception in 2019.

Nothing has changed this season, here’s Golden State’s recent home results before Friday’s loss:

  • vs. Rockets: 99-93 win
  • vs. Thunder: 105-101 loss
  • vs Nets: 128-120 loss
  • vs. Hawks: 120-97 win
  • vs. Grizzlies: 112-118 win
  • vs. Mavericks: 120-117 win

Bad losses are rare for the Warriors at home and I’m confident they can bounce back and keep this game more competitive.

SGP legs

Curry over 22.5 points (-162): It’s encouraging and a little worrying how consistent Curry has been at landing right around this number.

He is 6-2 against this line over the last eight but he landed right on 23 points three times and 24 points once.

Curry is in a bit of a shooting slump, shooting 14-for-40 (35.0%) over the last two games but he still managed to cash this wager in both outings.

Everyone knows Curry is a scorer in the purest form and he can clear this modest line even in a mediocre performance.

But on Sunday, I have a feeling he puts on a show at home.

Edwards over 23.5 points (-155): Let me flip over and talk about the other team’s superstar.

This is a pretty low line for Edwards who just got out of a recent cold streak. He dropped 30 against the Warriors on Friday but went under this line in the three previous games.

His recent spell wasn’t pretty. He had an eight-point performance against the Los Angeles Lakers followed by a 16-point outing against the Los Angeles Clippers.

Ant shot 8-for-27 in those games and played less than 27 minutes in each. That’s a rare occurrence for Edwards who averages 36.4 minutes per game.

In games that Edwards played more than 30 minutes this season, he’s 16-3 against this line.

Picks made at 10:45 a.m. on 12/08/24.

Best NBA props Dec. 8: Back Morant to continue rolling, Suggs to be efficient from deep

NBA prop picks

I’ve got three NBA props for Sunday’s slate.

The pregame narrative: Jalen Suggs will be without Franz Wagner’s help, so I will be backing Orlando’s point guard to have a productive outing. I also like a prop pick on Ja Morant.

Check out the best NBA prop bets on Dec. 8.

NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Suggs over 2.5 threes (-175)

The Magic’s top scorer, Wagner, is out on Sunday with an oblique injury, which means someone will need to step up on offence.

And the obvious candidate is Suggs.

Besides Paolo Banchero, who’s only played five games this season, Suggs is the second option on the Magic.

For the season, he averages 2.2 made threes on 7.0 attempts, and that surely will increase with Wagner sidelined.

The other encouraging news is that Suggs is on a heater right now. He is 8/20 from 3-point range across his last two games, clearing this line in both.

Additionally, the Suns are a much worse team without Kevin Durant who will be out again tonight. In games without KD, Phoenix allows an average of 119.9 points per game.

That would be the third-worst scoring defence in the NBA over the entire season.

Key stat: Suggs is 7-2 against this line in games where he takes eight or more threes.

Quick picks

Morant over 22.5 points (-125): I’m looking to ride with Morant during this strong stretch of play.

The star PG has 30-plus points in two of the last three games including a 32-point outburst in a win against the Boston Celtics on Saturday.

On top of that, the Washington Wizards provide a juicy matchup.

  • They allow the second-most PPG to opposing PGs (26.7).
  • The Wizards give up the most threes to PGs per game (4.1)

The biggest worry here is a blowout with the Grizzlies being 11.5-point favourites but I think this game will stay close.

That’s because Memphis had to travel overnight for this second half of a back-to-back and I believe fatigue will be an underlying factor.

Even if it is a blowout, I am confident Morant can clear this modest total before it gets out of hand.

Picks made at 9:45 a.m. ET on 12/08/2024.

Best NBA props Dec. 8: Back Morant to continue rolling, Siakam to have strong night

NBA prop picks

I’ve got three NBA props for Sunday’s slate.

The pregame narrative: Jalen Suggs will be without Franz Wagner’s help, so I will be backing Orlando’s point guard to have a productive outing. I also like prop picks on Ja Morant and Pascal Siakam.

Check out the best NBA prop bets on Dec. 8.

NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Suggs over 2.5 threes (-136)

The Magic’s top scorer, Wagner, is out on Sunday with an oblique injury, which means someone will need to step up on offence.

And the obvious candidate is Suggs.

Besides Paolo Banchero, who’s only played five games this season, Suggs is the second option on the Magic.

For the season, he averages 2.2 made threes on 7.0 attempts, and that surely will increase with Wagner sidelined.

The other encouraging news is that Suggs is on a heater right now. He is 8/20 from 3-point range across his last two games, clearing this line in both.

Additionally, the Suns are a much worse team without Kevin Durant who will be out again tonight. In games without KD, Phoenix allows an average of 119.9 points per game.

That would be the third-worst scoring defence in the NBA over the entire season.

Key stat: Suggs is 7-2 against this line in games where he takes eight or more threes.

Quick picks

Morant over 22.5 points (-113): I’m looking to ride with Morant during this strong stretch of play.

The star PG has 30-plus points in two of the last three games including a 32-point outburst in a win against the Boston Celtics on Saturday.

On top of that, the Washington Wizards provide a juicy matchup.

  • They allow the second-most PPG to opposing PGs (26.7).
  • The Wizards give up the most threes to PGs per game (4.1)

The biggest worry here is a blowout with the Grizzlies being 11.5-point favourites but I think this game will stay close.

That’s because Memphis had to travel overnight for this second half of a back-to-back and I believe fatigue will be an underlying factor.

Even if it is a blowout, I am confident Morant can clear this modest total before it gets out of hand.

Siakam over 19.5 points (-120): It’s hard to back Siakam with all the options in Indiana, but I love this matchup.

  • The Charlotte Hornets allow the third-most PPG to power forwards (25.4).
  • Siakam has cleared this line in 2/3 games against Charlotte since joining the Pacers.

To expand on that last point, Siakam has 20 or more points in eight of his previous nine games against Charlotte, dating back to his time with the Toronto Raptors.

Picks made at 8:45 a.m. ET on 12/08/2024.

Suns vs. Heat same-game parlay predictions Dec. 7: Bet on Miami to win, Herro to thrive

Suns vs. Heat predictions

Kevin Durant is out again for the Phoenix Suns, who’ll face an uphill battle against the Miami Heat.

The pregame narrative: I like Miami to win tonight as the backbone of my +240 SGP. In the prop market, look for Bradley Beal and Tyler Herro to contribute for their respective squads.

Check out my Suns vs. Heat same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 7.

Suns vs. Heat predictions

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Parlay: Heat moneyline + Beal over 17.5 points + Herro over 4.5 rebounds (+240)

Heat moneyline (-240): If both teams were at full strength, I’d have a tough time backing Miami regardless of where this game was being played. With Durant out, though, it’s a pretty easy call.

Phoenix is 1-7 without Durant this year, with the lone win coming against the Utah Jazz — as 5.5-point favourites.

The Suns have played some strong teams without their star forward … but they also lost to the New Orleans Pelicans (5-18) on Thursday.

Miami, meanwhile, is 4-1 in its past five home games. The Heat trounced the Los Angeles Lakers, 134-93, last time out at Kaseya Center.

SGP legs

Beal over 17.5 points (-182): Even though I don’t like the Suns to win, someone is going to have to get buckets with Durant on the bench.

Devin Booker is in a nice groove, scoring 26-plus points in six straight games. But I like Beal to put up a solid point total on Saturday.

In three games played without Durant this year, Beal has scored 24-plus points each time. Dating back to last season, he’s cleared the 20-point mark in six straight without KD.

Given that Beal averages 18.0 PPG, he’s a fair pick to hit this over any game. But his chances are much better due to Durant’s injury.

Herro over 4.5 rebounds (-230): Without Durant or Jusuf Nurkic, the Suns are down their top two rebounders tonight.

At 6-foot-5, Herro has enough size from the backcourt to make an impact on the glass.

Herro is averaging 5.2 rebounds per game this year, cashing this bet in 14/20 matchups.

Even if this game is a blowout, I’m not worried about Herro having enough opportunities to cash this bet.

He’s played fewer than 30 minutes just three times this year, and he went over 4.5 rebounds in each of those games.

Picks made at 10:45 a.m. on 12/07/24.

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Mavericks vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions Dec. 7: Back Toronto to cover, Barnes to let it fly at +475

Mavericks vs. Raptors predictions

On Saturday, the Toronto Raptors welcome another Western Conference powerhouse in the Dallas Mavericks.

The pregame narrative: Toronto lost by 37 points to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday but I feel good about the Raptors putting in a better effort tonight and covering a teased-up spread. I’m including prop picks on Scottie Barnes and Dereck Lively to close out the parlay.

Check out my Mavericks vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions for Dec. 7.

Mavericks vs. Raptors predictions

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Parlay: Raptors +12.5 + Barnes over 1.5 threes + Lively over 8.5 rebounds (+475)

Raptors +12.5 (-210): Thursday’s 129-92 blowout loss hasn’t made me forget how competitive the Raptors have been at home this season.

They were coming off four straight home wins over the Indiana Pacers (twice), Minnesota Timberwolves and Miami Heat — all of which are formidable opponents.

Toronto has failed to cover this lofty spread just twice now in 11 games at Scotiabank Arena. The first time was against the Cleveland Cavaliers on opening night.

The Raps have a 6-5 home record despite being 7-16 overall which makes sense considering the youth on the squad.

The team plays hard every night and is more effective offensively at home, which has led to many competitive games.

Dallas has won seven straight on the road but only covered this spread once against the Washington Wizards.

SGP legs

Barners over 1.5 threes (-134): Since returning from injury, Barnes has been quite the volume shooter.

  • He’s averaging 2.3 made 3s on 7.3 attempts over the past eight games.
  • Barnes made 2+ threes in seven of those contests.

Although the efficiency isn’t where it needs to be (31.5% over the last eight, 29.0% on the season), this leg is more about volume, which has been there consistently.

Barnes has taken five or more threes in eight straight games and I don’t see any reason why that would change on Saturday.

Lively over 8.5 rebounds (+100): The second-year pro has seen his role expand as the season rolls on.

Jason Kidd is trusting Lively more than ever, and the youngster’s rebounding numbers have been great.

  • Lively had 10+ rebounds in back-to-back games and cleared this line in three of the last four.
  • The big man played a season-high 32 minutes on Dec. 3 against the Memphis Grizzlies.

Lively only played 19 minutes last time out, but that was due to Dallas’ 36-point blowout win over the Wizards.

The good news is he still managed to pull down 11 rebounds. If Jakob Poeltl (questionable) is good to go on Saturday, Lively’s size will be needed to compete on the glass.

Toronto allows the ninth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres (15.4).

Picks made at 10:29 a.m. ET 12/07/2024.