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Rockets vs. Celtics same-game parlay predictions Jan. 27: Back Green and Thompson at +310

The Houston Rockets and Boston Celtics, two elite teams in their respective conferences, clash on Monday.

The pregame narrative: The Rockets are red-hot, winning eight of their last 10 games and I want in. I’m buying a few extra points on Houston’s spread and backing player props on Jalen Green and Amen Thompson in this +310 SGP.

Check out my Rockets vs. Celtics same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 27.

Rockets vs. Celtics predictions

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Embed: #107558

Parlay: Rockets +9.5 + Green over 2.5 assists + Thompson over 25.5 points/rebounds (+310)

Rockets +9.5 (-225): The Rockets have grabbed the NBA’s attention, holding a 30-14 record and the second seed in the Western Conference.

That includes being one of the better teams against the spread, holding a 26-17-1 record to this point.

Conversely, Boston has the fifth-worst ATS record (18-27-1) indicating that the spread is normally too high for the reigning champs.

The Rockets are very good on the road, too. They hold a 15-6 away record which is better than the Celtics 15-8 home record.

Houston did lose 109-86 at home to Boston on Jan. 3 but that was after a tough stretch of games for the Rockets.

I expect a better-rested side to go into TD Garden looking to get some revenge.

Other SGP legs

Green over 2.5 assists (-141): The fourth-year pro is averaging the lowest assists per game (2.8) since his rookie season.

But you wouldn’t know it looking at his past results.

Green is averaging 3.6 assists over his last 10 games
He’s 8-2 against this line during that span.

He’s consistently hitting this mark and I believe the Rockets will gameplan to pass more in hopes of breaking down an elite Celtics’ defence.

Green recorded nine total assists in his recent two-game series with the Cleveland Cavaliers, another top Eastern Conference side.

Thompson over 25.5 points/rebounds (-107): Thompson is a fun player to bet on because he has an insanely high motor and plays a load of minutes.

The second-year pro shoots 55.6% from the field and averages 21.3 points/rebounds per game.

That’s much lower than what’s needed tonight but if we look at his recent results, it will become evident why this line is still very much attainable.

Thompson is averaging 17.7 PPG and 11.8 RPG since Jan. 1.

He’s 6-3 against this line over those games.

It helped that he played 35-plus minutes in eight of those contests and 40-plus in six.

Boston is a bad matchup for basically all players but Thompson has proven he can fill the stat sheet against any team in the association.

Picks made at 1:00 p.m. on 01/26/25.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props vs. Trail Blazers Jan. 26: Take the over on SGA’s assists prop in Portland

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues his MVP campaign on Sunday evening in a matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers.

The pregame narrative: The Canadian superstar is favoured to win the MVP award amid a career-best scoring season. He’s expected to score in bunches on Sunday, but I’m looking elsewhere for my best bet.

Check out these Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props for the Jan. 26 matchup against the Trail Blazers.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props vs. Trail Blazers

SGA markets	Betting odds
Over 31.5 points	-118
Under 31.5 points	-120
Over 4.5 rebounds	-167
Under 4.5 rebounds	+115
Over 5.5 assists	-138
Under 5.5 assists	+100
Over 37.5 pts/ast	-118
Under 37.5 pts/ast	-120
Over 1.5 threes	-112
Under 1.5 threes	-125

Go to full Thunder vs. Trail Blazers betting markets.

Best SGA prop bet

Best bet: Gilgeous-Alexander 6+ assists (-138)

Despite his scoring prowess, Gilgeous-Alexander still has plenty of talent as a passer.

Gilgeous-Alexander, raised in Hamilton, Ontario, is averaging more than 30.0 PPG for a third consecutive season. But he’s also in his fifth consecutive season with 5.5 APG or more.

Naturally, a player who’s a 30-point threat every night will draw a crowd. So it makes sense that he’s an active enough passer to clear this assists line rather regularly, too.

SGA has 6+ assists in 24/43 games (55.8%) and is averaging 6.1 APG on the year.

He ranks 15th in the NBA in potential assists per game (12.1), which accounts for every pass that leads directly to a shot.

The Trail Blazers allow the eighth-most points in the NBA. They also rank 25th in defensive rating. So the Thunder should be able to fill up the net tonight.

There’s a blowout risk at play, which is probably my main concern. OKC is a 13.5-point road favourite and already has a pair of double-digit-point wins against Portland this year.

Hopefully the Blazers, who’ve won four in a row, can put up a fight to prevent the Thunder from giving Gilgeous-Alexander a ton of rest.

Key stat: Over his past 15 games, SGA has cashed this bet 10 times while averaging 6.2 assists.

Pick as of 1:36 p.m. ET on 01/26/2025.

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions Jan. 26: Bet on Clingan’s rebound prop, OKC alt spread

In Sunday’s lone NBA game, the Portland Trail Blazers host the Oklahoma City Thunder at Moda Center.

The pregame narrative: Despite the fact the Blazers have strung together a few respectable outings, I’m looking to back the Thunder on an alt spread. My +275 SGP also features prop bets for Jalen Williams and Donovan Clingan.

Check out my Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 26.

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers predictions

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Parlay: Thunder -10 + Williams over 19.5 points + Clingan over 7.5 rebounds (+275)

Thunder -10 (-225): Portland has been frisky in recent games, winning four in a row as an underdog. But I don’t expect that to carry over against an elite squad like OKC.

The Thunder have one of the league’s best ATS records (27-15-3), which includes an 11-6-2 ATS mark as road favourites.

Playing at home really hasn’t been an advantage for the Blazers, who are 9-12 at Moda Center. They have a -8.4 net rating at home, which ranks 28th in the NBA.

When these teams matched up in Portland in November, OKC came away with a 23-point win.

The Blazers have lost five of their past six home games by 18 or more points.

Other SGP legs

Williams over 19.5 points (-180): MVP frontrunner Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the main attraction for OKC, but Williams is a consistent contributor in the sidekick role.

Known to some as J-Dub, Williams is averaging 21.0 PPG in his third pro season. In his past eight games, he’s cashed this bet four times while landing on exactly 19 points three times.

What I’m heartened by is Williams’ production against the Trail Blazers this season:

Nov. 1: 22 points on 8-of-12 shooting (4-of-6 3PT)

Nov. 20: 30 points on 11-of-19 shooting (5-of-9 3PT)

Williams has scored 20-plus points in five of his past six games against the Blazers, averaging 24.3 PPG in those matchups.

Clingan over 7.5 rebounds (-210): When everyone’s healthy, the Trail Blazers have a logjam of centres. But with DeAndre Ayton (knee) ruled out for tonight, there’s a pathway for Clingan and Robert Williams to both see solid minutes.

Clingan has 10+ rebounds in four straight games.
He’s averaging 11.1 rebounds in eight games with 20+ minutes played.

As long as Clingan hovers around 20-ish minutes tonight, I really like his chances of soaring past this total. But he’s been efficient enough in previous matchups against OKC that he may not need a big workload after all.

Through two matchups against the Thunder, Clingan has 16 total rebounds in 34 minutes.

OKC has the lowest rebounding rate in the NBA (46.8%).

Picks made at 1:00 p.m. on 01/26/25.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props vs. Trail Blazers Jan. 26: Take the over on SGA’s assists prop in Portland

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues his MVP campaign on Sunday evening in a matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers.

The pregame narrative: The Canadian superstar has -400 odds to win the MVP award amid a career-best scoring season. He’s expected to score in bunches on Sunday, but I’m looking elsewhere for my best bet.

Check out these Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props for the Jan. 26 matchup against the Trail Blazers.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props vs. Trail Blazers

SGA markets	Betting odds
Over 31.5 points	-127
Under 31.5 points	-105
Over 5.5 rebounds	+117
Under 5.5 rebounds	-155
Over 5.5 assists	-139
Under 5.5 assists	+104
Over 43.5 pts/reb/ast	-109
Under 43.5 pts/reb/ast	-121
Over 1.5 threes	-105
Under 1.5 threes	-127
To record a double-double	+700

Go to full Thunder vs. Trail Blazers betting markets.

Best SGA prop bet

Embed: #107508

Best bet: Gilgeous-Alexander 6+ assists (-137)

Despite his scoring prowess, Gilgeous-Alexander still has plenty of talent as a passer.

Gilgeous-Alexander, raised in Hamilton, Ontario, is averaging more than 30.0 PPG for a third consecutive season. But he’s also in his fifth consecutive season with 5.5 APG or more.

Naturally, a player who’s a 30-point threat every night will draw a crowd. So it makes sense that he’s an active enough passer to clear this assists line rather regularly, too.

SGA has 6+ assists in 24/43 games (55.8%) and is averaging 6.1 APG on the year.

He ranks 15th in the NBA in potential assists per game (12.1), which accounts for every pass that leads directly to a shot.

The Trail Blazers allow the eighth-most points in the NBA. They also rank 25th in defensive rating. So the Thunder should be able to fill up the net tonight.

There’s a blowout risk at play, which is probably my main concern. OKC is a 13.5-point road favourite and already has a pair of double-digit-point wins against Portland this year.

Hopefully the Blazers, who’ve won four in a row, can put up a fight to prevent the Thunder from giving Gilgeous-Alexander a ton of rest.

Key stat: Over his past 15 games, SGA has cashed this bet 10 times while averaging 6.2 assists.

Pick as of 10:36 a.m. ET on 01/26/2025.

Bucks vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions Jan. 25: Bet on Leonard and Powell on Saturday night

The Milwaukee Bucks and Los Angeles Clippers wrap up Saturday’s jam-packed NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: The Bucks are red-hot so I’ll back them as an underdog on a teased-up spread. In the prop market, look for Norman Powell to fill the basket and Kawhi Leonard to hit a three.

Check out my Bucks vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 25.

Bucks vs. Clippers predictions

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Embed: #107480

Parlay: Bucks +7.5 + Powell over 22.5 points + Leonard over 0.5 threes (+290)

Bucks +7.5 (-245): Milwaukee has been on a rampage to start the new year.

8-3 record
9.5 net rating (third-best in NBA)
118.5 offensive rating (fifth-best in NBA)

Los Angeles is 6-5 in that same span while sitting fourth in net rating. These are two good teams meeting up in prime time and I can’t see a blowout happening either way.

But with the Bucks scoring at least 120 points in five straight games (all wins) I like their chances of covering this huge number.

Milwaukee is also 8-2 in its last 10 games versus Los Angeles.

SGP legs

Powell over 22.5 points (-104): Powell has been the alpha dog in Los Angeles this season.

The veteran shooting guard is averaging a career-best 23.7 PPG on stellar 49.0/43.3/83.4 shooting splits.

Powell has scored at least 20 points in eight of his last nine games, giving us a solid floor to work with. He cleared this mark in five of those contests and draws an amazing matchup tonight against the Bucks.

Milwaukee has gotten torched by guards since acquiring Damian Lillard and Powell isn’t afraid to let it fly.

With Harden taking a step back as a scorer and Leonard limited, I expect L.A.’s offence to run through the former Toronto Raptor.

Leonard over 0.5 threes (-400): I would never recommend this as a standalone play but it fits perfectly into our SGP, raising the odds from +188 to +290.

Leonard has been on a strict minutes restriction since making his season debut on Jan. 4. He’s never played more than 25 minutes a night and is averaging a minuscule 13.8 PPG as a result.

That said, all I’m asking of the Claw is a single 3.

He’s done that in four of six games this season and has historically been a steady 3-point shooter.

Leonard is averaging 2.0 threes on 5.1 attempts a night since joining L.A. in 2019 (40.0%).
Last year, he hit a 3 in 61/68 games (89.7%).

This leg should be a breeze.

Picks made at 12:11 p.m. ET 01/25/2025

Lakers vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions Jan. 25: Back Reaves and Curry at +295

The Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors battle in the Bay Area on Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: Los Angeles is rolling and I’ll back it to win against a Golden State team that’s the definition of mediocre. Prop bets on Austin Reaves and Steph Curry round out this +295 wager.

Check out my Lakers vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 25.

Lakers vs. Warriors predictions

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Embed: #107473

Parlay: Lakers moneyline + Reaves Curry over 3.5 threes (+335)

Lakers -2.5 (+107): A month ago Curry said “We’re very mid right now” and I have to agree.

Golden State is 22-22 and sits 19th in offensive rating. Not good, not bad, just rudderless. That’s what happens when you have one aging star surrounded by a bunch of mediocre role players.

You could have said the same thing about Los Angeles earlier this season but I’m liking what I’m seeing from the Lakers lately.

L.A. is 4-1 in its last five games and just dismantled the reigning champion Boston Celtics, 117-96 on Thursday. Golden State, meanwhile, lost to the same Celtics team by 40 points a few days earlier.

LeBron James and Anthony Davis are humming and it seems like the D’Angelo Russell trade was classic addition by subtraction.

The Lakers beat the Warriors on Christmas Day with Davis leaving seven minutes in due to injury. With The Brow listed as probable, I think they roll tonight.

Other SGP legs

Reaves over 24.5 PRA (-275): LeBron and AD are bonafide superstars but Reaves isn’t that far off.

L.A.’s shooting guard has been lights out since his return from injury on Dec. 13:

20.3 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 7.3 APG
25+ PRA in 15/18 games games

He’s cleared this line on points alone five times during that stretch, including four games ago when he dropped 38 on the Brooklyn Nets.

With a ceiling like that, I love Reaves’ PRA total on most nights. And this Warriors team allows the 13th-most points and rebounds per game to SGs.

Curry over 3.5 threes (-265): Curry is having his worst scoring season in over a decade, putting up 22.6 a night.

That said, his 3-point volume and efficiency are still elite.

Curry is averaging 4.3 makes on 10.6 attempts per night (40.7%).
He’s cleared this total in 8/10 games this month.

The Lakers rank 18th in 3-point defence (36.3%) and Curry hit a whopping eight 3s against them on Christmas Day.

He’s cleared this in five of his last six games against L.A.

Picks made at 11:11 a.m. on 01/25/25.

Best NBA prop bets Jan. 25: Back Nikola Jokic and Jalen Brunson, fade Dyson Daniels

I’ve got three prop bets from Saturday’s massive 14-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Nikola Jokic has somehow gotten better this season and I like him to do damage from 3-point land against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Elsewhere, back Jalen Brunson and fade Dyson Daniels.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Jan. 25.

Best NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Brunson over 26.5 points (-120)

Brunson is primed to torch the Sacramento Kings at MSG.

The point guard was just named as a starter in this year’s all-star game and it’s not hard to see why. Brunson is averaging 26.0 PPG (ninth-most in the NBA) and has been on a tear over the last 15 games:

28.5 PPG
48.3 FG%
30+ points six times

He’s coming off an underwhelming 17-point game against the Brooklyn Nets but scored 30-plus points in four of the five games prior.

I expect him to rebound against a Sacramento team which can’t defend the mid-range.

The Kings allow opponents to shoot 44.6% from that area of the court, which ranks 26th in the NBA, per Cleaning the Glass.
Brunson takes 50% of his shots in the mid-range, which is in the 95th percentile of all NBA players.

Brunson dropped 35 and 42 points in his last two games against the Kings.

Key stat: Brunson is averaging 31.7 PPG in his last six games.

Quick picks

Daniels under 16.5 points (-120): Daniels just dropped 22 points on the Raptors, who he’ll play again tonight, but I think he’s worth a fade.

Simply put, this number is too high. The rookie is having the best scoring month of his career (14.6 PPG) and is still falling under this mark more often than not (5-6 vs. a 15.5-point total).

Daniels rarely attempts threes and that’s the weakest area of the Raptors’ defence.

The guard is an active mid-range shooter though (35% of shots, 78th percentile) and Toronto owns the 12th-best mid-range defence.

I can’t see Daniels going off against the Raps again.

Jokic over 1.5 threes (+110): I don’t care how good Minnesota’s perimeter defence is — if Jokic is plus-money to can multiple threes, I’m on board.

The Serbian superstar is having a career season, which says something considering his resume. The three-time MVP is averaging 30.2 points, 13.4 rebounds, 10.1 assists and has been lights out from deep:

Jokic is shooting 47.9% from beyond the arc, 8.3 points better than his previous high in 2017-18.
He’s hit 2+ threes in 24/38 starts (63.1%).

Jokic has cleared this mark in back-to-back games and went 2-of-3 from deep against the Timberwolves earlier this season. Ideally, I’d like to see a little more volume than that tonight.

Picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET on 01/25/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Jan. 25: Back Nikola Jokic and Jalen Brunson, fade Dyson Daniels

I’ve got three prop bets from Saturday’s massive 14-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Nikola Jokic has somehow gotten better this season and I like him to do damage from 3-point land against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Elsewhere, back Jalen Brunson and fade Dyson Daniels.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Jan. 25.

Best NBA prop bets

Go to full NBA betting markets

Embed: #107462

Best bet: Brunson over 26.5 points (-118)

Brunson is primed to torch the Sacramento Kings at MSG.

The point guard was just named as a starter in this year’s all-star game and it’s not hard to see why. Brunson is averaging 26.0 PPG (ninth-most in the NBA) and has been on a tear over the last 15 games:

28.5 PPG
48.3 FG%
30+ points six times

He’s coming off an underwhelming 17-point game against the Brooklyn Nets but scored 30-plus points in four of the five games prior.

I expect him to rebound against a Sacramento team which can’t defend the mid-range.

The Kings allow opponents to shoot 44.6% from that area of the court, which ranks 26th in the NBA, per Cleaning the Glass.
Brunson takes 50% of his shots in the mid-range, which is in the 95th percentile of all NBA players.

Brunson dropped 35 and 42 points in his last two games against the Kings.

Key stat: Brunson is averaging 31.7 PPG in his last six games.

Quick picks

Daniels under 15.5 points (-105): Daniels just dropped 22 points on the Raptors, who he’ll play again tonight, but I think he’s worth a fade.

Simply put, this number is too high. The rookie is having the best scoring month of his career (14.6 PPG) and is still falling under this mark more often than not (5-6 vs. a 15.5-point total).

Daniels rarely attempts threes and that’s the weakest area of the Raptors’ defence.

The guard is an active mid-range shooter though (35% of shots, 78th percentile) and Toronto owns the 12th-best mid-range defence.

I can’t see Daniels going off against the Raps again.

Jokic over 1.5 threes (+112): I don’t care how good Minnesota’s perimeter defence is — if Jokic is plus-money to can multiple threes, I’m on board.

The Serbian superstar is having a career season, which says something considering his resume. The three-time MVP is averaging 30.2 points, 13.4 rebounds, 10.1 assists and has been lights out from deep:

Jokic is shooting 47.9% from beyond the arc, 8.3 points better than his previous high in 2017-18.
He’s hit 2+ threes in 24/38 starts (63.1%).

Jokic has cleared this mark in back-to-back games and went 2-of-3 from deep against the Timberwolves earlier this season. Ideally, I’d like to see a little more volume than that tonight.

Picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET on 01/25/2025.

Pelicans vs. Grizzlies same-game parlay predictions Jan. 24: Bet on Ja Morant to shine, Memphis to cover

In the third and final NBA game on Friday night, the New Orleans Pelicans take on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The pregame narrative: Memphis is having a really great year, and New Orleans is really, really not. My +265 SGP includes an alt spread in Memphis’ favour, plus prop bets on Ja Morant and Yves Missi.

Check out my Pelicans vs. Grizzlies same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 24.

Pelicans vs. Grizzlies predictions

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Parlay: Grizzlies -7.5 + Morant over 19.5 points + Missi under 8.5 rebounds (+265)

Grizzlies -7.5 (-215): Have the Pelicans started to show some signs of life … or did they just take advantage of a weak stretch in their schedule?

I feel confident that it’s the latter. New Orleans is 7-3 in its past 10 games, but look at who the team beat:

Wizards, twice (last in the Eastern Conference)
Jazz, twice (last in the Western Conference)
76ers (11th in the East)
Bulls (10th in the East)
Mavericks (without Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving)

New Orleans’ best game in several weeks was a one-point loss in Boston on Jan. 12. But that was only a few days after the Pelicans lost by 19 as home favourites against Portland.

I feel much better about the state of the Grizzlies, a team that covered this number in both prior matchups against the Pels this year.

Also, Memphis is an impressive 15-7-0 ATS at home, per Team Rankings.

SGP legs

Morant over 19.5 points (-278): Morant has taken a step back as a scorer this year, but he’s still been largely reliable against this number.

Morant has 20+ points in 16/26 games (61.5%).

He’s averaging 21.1 PPG on the season.

He scored 27 and 25 points, respectively, in two matchups against the Pelicans this year.

Morant has been a problem for the Pelicans for years. Since the start of the 2022-23 season, he’s scored 23-plus points in all seven meetings against them.

Defensive ineptitude has been a theme this year for New Orleans. The team ranks 28th in defensive rating and opponent FG%.

Missi under 8.5 rebounds (-105): One of the bright spots in a lost Pelicans season has been the play of rookie Yves Missi. But I prefer to fade him tonight.

Missi, a centre out of Baylor, is tied for the team lead in rebounds per game (8.2). That’s nice, but it falls short of this prop total. And Memphis is typically a tough team to compete against on the glass.

Led by the 7-foot-4 Zach Edey and the scrappy Jaren Jackson Jr., the Grizzlies have compiled the NBA’s second-best rebounding rate (52.5%).

Zion Williamson is out, which should lead to more rebounding opportunities for Missi. But Missi has gone under this rebounding total in eight of his past 11 games, including six of eight with Williamson out.

Picks made at 1:40 p.m. ET 01/24/2025

Victor Wembanyama props vs. Pacers Jan. 25: Expect another scoring clinic in Paris

The Victor Wembanyama show continues on Saturday in Paris, France.

The pregame narrative: Wemby put up a game-high 30 points in the San Antonio Spurs’ blowout victory over the Indiana Pacers on Thursday. He also added 11 rebounds, six assists and five blocks. I expect another monster performance in Round II.

Check out these Victor Wembanyama props for the Jan. 25 matchup against the Pacers.

Victor Wembanyama props vs. Pacers

Wembanyama markets	Betting odds
Over 27.5 points	-125
Under 27.5 points	-106
Over 11.5 rebounds	-143
Under 11.5 rebounds	+108
Over 3.5 assists	-175
Under 3.5 assists	+128
Over 44.5 PRA	-113
Under 44.5 PRA	-118
Over 3.5 threes	+102
Under 3.5 threes	-137
Over 3.5 blocks	-148
Under 3.5 blocks	+110

Go to full Spurs vs. Pacers betting markets.

Best Wembanyama prop bet

Embed: #107406

Best bet: Over 27.5 points (-125)

Wembanyama started the new year with a 35-point performance and just dropped 30 against Indiana. In the seven games between, he fell under this total each time.

But we’ve seen the big man go on heaters before — he had a 15-game stretch this season where he averaged 30.2 points, clearing this line nine times — and I think Thursday will be the start of a special run.

He gets to play Indiana again, which is a solid matchup for any elite scorer:

The Pacers are 20th in defensive rating (114.1) and 22nd in opponent FG percentage (47.4%).
Indiana also plays with the seventh-fastest pace (100.52 possessions/48 minutes), meaning more possessions will be available for Wembanyama.

At 7-foot-4, Wembanyama is practically unguardable. That said, Indiana has an undersized starting lineup with Myles Turner (6-foot-11) and Pascal Siakam (6-foot-8) being the only players above 6-foot-5.

And of course, we can’t discount the fact that Wemby is playing in front of his compatriots. He should be motivated to take even more shots than normal on Saturday.

Key stat: Wemby has scored 30+ points in back-to-back games against the Pacers, shooting above 60% in both matchups.

Pick as of 12:16 p.m. ET on 01/24/2025.