Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues his MVP campaign on Sunday evening in a matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers.
The pregame narrative: The Canadian superstar has -400 odds to win the MVP award amid a career-best scoring season. He’s expected to score in bunches on Sunday, but I’m looking elsewhere for my best bet.
Check out these Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props for the Jan. 26 matchup against the Trail Blazers.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props vs. Trail Blazers
| SGA markets | Betting odds |
| Over 31.5 points | -127 |
| Under 31.5 points | -105 |
| Over 5.5 rebounds | +117 |
| Under 5.5 rebounds | -155 |
| Over 5.5 assists | -139 |
| Under 5.5 assists | +104 |
| Over 43.5 pts/reb/ast | -109 |
| Under 43.5 pts/reb/ast | -121 |
| Over 1.5 threes | -105 |
| Under 1.5 threes | -127 |
| To record a double-double | +700 |
Go to full Thunder vs. Trail Blazers betting markets.
Best SGA prop bet
Best bet: Gilgeous-Alexander 6+ assists (-137)
Despite his scoring prowess, Gilgeous-Alexander still has plenty of talent as a passer.
Gilgeous-Alexander, raised in Hamilton, Ontario, is averaging more than 30.0 PPG for a third consecutive season. But he’s also in his fifth consecutive season with 5.5 APG or more.
Naturally, a player who’s a 30-point threat every night will draw a crowd. So it makes sense that he’s an active enough passer to clear this assists line rather regularly, too.
- SGA has 6+ assists in 24/43 games (55.8%) and is averaging 6.1 APG on the year.
- He ranks 15th in the NBA in potential assists per game (12.1), which accounts for every pass that leads directly to a shot.
The Trail Blazers allow the eighth-most points in the NBA. They also rank 25th in defensive rating. So the Thunder should be able to fill up the net tonight.
There’s a blowout risk at play, which is probably my main concern. OKC is a 13.5-point road favourite and already has a pair of double-digit-point wins against Portland this year.
Hopefully the Blazers, who’ve won four in a row, can put up a fight to prevent the Thunder from giving Gilgeous-Alexander a ton of rest.
Key stat: Over his past 15 games, SGA has cashed this bet 10 times while averaging 6.2 assists.
Pick as of 10:36 a.m. ET on 01/26/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.