Jordan Horrobin

Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves best bets Game 2: Fade offence, bet on Reid and Green to stand out

Warriors vs. Timberwolves best bets

The Minnesota Timberwolves look to even their second-round series against the Golden State Warriors on home court Thursday night.

The pregame narrative: Steph Curry has been ruled out for Game 2 and will likely miss at least a game or two after that. Unsurprisingly, Minnesota is a sizeable favourite in a game with rock fight potential.

Check out my Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game 2 best bets for Thursday, May 8, featuring an over/under pick and prop bets on Naz Reid and Draymond Green.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves best bets

Best Bet: Reid over 12.5 points (-110)

Reid was the only true bright spot on offence for the Timberwolves in Game 1. He finished with 19 points on 8-of-14 shooting off the bench.

Despite being a bench player, Reid gets plenty of minutes. So don’t let that deter you. He played 34 minutes last time out and should continue getting plenty of run based on his efforts.

Reid also takes about half of his shots from beyond the arc, creating the opportunity to do more with less. He’s shooting 48.3% from deep in the postseason so far, averaging 2.3 makes per game.

  • Reid has attempted 5+ threes in all five games vs. Golden State this season.
  • He has 15+ points in three straight vs. GSW.

This isn’t a huge point total for a guy who has solid 3-point volume and can get hot any given night.

Minnesota needs an injection of offence after a woeful performance in the series opener. Reid should be able to provide that.

Key stat: Reid averaged 14.2 PPG during the regular season. Across all games this year, he’s gone over 12.5 points in 49 of 86 matchups (57.0%).

Embed: #113535

More Game 2 predictions

Under 201.5 points (-108): Offence was awfully difficult to come by in Game 1, which the Warriors won by a score of 99-88. I doubt things will get easier with the best shooter of all time on the bench.

Curry, who’s given the Warriors 25-plus points on a nightly basis for a decade, leaves a huge hole in Golden State’s offensive plans.

When the Warriors have played without Curry this season, unders are 8-4.

Unders are also 12-9 when Golden State is a road underdog, according to Team Rankings.

Minnesota’s 5-for-29 (17.2%) showing from 3-point range likely won’t be repeated, but let’s give some credit to team defence, too.

The T-Wolves and Warriors ranked sixth and seventh, respectively, in defensive rating during the regular season.

Green over 11.5 rebounds/assists (-115): Without Curry on the court, I expect Green to step up as a facilitator.

Green did have six assists last time out — to go with eight rebounds — and if he gets back to that mark on Thursday I like the chances of this bet cashing.

  • In the postseason, Green leads the Warriors in passes per game (55.0). He’s also third in potential assists per game (8.0), behind Jimmy Butler (10.7) and Curry (10.3).
  • Green has been primarily playing centre in the postseason and is averaging 5.9 rebounds.

In three matchups against Minnesota this season, Green is 3-0 against this prop. And that was with Curry starting each time.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves best bets made at 3:30 p.m. ET 05/07/2025.

Nuggets vs. Thunder prop picks Game 2: Bet on big performances from Jokic, Gilgeous-Alexander

Nuggets vs. Thunder prop picks

The NBA’s two prominent MVP contenders, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic, will be in the spotlight on Wednesday night in Game 2 of their second-round series.

The pregame narrative: Jokic guided the Denver Nuggets to a comeback victory in Game 1, but both he and Gilgeous-Alexander lived up to expectations with their performances. The Oklahoma City Thunder can ill afford to drop both games at home before the series shifts to Denver.

I’m backing SGA and Jokic in my Nuggets vs. Thunder prop picks for Game 2 on May 7.

Game 2 Boost: Thunder -9.5, Gilgeous-Alexander 35+ points & Jalen Williams 20+ points. Bet now!

Nuggets vs. Thunder prop picks

Best Bet: Jokic over 22.5 rebounds and assists (-115)

I was really hoping this line would be the same as it was in Game 1.

It is, and I’m eager to buy back in.

Jokic was an animal in the series opener, putting up 42 points (15-of-29 shooting), 22 rebounds and six assists in 42 minutes.

That’s right, the Joker almost cashed this bet on rebounds alone. And with a 30-pound advantage over OKC centre Isaiah Hartenstein, I expect rebounds to continue coming in bunches.

Assuming Jokic’s rebound total regresses from 22, though, I know there’s more he can give as a passer.

His six assists in Game 1 were well below his season average (10.2). And he tallied eight-plus assists in all seven games in the first round.

If Jokic sees an uptick in his assist volume — which he should, given that he’s averaging 17.4 potential assists per game in the playoffs — I’m confident that his rebounding floor is high enough to make this a worthwhile play.

  • During the regular season, the Thunder allowed the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres (15.28), per Betting Pros.
  • Jokic has 12+ rebounds in all five games vs. OKC this year.

Key stat: Jokic has averaged 27.4 RA against the Thunder this year, going 4-1 against this line. He had exactly 22 rebounds/assists in the outlier.

Embed: #113474

Game 2 prop prediction

Gilgeous-Alexander over 45.5 points/rebounds/assists (-112): Much like he was a do-it-all player for Team Canada at the 2024 Paris Summer Games, Gilgeous-Alexander is at the centre of everything for the Thunder.

That was clear again in Game 1, when the Hamilton, Ontario native finished with team highs in points (33), rebounds (10) and assists (eight).

OKC likely views Game 2 as a must-win at home. That obviously doesn’t shape the outcome, but it does lead me to believe that SGA will have a sky-high usage rate.

After all, who better for the Thunder to call upon than the likely MVP-in-waiting?

In 40 home games this year, Gilgeous-Alexander averaged 33.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 6.5 assists (45.1 PRA). Expect all systems go from SGA on Wednesday.

Nuggets vs. Thunder prop picks made at 2:18 p.m. ET 05/06/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Angels prop picks May 7: Bet on Springer to rake vs. Kikuchi’s Halos

Blue Jays picks

For the first time since his Toronto Blue Jays tenure, Yusei Kikuchi faces his former club on Wednesday night at Angel Stadium.

The pregame narrative: Kikuchi is 0-4 through seven starts but has a chance to lift the Los Angeles Angels to a series win tonight. On Toronto’s side, a loss would sink the team to four games below .500 for the first time this year.

I’m backing Kikuchi, Logan O’Hoppe and George Springer in my Blue Jays picks vs. the Angels on May 7.

Blue Jays picks vs. Angels

Best Bet: Springer over 1.5 hits/runs/RBI (-108)

Springer officially entered a new phase of his career this season, shifting out of the leadoff spot after more than 1,000 starts.

He’s a heart-of-the-order bat now, and based on how he’s mashing the baseball, you might think that’s where he’s belonged this whole time.

Springer has a .960 OPS through 32 games, which is his best mark since 2019 — a season where offence exploded due to unintentional alterations to the baseballs.

According to Baseball Savant, Springer has been adept at going after the right pitches (97th-percentile chase rate) and teeing off on them (96th-percentile launch angle sweet-spot rate).

Springer went 2-for-4 with a home run in the series opener last night. He’s now 5-for-13 with three extra-base hits to start the month.

I’m man enough to admit I thought Springer was cooked last season, when he posted his first sub-100 OPS+ of his career as a 34-year-old.

But the bounce-back has been superb, and it’s desperately needed on a Toronto team hurting for offence.

Springer has been punishing lefties so far in 2025, posting a .308/.441/.808 slash line in 35 plate appearances. One good swing is likely all it’ll take for Springer to go over 1.5 bases on Wednesday.

In past matchups against Kikuchi, Springer is 7-for-16 (.438) with a triple.

Key stat: Springer has cashed this bet in 16 of 32 games. He’s averaging 1.7 bases per game this season.

Quick pick

Kikuchi over 4.5 Ks (-108): I’m not in love with Kikuchi’s early-season returns, but this line is low enough that I’m content to buy in.

  • Kikuchi has 5+ Ks in 6 of 7 starts this season.
  • He topped the 200-strikeout mark last year and owns a 9.3 K/9 in his career.

Toronto has the sixth-lowest K rate in the majors (20.6%), which is a notable concern for this prop. But again, Kikuchi is cashing it consistently, and that has to count for something.

Last night, fellow L.A. southpaw Tyler Anderson fanned seven Jays hitters over 6.2 innings of work.

O’Hoppe over 1.5 hits/runs/RBI (+100): O’Hoppe is a high-strikeout guy with tons of pop, and I think his boom-or-bust tendencies should play in this matchup.

Toronto starter Jose Berrios hasn’t been piling up Ks at a stellar clip. He ranks in the 26th percentile in whiff rate and the 47th percentile in strikeout rate.

Berrios is primarily a sinkerballer against right-hitting players, which is great news for O’Hoppe. The catcher is 10-for-19 with two home runs against sinkers this season.

O’Hoppe has cashed this bet in seven of his past 11 games and is averaging 2.0 bases per game overall.

Blue Jays picks vs. Angels made at 12:09 p.m. ET on 05/07/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Angels prop picks May 7: Bet on Springer to rake vs. Kikuchi’s Halos

Blue Jays picks

For the first time since his Toronto Blue Jays tenure, Yusei Kikuchi faces his former club on Wednesday night at Angel Stadium.

The pregame narrative: Kikuchi is 0-4 through seven starts but has a chance to lift the Los Angeles Angels to a series win tonight. On Toronto’s side, a loss would sink the team to four games below .500 for the first time this year.

I’m backing Kikuchi, Logan O’Hoppe and George Springer in my Blue Jays picks vs. the Angels on May 7.

Blue Jays picks vs. Angels

Best Bet: Springer over 1.5 bases (+150)

Springer officially entered a new phase of his career this season, shifting out of the leadoff spot after more than 1,000 starts.

He’s a heart-of-the-order bat now, and based on how he’s mashing the baseball, you might think that’s where he’s belonged this whole time.

Springer has a .960 OPS through 32 games, which is his best mark since 2019 — a season where offence exploded due to unintentional alterations to the baseballs.

According to Baseball Savant, Springer has been adept at going after the right pitches (97th-percentile chase rate) and teeing off on them (96th-percentile launch angle sweet-spot rate).

Springer went 2-for-4 with a home run in the series opener last night. He’s now 5-for-13 with three extra-base hits to start the month.

I’m man enough to admit I thought Springer was cooked last season, when he posted his first sub-100 OPS+ of his career as a 34-year-old.

But the bounce-back has been superb, and it’s desperately needed on a Toronto team hurting for offence.

Springer has been punishing lefties so far in 2025, posting a .308/.441/.808 slash line in 35 plate appearances. One good swing is likely all it’ll take for Springer to go over 1.5 bases on Wednesday.

In past matchups against Kikuchi, Springer is 7-for-16 (.438) with a triple.

Key stat: Springer has cashed this bet in 16 of 32 games. He’s averaging 1.7 bases per game this season.

Embed: #113522

Quick pick

Kikuchi over 4.5 Ks (-107): I’m not in love with Kikuchi’s early-season returns, but this line is low enough that I’m content to buy in.

  • Kikuchi has 5+ Ks in 6 of 7 starts this season.
  • He topped the 200-strikeout mark last year and owns a 9.3 K/9 in his career.

Toronto has the sixth-lowest K rate in the majors (20.6%), which is a notable concern for this prop. But again, Kikuchi is cashing it consistently, and that has to count for something.

Last night, fellow L.A. southpaw Tyler Anderson fanned seven Jays hitters over 6.2 innings of work.

O’Hoppe over 1.5 bases (+148): O’Hoppe is a high-strikeout guy with tons of pop, and I think his boom-or-bust tendencies should play in this matchup.

Toronto starter Jose Berrios hasn’t been piling up Ks at a stellar clip. He ranks in the 26th percentile in whiff rate and the 47th percentile in strikeout rate.

Berrios is primarily a sinkerballer against right-hitting players, which is great news for O’Hoppe. The catcher is 10-for-19 with two home runs against sinkers this season.

O’Hoppe has cashed this bet in six of his past 10 games and is averaging 2.0 bases per game overall.

Blue Jays picks vs. Angels made at 12:09 p.m. ET on 05/07/2025.

Knicks vs. Celtics SGP predictions Game 2: Bet the over, with props on Derrick White and Josh Hart

Knicks vs. Celtics predictions

The Boston Celtics look to wipe the slate clean on Wednesday night and get even in their second-round matchup against the New York Knicks.

The pregame narrative: Boston put forth a dreadful shooting performance in the series opener, causing the team to blow a 20-point lead in the second half. New York is 4-0 on the road so far this postseason.

Check out my Knicks vs. Celtics SGP predictions for Game 2 on May 7, featuring Derrick White and Josh Hart.

Knicks vs. Celtics predictions

Parlay: Over 209.5 points | White 15+ points | Hart 8+ rebounds (+270)

Over 209.5 points (-129): The Celtics can’t be that bad again … can they?

I doubt it, which is a big reason why I like the over. Boston was a disastrous 15-of-60 from 3-point range in Game 1 despite getting a glut of open looks.

Game 1 did still cash the over on this point total because of the overtime period. But I’m not looking to rely on that happening again, either.

All four regular-season matchups between the Knicks and Celtics totalled at least 214 points in regulation.

Overs are 10-8-2 when the Knicks are underdogs this season and 29-20 in Knicks games when the teams have equal rest, per Team Rankings.

Embed: #113489

NBA SGP legs

White 15+ points (-155): An inefficient night from White didn’t deter him from getting a bunch of shots up in Game 1. He finished with 19 points on 18 shots (5-of-16 from deep).

Unfortunately, we can’t rely on that type of shot volume from White. But we can be heartened by how often he has torched the Knicks this year.

  • 5 games
  • 18.6 PPG
  • 48.4 FG%
  • 47.1 3PT%
  • 100.0 FT%

He’s 4-1 against this milestone scoring prop, and he finished with 14 points in the lone outlier.

There’s clearly enough room in the Celtics’ offence for White to hit this mark. After all, he averaged a career-high 16.4 PPG during the regular season.

Hart 8+ rebounds (-305): You have to watch Hart to really appreciate his game. When there’s a loose ball up for grabs, he goes into junkyard-dog mode in a blink.

At 6-foot-4, Hart is often undersized in rebounding battles. It just doesn’t seem to matter.

  • He averaged 9.4 rebounds during the regular season, cashing this milestone in 54 of 77 games.
  • So far in the playoffs, he has 7+ rebounds in all seven games (averaging 9.0 RPG).

Hart grabbed 11 boards against Boston in Game 1 — his third straight game against the Celtics with a double-digit rebound total.

Knicks vs. Celtics predictions made at 9:10 a.m. ET 05/07/2025.

Nuggets vs. Thunder prop picks Game 2: Bet on big performances from Jokic, Gilgeous-Alexander

Nuggets vs. Thunder prop picks

The NBA’s two prominent MVP contenders, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic, will be in the spotlight on Wednesday night in Game 2 of their second-round series.

The pregame narrative: Jokic guided the Denver Nuggets to a comeback victory in Game 1, but both he and Gilgeous-Alexander lived up to expectations with their performances. The Oklahoma City Thunder can ill afford to drop both games at home before the series shifts to Denver.

I’m backing SGA and Jokic in my Nuggets vs. Thunder prop picks for Game 2 on May 7.

Nuggets vs. Thunder prop picks

Best Bet: Jokic over 21.5 rebounds and assists (-125)

I was really hoping this line would be the same as it was in Game 1.

It is, and I’m eager to buy back in.

Jokic was an animal in the series opener, putting up 42 points (15-of-29 shooting), 22 rebounds and six assists in 42 minutes.

That’s right, the Joker almost cashed this bet on rebounds alone. And with a 30-pound advantage over OKC centre Isaiah Hartenstein, I expect rebounds to continue coming in bunches.

Assuming Jokic’s rebound total regresses from 22, though, I know there’s more he can give as a passer.

His six assists in Game 1 were well below his season average (10.2). And he tallied eight-plus assists in all seven games in the first round.

If Jokic sees an uptick in his assist volume — which he should, given that he’s averaging 17.4 potential assists per game in the playoffs — I’m confident that his rebounding floor is high enough to make this a worthwhile play.

  • During the regular season, the Thunder allowed the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres (15.28), per Betting Pros.
  • Jokic has 12+ rebounds in all five games vs. OKC this year.

Key stat: Jokic has averaged 27.4 RA against the Thunder this year, going 5-0 against this line.

Game 2 prop prediction

Gilgeous-Alexander over 45.5 points/rebounds/assists (-118): Much like he was a do-it-all player for Team Canada at the 2024 Paris Summer Games, Gilgeous-Alexander is at the centre of everything for the Thunder.

That was clear again in Game 1, when the Hamilton, Ontario native finished with team highs in points (33), rebounds (10) and assists (eight).

OKC likely views Game 2 as a must-win at home. That obviously doesn’t shape the outcome, but it does lead me to believe that SGA will have a sky-high usage rate.

After all, who better for the Thunder to call upon than the likely MVP-in-waiting?

In 40 home games this year, Gilgeous-Alexander averaged 33.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 6.5 assists (45.1 PRA). Expect all systems go from SGA on Wednesday.

Nuggets vs. Thunder prop picks made at 3:48 p.m. ET 05/06/2025.

Best MLB prop bets May 6: Back slugger Tyler Soderstrom and Detroit’s Torkelson, McKinstry

MLB prop bets

It’s a busy Tuesday in MLB, with 16 games on the loaded schedule.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Some poor weather conditions are expected in Colorado tonight, but that’s not enough for me to pass on good prices on good hitters at Coors Field. I’m also targeting Athletics slugger Tyler Soderstrom.

Check out the best May 6 MLB prop bets on Spencer Torkelson, Zach McKinstry and Soderstrom.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Torkelson over 1.5 total bases (+125)

Rain is in the forecast all day, but the heavier stuff is supposed to take place ahead of the game, which projects to have a first-pitch temperature below 10 degrees Celsius. 

Now that we have that out of the way, let’s focus on the good.

Detroit’s Torkelson enters tonight’s game as the team leader in: 

  • Home runs: 10
  • Total bases: 67
  • OPS: .889 
  • ISO: .306 (6th in MLB)

Torkelson has topped this line in 50% of his starts this season, according to Team Rankings, and is handling right-handed pitching just fine despite better production with the platoon advantage. 

Colorado is starting right-hander Chase Dollander. The rookie has a 6.48 ERA over five starts, allowing four-plus runs in three of those outings and a total of eight homers. 

Six of those bombs have been surrendered at home, where he’ll be tonight at the most hitter-friendly park in the bigs. 

Key stat: Only 10 players have more extra-base hits than Torkelson’s 18.

Best MLB picks

McKinstry over 0.5 runs (-118): Sticking with the Tigers, I really like the value on this one tonight. 

There are other intriguing plus-money options, as this game has several viable plays. But I like McKinstry to score just as much as the Torkelson best bet. 

McKinstry leads the Tigers with a .375 on-base percentage and projects to bat No. 3 in Detroit’s lineup, per Rotowire. 

That likely puts him ahead of Torkelson and Riley Greene, two of Detroit’s best power bats. 

Dollander has struggled with control, walking two-plus batters in four straight outings, giving McKinstry a good scoring outlook.

Even if the Tigers can’t solve Dollander, they’ll get a Rockies bullpen that has the third-highest walk rate in MLB and sixth-lowest K rate. 

Detroit should have plenty of scoring chances tonight, and McKinstry has crossed the plate in 53.1% of his games, a top-12 mark in MLB. 

Soderstrom over 1.5 total bases (+115): Soderstrom’s massive power outburst has slowed down, as he hasn’t hit a home run since April 17.

But he still enters the night with an .859 OPS and terrific numbers against right-handed pitching.

  • The left-handed hitting Soderstrom has hit eight of his nine homers vs. RHPs.
  • Soderstrom is slugging .549 vs. righties with a .917 OPS compared to marks of .412/.676 vs. LHPs.

The Athletics are at their hitter-friendly home park and will see Seattle Mariners righty Emerson Hancock to start tonight’s game.

Hancock has been demolished this season. Lefty batters are hitting .353 against him, and overall, opponents enter with a .347/.388/.520 line.

The Athletics’ Sutter Health Park has been the No. 1 offensive environment in baseball this season, per Baseball Savant.

MLB prop picks made at 3:35 p.m. ET on 05/06/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Angels best bet May 6: Bet the over on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s bases prop

Blue Jays picks

The Toronto Blue Jays hit the West Coast to open a series against the Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday night.

The pregame narrative: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is still struggling to find consistent power, but he knows how to mash against lefties — and particularly against Angels starter Tyler Anderson. In fact, Toronto’s offence as a whole has been among the best in the league against southpaws.

I’m backing Guerrero as my Blue Jays best bet vs. the Angels on May 6.

Blue Jays best bet vs. Angels

Best Bet: Guerrero over 1.5 bases (+110)

Guerrero has been a frustrating player to back on his bases prop this season, but it hasn’t been as fruitless of a venture as you might think.

  • Guerrero has 2+ bases in 16 of 34 games (47.1%).
  • He’s averaging 1.6 bases this season.

Baseball Savant is still bullish on Guerrero’s batted ball quality, which matters to me. His .414 SLG is far below his .524 xSLG, for example.

The first baseman also ranks in the 89th percentile or better in xBA, xwOBA, average exit velocity, hard-hit rate and barrel rate.

Now he gets a lefty-righty matchup against L.A.’s Anderson. That’s a plus for the guy wielding the bat.

Guerrero has done serious damage against lefties since the start of last season, posting a .301/.404/.534 slash line. His 164 wRC+ against LHPs in that span ranks 14th among 137 qualified hitters.

A plus-money bases prop for Vladdy is still playable on most nights, and tonight is one of those.

Key stat: Guerrero is 6-for-11 with two doubles against Anderson. Last year in Anderson’s start at Angel Stadium, Vlad Jr. went 3-for-5 with a double.

Blue Jays best bet vs. Angels made at 3:09 p.m. ET on 05/06/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Angels prop picks May 6: Bet the over on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s bases prop

Blue Jays picks

The Toronto Blue Jays hit the West Coast to open a series against the Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday night.

The pregame narrative: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is still struggling to find consistent power, but he knows how to mash against lefties — and particularly against Angels starter Tyler Anderson. In fact, Toronto’s offence as a whole has been among the best in the league against southpaws.

I’m backing Guerrero and fading Anderson in my Blue Jays picks vs. the Angels on May 6.

Blue Jays picks vs. Angels

Best Bet: Guerrero over 1.5 bases (+104)

Guerrero has been a frustrating player to back on his bases prop this season, but it hasn’t been as fruitless of a venture as you might think.

  • Guerrero has 2+ bases in 16 of 34 games (47.1%).
  • He’s averaging 1.6 bases this season.

Baseball Savant is still bullish on Guerrero’s batted ball quality, which matters to me. His .414 SLG is far below his .524 xSLG, for example.

The first baseman also ranks in the 89th percentile or better in xBA, xwOBA, average exit velocity, hard-hit rate and barrel rate.

Now he gets a lefty-righty matchup against L.A.’s Anderson. That’s a plus for the guy wielding the bat.

Guerrero has done serious damage against lefties since the start of last season, posting a .301/.404/.534 slash line. His 164 wRC+ against LHPs in that span ranks 14th among 137 qualified hitters.

A plus-money bases prop for Vladdy is still playable on most nights, and tonight is one of those.

Key stat: Guerrero is 6-for-11 with two doubles against Anderson. Last year in Anderson’s start at Angel Stadium, Vlad Jr. went 3-for-5 with a double.

Embed: #113461

Quick pick

Anderson under 17.5 outs (-109): The Blue Jays’ offence has been among the worst in the majors, but there’s a notable split in results depending on the handedness of the pitcher.

  • vs. LHP: .247/.339/.387, 112 wRC+, 10.7 BB%
  • vs. RHP: .235/.301/.340, 85 wRC+, 7.7 BB%

Toronto’s 112 wRC+ against lefties ranks sixth in MLB. Its 85 wRC+ against righties ranks 26th.

Anderson faced Toronto twice last season, going 0-2 while allowing nine earned runs on 10 hits in 10.2 innings. He went under this outs total both times.

The Angels are coming off a rest day and have a perfectly refreshed bullpen. None of their relievers have worked more than once in the past three days.

Blue Jays picks vs. Angels made at 11:09 a.m. ET on 05/06/2025.

Looking to get started? Sign up here.

Pacers vs. Cavaliers SGP predictions Game 2: Bet on Tyrese Haliburton to shine, Indiana to cover

Pacers vs. Cavaliers predictions

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to even their second-round series at home on Tuesday night against the Indiana Pacers.

The pregame narrative: Cleveland is a 9-point favourite after dropping Game 1 against the plucky Pacers. Indiana is now 4-1 straight up against Cleveland since January, but another upset win tonight would be a tall order.

Check out my Pacers vs. Cavaliers SGP predictions for Game 2 on May 6, featuring Tyrese Haliburton and Max Strus.

Pacers vs. Cavaliers predictions

Parlay: Pacers +10.5 | Over 224.5 points | Haliburton 10+ assists | Strus 2+ threes (+400)

Pacers +10.5 (-137): The Cavaliers are still -225 favourites to win this series, and I won’t push back on that. But I do expect Indiana to be a pest the whole way through.

In 10 head-to-head matchups since April 2023, Indiana is 10-0 against this alt spread. The Pacers have also won six of those games outright.

Look at this Pacers roster and you’ll find plenty of scoring depth. They had seven rotation players averaging 10.0 points per game or more this season, and six guys went for double figures in Game 1.

Cleveland has higher-end stars with Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley, but the Pacers can roll with a strong lineup for a full 48 minutes. I see value in that.

Indiana is 14-10 ATS as a road underdog, per Team Rankings.

Embed: #113456

NBA SGP legs

Over 224.5 points (-175): These teams breeze by this alt total last time out, combining for 233 points in Indiana’s victory.

At this number, overs are 7-2 in the past nine Indiana/Cleveland matchups (dating back to the start of the 2023-24 season).

The average score in those nine head-to-head matchups is 231.4 points.

This doesn’t seem like a fluke to me, given that both teams are willing to play at a brisk pace. During the regular season, Indiana and Cleveland both ranked in the top 10 in terms of possessions per game.

Haliburton 10+ assists (-150): Haliburton was the NBA assists leader last year (10.9 APG), clearing a 10-assist average for a second consecutive season.

At 9.2 APG this year, he didn’t quite rise to that standard again. But he’s looking like his old self in the playoffs.

  • 11.8 APG (1st in NBA)
  • 84.0 passes/game (1st)
  • 17.3 potential assists/game (3rd)
  • 10+ assists in 5 of 6 games

After Haliburton dished 13 assists in the series opener, I expect him to cash this milestone prop.

Strus 2+ threes (-250): Cleveland shot 9-for-38 (23.7%) from 3-point range in Game 1. That has to be better, and Strus needs to be part of the solution.

Strus went 2-for-8 from the perimeter last time out and should be relied upon for heavy volume again. He has averaged 2.3 threes or more in each of his past four seasons.

And the sixth-year wing is no stranger to postseason play, either.

Over his past 13 playoff games (since April 30, 2024), Strus has averaged 2.8 made 3s on 40.4% shooting.

Pacers vs. Cavaliers predictions made at 9:32 a.m. ET 05/06/2025.