Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

Dodgers vs. Yankees Game 3 World Series same-game parlay predictions: Ride with Freeman, fade Schmidt as series shifts to New York

After winning both games on home soil, the Los Angeles Dodgers look to push the New York Yankees to the brink in Game 3 of the World Series.

The pregame narrative: Freddie Freeman has been the series hero so far, and I like him to get a hit on Monday night. I’m also backing Jazz Chisholm to contribute at the plate and am fading Clarke Schmidt’s strikeouts prop.

Check out my Yankees vs. Dodgers same-game parlay predictions for Game 1 of the World Series on Oct. 25.

Yankees vs. Dodgers SGP predictions

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Parlay: Schmidt under 4.5 Ks + Freeman over 0.5 hits + Chisholm over 0.5 hits (+350)

Schmidt under 4.5 Ks (-121): The Dodgers only have a 19.5% K rate in the postseason, which is the second-lowest among all playoff teams. And so far in the Fall Classic, the Yankees’ starters haven’t bucked that trend.

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In Game 1, Gerrit Cole only tallied four strikeouts over 6.0 innings. One night later, Carlos Rodon finished with three Ks in 3.1 innings.

Schmidt had a strong regular season, finishing with a 9.8 K/9 in 16 outings. But he finished below this line in both of his postseason starts, and the matchup on Monday isn’t in his favour.

Coming out of Sunday’s off-day, the Yankees can also turn to a rested bullpen at any early sign of trouble.

SGP legs

Freeman over 0.5 hits (-195): Freeman was the man of the hour on Friday night, blasting a walk-off grand slam in the 10th inning. On Saturday, he homered again.

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We don’t need Freeman to leave the yard for this bet to cash, though. Any old hit will do.

I like Freeman’s chances of staying hot at the plate, as the Dodgers’ star-studded lineup provides plenty of protection. Most teams would still rather pitch to him than to Shohei Ohtani or Mookie Betts.

Freeman has a hit in seven of 10 playoff games. The lefty hitter batted .300 with a .905 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season.

Chisholm over 0.5 hits (-137): Chisholm has a hit in five of his past six games, and I like the matchup he’ll see Monday against Dodgers starter Walker Buehler.

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It’s a lefty-on-righty matchup, for one thing, which favours Chisholm. His career batting average against righties (.259) is notably better than his BA against lefties (.224).

Against Buehler in particular, Chisholm is 3-for-5 with a double.

Buehler has had one great start and one awful one in the postseason. In the regular season, he allowed a .289 BA to opposing hitters.

Picks made at 2:10 p.m. on 10/25/24.

Best NBA prop bets Oct. 27: Fade Trae Young, back Jalen Williams in Hawks vs. Thunder matchup

The Oklahoma City Thunder host their home opener tonight against the Atlanta Hawks, and I’ve got player props on both sides of the matchup.

The pregame narrative: Trae Young feasted on some plus matchups in his first two games of the year, but I think he’s worth fading on Sunday. As for OKC, I like Jalen Williams to find his scoring touch after some encouraging shot volume.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 27.

NBA prop bets

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Best Bet: CJ McCollum over 3.5 threes (-112)

Last season, for the first time in his 12-year career, McCollum fired more attempts from 3-point range than he did from 2-point range. And it worked out quite well.

McCollum shot 42.9% from beyond the arc on 8.4 attempts. That was the best 3PT% of his career, and it was the sixth-highest among players who attempted at least 3.5 threes per night.

So it shouldn’t surprise anyone that McCollum came out of the gate firing from deep in the first week of the new season. After a 5-for-11 effort in the opener, he followed up with a 4-for-9 showing on Friday.

Will he keep up that volume all year? Perhaps not, but he should have a green light right now to keep heaving — and not just because it’s going well.

Dejounte Murray, who averaged 7.1 attempted threes last year, is out for four-to-six weeks with a fractured hand. And Trey Murphy, who averaged 7.8 3PA, is sidelined with a hamstring strain.

The Trail Blazers don’t profile as a plus matchup for 3-point shooters, as their opponents last year shot just 35.1% from deep (third-lowest in the NBA).

But this is a sheer volume play for a stellar outside shooter, and 3.5 threes are well within his range.

Key stat: McCollum has cashed this number in three straight games against the Blazers, including their most recent matchup this past Friday.

Quick picks

Williams over 20.5 points (-120): Is there a Year 3 leap coming for Williams on a rising Oklahoma City Thunder squad?

It’s too soon to tell, but the shooting guard has already taken 38 shots in his first two games, which is fantastic volume for a points prop like this. He hasn’t found an efficient stroke yet, but I think that’ll happen tonight at home against the Atlanta Hawks.

Atlanta allowed the third-highest 3-point percentage last year (38.4%), as well as the third-most points to opposing shooting guards (23.7/game), per Betting Pros.

Williams shot 56.4% from the floor on OKC’s home court last year, which includes a blistering 45.0% from 3-point range.

Young under 26.5 points (-118): Young has 30-plus points in both games so far, so you might be hesitant to fade him.

I get that, but it’s important to note that he had a pair of cupcake matchups at home against two hapless squads (Nets, Hornets). A road date against the Thunder is a much different ballgame.

OKC posted the fourth-best defensive rating last year while holding opposing point guards to the fourth-fewest PPG (22.9).

Over the two previous seasons, Young hit this under in three of four matchups against the Thunder.

Picks made at 1:00 p.m. on 10/27/2024.

Clippers vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions Oct. 27: Curry, Hield should drive offence for Golden State

The Los Angeles Clippers and Golden State Warriors wrap up tonight’s NBA action at San Francisco’s Chase Center.

The pregame narrative: My +330 SGP is all about offence. I’m backing Steph Curry to put up a better performance than we saw in his first two games of the season, and for Golden State teammate Buddy Hield to keep on firing from the 3-point line.

Check out my Clippers vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Oct. 27.

Clippers vs. Warriors predictions

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Parlay: Over 215.5 points + Curry over 24.5 points + Hield over 2.5 threes (+330)

Over 215.5 points (-200): Last year, the Clippers and Warriors cruised past this total in all four of their matchups, averaging 237.0 cumulative points.

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The Clippers’ offence has looked fine without Kawhi Leonard so far, ranking 12th in field goal percentage (47.1%). And the Warriors are off to a fantastic start, surpassing the 125-point mark in both games.

Last year’s head-to-head history indicates that this should be a perfectly attainable number to clear.

Also, the over was 24-17 in Golden State’s home games a season ago.

SGP legs

Curry over 24.5 points (-122): It’s interesting to see how well the Warriors’ offence has clicked given that its main star hasn’t found his rhythm yet.

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Curry is just 11-of-30 from the floor through two games and finished under this number both times. He also played fewer than 30 minutes in both games, to be fair, because Golden State won in blowout fashion.

A blowout is possible again tonight, but either way, I expect a bounce-back effort from arguably the greatest shooter of all time.

Curry averaged 29.7 PPG against the Clippers over the two previous seasons, and he cashed this bet in 47 of 74 (63.5%) games last year.

At home in 2023-24, Curry averaged 27.3 PPG.

Hield over 2.5 threes (-129): Hield’s first two games with the Warriors went as well as they possibly could have, and I know he won’t be on a super-heater forever. But I’m riding the wave today.

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Just look at the 3-point volume and production from Hield on Wednesday and Friday:

Oct. 23: 5-of-7 (71.4%)
Oct. 25: 7-of-9 (77.8%)

Even when Hield falls back to Earth, I could see him clearing this 3-pointer total consistently. Since the 2018-19 season, Hield has averaged 3.4 threes per game on 39.9% shooting.

Once upon a time, Hield was a lottery pick out of Oklahoma because of his 3-point prowess. That has fuelled a lengthy career for the 31-year-old, and it’s clear he hasn’t lost his touch.

Picks made at 12:30 p.m. on 10/27/24.

Best NBA prop bets Oct. 27: Fade Trae Young, back Jalen Williams in Hawks vs. Thunder matchup

The Oklahoma City Thunder host their home opener tonight against the Atlanta Hawks, and I’ve got player props on both sides of the matchup.

The pregame narrative: Trae Young feasted on some plus matchups in his first two games of the year, but I think he’s worth fading on Sunday. As for OKC, I like Jalen Williams to find his scoring touch after some encouraging shot volume.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 27.

NBA prop bets

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Best Bet: CJ McCollum over 3.5 threes (-114)

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