After winning both games on home soil, the Los Angeles Dodgers look to push the New York Yankees to the brink in Game 3 of the World Series.
The pregame narrative: Freddie Freeman has been the series hero so far, and I like him to get a hit on Monday night. I’m also backing Jazz Chisholm to contribute at the plate and am fading Clarke Schmidt’s strikeouts prop.
Check out my Yankees vs. Dodgers same-game parlay predictions for Game 1 of the World Series on Oct. 25.
Yankees vs. Dodgers SGP predictions
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Parlay: Schmidt under 4.5 Ks + Freeman over 0.5 hits + Chisholm over 0.5 hits (+350)
Schmidt under 4.5 Ks (-121): The Dodgers only have a 19.5% K rate in the postseason, which is the second-lowest among all playoff teams. And so far in the Fall Classic, the Yankees’ starters haven’t bucked that trend.
In Game 1, Gerrit Cole only tallied four strikeouts over 6.0 innings. One night later, Carlos Rodon finished with three Ks in 3.1 innings.
Schmidt had a strong regular season, finishing with a 9.8 K/9 in 16 outings. But he finished below this line in both of his postseason starts, and the matchup on Monday isn’t in his favour.
Coming out of Sunday’s off-day, the Yankees can also turn to a rested bullpen at any early sign of trouble.
SGP legs
Freeman over 0.5 hits (-195): Freeman was the man of the hour on Friday night, blasting a walk-off grand slam in the 10th inning. On Saturday, he homered again.
We don’t need Freeman to leave the yard for this bet to cash, though. Any old hit will do.
I like Freeman’s chances of staying hot at the plate, as the Dodgers’ star-studded lineup provides plenty of protection. Most teams would still rather pitch to him than to Shohei Ohtani or Mookie Betts.
Freeman has a hit in seven of 10 playoff games. The lefty hitter batted .300 with a .905 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season.
Chisholm over 0.5 hits (-137): Chisholm has a hit in five of his past six games, and I like the matchup he’ll see Monday against Dodgers starter Walker Buehler.
It’s a lefty-on-righty matchup, for one thing, which favours Chisholm. His career batting average against righties (.259) is notably better than his BA against lefties (.224).
Against Buehler in particular, Chisholm is 3-for-5 with a double.
Buehler has had one great start and one awful one in the postseason. In the regular season, he allowed a .289 BA to opposing hitters.
Picks made at 2:10 p.m. on 10/25/24.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.