Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

Celtics vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions Jan. 20: Bet on Curry, Porzingis in +275 SGP

In the middle of the NBA’s Martin Luther King Jr. Day slate, the Golden State Warriors host the Boston Celtics in a marquee matchup.

The pregame narrative: Golden State doesn’t appear to be a title contender like Boston is, but the Warriors should be able to cover a double-digit underdog spread at home on Monday. My +275 SGP also has prop bets on Steph Curry and Kristaps Porzingis.

Check out my Celtics vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 20.

Celtics vs. Warriors predictions

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Embed: #106827

Parlay: Warriors +13.5 + Curry 6+ assists + Porzingis 2+ threes (+275)

Warriors +13.5 (-186): Since their NBA Finals showdown in 2022, the Warriors and Celtics have met five times. Golden State has been the underdog each time, but it hasn’t always played like one.

Dating back to the start of the 2022-23 season, Golden State is 4-1 ATS against Boston with three outright wins as an underdog.

All three underdog wins came at Chase Center, which is where tonight’s matchup will be played.

I’m not calling for an upset, but Golden State has the chops to at least dodge a blowout loss. The Dubs have covered this number in 35 of 41 games this year (85.4%), and they’re 10-7 ATS as underdogs.

Boston, meanwhile, is just 16-23-1 ATS as a favourite and has failed to cover this number in seven of its past nine.

Curry (ankle) is questionable for the Warriors, but that doesn’t deter me, either. Golden State is 5-3 SU without him this year, covering this number in all eight games.

SGP legs

Curry 6+ assists (-165): Speaking of Curry, I hope he suits and can continue dishing the rock effectively against the Celtics.

Curry as 6+ assists in four straight games.

He’s averaging 6.2 APG this season.

Against the Celtics, Curry has 6+ assists in 4/5 games since Dec. 10, 2022.

The scoring numbers are starting to tick up again for Curry, but that hasn’t hurt his ability to make effective passes.

This is a very attainable line for a guy whose average sits above this line — especially considering he dropped nine dimes in Boston back on Nov. 6.

Porzingis 2+ threes (-159): There’s a bit too much juice for me to want to bet this straight up, but Porzingis’ 3s prop is a personal favourite of mine in the parlay world right now.

No team is more committed to shooting more 3s than the Celtics, who attempt a league-high 49.1 per night (the Bulls are second at 42.8). Porzingis isn’t as much of a volume shooter as some, but he tends to get plenty of looks.

5+ attempted threes in 14/18 games
2+ made threes in 13/18 games
47.7 3PT% in his past eight games

Porzingis has been reliable against this line all season, and he nearly doubles the price on this SGP. That’s good enough for me to buy in.

Picks made at 1:30 p.m. on 01/20/24.

Ohio State vs. Notre Dame national championship SGP predictions: Back Henderson, Buckeyes in +500 SGP

With the College Football Playoff national championship on the line, the Ohio State Buckeyes face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Monday night in Atlanta.

The pregame narrative: Ohio State has the more talented squad, and its dominance in the CFP gives me faith in backing the Buckeyes on an alt spread. This +500 SGP also has prop bets on TreVeyon Henderson, Jeremiyah Love and Riley Leonard.

Check out my Ohio State vs. Notre Dame same-game parlay predictions for the CFP national championship on Jan. 20.

Ohio State vs. Notre Dame predictions

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Embed: #106743

Parlay: Ohio State -3.5 + Henderson over 69.5 rush/rec. yards + Love over 49.5 rush/rec. yards + Leonard under 239.5 pass/rush yards (+500)

Ohio State -3.5 (-295): There was enough parity in college football this year that I’m not convinced we saw any all-time great teams.

But Ohio State is the closest thing to that — despite the inexplicable loss to unranked Michigan — and has utterly dominated in the CFP.

The Buckeyes have won six of their past seven games by at least two touchdowns. That includes all three playoff games (vs. Tennessee, Oregon and Texas).

According to gameonpaper.com, Ohio State ranks No. 1 in net EPA per play, yards per play and defensive success rate. Notre Dame is a worthy CFP finalist, but it can’t compete with that.

There are too many elite weapons in the Buckeyes’ offence for the Irish to stop. And Notre Dame’s typical advantages (coaching, offensive line play) are matched, if not exceeded, by OSU.

Other parlay picks

Henderson over 69.5 rushing/receiving yards (-230): Henderson had a game-altering play in the Cotton Bowl, when he turned what looked like a harmless screen pass into a 75-yard house call right before halftime.

TREYVEON HENDERSON

1 PLAY. FIREWORKS. pic.twitter.com/sBuCnnwypU
— The Jump Sports (@TheJumpSports) January 11, 2025

He only had seven touches against Texas — his lowest total since non-conference play — but Henderson turned those into 117 scrimmage yards and a touchdown. His stellar CFP showing rolls on.

In three playoff games, Henderson has averaged 72.0 rush yards and hit the 20-yard receiving milestone all three times.

Notre Dame’s defence is built to stop the pass, and the unit ranks 90th in run success rate. There’s no reason to suspect Henderson to take his foot off the gas.

Love over 49.5 rushing/receiving yards (-124): For weeks, Love has battled a knee injury that I’m sure has made some bettors wary.

But he sure looked healthy while hurdling a defender in the Orange Bowl (something he said he wouldn’t do). And he had this will-not-be-denied TD scamper in the fourth quarter:

JEREMIYAH. LOVE. #GoIrish

pic.twitter.com/BanhJnX7ir
— Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) January 10, 2025

On Saturday, Love told reporters he’s “ready to go” for the title game. He’s also been practicing without a brace.

Love has averaged 90.2 scrimmage yards this season and cashed this bet in 13/15 games.

Leonard under 239.5 passing/rushing yards (-235): Leonard’s total yardage numbers haven’t been great down the stretch, and I can’t see that changing against the stout Ohio State defence.

In his final five games entering Monday, Leonard has averaged 163.4 passing yards and 45.0 rushing yards. He went under this total in four of those matchups.

Ohio State is a -455 moneyline favourite as of Monday morning and should control this game most of the way. Putting Leonard into obvious passing situations is exactly what the Irish don’t want.

The Buckeyes rank No. 3 in defensive EPA per pass, and they’ve tallied 16 sacks in three playoff games.

Leonard is a confident runner, but sacks count negatively against QB rush yards. No matter what he tries, I expect Ohio State to have an answer.

Picks made at 9:25 a.m. ET on 01/20/2025.

Ravens vs. Bills divisional prop picks: NFL best bets on Derrick Henry, Josh Allen

The most anticipated matchup of the NFL divisional round was saved for last, as the Buffalo Bills host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday evening.

The pregame narrative: Buffalo’s Josh Allen appears destined to finish runner-up in MVP voting, but I expect him to outshine Lamar Jackson in at least one way on Sunday. Also, Derrick Henry should be in for a sizeable workload for the Ravens.

Check out my Ravens vs. Bills prop picks for the divisional round.

Ravens vs. Bills prop picks

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Best bet: Henry over 19.5 rush attempts (-118)

Last year in the AFC championship game, the Ravens did the inexplicable thing of abandoning the run game.

But after signing Derrick Henry in the offseason, there’s really no excuse to pull that stunt again.

Henry is still a Yeti-sized game-breaker, and he seems to only get stronger as the season wears on. His production over the past four weeks is absurd:

97 carries
633 yards
5 TDs

Henry had 20-plus carries and 135-plus rush yards in all four games.

Baltimore’s run play percentage (53.6%) is the second-highest in the NFL. That has a lot to do with Henry’s bell-cow capabilities.

All the way back in Week 4, Henry ripped off an 87-yard TD run on his first carry against the Bills. But he still put in a strong day volume-wise, finishing with 24 carries and 199 yards.

Key stat: Henry has cashed this bet in nine of his past 16 games, averaging 20.0 carries in that span.

Quick picks

Allen over 245.5 passing yards (-120): Based on the fact that Jackson earned first-team All-Pro honours, he’ll likely claim the NFL MVP award over Allen, too.

But from a passing standpoint, I expect Allen to have a better game on Sunday.

In his 11-game playoff career, Allen has averaged 272.3 passing yards.

He’s accrued 260+ passing yards in 8/11 games.

Allen only had 180 passing yards when he last faced the Ravens, but he’s a different beast when the postseason rolls around.

Also, Baltimore ranked No. 1 in total rush yards allowed, as well as yards allowed per rush this season. Allen should need to throw a fair amount to keep the Bills in the game.

Picks made at 4:00 p.m. ET on 01/18/2025.

Rams vs. Eagles divisional prop picks: Look for Tyler Higbee to stay involved, fade DeVonta Smith

Sunday’s divisional round doubleheader opens in Philadelphia, where the Eagles host the Los Angeles Rams.

The pregame narrative: Tyler Higbee was one of my favourite players to target last week, and I’m happily going back to the well in this matchup. On the Eagles’ side, I think DeVonta Smith is a reasonable play to fade.

Check out my Rams vs. Eagles prop picks for the divisional round.

Rams vs. Eagles prop picks

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Best bet: Higbee over 27.5 receiving yards (-122)

How could I not go back to this prop bet?

Ahead of last week’s wild-card matchup in Minnesota, I highlighted the over on Higbee’s receiving yards as one of my favourite prop picks.

How’d that go? Well, he had five catches for 58 yards in the first quarter alone.

Higbee left the game in the second quarter due to a chest injury, and he actually had to take a quick trip to the hospital, too.

But he practiced every day this week, logging a full practice on Friday. And he doesn’t carry an injury designation into Sunday’s game.

If you’d told me Higbee would miss almost 75% of the game against the Vikings, I would’ve expected him to whiff on this yardage total. But his early involvement last week indicates how important he is to the Rams’ offence.

Last year, Higbee hit this yardage milestone in five straight games down the stretch prior to suffering a knee injury on his first target in the wild-card round.

When he’s healthy, the Rams go to him.

Philadelphia allowed the fewest yards to opposing tight ends this year (34.8/game), which is my only hangup. But the loss of linebacker Nakobe Dean makes the defence more vulnerable in Higbee’s area of the field.

Key stat: Higbee has 10 catches for 104 yards and a touchdown over his past two games.

Quick picks

Smith under 52.5 receiving yards (-118): This is more of a narrative/game script play than I might typically indulge in, but I think the Eagles can skate by on Sunday without much output from Smith.

For one thing, they already have done that this year. Smith was out in Week 12 when Philly rolled over L.A., 37-20.

The Eagles had over 300 rushing yards in that game, and another run-heavy offensive game plan would make a lot of sense versus a Rams squad that allows 4.6 yards per carry (26th in the NFL).

Furthermore — and this is where we really get into the narrative weeds — maybe Philly looks to get A.J. Brown more involved on Sunday.

Brown’s primary highlight last weekend was a visual of him reading a book on the sidelines amid a one-catch, 10-yard performance.

Smith has gone under this yardage total in four of his past seven games.

Picks made at 3:50 p.m. ET on 01/18/2025.

Ravens vs. Bills divisional prop picks: NFL best bets on Derrick Henry, Josh Allen

The most anticipated matchup of the NFL divisional round was saved for last, as the Buffalo Bills host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday evening.

The pregame narrative: Buffalo’s Josh Allen appears destined to finish runner-up in MVP voting, but I expect him to outshine Lamar Jackson in at least one way on Sunday. Also, Derrick Henry should be in for a sizeable workload for the Ravens.

Check out my Ravens vs. Bills prop picks for the divisional round.

Ravens vs. Bills prop picks

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Embed: #106675

Best bet: Henry over 19.5 rush attempts (-117)

Last year in the AFC championship game, the Ravens did the inexplicable thing of abandoning the run game.

But after signing Derrick Henry in the offseason, there’s really no excuse to pull that stunt again.

Henry is still a Yeti-sized game-breaker, and he seems to only get stronger as the season wears on. His production over the past four weeks is absurd:

97 carries
633 yards
5 TDs

Henry had 20-plus carries and 135-plus rush yards in all four games.

Baltimore’s run play percentage (53.6%) is the second-highest in the NFL. That has a lot to do with Henry’s bell-cow capabilities.

All the way back in Week 4, Henry ripped off an 87-yard TD run on his first carry against the Bills. But he still put in a strong day volume-wise, finishing with 24 carries and 199 yards.

Key stat: Henry has cashed this bet in nine of his past 16 games, averaging 20.0 carries in that span.

Quick picks

Most passing yards — Allen (-143): Based on the fact that Jackson earned first-team All-Pro honours, he’ll likely claim the NFL MVP award over Allen, too.

But from a passing standpoint, I expect Allen to have a better game on Sunday.

In his 11-game playoff career, Allen has averaged 272.3 passing yards. He’s accrued 260+ passing yards in 8/11 games.

In Jackson’s seven playoff starts, he’s averaged just 214.1 passing yards — finishing below 200 yards five times.

Thanks to Henry, the Ravens rarely need to air the ball out. Jackson finished with just 153 passing yards against the Bills in Week 4 despite his team putting up 35 points (Allen had 180 passing yards that day).

Zay Flowers is doubtful, which means Jackson will likely be without his top target. Yet another reason to expect more production from Allen than his counterpart.

Picks made at 3:10 p.m. ET on 01/18/2025.

Rams vs. Eagles divisional prop picks: Look for Tyler Higbee to stay involved, fade DeVonta Smith

Sunday’s divisional round doubleheader opens in Philadelphia, where the Eagles host the Los Angeles Rams.

The pregame narrative: Tyler Higbee was one of my favourite players to target last week, and I’m happily going back to the well in this matchup. On the Eagles’ side, I think DeVonta Smith is a reasonable play to fade.

Check out my Rams vs. Eagles prop picks for the divisional round.

Rams vs. Eagles prop picks

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Best bet: Higbee over 24.5 receiving yards (-122)

How could I not go back to this prop bet?

Ahead of last week’s wild-card matchup in Minnesota, I highlighted Tyler Higbee over 24.5 receiving yards as one of my favourite prop picks.

How’d that go? Well, he had five catches for 58 yards in the first quarter alone.

Higbee left the game in the second quarter due to a chest injury, and he actually had to take a quick trip to the hospital, too.

But he practiced every day this week, logging a full practice on Friday. And he doesn’t carry an injury designation into Sunday’s game.

If you’d told me Higbee would miss almost 75% of the game against the Vikings, I would’ve expected him to whiff on this yardage total. But his early involvement last week indicates how important he is to the Rams’ offence.

Last year, Higbee hit this yardage milestone in five straight games down the stretch prior to suffering a knee injury on his first target in the wild-card round.

When he’s healthy, the Rams go to him.

Philadelphia allowed the fewest yards to opposing tight ends this year (34.8/game), which is my only hangup. But the loss of linebacker Nakobe Dean makes the defence more vulnerable in Higbee’s area of the field.

Key stat: Higbee has 10 catches for 104 yards and a touchdown over his past two games.

Quick picks

Smith under 52.5 receiving yards (-114): This is more of a narrative/game script play than I might typically indulge in, but I think the Eagles can skate by on Sunday without much output from Smith.

For one thing, they already have done that this year. Smith was out in Week 12 when Philly rolled over L.A., 37-20.

The Eagles had over 300 rushing yards in that game, and another run-heavy offensive game plan would make a lot of sense versus a Rams squad that allows 4.6 yards per carry (26th in the NFL).

Furthermore — and this is where we really get into the narrative weeds — maybe Philly looks to get A.J. Brown more involved on Sunday.

Brown’s primary highlight last weekend was a visual of him reading a book on the sidelines amid a one-catch, 10-yard performance.

Smith has gone under this yardage total in four of his past seven games.

Picks made at 1:50 p.m. ET on 01/18/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Jan. 18: Count on Amen Thompson to make the most of increased role

A youngster on the Houston Rockets headlines my NBA prop bets for Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: Amen Thompson has thrived in an enhanced role lately, and he has another compelling matchup to seize tonight. I also like Trae Young to fill the net against the Boston Celtics.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Jan. 18.

NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Thompson over 12.5 rebounds/assists (-143)

Thompson got an early Christmas gift from the Houston Rockets this year: a huge boost in minutes.

In 10 games dating back to Dec. 23, the second-year small forward has averaged:

37.4 minutes
15.6 points
10.7 rebounds
3.3 assists

That’s roughly 11 minutes per night more than he’d been playing previously, and as you’d expect, he’s matched that with an increase in production.

There’s still a bit too much streakiness in Thompson’s shot volume from night to night, so I’m targeting his rebounds and assists in a smash matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers.

Portland has allowed opposing small forwards to average 8.2 rebounds (fifth-most) and 4.3 assists (third-most) this season, per Betting Pros.

Thompson faced the Blazers twice in November when he was still coming off the bench. He cashed this bet once while totalling 18 rebounds and six assists in those matchups.

With more opportunities in recent games, Thompson has made this line very attainable.

And he’s found another gear this month after frontcourt teammate Jabari Smith Jr. (hand) suffered an injury.

Key stat: In his past six games (all without Smith), Thompson has averaged 11.7 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

Quick pick

Young over 23.5 points (-112): Young had his worst shooting performance of the year when he last faced Boston, but that was back in early November.

A 10-game scoring surge from the star point guard is what I’m keying in on:

27.2 PPG
40.4 3PT%
24+ points in 7/10 games

The Celtics played last night, so this might be a good opportunity for the lightning-quick Hawks (No. 2 in possessions per game) to get into track meet mode.

And Young should be encouraged to fire a bunch of 3s, both because he’s hot from outside and because the Celtics will be shooting plenty of their own.

Picks made at 12:35 p.m. ET on 01/18/2025.

Oilers vs. Canucks prop picks Jan. 18: Fade J.T. Miller amid disastrous skid

An eventful Hockey Day in Canada concludes with a marquee West Coast clash between the Edmonton Oilers and the Vancouver Canucks.

The pregame narrative: Plenty of attention will be on J.T. Miller, the Canucks’ embattled centre who recently drew the ire of his head coach. I’m fading Miller on Saturday night and looking for Leon Draisaitl to cash the over on his shots prop.

Check out my Oilers vs. Canucks prop picks for Jan. 18.

Oilers vs. Canucks prop picks

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Best bet: Miller under 0.5 points (-112)

The vibes aren’t particularly high for the Canucks right now, as they sit outside the playoff picture with less than half the season to play.

And on the individual player level, the vibes have probably never been lower for Miller.

In Thursday’s game against the Los Angeles Kings, Miller had a rough night in which he left his team out to dry multiple times. As a result, he got an earful from head coach Rick Tocchet.

https://twitter.com/CanucksArmy/status/1880134217142575292

After the game, Tocchet had this to say about Miller: “It seems like every time he’s on the ice, something bad happens.”

Hurtful, but not as far from the truth as you might think. It’s been a brutal five-game stretch for the veteran centre:

0 points
-5 rating
10 shotes
15:56 average ice time

Miller has skated fewer than 15 minutes in three straight games. He’d only done that twice previously this season.

Either for a playoff push or a trade chip, the Canucks would certainly love to get Miller going. But I don’t see it happening tonight.

Edmonton is an exceptionally responsible team on the defensive side, ranking fourth in chances allowed per 60 and third in expected goals allowed per 60 (according to Natural Stat Trick).

Key stat: Dating back to last year’s playoff matchup, Miller has one point and a -4 rating in his past five games against the Oilers.

Quick pick

Draisaitl over 2.5 shots (-150): As long as Draisaitl’s shots prop is set at 2.5, I’m going to have to at least glance at the over.

He’s on a superb run right now, cashing this bet in seven of his past eight games — averaging 3.9 shots in that span.

On the season, Draisaitl has gone over 2.5 shots in 29 of 45 games (64.4%).

The Canucks allow the eighth-fewest shots per 60, but I’m not deterred by the matchup.

In 12 games against Vancouver since the start of last year (playoffs included), Draisaitl has averaged 3.6 shots and hit this over nine times.

Picks made at 12:30 p.m. ET on 01/18/2025.

Oilers vs. Canucks prop picks Jan. 18: Fade J.T. Miller amid disastrous skid

An eventful Hockey Day in Canada concludes with a marquee West Coast clash between the Edmonton Oilers and the Vancouver Canucks.

The pregame narrative: Plenty of attention will be on J.T. Miller, the Canucks’ embattled centre who recently drew the ire of his head coach. I’m fading Miller on Saturday night and looking for Leon Draisaitl to cash the over on his shots prop.

Check out my Oilers vs. Canucks prop picks for Jan. 18.

Oilers vs. Canucks prop picks

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Embed: #106650

Best bet: Miller under 0.5 points (-103)

The vibes aren’t particularly high for the Canucks right now, as they sit outside the playoff picture with less than half the season to play.

And on the individual player level, the vibes have probably never been lower for Miller.

In Thursday’s game against the Los Angeles Kings, Miller had a rough night in which he left his team out to dry multiple times. As a result, he got an earful from head coach Rick Tocchet.

https://twitter.com/CanucksArmy/status/1880134217142575292

After the game, Tocchet had this to say about Miller: “It seems like every time he’s on the ice, something bad happens.”

Hurtful, but not as far from the truth as you might think. It’s been a brutal five-game stretch for the veteran centre:

0 points
-5 rating
10 shotes
15:56 average ice time

Miller has skated fewer than 15 minutes in three straight games. He’d only done that twice previously this season.

Either for a playoff push or a trade chip, the Canucks would certainly love to get Miller going. But I don’t see it happening tonight.

Edmonton is an exceptionally responsible team on the defensive side, ranking fourth in chances allowed per 60 and third in expected goals allowed per 60 (according to Natural Stat Trick).

Key stat: Dating back to last year’s playoff matchup, Miller has one point and a -4 rating in his past five games against the Oilers.

Quick pick

Draisaitl over 2.5 shots (-125): As long as Draisaitl’s shots prop is set at 2.5, I’m going to have to at least glance at the over.

He’s on a superb run right now, cashing this bet in seven of his past eight games — averaging 3.9 shots in that span.

On the season, Draisaitl has gone over 2.5 shots in 29 of 45 games (64.4%).

The Canucks allow the eighth-fewest shots per 60, but I’m not deterred by the matchup.

In 12 games against Vancouver since the start of last year (playoffs included), Draisaitl has averaged 3.6 shots and hit this over nine times.

Picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on 01/18/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Jan. 18: Count on Amen Thompson, Trayce Jackson-Davis to make the most of increased roles

A couple of youngsters headline my NBA prop bets for Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: Amen Thompson and Trayce Jackson-Davis have thrived in enhanced roles lately, and they both have compelling matchups to seize tonight. I also like Trae Young to fill the net against the Boston Celtics.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Jan. 18.

NBA prop bets

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Embed: #106640

Best bet: Thompson over 13.5 rebounds/assists (+105)

Thompson got an early Christmas gift from the Houston Rockets this year: a huge boost in minutes.

In 10 games dating back to Dec. 23, the second-year small forward has averaged:

37.4 minutes
15.6 points
10.7 rebounds
3.3 assists

That’s roughly 11 minutes per night more than he’d been playing previously, and as you’d expect, he’s matched that with an increase in production.

There’s still a bit too much streakiness in Thompson’s shot volume from night to night, so I’m targeting his rebounds and assists in a smash matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers.

Portland has allowed opposing small forwards to average 8.2 rebounds (fifth-most) and 4.3 assists (third-most) this season, per Betting Pros.

Thompson faced the Blazers twice in November when he was still coming off the bench. He cashed this bet once while totalling 18 rebounds and six assists in those matchups.

With more opportunities in recent games, Thompson has made this line very attainable.

And he’s found another gear this month after frontcourt teammate Jabari Smith Jr. (hand) suffered an injury.

Key stat: In his past six games (all without Smith), Thompson has averaged 11.7 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

Quick picks

Jackson-Davis over 20.5 points/rebounds (-115): Jackson-Davis re-entered the Golden State Warriors’ starting lineup on Dec. 21, and since then he’s shown flashes as a talented starting centre.

Consistency is still lacking, but I think the second-year big is worth backing when the right matchup comes around. Like this one.

The Washington Wizards allow the most points (28.1/game) and the fourth-most rebounds (16.1/game) to opposing centres. With them due up on the schedule, this total should be within reach.

In 14 games since re-joining the starting lineup, Jackson-Davis has cashed this bet seven times while averaging 19.5 PR.

Young over 23.5 points (-108): Young had his worst shooting performance of the year when he last faced Boston, but that was back in early November.

A 10-game scoring surge from the star point guard is what I’m keying in on:

27.2 PPG
40.4 3PT%
24+ points in 7/10 games

The Celtics played last night, so this might be a good opportunity for the lightning-quick Hawks (No. 2 in possessions per game) to get into track meet mode.

And Young should be encouraged to fire a bunch of 3s, both because he’s hot from outside and because the Celtics will be shooting plenty of their own.

Picks made at 10:30 a.m. ET on 01/18/2025.