In the middle of the NBA’s Martin Luther King Jr. Day slate, the Golden State Warriors host the Boston Celtics in a marquee matchup.
The pregame narrative: Golden State doesn’t appear to be a title contender like Boston is, but the Warriors should be able to cover a double-digit underdog spread at home on Monday. My +275 SGP also has prop bets on Steph Curry and Kristaps Porzingis.
Check out my Celtics vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 20.
Celtics vs. Warriors predictions
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Parlay: Warriors +13.5 + Curry 6+ assists + Porzingis 2+ threes (+275)
Warriors +13.5 (-186): Since their NBA Finals showdown in 2022, the Warriors and Celtics have met five times. Golden State has been the underdog each time, but it hasn’t always played like one.
Dating back to the start of the 2022-23 season, Golden State is 4-1 ATS against Boston with three outright wins as an underdog.
All three underdog wins came at Chase Center, which is where tonight’s matchup will be played.
I’m not calling for an upset, but Golden State has the chops to at least dodge a blowout loss. The Dubs have covered this number in 35 of 41 games this year (85.4%), and they’re 10-7 ATS as underdogs.
Boston, meanwhile, is just 16-23-1 ATS as a favourite and has failed to cover this number in seven of its past nine.
Curry (ankle) is questionable for the Warriors, but that doesn’t deter me, either. Golden State is 5-3 SU without him this year, covering this number in all eight games.
SGP legs
Curry 6+ assists (-165): Speaking of Curry, I hope he suits and can continue dishing the rock effectively against the Celtics.
- Curry as 6+ assists in four straight games.
- He’s averaging 6.2 APG this season.
- Against the Celtics, Curry has 6+ assists in 4/5 games since Dec. 10, 2022.
The scoring numbers are starting to tick up again for Curry, but that hasn’t hurt his ability to make effective passes.
This is a very attainable line for a guy whose average sits above this line — especially considering he dropped nine dimes in Boston back on Nov. 6.
Porzingis 2+ threes (-159): There’s a bit too much juice for me to want to bet this straight up, but Porzingis’ 3s prop is a personal favourite of mine in the parlay world right now.
No team is more committed to shooting more 3s than the Celtics, who attempt a league-high 49.1 per night (the Bulls are second at 42.8). Porzingis isn’t as much of a volume shooter as some, but he tends to get plenty of looks.
- 5+ attempted threes in 14/18 games
- 2+ made threes in 13/18 games
- 47.7 3PT% in his past eight games
Porzingis has been reliable against this line all season, and he nearly doubles the price on this SGP. That’s good enough for me to buy in.
Picks made at 1:30 p.m. on 01/20/24.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.