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NFL Week 13 odds and betting lines: Packers and Dolphins cap off three-game Thanksgiving slate

Every NFL team is in action during Week 13 with a three-pack of American Thanksgiving games taking centre stage.

The latest: The Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions kick off the festivities with the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys following suit. A battle of two hot teams at Lambeau Field ends Thursday’s slate before a Black Friday standalone between the Las Vegas Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs.

Check out the latest NFL Week 13 odds below.

NFL Week 13 odds

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

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New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys

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Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers

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Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs

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Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Jets

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

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Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots

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Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings

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Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders

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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons

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Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers

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Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens

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Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos

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Visit all of NorthStar Bets’ NFL markets. Click on game odds below to bet now.

Betting Insights

The Bears are in a free fall with five straight losses while scoring just 14.6 points per game. Detroit, meanwhile, has won nine straight games behind the league’s top scoring offence (32.7 PPG). The Lions have won three of their last four games against Chicago, putting up 30+ in each win.
Thanksgiving naps are a tradition, and the Cowboys and Giants will be doing their part to put NFL fans to sleep. New York and Dallas rank 32nd and 22nd in scoring offence, respectively, and both teams are fielding quarterbacks who began the year as backups.
The Dolphins have won three straight games and have a +38 point differential since Tua Tagovailoa returned in Week 8. They head to Green Bay to take on a Packers team that has won six of its last seven games while averaging 26.2 PPG.

Nets vs. Kings prop picks Nov. 24: Back DeMar DeRozan, Cam Thomas on Sunday night

Sunday’s NBA nightcap is a cross-conference matchup between the Brooklyn Nets and Sacramento Kings.

The pregame narrative: DeMar DeRozan had a tough shooting night in his first game back from injury but I expect him to rebound. On the other side, look for Cam Thomas to clear his 3-point total.

Check out my Nets vs. Kings prop picks for Nov. 24.

Nets vs. Kings prop picks

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Best Bet: DeRozan over 21.5 points (-112)

DeRozan was chugging before suffering a back injury against the Phoenix Suns on Nov. 13.

The veteran small forward was averaging 24.8 PPG on 52.6% shooting
He cleared this line in 8/11 games
And scored at least 20 points in 10/11 games

His floor as a scorer is high and I won’t let Friday’s 16-point stinker get in the way of that. DeRozan played 36 minutes — which is encouraging for a player returning from injury — and took 19 shots.

The Kings are going to need him to pick up the slack and the Nets are a good team to bounce back against.

Brooklyn allows opponents to shoot 43.0% from the midrange, which ranks 21st in the NBA according to Cleaning the Glass. DeRozan has made a career of killing teams in that area of the court, so expect a strong performance tonight.

Key stat: The Nets allow the third-most points per game to small forwards, according to Fantasy Pros.

Quick pick

Thomas over 2.5 threes (-118): Thomas broke out last season as a legitimate NBA scorer and he’s kept his foot on the gas in year four.

The shooting guard is averaging career highs in points (24.2), threes (2.8), field goal percentage (45.5) and 3-point percentage (38.5).

Thomas is a bit of a streaky shooter but the volume tends to be there. He’s second to Cameron Johnson on the Nets in 3-point attempts per game (7.3) and has cleared this mark in three of his last five games.

The Kings are allowing opponents to make threes at the eighth-highest rate in basketball (37.1%) so this should be a good matchup to exploit.

Picks made at 12:52 p.m. ET 11/24/2024.

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Raptors vs. Cavaliers same-game parlay predictions Nov. 24: Back Toronto, Dick in +350 wager

The Toronto Raptors seek redemption against the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight.

The pregame narrative: Cleveland thrashed Toronto in the season opener but I’m backing the Raps to cover a hefty alternate spread on the road. Prop bets on Gradey Dick and Evan Mobley round out this +350 wager.

Check out my Raptors vs. Cavaliers same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 24.

Raptors vs. Cavaliers predictions

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Parlay: Raptors +17.5 + Dick over 2.5 threes + Mobley over 14.5 points (+350)

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Raptors +17.5 (-220): Cleveland started its 15-game winning streak with a 136-106 beatdown of the Raptors on Oct. 23.

Do I think Toronto can get one back tonight? No. But do I think it can cover 17.5 points? Absolutely.

The Raps have shown plenty of progress since opening night despite their awful 4-12 record.

Toronto is 11-5 ATS (second-best to Cleveland)
It has won back-to-back games after taking a three-point loss to the Boston Celtics
It has covered this number in five straight and 14/15

Scottie Barnes is back in the lineup and that’s a boon for a team that was lacking offence. The fourth-year power forward is averaging 18.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 6.0 assists and can make a difference all over the court.

Cleveland is a buzzsaw but has still only covered this number in six of 17 games (35.2%).

SGP legs

Dick over 2.5 threes (+145): The one suspect part of Cleveland’s resume is its 3-point defence.

The squad is letting opponents shoot 38.2% from beyond the arc, which is the second-worst mark in basketball.

Dick has looked like a star at points this season, scoring 30-plus points three times while shooting a respectable 34.3% from beyond the arc.

He leads all Raptors in 3-point makes (2.3) and attempts per game (6.9) and should be active tonight.

Mobley over 14.5 points (-250): I backed Mobley to clear his 16.5-point total in today’s NBA prop bets and will double dip on this teased-down line.

Barnes’ draftmate has been putting together his best offensive season yet, averaging a career-best 17.8 points per game.

He should be able to expose a Raptors defence that has been getting punished at the rim and in the short midrange. Check out these metrics provided by Cleaning the Glass:

24th in opponent FG% in the short midrange (43.9%)
26th in opponent FG% at the rim (69.3%)

Mobley takes 84% of his shots from those areas and converts them at a 60.3% clip.

The power forward has gone over this line in 11-of-17 games and scored 25 points against the Raps on opening night.

Picks made at 10:59 a.m. on 11/24/24.

Best NBA prop bets Nov. 24: Bet on Siakam and Mobley

A pair of big men make up Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Pascal Siakam gets one of the league’s worst defensive teams while Evan Mobley has an exploitable matchup.

Check out the best NBA prop bets on Nov. 24.

NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Siakam over 23.5 points (-130)

I’m sure the Indiana Pacers didn’t want Pascal Siakam to be the alpha dog when they traded for him last year but that’s what’s happened.

Tyrese Haliburton is having a dreadful start to the season and Bennedict Mathurin isn’t quite there yet as a polished player.

Siakam is leading the team in points (20.8) and field goal attempts (14.6) per game and is shooting a respectable 55.4% from the floor.

He’s scored 20-plus points in four straight and five of his last six and is in good shape to keep the ball rolling against the Washington Wizards.

Washington has the worst defensive rating in basketball and gets eaten alive at the rim. Siakam isn’t a pure post player but he does a lot of his damage near the basket and can make shots from most places on the court.

Key stat: Siakam hasn’t played the Wizards since joining Indiana but averaged 30.5 PPG against them on 63.1% shooting in two games last year with the Toronto Raptors.

Quick picks

Mobley over 17.5 points (-108): I’ve been on the Mobley train all season and this is another nice spot to back the power forward.

The Raptors get annihilated at the rim and in the short midrange, according to Cleaning the Glass:

26th in opponent FG% at the rim (69.3%)
24th in opponent FG% in the short midrange (43.9%)

Mobley takes 84% of his shots from that area and converts them at a 60.3% clip. He’s averaging a career-best 17.8 points per game and has cleared this mark in four of his last six.

In Cleveland’s season-opening game against the Raptors, Mobley scored 25 points on 9-of-14 shooting.

Picks made at 8:33 a.m. ET on 11/24/2024.

Best NBA prop bets Nov. 24: Bet on Siakam, Lively and Mobley

A trio of big men make up Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Pascal Siakam gets one of the league’s worst defensive teams while Dereck Lively and Evan Mobley have exploitable matchups.

Check out the best NBA prop bets on Nov. 24.

NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Siakam over 23.5 points (-109)

I’m sure the Indiana Pacers didn’t want Pascal Siakam to be the alpha dog when they traded for him last year but that’s what’s happened.

Tyrese Haliburton is having a dreadful start to the season and Bennedict Mathurin isn’t quite there yet as a polished player.

Siakam is leading the team in points (20.8) and field goal attempts (14.6) per game and is shooting a respectable 55.4% from the floor.

He’s scored 20-plus points in four straight and five of his last six and is in good shape to keep the ball rolling against the Washington Wizards.

Washington has the worst defensive rating in basketball and gets eaten alive at the rim. Siakam isn’t a pure post player but he does a lot of his damage near the basket and can make shots from most places on the court.

Key stat: Siakam hasn’t played the Wizards since joining Indiana but averaged 30.5 PPG against them on 63.1% shooting in two games last year with the Toronto Raptors.

Quick picks

Mobley over 16.5 points (-130): I’ve been on the Mobley train all season and this is another nice spot to back the power forward.

The Raptors get annihilated at the rim and in the short midrange, according to Cleaning the Glass:

26th in opponent FG% at the rim (69.3%)
24th in opponent FG% in the short midrange (43.9%)

Mobley takes 84% of his shots from that area and converts them at a 60.3% clip. He’s averaging a career-best 17.8 points per game and has cleared this mark in four of his last six.

In Cleveland’s season-opening game against the Raptors, Mobley scored 25 points on 9-of-14 shooting.

Lively over 16.5 points and rebounds (-106): Daniel Gafford is questionable today with a shoulder injury. That’s worth watching because this is a smash play if Dallas’ starting centre can’t suit up.

But even if Gafford gets his normal amount of run, I like Lively’s chances of having a day.

Lively averages 8.8 points and 6.8 rebounds (15.6 P/R) in just over 20 minutes a night.
He’s shooting 71.0% on the season
Has gone over this line in 3/7 games in November (with exactly 16 P/R one time)

The Miami Heat struggle to defend near the basket and on the glass, ranking 20th in opponent FG% at the rim and 22nd in rebound rate.

Picks made at 8:33 a.m. ET on 11/24/2024.

NHL prop picks Nov. 22: Back Dylan Cozens and Kyle Connor

I’ve got one prop bet from both of Friday’s NHL games.

The pregame narrative: Dylan Cozens hasn’t been producing for the Buffalo Sabres but is in a good spot to clear his shot total tonight. In Pittsburgh, back Kyle Connor to score at plus money.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 22 below.

NHL prop picks

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Best Bet: Cozens over 2.5 shots (-130)

Tage Thompson might be returning tonight and if he does, he’ll be on people’s radar against the defensively inept Anaheim Ducks.

But I think Cozens is a nice undercover pick to go over his shot prop.

Buffalo’s second-line centre isn’t producing — he has just three goals and seven points in 19 games — but he is throwing the puck on the net.

Cozens leads all Sabres forwards with 53 shots on goal and is fourth in chances (87), according to Natural Stat Trick.

He had zero shots his last time out but had at least two shots in each of the seven games before that, clearing this line four times.

The Ducks are a nice team to get him over that two-shot hump.

Key stat: Anaheim allows the most shots (36.0) and chances (75.23) per 60 minutes.

Quick picks

Connor to score (+125): Connor started the year off on a rampage, potting nine goals in Winnipeg’s first 10 games.

He’s cooled off since but still has three goals in November — all of which came in his last four games.

Tonight, Connor and the Winnipeg Jets get a Pittsburgh Penguins team falling apart at the seams:

Most goals allowed per game (3.86)
Second-most high-danger chances per 60 (13.17)
Pittsburgh starting goalie Tristan Jarry has a 4.72 GAA and .863 SV%

Connor is the best offensive player on the best team in the NHL. I expect him to have plenty of chances tonight.

NHL picks made at 1:17 p.m. on 11/22/2024.

Top NFL Week 12 TD picks: Back Tyrone Tracy, Mike Evans, Bo Nix

This week’s NFL TD picks feature one running back, one wide receiver and one quarterback.

The pregame narrative: Tyrone Tracy and Mike Evans are good bets to score when the New York Giants host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Meadowlands. Later, look for Bo Nix to call his own number in the red zone.

Check out the best NFL Week 12 TD picks for the upcoming games.

NFL Week 12 TD picks

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Best bet: Tracy anytime TD (+125)

Daniel Jones is no longer a Giant and that means the team can finally score again.

If you think that’s harsh, think again. With Jones under centre, New York’s offence was truly anemic:

32nd in points per game (15.6)
25th in red zone scoring attempts per game (2.8)
32nd in red zone scoring percentage (39.29%)
26th in RBSDM.com’s offensive EPA per play

Tommy DeVito isn’t going to magically turn this ship around, but I expect him to breathe some life into the team. Last year he went 3-3 as a starter, throwing eight touchdown passes and three interceptions.

But enough about the quarterbacks, let’s talk about Tracy and his matchup.

The rookie RB has been a beast since taking over the starting role in Week 5, averaging 86.0 rushing yards per game at 5.4 yards per carry.

Tracy has turned up the heat even more over the past three weeks, totalling 314 rushing yards with two touchdowns.

He should be involved plenty against a suspect defence.

Key stat: The Buccaneers have the third-worst total defence in the NFL (389.3 yards/game) and give up the fifth-most red zone scoring attempts per game (3.8).

Quick picks

Evans anytime TD (+110): Evans is the most prolific TD scorer of the last decade, with exactly 100 touchdowns since entering the league in 2014.

No wide receiver has found pay dirt more often than him, and Tampa Bay desperately needs a spark right now. The Bucs have lost four straight games since Chris Godwin went down with a season-ending injury.

Evans hasn’t played since Week 7 but still leads the team in receiving TDs (six), red zone targets (eight), and red zone TDs (four).

Baker Mayfield has his favourite target back, and I expect Evans to get plenty of looks.

Nix anytime TD (+150): Look out, Jayden Daniels — Nix is coming in hot.

Denver’s QB is flying up the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds board after a strong month of play where he completed 72.9% of his passes, accounting for 12 TDs with just one INT.

Only one of those scores came on the ground, but Nix is capable of calling his own number.

The Oregon product scored 20 rushing touchdowns in two years with the Ducks and has four this season with Denver.

Nix’s 15 red zone rushing attempts — including six within the 10-yard line — are second on the Broncos to only Javonte Williams (36 RZ attempts, 16 within the 10-yard line).

Denver plays a Las Vegas Raiders team with the fourth-worst scoring defence in the NFL.

Picks made at 2:24 p.m. ET on 11/22/2024.

Top NFL Week 12 TD picks: Back Tyrone Tracy, Mike Evans, Bo Nix

This week’s NFL TD picks feature one running back, one wide receiver and one quarterback.

The pregame narrative: Tyrone Tracy and Mike Evans are good bets to score when the New York Giants host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Meadowlands. Later, look for Bo Nix to call his own number in the red zone.

Check out the best NFL Week 12 TD picks for the upcoming games.

NFL Week 12 TD picks

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Best bet: Tracy anytime TD (-125)

Daniel Jones is no longer a Giant and that means the team can finally score again.

If you think that’s harsh, think again. With Jones under centre, New York’s offence was truly anemic:

32nd in points per game (15.6)
25th in red zone scoring attempts per game (2.8)
32nd in red zone scoring percentage (39.29%)
26th in RBSDM.com’s offensive EPA per play

Tommy DeVito isn’t going to magically turn this ship around, but I expect him to breathe some life into the team. Last year he went 3-3 as a starter, throwing eight touchdown passes and three interceptions.

But enough about the quarterbacks, let’s talk about Tracy and his matchup.

The rookie RB has been a beast since taking over the starting role in Week 5, averaging 86.0 rushing yards per game at 5.4 yards per carry.

Tracy has turned up the heat even more over the past three weeks, totalling 314 rushing yards with two touchdowns.

He should be involved plenty against a suspect defence.

Key stat: The Buccaneers have the third-worst total defence in the NFL (389.3 yards/game) and give up the fifth-most red zone scoring attempts per game (3.8).

Quick picks

Evans anytime TD (-103): Evans is the most prolific TD scorer of the last decade, with exactly 100 touchdowns since entering the league in 2014.

No wide receiver has found pay dirt more often than him, and Tampa Bay desperately needs a spark right now. The Bucs have lost four straight games since Chris Godwin went down with a season-ending injury.

Evans hasn’t played since Week 7 but still leads the team in receiving TDs (six), red zone targets (eight), and red zone TDs (four).

Baker Mayfield has his favourite target back, and I expect Evans to get plenty of looks.

Nix anytime TD (+185): Look out, Jayden Daniels — Nix is coming in hot.

Denver’s QB is flying up the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds board after a strong month of play where he completed 72.9% of his passes, accounting for 12 TDs with just one INT.

Only one of those scores came on the ground, but Nix is capable of calling his own number.

The Oregon product scored 20 rushing touchdowns in two years with the Ducks and has four this season with Denver.

Nix’s 15 red zone rushing attempts — including six within the 10-yard line — are second on the Broncos to only Javonte Williams (36 RZ attempts, 16 within the 10-yard line).

Denver plays a Las Vegas Raiders team with the fourth-worst scoring defence in the NFL.

Picks made at 2:24 p.m. ET on 11/22/2024.

NHL prop picks Nov. 22: Back Dylan Cozens and Kyle Connor

I’ve got one prop bet from both of Friday’s NHL games.

The pregame narrative: Dylan Cozens hasn’t been producing for the Buffalo Sabres but is in a good spot to clear his shot total tonight. In Pittsburgh, back Kyle Connor to score at plus money.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 22 below.

NHL prop picks

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Best Bet: Cozens over 2.5 shots (-125)

Tage Thompson might be returning tonight and if he does, he’ll be on people’s radar against the defensively inept Anaheim Ducks.

But I think Cozens is a nice undercover pick to go over his shot prop.

Buffalo’s second-line centre isn’t producing — he has just three goals and seven points in 19 games — but he is throwing the puck on the net.

Cozens leads all Sabres forwards with 53 shots on goal and is fourth in chances (87), according to Natural Stat Trick.

He had zero shots his last time out but had at least two shots in each of the seven games before that, clearing this line four times.

The Ducks are a nice team to get him over that two-shot hump.

Key stat: Anaheim allows the most shots (36.0) and chances (75.23) per 60 minutes.

Quick picks

Connor to score (+105): Connor started the year off on a rampage, potting nine goals in Winnipeg’s first 10 games.

He’s cooled off since but still has three goals in November — all of which came in his last four games.

Tonight, Connor and the Winnipeg Jets get a Pittsburgh Penguins team falling apart at the seams:

Most goals allowed per game (3.86)
Second-most high-danger chances per 60 (13.17)
Pittsburgh starting goalie Tristan Jarry has a 4.72 GAA and .863 SV%

Connor is the best offensive player on the best team in the NHL. I expect him to have plenty of chances tonight.

NHL picks made at 1:17 p.m. on 11/22/2024.

EPL Matchday 12 picks and predictions: Bet on Liverpool, Ipswich Town on Sunday

I’ve got two picks for the Premier League’s return this weekend.

The pregame narrative: Ipswich Town went into the international break on a heater and I expect it to stifle a struggling Manchester United side. Also, bet on Liverpool to pick up where it left off — dominating teams.

Check out the best EPL Matchday 12 picks.

EPL Matchday 12 picks

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Best Bet: Liverpool halftime/full time (-130)

Liverpool fans were left wondering if anyone could fill Jurgen Klopp’s shoes when the legendary manager stepped down last year.

It’s still very early, but Arne Slot looks to be legit.

The Dutchman has Liverpool sitting atop the table with a 9-1-1 record and +15 goal differential. The Reds’ defence has been impregnable, conceding a league-low six goals, four fewer than any other team.

And in the Champions League, Liverpool is 4-0-0 with just one goal conceded and 10 scored.

This weekend’s match against last-place Southampton should be a layup. The Saints are 1-1-9 with a league-worst -14 goal differential and seven goals scored.

I was debating backing Liverpool to score over 2.5 goals at -109 but think this is a safer play.

Barring a penalty, I can’t picture how Southampton finds the net. Liverpool is 6-1-0 in its last seven EPL fixtures but has only scored three-plus goals in one of those games.

Look for the Reds to score early and uneventfully close things out.

Key stat: Liverpool (21) has scored three times as many goals as Southampton (seven).

Quick pick

Ipswich Town to win or tie (+135): Manchester United has been a disaster this season.

The Red Devils are 4-3-4, winning just two of their last seven EPL fixtures. They’ve scored the fifth-fewest goals (12) in the Premiership and aren’t getting production out of top players like Bruno Fernandes and Marcus Rashford.

Erik ten Hag has been sacked and I’ll need to see something out of Ruben Amorim, who will make his managerial debut on Sunday, before feeling confident in Man United.

Ipswich Town is coming off a 2-1 win against Tottenham in North London and drew Leicester City, 1-1, before that.

The squad has cashed this bet in six of its last nine EPL fixtures and is in a good spot to pick up a point at home.

Picks made at 11:30 a.m. on 11/22/24.