The Toronto Raptors seek redemption against the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight.
The pregame narrative: Cleveland thrashed Toronto in the season opener but I’m backing the Raps to cover a hefty alternate spread on the road. Prop bets on Gradey Dick and Evan Mobley round out this +350 wager.
Check out my Raptors vs. Cavaliers same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 24.
Raptors vs. Cavaliers predictions
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Parlay: Raptors +17.5 + Dick over 2.5 threes + Mobley over 14.5 points (+350)
Raptors +17.5 (-220): Cleveland started its 15-game winning streak with a 136-106 beatdown of the Raptors on Oct. 23.
Do I think Toronto can get one back tonight? No. But do I think it can cover 17.5 points? Absolutely.
The Raps have shown plenty of progress since opening night despite their awful 4-12 record.
- Toronto is 11-5 ATS (second-best to Cleveland)
- It has won back-to-back games after taking a three-point loss to the Boston Celtics
- It has covered this number in five straight and 14/15
Scottie Barnes is back in the lineup and that’s a boon for a team that was lacking offence. The fourth-year power forward is averaging 18.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 6.0 assists and can make a difference all over the court.
Cleveland is a buzzsaw but has still only covered this number in six of 17 games (35.2%).
SGP legs
Dick over 2.5 threes (+145): The one suspect part of Cleveland’s resume is its 3-point defence.
The squad is letting opponents shoot 38.2% from beyond the arc, which is the second-worst mark in basketball.
Dick has looked like a star at points this season, scoring 30-plus points three times while shooting a respectable 34.3% from beyond the arc.
He leads all Raptors in 3-point makes (2.3) and attempts per game (6.9) and should be active tonight.
Mobley over 14.5 points (-250): I backed Mobley to clear his 16.5-point total in today’s NBA prop bets and will double dip on this teased-down line.
Barnes’ draftmate has been putting together his best offensive season yet, averaging a career-best 17.8 points per game.
He should be able to expose a Raptors defence that has been getting punished at the rim and in the short midrange. Check out these metrics provided by Cleaning the Glass:
- 24th in opponent FG% in the short midrange (43.9%)
- 26th in opponent FG% at the rim (69.3%)
Mobley takes 84% of his shots from those areas and converts them at a 60.3% clip.
The power forward has gone over this line in 11-of-17 games and scored 25 points against the Raps on opening night.
Picks made at 10:59 a.m. on 11/24/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.