This week’s NFL TD picks feature one running back, one wide receiver and one quarterback.
The pregame narrative: Tyrone Tracy and Mike Evans are good bets to score when the New York Giants host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Meadowlands. Later, look for Bo Nix to call his own number in the red zone.
Check out the best NFL Week 12 TD picks for the upcoming games.
NFL Week 12 TD picks
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Best bet: Tracy anytime TD (+125)
Daniel Jones is no longer a Giant and that means the team can finally score again.
If you think that’s harsh, think again. With Jones under centre, New York’s offence was truly anemic:
- 32nd in points per game (15.6)
- 25th in red zone scoring attempts per game (2.8)
- 32nd in red zone scoring percentage (39.29%)
- 26th in RBSDM.com’s offensive EPA per play
Tommy DeVito isn’t going to magically turn this ship around, but I expect him to breathe some life into the team. Last year he went 3-3 as a starter, throwing eight touchdown passes and three interceptions.
But enough about the quarterbacks, let’s talk about Tracy and his matchup.
The rookie RB has been a beast since taking over the starting role in Week 5, averaging 86.0 rushing yards per game at 5.4 yards per carry.
Tracy has turned up the heat even more over the past three weeks, totalling 314 rushing yards with two touchdowns.
He should be involved plenty against a suspect defence.
Key stat: The Buccaneers have the third-worst total defence in the NFL (389.3 yards/game) and give up the fifth-most red zone scoring attempts per game (3.8).
Quick picks
Evans anytime TD (+110): Evans is the most prolific TD scorer of the last decade, with exactly 100 touchdowns since entering the league in 2014.
No wide receiver has found pay dirt more often than him, and Tampa Bay desperately needs a spark right now. The Bucs have lost four straight games since Chris Godwin went down with a season-ending injury.
Evans hasn’t played since Week 7 but still leads the team in receiving TDs (six), red zone targets (eight), and red zone TDs (four).
Baker Mayfield has his favourite target back, and I expect Evans to get plenty of looks.
Nix anytime TD (+150): Look out, Jayden Daniels — Nix is coming in hot.
Denver’s QB is flying up the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds board after a strong month of play where he completed 72.9% of his passes, accounting for 12 TDs with just one INT.
Only one of those scores came on the ground, but Nix is capable of calling his own number.
The Oregon product scored 20 rushing touchdowns in two years with the Ducks and has four this season with Denver.
Nix’s 15 red zone rushing attempts — including six within the 10-yard line — are second on the Broncos to only Javonte Williams (36 RZ attempts, 16 within the 10-yard line).
Denver plays a Las Vegas Raiders team with the fourth-worst scoring defence in the NFL.
Picks made at 2:24 p.m. ET on 11/22/2024.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.