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Wizards vs. Nuggets SGP predictions March 15: Back Khris Middleton, Kyshawn George on Saturday

The Washington Wizards and Denver Nuggets close out Saturday’s eight-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Denver is gearing up for a title run while Washington is counting down the days untill the draft lottery. I’ll take the Nuggets to win at home alongside Khris Middleton and Kyshawn George props in this +290 SGP.

Check out my Wizards vs. Nuggets SGP predictions for March 15.

Wizards vs. Nuggets predictions

Parlay: Nuggets moneyline | Middleton over 16.5 points and assists | George 2+ threes (+290)

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Nuggets moneyline (-590): The Nuggets played last night, and it’s unclear if some of their biggest stars (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray) will suit up against the last-place Wizards.

But Denver is fighting for playoff seeding and this -11.5 spread indicates to me either one or both of them will see some playing time.

Washington’s sole focus with 17 games remaining is getting the rights to draft Cooper Flagg.

The Wizards have the worst record in the NBA (14-51) and the worst net rating (-11.7), per NBA.com.

There’s no need to overthink this leg. It would be a legitimate shock if Washington pulled out a win in the Mile High City.

NBA SGP legs

Middleton over 16.5 points and assists (-115): I’ll be playing this as a standalone wager and encourage you to do so as well in addition to this SGP.

Middleton doesn’t play big minutes, but has been productive this month:

13.8 PPG
4.2 APG
4-2 vs. this line

The former Milwaukee Buck is coming off a 16-point, eight-assist effort against the Detroit Pistons on Thursday and gets a perfect matchup to stay hot.

Denver is allowing the fifth-most points (22.85) and third-most assists (4.51) to small forwards this year, according to Fantasy Pros.

Middleton has cleared this mark in eight of his last 10 games against the Nuggets — all with the Bucks — landing on 16 points/assists in one of the outliers.

George 2+ threes (-165): You might not know who George is, and I wouldn’t blame you.

The 2024 No. 24 overall pick is averaging just 8.5 points per game on the worst team in the NBA. That’s not going to get you much screen time.

But George is in great form from beyond the arc over his last 10 games:

2.2 threes per game
36.1% shooting
2+ threes in 8 of 10 games

Denver is allowing opponents to cash in at a 36.4% rate from deep, which is the 10th-highest mark in basketball.

Wizards vs. Nuggets predictions made at 2:33 p.m. ET on 03/15/2025.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs prop picks March 15: Bet on Auston Matthews and Jake Sanderson

The Battle of Ontario renews on Saturday night when the Toronto Maple Leafs host the Ottawa Senators.

The pregame narrative: Don’t look now, but only six points separate the Maple Leafs from the Senators in the crowded Atlantic Division standings. Ottawa’s offence is rolling and I like Jake Sanderson to record a point. Also, back Auston Matthews to clear a manageable shot total.

Check out my Senators vs. Maple Leafs prop picks for March 15.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs prop picks

Best Bet: Sanderson to score 1+ points (+100)

Ottawa is within striking distance of the Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning after winning five straight games.

The Senators are getting production up and down the lineup, and Sanderson has been leading the charge on the back end.

He’s got 10 points (one goal, nine assists) in 10 games coming out of the 4 Nations Face-Off break and is 7-3 against this line.

Sanderson leads all Ottawa skaters in ice time (24:25) this season and plays on the top power play.

That means he’ll have ample opportunities against a Leafs team playing some suspect defence. Check out how Toronto ranks defensively on a 60-minute basis since the league returned to action on Feb. 22, per Natural Stat Trick:

30th in chances (65.64)
27th in goals (3.71)
27th in scoring chances (30.73)
26th in shots (29.85)

Chris Tanev has returned, which is a much needed shot in the arm for Toronto. Still, I’m worried about how the team is defending as a whole.

Anthony Stolarz starts in goal for the Maple Leafs, and he’s been shaky. The netminder has allowed 10 goals in his last three starts with an .867 save percentage.

Key stat: Sanderson has six points in his last three road games.

Quick pick

Matthews over 3.5 shots (-143): Matthews is snake-bitten right now, with just three goals in his last 10 games coming out of the break.

The reigning Rocket Richard winner could break out of it at any time, and I think his anytime goalscorer prop is certainly worth a look. However, this shot total feels way too low.

Matthews is averaging 3.9 shots on goal in his last 10, clearing this line six times.

He’s still playing north of 20 minutes a night and draws a great matchup against the Senators.

On a 60-minute basis, Ottawa is allowing the fourth-most shots (30.97) and ninth-most chances (61.39) since the league returned to action.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs prop picks made at 1:03 p.m. ET 03/15/2025.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs prop picks March 15: Bet on Auston Matthews and Jake Sanderson

The Battle of Ontario renews on Saturday night when the Toronto Maple Leafs host the Ottawa Senators.

The pregame narrative: Don’t look now, but only six points separate the Maple Leafs from the Senators in the crowded Atlantic Division standings. Ottawa’s offence is rolling and I like Jake Sanderson to record a point. Also, back Auston Matthews to clear a manageable shot total.

Check out my Senators vs. Maple Leafs prop picks for March 15.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs prop picks

Best Bet: Sanderson to score 1+ points (+102)

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Ottawa is within striking distance of the Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning after winning five straight games.

The Senators are getting production up and down the lineup, and Sanderson has been leading the charge on the back end.

He’s got 10 points (one goal, nine assists) in 10 games coming out of the 4 Nations Face-Off break and is 7-3 against this line.

Sanderson leads all Ottawa skaters in ice time (24:25) this season and plays on the top power play.

That means he’ll have ample opportunities against a Leafs team playing some suspect defence. Check out how Toronto ranks defensively on a 60-minute basis since the league returned to action on Feb. 22, per Natural Stat Trick:

30th in chances (65.64)
27th in goals (3.71)
27th in scoring chances (30.73)
26th in shots (29.85)

Chris Tanev has returned, which is a much needed shot in the arm for Toronto. Still, I’m worried about how the team is defending as a whole.

Anthony Stolarz starts in goal for the Maple Leafs, and he’s been shaky. The netminder has allowed 10 goals in his last three starts with an .867 save percentage.

Key stat: Sanderson has six points in his last three road games.

Quick pick

Matthews over 3.5 shots (-125): Matthews is snake-bitten right now, with just three goals in his last 10 games coming out of the break.

The reigning Rocket Richard winner could break out of it at any time, and I think his anytime goalscorer prop is certainly worth a look. However, this shot total feels way too low.

Matthews is averaging 3.9 shots on goal in his last 10, clearing this line six times.

He’s still playing north of 20 minutes a night and draws a great matchup against the Senators.

On a 60-minute basis, Ottawa is allowing the fourth-most shots (30.97) and ninth-most chances (61.39) since the league returned to action.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs prop picks made at 1:03 p.m. ET 03/15/2025.

Knicks vs. Warriors prop picks March 15: Bet on OG Anunoby and Steph Curry on Saturday

The New York Knicks take on the Golden State Warriors in San Francisco on Saturday.

The pregame narrative: Jalen Brunson remains sidelined for New York, and I expect OG Anunoby to step up and perform well in his absence. On the other end, look for Steph Curry to catch fire from beyond the arc.

Check out my Knicks vs. Warriors prop picks for March 15.

Knicks vs. Warriors prop picks

Best Bet: Anunoby over 23.5 points and rebounds (-112)

This has all the makings of a smash play.

Anunoby is rolling right now, averaging 21.3 points and 5.9 rebounds (27.2 PR) in his last seven games.

He’s cashed this mark in five of those contests, finishing with no fewer than 19 points and rebounds.

That includes a game against the Warriors on March 5, when Anunoby logged 29 points and three rebounds.

Anunoby is averaging 17.4 field goal attempts during this seven-game stretch, which puts us in a great spot to clear this mark from a volume standpoint. He should keep firing at a high rate with Brunson sidelined.

And the small forward is in a good spot to rack up counting stats tonight as well. He’s had at least seven rebounds in three straight games and is averaging 41.0 minutes per night in March.

For better or worse, Tom Thibodeau loves to run his stars into the ground. That means Anunoby will have plenty of opportunities to stuff the stat sheet.

Key stat: Anunoby has cleared this mark in three of his last four games without Brunson.

Quick pick

Curry 5+ threes (-120): Curry is on fire and has a Grade-A matchup against the Knicks.

New York has the second-worst 3-point defence in the NBA (37.4%).

Since the all-star break, Curry is averaging 4.7 threes on 10.9 attempts (43.3%).

Curry has cleared this mark in eight of his last nine games against the Knicks, going 4-for-13 from deep in the outlier.

He went 5-for-9 against them earlier this month and I expect even more volume on Saturday.

Kings vs. Warriors prop picks made at 9:46 a.m. ET on 03/15/2025.

Pacers vs. Bucks SGP predictions March 15: Back guards Haliburton and Lillard at +350

The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers meet for the second time this week, with the matchup shifting to Fiserv Forum.

The pregame narrative: Indiana won at home on Tuesday thanks to some Tyrese Haliburton heroics. I expect the point guard to step up again, but in a loss. Taking the over on a teased-down Damian Lillard 3s line rounds out this +350 SGP.

Check out my Pacers vs. Bucks SGP predictions for March 15.

Bucks vs. Pacers predictions

Parlay: Bucks ML | Lillard 3+ threes | Haliburton 20+ points (+350)

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Bucks moneyline (-220): Milwaukee snapped a three-game losing skid with a convincing win over Luka Doncic’s Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday.

LeBron James wasn’t playing but I’m hoping the Bucks can build off a strong offensive performance and keep things rolling.

I also don’t want to put too much stock into those three losses, considering one was against the juggernaut Cleveland Cavaliers and the other two came by a combined three points.

https://twitter.com/SportsCenter/status/1899643397448651155

This is how Milwaukee has performed following the all-star break.

8-4 record
+6.4 net rating (6th in the NBA)
109.1 defensive rating (2nd)

The Bucks will want to avenge their fluke loss from Tuesday, and they handled the Pacers twice earlier this season, winning those matchups by a combined 20 points.

NBA SGP legs

Lillard 3+ threes (-215): Lillard is in a bit of a shooting slump right now but I say he snaps out of it tonight.

The point guard has gone over 2.5 threes in six of his last seven games vs. the Pacers, averaging 4.0 makes on 38.9% shooting.

The outlier was on Tuesday, when he shot 2-for-7 from deep.

Lillard averages 9.1 attempted 3s per night, and I’m banking on him taking more than seven 3s this evening. And he should, considering both teams rank top 10 in pace, which NBA.com categorizes as possessions per game.

On the season, Lillard is 35-19 against this line (64.8%).

Haliburton 20+ points (-103): Fingers crossed we don’t get one of those weird games where Haliburton chooses to take five shots.

That’s always a risk with Indiana’s point guard but given tonight’s matchup, I doubt it happens.

Lillard can fill the bucket with the best of them, though his lacklustre defence has made Milwaukee a prime target for opposing point guards.

Check out how the Bucks’ defence ranks against that position, per Fantasy Pros:

2023-24 season: 3rd-most PPG (25.89)
2024-25 season: Most PPG (26.17)
Last 30 days: 4th-most PPG (26.59)

Haliburton only dropped 14 points against the Bucks on Tuesday — and four of those came on a Hail Mary play as time was expiring — but it was also his first game back from a three-game injury absence.

He had cleared this milestone in five of eight games prior while averaging 23.4 PPG. In that span, he scored no fewer than 17 points.

Bucks vs. Pacers predictions made at 10:00 a.m. ET on 03/11/2025.

Knicks vs. Warriors prop picks March 15: Bet on OG Anunoby and Steph Curry on Saturday

The New York Knicks take on the Golden State Warriors in San Francisco on Saturday.

The pregame narrative: Jalen Brunson remains sidelined for New York, and I expect OG Anunoby to step up and perform well in his absence. On the other end, look for Steph Curry to catch fire from beyond the arc.

Check out my Knicks vs. Warriors prop picks for March 15.

Knicks vs. Warriors prop picks

Best Bet: Anunoby over 26.5 PRA (-113)

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This has all the makings of a smash play.

Anunoby is rolling right now, averaging 21.3 points, 5.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists (30.6 PRA) in his last seven games.

He’s cashed this mark in five of those contests, finishing with no fewer than 20 PRA.

That includes a game against the Warriors on March 5, when Anunoby logged 29 points, three rebounds and three assists.

Anunoby is averaging 17.4 field goal attempts during this seven-game stretch, which puts us in a great spot to clear this mark from a volume standpoint. He should keep firing at a high rate with Brunson sidelined.

And the small forward is in a good spot to rack up counting stats tonight as well. He’s had at least seven rebounds in three straight games and is averaging 41.0 minutes per night in March.

For better or worse, Tom Thibodeau loves to run his stars into the ground. That means Anunoby will have plenty of opportunities to stuff the stat sheet.

Key stat: Anunoby has cleared this mark in three of his last four games without Brunson.

Quick pick

Curry 5+ threes (-113): Curry is on fire and has a Grade-A matchup against the Knicks.

New York has the second-worst 3-point defence in the NBA (37.4%).

Since the all-star break, Curry is averaging 4.7 threes on 10.9 attempts (43.3%).

Curry has cleared this mark in eight of his last nine games against the Knicks, going 4-for-13 from deep in the outlier.

He went 5-for-9 against them earlier this month and I expect even more volume on Saturday.

Kings vs. Warriors prop picks made at 9:46 a.m. ET on 03/15/2025.

Premier League predictions Matchday 29: Back Tottenham to secure points, Manchester United to win

I’m backing two teams to record points during this weekend’s Premier League action.

The pregame narrative: Tottenham and Manchester United have disappointed this season, but both are in a good spot to pick up points away from home against Fulham and Leicester City, respectively.

Check out the best Premier League predictions for Matchday 29.

Premier League predictions

Go to full Premier League betting markets.

Best Bet: Tottenham to win or tie (-130)

At the time of writing, Tottenham is gearing up for its second leg against AZ Alkmaar in the Europa League Round of 16.

Fulham will have not played since March 8, and that extra rest is likely baked into this price.

But I still like Spurs to pick up at least a point at Craven Cottage given their recent from in the Premiership. They’re 3-1-1 in their last five with the only loss coming to Manchester City, 1-0.

Tottenham’s defence has been an issue all season, but things are starting to turn. Micky van de Ven and Cristian Romero are finally healthy, and having both starting centrebacks back in the lineup can’t be understated.

Agne Postecoglou’s side has given up just four goals in its last five EPL games — a massive improvement from the five games prior (11 goals).

Fulham’s calling card is its defence, as the club has allowed the third-fewest xG (32.4), per FBRef. Tottenham has managed to score in all but five of its EPL fixtures, though, and I anticipate it getting on the board on Sunday.

With that said, a 1-1 draw or 1-0 win for Spurs seems a likely outcome.

Key stat: Fulham has only won five of its 14 home EPL fixtures.

Quick pick

Manchester United to win (-118): Man United is also playing on Thursday — against Real Sociedad in the Europa League — while Leicester City has the week off.

I also don’t think that’ll matter much, considering the Foxes are relegation-bound with a 5-4-19 record in 28 EPL fixtures.

United is a miserable 3-5-5 away from Old Trafford but has found decent form lately, with a 1-2-0 record in their last three games. That includes a 1-1 draw against Arsenal at home where they generated 1.5 xG.

Leicester City has allowed the third-most xG this season (53.5) and I hope Rubin Amorim’s side can take advantage of an easy fixture.

Picks made at 12:49 p.m. on 03/13/25.

Premier League predictions Matchday 29: Back Tottenham to secure points, Manchester United to win

I’m backing two teams to record points during this weekend’s Premier League action.

The pregame narrative: Tottenham and Manchester United have disappointed this season, but both are in a good spot to pick up points away from home against Fulham and Leicester City, respectively.

Check out the best Premier League predictions for Matchday 29.

Premier League predictions

Go to full Premier League betting markets.

Best Bet: Tottenham to win or tie (-124)

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