Avery Perri

Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.

Dodgers vs. Cubs Tokyo Series SGP predictions March 18: Bet on Teoscar Hernandez and Kyle Tucker at +500

Dodgers vs. Cubs predictions

Set your alarm clocks, baseball fans. The Los Angeles Dodgers and Chicago Cubs kick off the MLB season at 6:10 a.m. ET in Tokyo, Japan.

The pregame narrative: Mookie Betts won’t play on Tuesday, but I still like Los Angeles’ Teoscar Hernandez to drive in a run. Taking Kyle Tucker to record a hit in addition to a heavily-teased alt under generates a juicy +500 SGP.

Check out my Dodgers vs. Cubs SGP predictions for March 18.

Dodgers vs. Cubs predictions

Parlay: Hernandez 1+ RBI | Tucker 1+ hits | Under 10.5 (+500)

Embed: #111338

Hernandez 1+ RBI (+143): The absence of Betts makes life a little more difficult for Hernandez, but he still gets to bat behind two MVP winners in Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman.

Ohtani (.390 on-base percentage) and Freeman (.378) both ranked inside the top 10 for OBP last season.

Los Angeles has an embarrassment of riches atop its lineup and Hernandez — who typically bats cleanup — will be in prime position to drive in batters all year.

The former Toronto Blue Jay had 99 RBI and owned a stellar .943 OPS with runners in scoring position last season.

I’ll happily back him at this price, even with Shota Imanaga (2.91 ERA in 2024) on the bump for Chicago.

MLB SGP legs

Tucker 1+ hit (-182): Tucker makes his debut for the Cubs on Tuesday after spending seven strong seasons with the Astros.

The power-hitting lefty has posted incredible numbers since becoming an everyday starter in 2021:

  • .280/.362/.527 slash line
  • 145 OPS+
  • .305 batting average vs. RHP

Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for Los Angeles and he’s coming off an impressive rookie campaign (3.00 ERA, 1.11 WHIP).

But I still like Tucker to notch a hit with a platoon advantage.

Under 10.5 runs (-420): This heavily-teased under nearly doubles our parlay’s value from +255 to +500 thanks to some negative correlation.

And I think Hernandez and Tucker can get their licks in without this turning into a full-fledged shootout.

Imanaga and Yamamoto were both great in 2024 and should be on tight leashes in the season opener. Ideally, they’ll do their jobs before turning the ball over to a pair of solid bullpens:

  • Los Angeles’ bullpen ranked third in ERA (3.53) and fifth in WHIP (1.18) last year.
  • Chicago wasn’t far behind, ranking 11th in ERA (3.81).

Dodgers vs. Cubs predictions made at 2:30 p.m. ET on 03/17/2025.

Raptors vs. Suns SGP predictions March 17: Bet on Kevin Durant and Devin Booker at +310

Raptors vs. Suns predictions

The Toronto Raptors continue their West Coast road trip on Monday against the Phoenix Suns.

The pregame narrative: Toronto has been rolling lately, and I like it to cover a teased-up spread against a sputtering Phoenix team. Prop bets on Kevin Durant and Devin Booker round out this +310 wager.

Check out my Raptors vs. Suns SGP predictions for March 17.

Raptors vs. Suns predictions

Parlay: Raptors +10.5 | Durant 25+ points | Booker 2+ threes (+310)

Embed: #111290

Raptors +10.5 (-157): I backed the Raptors at this number yesterday in a +270 SGP, which cashed as they narrowly lost to the Portland Trail Blazers, 105-102.

That snapped what I’ll describe as a “concerning” three-game winning streak for Toronto, which has a chance to position itself for a good pick in this year’s draft lottery.

The Raptors players have other ideas, though:

  • Toronto is 6-2 in its last eight games.
  • It has covered a +10.5 spread in 12 of 13 games since the all-star break.

Scottie Barnes and Jakob Poeltl are playing tonight while RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley are listed as questionable.

If everyone is in, Toronto should be live to win this game.

Phoenix has dropped seven of its past 11 games — including a 126-109 loss to Toronto — and is an awful 7-15-1 ATS as a home favourite this season.

NBA SGP legs

Durant over 25.5 points (-113): This could very well be Durant’s last season with the Suns, as the superstar is reportedly seeking a trade this offseason.

And I can’t blame Durant for wanting to jump ship after posting outstanding numbers while the rest of his team spits the bit.

He is averaging 26.6 points per game this year while shooting 52.5% from the floor and 41.4% from deep. Those are nearly identical to the numbers Durant posted over a 75-game sample size last season.

KD has scored 21-plus points in seven of eight games this month while going 4-4 against this line — that’s a pretty solid floor to work with.

He fell short of this line against the Raps on Feb. 23 but has scored 30 and 35 in his two other games them as a Sun.

Booker 2+ threes (-435): This heavily juiced line gives our SGP a welcome odds boost from +200 to +310 — well worth it, in my opinion.

Booker has netted two-plus 3s in 44 of 62 games this season (70.9%) and is shooting a respectable 34.5% from beyond the arc.

He went 3-for-8 from deep against the Raptors a month ago and has cashed this bet in 11 of 14 games since the all-star break.

Raptors vs. Suns predictions made at 1:45 p.m. ET 03/17/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 17: Back Tyler Herro and Jaren Jackson Jr. on Monday

NBA prop bets

Tyler Herro and Jaren Jackson Jr. headline Monday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Herro and Jackson draw great matchups against the New York Knicks and Sacramento Kings, respectively. I’m backing both players to clear their point totals and am also eyeing Donovan Clingan to record a double-double.

Check out my top NBA prop bets for March 17.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Herro over 21.5 points (-127)

Embed: #111323

Herro is in a mini-slump, averaging 20.0 points in March on 44.7% shooting.

Since November, it’s the only month this season where he’s averaged fewer than 24.0 PPG. That helps explain this low total, which I don’t think bettors will see for much longer.

The point guard has been living right around this line even amid his current struggles:

  • Herro has scored 21+ points in 5 of 8 games this month and 9 of 13 since the all-star break.
  • He’s averaging 18.9 field-goal attempts since the ASG, which is 4.5 more than anyone else on the Heat.

In my opinion, Herro should blow by this total if he takes anywhere near 18.9 field goal attempts on Monday.

New York has the third-worst 3-point defence in the NBA (37.3%) and allows the sixth-most points per game to opposing point guards, according to Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Herro has cleared this line in both games vs. New York this season, averaging 28.0 PPG.

Best NBA picks

Jackson over 24.5 points (-124): This shapes up to be a smash spot for Jackson, who will be Memphis’ No. 1 option on Monday with Ja Morant (shoulder) sidelined.

Unsurprisingly, Jackson has produced at a much higher clip this year when the point guard sits:

  • With Morant (36 games): 21.8 PPG, 15.4 FGA/game
  • Without Morant (25 games): 24.0 PPG, 17.9 FGA/game

He’s 11-7 against this line when playing north of 25 minutes without Morant. Sacramento is a 3-point favourite in tonight’s contest, meaning Jackson should get plenty of run.

This is also a great matchup.

The Kings allow the second-most points and third-most 3s per game to power forwards, and JJJ scored 28 points when he last played them on Jan. 3.

Clingan to record a double-double (+200): I’ll take a swing at Clingan to record a double-double at this price.

Portland’s rookie centre has been a menace on the glass since re-entering the starting lineup on Feb. 12:

  • 9.9 rebounds per game
  • 9+ rebounds in five straight

He’s coming off two strong rebounding games against the Toronto Raptors (14 rebounds) and New York Knicks (12 rebounds) and is -167 to reach double-digit boards tonight.

The real risk here lies in Clingan’s ability to score, as he’s only averaging 6.0 PPG.

He goes up against a Washington Wizards team allowing the third-most points in the paint per game (51.6) and the most points to opposing centres per game (26.39).

NBA prop picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET on 03/17/2025.

Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Flames March 17: Bet on Auston Matthews to score

Maple Leafs prop picks

Two slumping Canadian teams meet on Monday when the Toronto Maple Leafs host the Calgary Flames.

The pregame narrative: The Maple Leafs have lost five of their last six games and I expect their captain, Auston Matthews, to deliver a goal in a winning effort. On the other side, Jonathan Huberdeau is a good bet to clear his shot total.

Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Flames for March 17.

Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Flames

Best Bet: Matthews to score (-108)

Matthews needs to get going if the Maple Leafs want any chance at a deep playoff run.

The reigning Rocket Richard winner has just 24 goals in 51 games after posting a career-best 69 last season.

But these underlying numbers provided by Natural Stat Trick suggest he should be scoring at a much higher rate.

  • First in xG per 60 (1.62)
  • Fourth in shots per 60 (11.49)
  • Ninth in chances per 60 (21.34)

Matthews is still creating plenty of chances, but a career-low 11.9% shooting percentage has hampered his production.

Is that just bad luck, or has his mystery ailment caused him to lose a step? It’s probably a bit of both, though I’m hoping his goal on Saturday did some heavy lifting on the mental side of things.

Matthews scored on an ugly giveaway by the Ottawa Senators and is slowly starting to find form, with goals in three of seven games this month.

The Flames have lost five of their last seven games, giving up eight goals in their last two losses.

Key stat: Dustin Wolf is likely to start in goal for Calgary tonight. He gave up five goals against the Maple Leafs on Feb. 4.

Quick pick

Huberdeau over 1.5 shots (-167): The Maple Leafs are reeling, making Huberdeau a prime target to clear a modest shot total.

Check out how Toronto ranks defensively on a per-60 basis since the 4 Nations Face-Off break ended:

  • 28th in chances (64.52)
  • 25th in shots (29.42)

Huberdeau has cleared this total in three of his last four games, logging four shots against the Dallas Stars and Vancouver Canucks and two against the Colorado Avalanche.

Looking back a little further, he’s gone over 1.5 shots in 10 of his last 15 and had a pair of shots against the Maple Leafs on Feb. 4.

Maple Leafs vs. Flames prop picks made at 10:43 a.m. ET 03/17/2025.

Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Flames March 17: Bet on Auston Matthews to score

Maple Leafs prop picks

Two slumping Canadian teams meet on Monday when the Toronto Maple Leafs host the Calgary Flames.

The pregame narrative: The Maple Leafs have lost five of their last six games and I expect their captain, Auston Matthews, to deliver a goal in a winning effort. On the other side, Jonathan Huberdeau is a good bet to clear his shot total.

Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Flames for March 17.

Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Flames

Best Bet: Matthews to score (-118)

Embed: #111316

Matthews needs to get going if the Maple Leafs want any chance at a deep playoff run.

The reigning Rocket Richard winner has just 24 goals in 51 games after posting a career-best 69 last season.

But these underlying numbers provided by Natural Stat Trick suggest he should be scoring at a much higher rate.

  • First in xG per 60 (1.62)
  • Fourth in shots per 60 (11.49)
  • Ninth in chances per 60 (21.34)

Matthews is still creating plenty of chances, but a career-low 11.9% shooting percentage has hampered his production.

Is that just bad luck, or has his mystery ailment caused him to lose a step? It’s probably a bit of both, though I’m hoping his goal on Saturday did some heavy lifting on the mental side of things.

Matthews scored on an ugly giveaway by the Ottawa Senators and is slowly starting to find form, with goals in three of seven games this month.

The Flames have lost five of their last seven games, giving up eight goals in their last two losses.

Key stat: Dustin Wolf is likely to start in goal for Calgary tonight. He gave up five goals against the Maple Leafs on Feb. 4.

Quick pick

Huberdeau over 1.5 shots (-130): The Maple Leafs are reeling, making Huberdeau a prime target to clear a modest shot total.

Check out how Toronto ranks defensively on a per-60 basis since the 4 Nations Face-Off break ended:

  • 28th in chances (64.52)
  • 25th in shots (29.42)

Huberdeau has cleared this total in three of his last four games, logging four shots against the Dallas Stars and Vancouver Canucks and two against the Colorado Avalanche.

Looking back a little further, he’s gone over 1.5 shots in 10 of his last 15 and had a pair of shots against the Maple Leafs on Feb. 4.

Maple Leafs vs. Flames prop picks made at 10:43 a.m. ET 03/17/2025.

Best NHL anytime goalscorer picks March 16: Back Connor McDavid, Kyle Connor

NHL anytime goal picks

Connor McDavid and Kyle Connor are my picks to score during Sunday’s NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: McDavid has been awfully quiet lately but has a great opportunity to snap out of it against the New York Rangers. Connor, meanwhile, has been one of the NHL’s best goalscorers all season and draws a great matchup.

Check out my NHL anytime goal picks for March 16.

NHL anytime goal picks

Best Bet: McDavid to score a goal (+130)

McDavid hasn’t scored at an elite clip since winning the 2022-23 Rocket Richard trophy (64 goals) — and he’s been in a slump since sending the Americans packing from the 4 Nations Face-Off — but it would be foolish to think he’s lost a step.

Edmonton’s captain is fourth in the league with 84 points, doing most of his damage as a passer.

Tonight presents a prime opportunity for him to get off the schneid, though, against a Rangers team starting its No. 2 goaltender.

Igor Shesterkin played last night, meaning Jonathan Quick gets the call on Sunday. And to put it bluntly, his numbers are awful (NHL ranks in parentheses):

  • 3.14 GAA (47th)
  • .898 SV% (32nd)
  • -0.136 goals saved above expected per 60 (59th)

That last stat, courtesy of Money Puck, shows us how far Quick has fallen from his days with the Los Angeles Kings. He allowed seven goals in his last start, which came against the Columbus Blue Jackets.

New York is a well-below-average defensive team, giving up the ninth-most chances and second-most high-danger chances on a 60 minute basis, according to Natural Stat Trick.

Without the Vezina-winning Shesterkin in goal, I can foresee McDavid and the Oilers cruising to a win.

Key stat: McDavid scored twice against the Rangers when he last played them in November.

Quick pick

Connor to score a goal (+125): All Connor does, year in and year out, is score goals.

Excluding his rookie campaign where he played 20 games, Connor has scored 30-plus all but once — and the outlier was the COVID-shortened 2020-21 season.

This year, Winnipeg’s sharpshooter has 35 goals and is on pace for 42.

He’s found the net in three of his last five games and scored two goals on Friday against the defensively-stout Dallas Stars.

On Sunday, he gets to go up against a Seattle Kraken team that is leaking oil.

The Kraken give up the sixth-most chances and 11th-most high-danger chances on a 60-minute basis.

They’re likely to start Joey Daccord in net, per Daily Faceoff, and he has a 3.68 GAA and .864 SV% in five March starts.

NHL anytime goal picks made at 1:51 p.m. ET on 03/16/2025.

Best NHL anytime goalscorer picks March 16: Back Connor McDavid, Kyle Connor

NHL anytime goal picks

Connor McDavid and Kyle Connor are my picks to score during Sunday’s NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: McDavid has been awfully quiet lately but has a great opportunity to snap out of it against the New York Rangers. Connor, meanwhile, has been one of the NHL’s best goalscorers all season and draws a great matchup.

Check out my NHL anytime goal picks for March 16.

NHL anytime goal picks

Best Bet: McDavid to score a goal (+123)

Embed: #111295

McDavid hasn’t scored at an elite clip since winning the 2022-23 Rocket Richard trophy (64 goals) — and he’s been in a slump since sending the Americans packing from the 4 Nations Face-Off — but it would be foolish to think he’s lost a step.

Edmonton’s captain is fourth in the league with 84 points, doing most of his damage as a passer.

Tonight presents a prime opportunity for him to get off the schneid, though, against a Rangers team starting its No. 2 goaltender.

Igor Shesterkin played last night, meaning Jonathan Quick gets the call on Sunday. And to put it bluntly, his numbers are awful (NHL ranks in parentheses):

  • 3.14 GAA (47th)
  • .898 SV% (32nd)
  • -0.136 goals saved above expected per 60 (59th)

That last stat, courtesy of Money Puck, shows us how far Quick has fallen from his days with the Los Angeles Kings. He allowed seven goals in his last start, which came against the Columbus Blue Jackets.

New York is a well-below-average defensive team, giving up the ninth-most chances and second-most high-danger chances on a 60 minute basis, according to Natural Stat Trick.

Without the Vezina-winning Shesterkin in goal, I can foresee McDavid and the Oilers cruising to a win.

Key stat: McDavid scored twice against the Rangers when he last played them in November.

Quick pick

Connor to score a goal (+116): All Connor does, year in and year out, is score goals.

Excluding his rookie campaign where he played 20 games, Connor has scored 30-plus all but once — and the outlier was the COVID-shortened 2020-21 season.

This year, Winnipeg’s sharpshooter has 35 goals and is on pace for 42.

He’s found the net in three of his last five games and scored two goals on Friday against the defensively-stout Dallas Stars.

On Sunday, he gets to go up against a Seattle Kraken team that is leaking oil.

The Kraken give up the sixth-most chances and 11th-most high-danger chances on a 60-minute basis.

They’re likely to start Joey Daccord in net, per Daily Faceoff, and he has a 3.68 GAA and .864 SV% in five March starts.

NHL anytime goal picks made at 1:51 p.m. ET on 03/16/2025.

Raptors vs. Trail Blazers SGP predictions March 16: Bet on Scottie Barnes and Donovan Clingan

Raptors vs. Trail Blazers predictions

The Toronto Raptors take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: The Raptors have caught fire at the wrong time, and I’ll back them to cover as teased-up road underdogs tonight. Prop bets on Scottie Barnes and Donovan Clingan round out this +270 wager.

Check out my Raptors vs. Trail Blazers SGP predictions for March 16.

Raptors vs. Trail Blazers predictions

Parlay: Raptors +10.5 | Barnes 6+ rebounds | Clingan 10+ rebounds (+270)

Embed: #111290

Raptors +10.5 (-240): Masai Ujiri and Bobby Webster have to be shaking their heads behind the scenes.

Toronto has won six of its last seven games, devastating its chances at winning the draft lottery and owning the rights to select Duke Blue Devils superstar Cooper Flagg.

The Raptors’ lone loss in that span came by a single point and they’ve covered a +10.5 spread in 11 of 12 games since the all-star break.

Portland has lost five straight games — albeit against solid competition — and might be without standout guard Anfernee Simons (questionable, hand).

Backing the Raptors as a road underdog has been profitable this year (17-13 ATS), so I’ll gladly bank a few extra points with them tonight.

NBA SGP legs

Barnes 6+ rebounds (-225): Barnes has been one of the few Raptors playing on a nightly basis, and his production on the glass has been solid:

  • 7.9 RPG on the season
  • 8.8 RPG in March
  • 6+ rebounds in 10 of his last 13 games

Portland has some solid rebounders — like Clingan, who I’ll touch on in a moment — but this teased-down milestone should be very much in play.

The Trail Blazers give up the second-most rebounds per game to small forwards, according to Fantasy Pros.

Clingan 10+ rebounds (-124): I might be trying to thread the needle by backing two players on opposing teams to reach a rebounding milestone.

But given Clingan’s recent production, I think it’s worth the risk.

The 2024 No. 7 overall pick has been a beast since re-entering the starting lineup on Feb. 12, averaging 9.5 rebounds per game.

Clingan is the only 7-footer in Portland’s active lineup — in fact, he’s the only player listed above 6-foot-9 — which puts him in a good spot to succeed on a nightly basis.

With backup big men DeAndre Ayton and Robert Williams sidelined, I like the rookie to grab double-digit boards against a Raptors team allowing the sixth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres.

Raptors vs. Trail Blazers predictions made at 12:15 p.m. ET 03/16/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 16: Bet on Luka Doncic, LaMelo Ball and Dyson Daniels on Sunday

NBA prop bets

Point guards Luka Doncic and LaMelo Ball headline Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Doncic (calf) is listed as probable after sitting on Friday and I expect him to torch the Phoenix Suns. Ball, meanwhile, has a very attainable 3-point total against the Los Angeles Clippers.

Check out my top NBA prop bets for March 16.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Doncic over 42.5 points and rebounds (-118)

This is a massive total but Doncic is well equipped to clear it on Sunday.

The former Dallas Maverick has been balling for the Lakers and is well-rested heading into a solid matchup.

  • First six games with Lakers: 19.3 PPG, 9.7 RPG, 1-5 vs. this line
  • Last seven games with Lakers: 31.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 2-5 vs. this line

Doncic hasn’t cleared this mark regularly but is L.A.’s go-to scorer and will have increased rebounding opportunities with LeBron James, Rui Hachimura and Jaxson Hayes sidelined.

He’s recorded 12 and 11 boards in two games without LeBron while averaging 33.5 points.

The Suns allow the fifth-most rebounds and ninth-most points to PGs per game, according to Fantasy Pros, and Doncic has routinely killed the team that passed on him in the 2018 NBA Draft.

Key stat: Doncic is 8-2 against this line in his last 10 full games against the Suns, averaging 36.5 points and 8.5 rebounds.

Best NBA picks

Ball over 3.5 threes (-130): The great thing about betting on Ball’s 3-point total is you know he’s going to put up shots.

Charlotte’s point guard takes 11.5 threes per night, which would rank first in the NBA had he played enough games to qualify.

Since returning from a two-game injury absence on March 1, he’s been cashing in:

  • 4.0 makes/game
  • 11.1 attempts/game
  • 4-3 vs. this line

The Clippers have struggled to defend the perimeter since the all-star break, giving up the eighth-most 3s per game to point guards and ranking 20th in 3-point defence (36.5%).

Ball went 7-for-11 from deep his last time out.

Russell over 5.5 assists (-154): This is an A-plus matchup for D’Angelo Russell, who has steadily contributed as a facilitator since joining the Brooklyn Nets.

The point guard is averaging 5.7 assists per game with Brooklyn and has at least four assists in nine straight games. That gives us a solid baseline to work with.

Russell cleared this mark in three of his last four and plays an Atlanta Hawks team allowing the fifth-most assists per game to opposing PGs.

The Hawks play with the second-fastest pace in the NBA while the Nets play at the slowest pace, so it’ll be interesting to see who dictates the tempo of this contest.

In their first matchup this season, Atlanta won 120-116. If that many points are put up again, I like Russell’s chances of dishing out six assists.

NBA prop picks made at 10:15 a.m. ET on 03/16/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 16: Bet on Luka Doncic, LaMelo Ball and Dyson Daniels on Sunday

NBA prop bets

Point guards Luka Doncic and LaMelo Ball headline Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Doncic (calf) is listed as probable after sitting on Friday and I expect him to torch the Phoenix Suns. Ball, meanwhile, has a very attainable 3-point total against the Los Angeles Clippers.

Check out my top NBA prop bets for March 16.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Doncic over 40.5 points and rebounds (-124)

Embed: #111281

This is a massive total but Doncic is well equipped to clear it on Sunday.

The former Dallas Maverick has been balling for the Lakers and is well-rested heading into a solid matchup.

  • First six games with Lakers: 19.3 PPG, 9.7 RPG, 1-5 vs. this line
  • Last seven games with Lakers: 31.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 2-5 vs. this line

Doncic hasn’t cleared this mark regularly but is L.A.’s go-to scorer and will have increased rebounding opportunities with LeBron James, Rui Hachimura and Jaxson Hayes sidelined.

He’s recorded 12 and 11 boards in two games without LeBron while averaging 33.5 points.

The Suns allow the fifth-most rebounds and ninth-most points to PGs per game, according to Fantasy Pros, and Doncic has routinely killed the team that passed on him in the 2018 NBA Draft.

Key stat: Doncic is 8-2 against this line in his last 10 full games against the Suns, averaging 36.5 points and 8.5 rebounds.

Best NBA picks

Ball over 3.5 threes (-122): The great thing about betting on Ball’s 3-point total is you know he’s going to put up shots.

Charlotte’s point guard takes 11.5 threes per night, which would rank first in the NBA had he played enough games to qualify.

Since returning from a two-game injury absence on March 1, he’s been cashing in:

  • 4.0 makes/game
  • 11.1 attempts/game
  • 4-3 vs. this line

The Clippers have struggled to defend the perimeter since the all-star break, giving up the eighth-most 3s per game to point guards and ranking 20th in 3-point defence (36.5%).

Ball went 7-for-11 from deep his last time out.

Russell over 5.5 assists (-106): This is an A-plus matchup for D’Angelo Russell, who has steadily contributed as a facilitator since joining the Brooklyn Nets.

The point guard is averaging 5.7 assists per game with Brooklyn and has at least four assists in nine straight games. That gives us a solid baseline to work with.

Russell cleared this mark in three of his last four and plays an Atlanta Hawks team allowing the fifth-most assists per game to opposing PGs.

The Hawks play with the second-fastest pace in the NBA while the Nets play at the slowest pace, so it’ll be interesting to see who dictates the tempo of this contest.

In their first matchup this season, Atlanta won 120-116. If that many points are put up again, I like Russell’s chances of dishing out six assists.

NBA prop picks made at 10:15 a.m. ET on 03/16/2025.