The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings wrap up Thursday’s five-game NBA slate.
The pregame narrative: Golden State is 9-1 since the All-Star break and I want to get in on the action by teasing the home favourites down a few points. Prop bets on Steph Curry and DeMar DeRozan round out this wager.
Check out my Kings vs. Warriors SGP predictions for March 13.
Kings vs. Warriors predictions
Parlay: Warriors -3.5 | Curry over 26.5 points | DeRozan over 19.5 points (+295)
Warriors -3.5 (-225): After a slow start to the season, I was one of many who thought Golden State’s reign of terror was over. But you just can’t bury a team with Curry at the helm.
The Warriors were active at the trade deadline, acquiring Jimmy Butler from the Miami Heat, and that’s paid immediate dividends. Check out how the Dubs have done since the trade on Feb. 7:
- 12-2 record (9-5 ATS)
- +10.4 net rating (4th in NBA)
- 108.9 defensive rating (3rd in NBA)
Golden State has covered a -3.5 spread in 11 of those victories, including a 132-108 rout of the Kings on the road.
Sacramento is 5-5 in its last 10 but I’m not going to put much stock into its wins (Spurs, Mavericks, Jazz, Hornets, Rockets). Four of those five losses were by six-plus points.
NBA SGP legs
Curry over 26.5 points (-120): When Curry gets hot, look out.
The future Hall of Famer has been on fire since the All-Star break, averaging 29.5 points on 51.4/43.9/96.7 shooting splits.
He’s gone over 26.5 points in five of his last seven games, scoring 40 against the Brooklyn Nets and 52 against the Orlando Magic.
Sacramento has held point guards in check this season but Curry has performed well against his intrastate rival over the last few years, going 10-5 against this line in his last 15 games.
DeRozan over 19.5 points (-182): DeRozan lives right around this number.
- DeRozan is averaging 22.1 points.
- He’s scored 18+ points in 13 of his last 15 games.
- In that span, he’s scored 20+ points 10 times.
Golden State has the second-worst mid-range defence in the NBA (46.4%), and DeRozan ranks in the 100th percentile for mid-range shot frequency (72%), per Cleaning the Glass.
He scored 34 points against the Warriors on Feb. 21 and has cleared this mark in 36 of 59 games (61.0%) on the season.
Kings vs. Warriors predictions made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 03/13/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.