Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

Tigers vs. Blue Jays best bet May 17: Look for Bo Bichette to make noise

The Toronto Blue Jays look to even their three-game series against the Detroit Tigers on Saturday afternoon at Rogers Centre.

The pregame narrative: With a nail-biting win last night, the Tigers (30-15) are now in sole possession of the best record in baseball. Eric Lauer, who tossed 4.2 innings of one-hit ball last time out, will start the bullpen game for Toronto.

Check out my Blue Jays best bet vs. the Tigers on May 17, featuring Bo Bichette.

Blue Jays best bet vs. Tigers

Best Bet: Bichette over 1.5 bases (-106)

Bichette cashed this bet in the first inning yesterday, lining a 103.2-mph double off a Jack Flaherty slider.

Later on, Bichette skied a 109.4-mph home run into the left field corner on a changeup from Tommy Kahnle.

It’s been that kind of run for Bichette, who has homered in three of his past six games. And 10 of his past 13 balls in play have carried an exit velocity of 99 mph or above.

Bichette is 10-6 against this prop in his past 16 games, and I like Saturday’s matchup against Olson. Detroit’s starter works a three-pitch mix of sinkers, sliders and changeups to right-hitting players.

Against sinkers, sliders and changeups this season, Bichette has a .310/.330/.471 slash line in 87 at-bats.

Key stat: In his past seven games, Bichette is 11-for-27 (.407) with seven extra-base hits.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays best bet made at 11:50 a.m. ET on 05/17/2025.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays prop picks May 17: Look for Bo Bichette, Addison Barger to make noise

The Toronto Blue Jays look to even their three-game series against the Detroit Tigers on Saturday afternoon at Rogers Centre.

The pregame narrative: With a nail-biting win last night, the Tigers (30-15) are now in sole possession of the best record in baseball. Eric Lauer, who tossed 4.2 innings of one-hit ball last time out, will start the bullpen game for Toronto.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Tigers on May 17, featuring Bo Bichette and Addison Barger.

Blue Jays picks vs. Tigers

Best Bet: Barger over 0.5 hits (-132)

I’d be a bit wary about backing Barger in a lefty-on-lefty matchup, but that’s not what we’ll have this afternoon.

With Detroit right-hander Reese Olson on the mound, Barger looks like a no-brainer pick to me at this price.

This isn’t about Olson (4-3, 3.38 ERA), who sits right around league average in expected batting average allowed (.248, 49th percentile per Baseball Savant).

It’s about the fact that Barger is crushing the baseball with confidence right now.

Though he hasn’t had enough plate appearances to be a qualified hitter yet, Barger would rank in the league’s upper tier in a bunch of key categories:

.300 xBA
.509 xSLG
94.3 mph average exit velocity
51.9% hard-hit rate

For context, the league averages in those categories are .252 xBA, .423 xSLG, 89.5 mph exit velocity and 41.0% hard-hit rate.

Coming off back-to-back two-hit games, Barger is now 11-for-31 (.355) with a 1.089 OPS since May 8. He’s 6-2 against this prop in that span.

With the platoon advantage today, I fully expect the utility man to record a hit.

Key stat: Barger is batting 16-for-60 (.267) with an .800 OPS against right-handers this season.

Embed: #113882

Quick pick

Bichette over 1.5 bases (+105): Bichette cashed this bet in the first inning yesterday, lining a 103.2-mph double off a Jack Flaherty slider.

Later on, Bichette skied a 109.4-mph home run into the left field corner on a changeup from Tommy Kahnle.

It’s been that kind of run for Bichette, who has homered in three of his past six games. And 10 of his past 13 balls in play have carried an exit velocity of 99 mph or above.

Bichette is 10-6 against this prop in his past 16 games, and I like Saturday’s matchup against Olson. Detroit’s starter works a three-pitch mix of sinkers, sliders and changeups to right-hitting players.

Against sinkers, sliders and changeups this season, Bichette has a .310/.330/.471 slash line in 87 at-bats.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 05/17/2025.

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Angels vs. Dodgers prop picks May 16: Ohtani should continue to rake amid epic hot streak

It’s an all-L.A. showdown on Friday as the Dodgers host the Angels for the first time this season.

The pregame narrative: Shohei Ohtani isn’t back on an MLB mound yet, but he’s doing plenty of MVP-calibre stuff at the plate. Led by Ohtani, the NL-best Dodgers have scored 51 runs in their past six games.

Check out my Angels vs. Dodgers prop picks for May 16, featuring Ohtani and Luis Rengifo.

Angels vs. Dodgers prop picks

Best Bet: Ohtani over 2.5 bases (+105)

Which players could possibly entice me to bet the over on 2.5 bases? Ohtani, Aaron Judge … end of list.

Barely scraping into a plus-money price stings, but Ohtani has been that good in recent games.

Here’s what he’s accomplished since April 26:

.375 BA
.477 OBP
.931 SLG
67 bases (3.7/game)

Surely this is a fluky hot streak, right? Actually, no.

In that 18-game span, Ohtani’s expected slash line — based on Baseball Savant’s batted-ball data — is .397/.479/.977.

Somehow, that’s better across the board.

Stepping in the line of fire tonight is Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz (2-5, 5.23 ERA), who has never had the misfortune of facing Ohtani. But I have an idea of how it might go.

Kochanowicz has allowed a .527 SLG against left-hitting players this year. He throws four-seamers, sinkers and sliders to lefties roughly 90% of the time.

Ohtani is slugging .643 or better against each of those pitch types this season.

Taking the over on a 2.5-base prop is difficult to stomach, but there are a ton of compelling reasons why I like it tonight.

Key stat: Ohtani has gone over 2.5 bases in 12 of his past 18 games.

Prop predictions

Rengifo under 0.5 hits (+110): The switch-hitting Rengifo hasn’t been productive from either side of the plate, batting .209 with a measly .533 OPS.

Now he faces right-hander Dustin May, who has held lefties to a .196 BA this year (18-for-92 with 22 Ks).

Rengifo doesn’t strike out or walk much, but his contact quality has been consistently poor.

He ranks in the 20th percentile or worse in barrel rate, xSLG, hard-hit rate and average exit velocity.

Rengifo is hitless in 7 of his past 10 games, posting a .118/.211/.147 slash line in that span.

May has dominated lefty hitters this year, and he’s held Rengifo hitless in two previous plate appearances.

Angels vs. Dodgers prop picks made at 2:40 p.m. ET on 05/16/2025.

Juan Soto props for superstar’s return to Yankee Stadium: Bet on Mets outfielder to score in Bronx

After one magical year with the New York Yankees, Juan Soto returns to the Bronx on Friday night for the first time as a member of the crosstown Mets.

The pregame narrative: Soto was the second runner-up in AL MVP voting last year, and he posted a 1.101 OPS in 14 playoff games to help the Yankees reach the World Series. He’s on an all-star-calibre pace with his new club, but the Yankees — No. 2 in MLB in runs per game — are doing fine without him.

Check out these Juan Soto props for the May 16 matchup against the Yankees.

Juan Soto props vs. Yankees

Soto markets	Betting odds
Over 0.5 hits	-200
Under 0.5 hits	+137
Over 1.5 bases	+130
Under 1.5 bases	-188
Over 0.5 runs	-112
Under 0.5 runs	-125
To record an RBI	+155
To hit a double	+475
To hit a home run	+295

Juan Soto prop odds as of 2:35 p.m. ET on 05/16/2025.

Best Soto prop bet

Best Bet: Over 0.5 runs (-112)

At +130, Soto over 1.5 bases is a tempting proposition. But his 98th-percentile walk rate (17.2%), per Baseball Savant, gives me pause.

I expect Soto to find his way on base one way or another, which is why his runs prop is where I’ve chosen to land for my best bet.

Soto, last year’s AL runs leader (128), has 1+ runs in 24 of 43 games. That’s a 55.8% success rate, which exceeds the 53.5% implied probability of this prop.

In May, Soto is 8-4 against this prop while posting a 1.077 OPS.

Soto hasn’t powered up as much as usual this year. His .465 SLG is tracking to be the second-lowest of his eight-year career. That still ranks 50th among 166 qualified hitters, though.

And Soto’s batted-ball quality suggests greater things are coming.

According to Baseball Savant, his xSLG is .616. That 151-point discrepancy is tied for the sixth-largest in the majors.

So when he’s not drawing walks, Soto is plenty capable of swinging his way into scoring position.

On Friday, he’ll face Carlos Rodon in a lefty-on-lefty matchup. That wouldn’t be ideal for most hitters … but Soto isn’t most hitters.

In 271 plate appearances vs. LHPs since the start of last season, Soto has a .290/.428/.542 slash line (176 wRC+). He is, simply, matchup-proof.

Key stat: Soto has reached base at least twice in nine of 12 games this month.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays prop picks May 16: Look for Detroit’s Greene to get to Francis

The American League-leading Detroit Tigers are in Toronto on Friday night to face the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

The pregame narrative: Bowden Francis (2-5, 5.40 ERA) worked a quality start in his most recent outing, but it’ll likely be an uphill battle tonight against a Tigers team that is 15-5 in its past 20 games.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Tigers on May 16, featuring Francis, Jack Flaherty and Riley Greene.

Blue Jays picks vs. Tigers

Best Bet: Flaherty over 16.5 outs (-110)

The Tigers are one of the best early-season stories in baseball, as they’ve built off an unlikely postseason run from last year and currently own MLB’s best record (tied with the Dodgers).

Flaherty, who began 2024 with Detroit before getting traded, hasn’t done much to help the team the second time around.

In fact, he’s 0-5 in his past five starts, allowing 19 runs on 28 hits in that span (6.66 ERA).

This might seem like a good spot to fade him, but I’m going to zag because Flaherty is still seeing a decent innings workload despite his struggles.

He’s pitched into the sixth inning or deeper in 6 of 8 starts.

He’s averaging 15.4 outs per start.

In 18 starts with the Tigers last year (prior to the deadline deal to L.A.), Flaherty averaged 17.8 outs and went 15-3 against this prop line.

When he’s in a groove, I know Tigers manager A.J. Hinch trusts him to eat innings.

Toronto’s offence has been fine — 13th in wRC+ (101), 22nd in runs per game (3.98) — but not overpowering.

And though Detroit was off yesterday, its two best relievers had thrown on back-to-back days before that. Some length from Flaherty would be welcomed, and I think the Tigers will get it.

Key stat: Flaherty has held Toronto’s active lineup to 10-for-57 (.175) hitting with a .298 SLG and 20 Ks.

Quick pick

Greene over 1.5 bases (-108): Greene is red hot right now, and he’ll have a platoon advantage against a struggling pitcher on Friday night.

In his past 19 games, Greene has averaged 2.6 bases while posting a .342/.400/.671 slash line.

Greene, who bats from the left side, has a .921 OPS vs. right-handed pitchers this year.

Toronto’s Francis has allowed 28 hits and a .663 SLG in his past four starts (18.2 innings).

Greene’s weakness is that he’s a relatively high strikeout guy, with a 19th-percentile K rate, per Baseball Savant.

But Francis only has a 19th-percentile K rate as a pitcher — to go with a fifth-percentile xBA and xERA — so I’m not worried about him mowing Greene down.

Francis under 16.5 outs (-118): Francis is 4-4 against this outs prop, and I’ll gladly lean on the side of the under in a matchup like this.

Detroit is likely to deploy five or six lefties in its lineup tonight, creating plenty of mismatches for the struggling Francis.

Handedness isn’t a trump card in its own right, but keep in mind that the Tigers have wielded a superb offence so far this season. They rank third in runs per game (5.55) and wRC+ (117).

Francis has a 6.25 xERA while allowing a .311 xBA. He’s also in the 20th percentile or worse in K rate, chase rate, hard-hit rate, barrel rate and ground-ball rate. Woof.

Not a single Jays reliever has pitched on back-to-back days entering Friday, so there should be ample options to look to if Detroit starts roughing up Francis.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 05/16/2025.

Angels vs. Dodgers prop picks May 16: Ohtani should continue to rake amid epic hot streak

It’s an all-L.A. showdown on Friday as the Dodgers host the Angels for the first time this season.

The pregame narrative: Shohei Ohtani isn’t back on an MLB mound yet, but he’s doing plenty of MVP-calibre stuff at the plate. Led by Ohtani, the NL-best Dodgers have scored 51 runs in their past six games.

Check out my Angels vs. Dodgers prop picks for May 16, featuring Ohtani and Luis Rengifo.

Angels vs. Dodgers prop picks

Best Bet: Ohtani over 2.5 bases (-103)

Which players could possibly entice me to bet the over on 2.5 bases? Ohtani, Aaron Judge … end of list.

Not even getting plus money on this prop stings, but Ohtani has been that good in recent games.

Here’s what he’s accomplished since April 26:

.375 BA
.477 OBP
.931 SLG
67 bases (3.7/game)

Surely this is a fluky hot streak, right? Actually, no.

In that 18-game span, Ohtani’s expected slash line — based on Baseball Savant’s batted-ball data — is .397/.479/.977.

Somehow, that’s better across the board.

Stepping in the line of fire tonight is Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz (2-5, 5.23 ERA), who has never had the misfortune of facing Ohtani. But I have an idea of how it might go.

Kochanowicz has allowed a .527 SLG against left-hitting players this year. He throws four-seamers, sinkers and sliders to lefties roughly 90% of the time.

Ohtani is slugging .643 or better against each of those pitch types this season.

Taking the over on a 2.5-base prop is difficult to stomach, but there are a ton of compelling reasons why I like it tonight.

Key stat: Ohtani has gone over 2.5 bases in 12 of his past 18 games.

Embed: #113858

Prop predictions

Rengifo under 0.5 hits (+108): The switch-hitting Rengifo hasn’t been productive from either side of the plate, batting .209 with a measly .533 OPS.

Now he faces right-hander Dustin May, who has held lefties to a .196 BA this year (18-for-92 with 22 Ks).

Rengifo doesn’t strike out or walk much, but his contact quality has been consistently poor.

He ranks in the 20th percentile or worse in barrel rate, xSLG, hard-hit rate and average exit velocity.

Rengifo is hitless in 7 of his past 10 games, posting a .118/.211/.147 slash line in that span.

May has dominated lefty hitters this year, and he’s held Rengifo hitless in two previous plate appearances.

Angels vs. Dodgers prop picks made at 2:10 p.m. ET on 05/16/2025.

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Juan Soto props for superstar’s return to Yankee Stadium: Bet on Mets outfielder to score in Bronx

After one magical year with the New York Yankees, Juan Soto returns to the Bronx on Friday night for the first time as a member of the crosstown Mets.

The pregame narrative: Soto was the second runner-up in AL MVP voting last year, and he posted a 1.101 OPS in 14 playoff games to help the Yankees reach the World Series. He’s on an all-star-calibre pace with his new club, but the Yankees — No. 2 in MLB in runs per game — are doing fine without him.

Check out these Juan Soto props for the May 16 matchup against the Yankees.

Juan Soto props vs. Yankees

Soto markets	Betting odds
Over 0.5 hits	-180
Under 0.5 hits	+138
Over 1.5 bases	+130
Under 1.5 bases	-182
Over 0.5 runs	-115
Under 0.5 runs	-118
To record an RBI	+170
To hit a double	+440
To hit a home run	+335

Juan Soto prop odds as of 11:15 a.m. ET on 05/16/2025.

Best Soto prop bet

Best Bet: Over 0.5 runs (-115)

Embed: #113851

At +130, Soto over 1.5 bases is a tempting proposition. But his 98th-percentile walk rate (17.2%), per Baseball Savant, gives me pause.

I expect Soto to find his way on base one way or another, which is why his runs prop is where I’ve chosen to land for my best bet.

Soto, last year’s AL runs leader (128), has 1+ runs in 24 of 43 games. That’s a 55.8% success rate, which exceeds the 53.5% implied probability of this prop.

In May, Soto is 8-4 against this prop while posting a 1.077 OPS.

Soto hasn’t powered up as much as usual this year. His .465 SLG is tracking to be the second-lowest of his eight-year career. That still ranks 50th among 166 qualified hitters, though.

And Soto’s batted-ball quality suggests greater things are coming.

According to Baseball Savant, his xSLG is .616. That 151-point discrepancy is tied for the sixth-largest in the majors.

So when he’s not drawing walks, Soto is plenty capable of swinging his way into scoring position.

On Friday, he’ll face Carlos Rodon in a lefty-on-lefty matchup. That wouldn’t be ideal for most hitters … but Soto isn’t most hitters.

In 271 plate appearances vs. LHPs since the start of last season, Soto has a .290/.428/.542 slash line (176 wRC+). He is, simply, matchup-proof.

Key stat: Soto has reached base at least twice in nine of 12 games this month.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays prop picks May 16: Look for Detroit’s Greene to get to Francis

The American League-leading Detroit Tigers are in Toronto on Friday night to face the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

The pregame narrative: Bowden Francis (2-5, 5.40 ERA) worked a quality start in his most recent outing, but it’ll likely be an uphill battle tonight against a Tigers team that is 15-5 in its past 20 games.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Tigers on May 16, featuring Francis, Jack Flaherty and Riley Greene.

Blue Jays picks vs. Tigers

Best Bet: Flaherty over 15.5 outs (-120)

The Tigers are one of the best early-season stories in baseball, as they’ve built off an unlikely postseason run from last year and currently own MLB’s best record (tied with the Dodgers).

Flaherty, who began 2024 with Detroit before getting traded, hasn’t done much to help the team the second time around.

In fact, he’s 0-5 in his past five starts, allowing 19 runs on 28 hits in that span (6.66 ERA).

This might seem like a good spot to fade him, but I’m going to zag because Flaherty is still seeing a decent innings workload despite his struggles.

He’s pitched into the sixth inning or deeper in 6 of 8 starts.

He’s averaging 15.4 outs per start.

In 18 starts with the Tigers last year (prior to the deadline deal to L.A.), Flaherty averaged 17.8 outs and went 15-3 against this prop line.

When he’s in a groove, I know Tigers manager A.J. Hinch trusts him to eat innings.

Toronto’s offence has been fine — 13th in wRC+ (101), 22nd in runs per game (3.98) — but not overpowering.

And though Detroit was off yesterday, its two best relievers had thrown on back-to-back days before that. Some length from Flaherty would be welcomed, and I think the Tigers will get it.

Key stat: Flaherty has held Toronto’s active lineup to 10-for-57 (.175) hitting with a .298 SLG and 20 Ks.

Embed: #113839

Quick pick

Greene over 1.5 bases (+100): Greene is red hot right now, and he’ll have a platoon advantage against a struggling pitcher on Friday night.

In his past 19 games, Greene has averaged 2.6 bases while posting a .342/.400/.671 slash line.

Greene, who bats from the left side, has a .921 OPS vs. right-handed pitchers this year.

Toronto’s Francis has allowed 28 hits and a .663 SLG in his past four starts (18.2 innings).

Greene’s weakness is that he’s a relatively high strikeout guy, with a 19th-percentile K rate, per Baseball Savant.

But Francis only has a 19th-percentile K rate as a pitcher — to go with a fifth-percentile xBA and xERA — so I’m not worried about him mowing Greene down.

Francis under 16.5 outs (-112): Francis is 4-4 against this outs prop, and I’ll gladly lean on the side of the under in a matchup like this.

Detroit is likely to deploy five or six lefties in its lineup tonight, creating plenty of mismatches for the struggling Francis.

Handedness isn’t a trump card in its own right, but keep in mind that the Tigers have wielded a superb offence so far this season. They rank third in runs per game (5.55) and wRC+ (117).

Francis has a 6.25 xERA while allowing a .311 xBA. He’s also in the 20th percentile or worse in K rate, chase rate, hard-hit rate, barrel rate and ground-ball rate. Woof.

Not a single Jays reliever has pitched on back-to-back days entering Friday, so there should be ample options to look to if Detroit starts roughing up Francis.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 05/16/2025.

Celtics vs. Knicks prop picks Game 6: Back Jalen Brunson, Derrick White at MSG

Back home for Game 6, the New York Knicks look to close out their second-round series against the Boston Celtics.

The pregame narrative: Jalen Brunson has been a bit up-and-down as a scorer in this series, but his assist totals have remained rather steady. His Knicks are 2.5-point favourites to knock out the defending champions.

Check out my Celtics vs. Knicks prop picks featuring Brunson and Derrick White in Game 6 on May 16.

Celtics vs. Knicks prop picks

Best Bet: White over 20.5 points (-120)

Needing a win at home to keep their season alive, the Celtics turned their offence over to White and let him cook.

The result? A 34-point explosion that featured 7-of-13 shooting from 3-point range.

The Celtics are committed to shooting a ton of 3s, and White is their top option out there. He’s attempted 57 threes through five games in this series and seems like a lock for double-digit shot attempts from outside again — especially with Jayson Tatum sidelined.

White wasn’t just a menace on the perimeter in Game 5, though. He also went 9-for-11 from the free-throw line.

The combo guard has now faced the Knicks nine times this season. He’s averaging 20.8 PPG while scoring 17-plus points in eight of nine.

Tatum’s absence makes a significant difference, as it directly opens the door for White to get more shots up. We saw that in Game 5, and I’m counting on the same story playing out Friday.

Key stat: Since March, White has averaged 23.3 PPG in seven games without Tatum. He’s shooting 42.0% from 3-point range on 11.6 attempts per game in those matchups.

Game 6 prop prediction

Brunson over 6.5 assists (-143): Boston has allowed the fewest assists per game during the playoffs after allowing the third-fewest during the regular season. So why do I like this over for Brunson?

Well, clearing a 6.5-assist total just doesn’t seem like a huge ask for a guy who’s clearly his team’s No. 1 facilitator.

Brunson leads the Knicks in assists (7.8/game) and potential assists (12.9/game) during the postseason.

He has 5+ assists in all 11 playoff games … and 7+ assists in 9 of 11

Friday marks Brunson’s fourth game at Madison Square Garden against the Celtics since April. In the previous three, he collected 29 assists and went 3-0 against this prop.

Celtics vs. Knicks prop picks made at 4:08 p.m. ET 05/15/2025.

Best MLB prop bets May 15: Fade Hunter Brown, bet on Freddie Freeman to continue mashing

There are only two night games on Thursday, but I’ve got three MLB prop bets to cover the action.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Hunter Brown and Jacob deGrom meet up in the Lone Star State for what should be a pitcher’s duel, but Brown has had so-so results against Texas in the past. Later on, Freddie Freeman looks to continue mashing against a pitcher with mediocre-at-best stuff.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for May 15, featuring Wyatt Langford.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Langford over 0.5 runs (+125)

There were some bumps in the road during Langford’s rookie season, but he still turned in a 111 OPS+ season thanks to a stellar final month.

The 2023 fourth-overall draftee has built on that nicely, posting a .262/.349/.500 slash line (142 OPS+) so far in Year 2.

From the No. 2 spot in the Rangers’ lineup, Langford has the power, patience and speed to be a constant threat to score (rankings via Baseball Savant):

81st-percentile xSLG
76th-percentile walk rate
90th-percentile sprint speed

Astros starter Hunter Brown (6-1, 1.48 ERA) is on a tear, and that doesn’t help our cause. But if anyone on the Rangers is going to break through, I’m expecting it to be Langford.

Especially since there are a couple of hitters behind Langford who’ve succeeded against Brown in the past.

Adolis Garcia and Marcus Semien, who bat fourth and fifth for the Rangers, are 17-for-34 (.500) with two home runs and a double vs. Brown.

Key stat: Langford has scored six runs in his past five games and cashed this bet in six of his past 10.

Best MLB picks

Brown under 6.5 Ks (-138): It’s really tough to fade Brown based on the run he’s enjoying right now. But I think the buck stops here.

Brown has tallied nine strikeouts in four consecutive outings and is averaging 7.3 Ks per start so far.

But now he’s facing a Rangers squad that has been impressively stingy in the strikeout department — especially against Brown.

Texas’ active lineup only has 15 Ks in 99 plate appearances vs. Brown (15.2 K%).

Over the past two weeks, the Rangers have the third-lowest K rate in MLB (19.1%).

Brown went under 6.5 Ks in all three starts against Texas last season. He’s 13-8 to this under in 21 road starts since the beginning of 2024.

Freeman over 1.5 bases (-106): One of the many things to love about Freeman’s start to the season is that he’s mashing everything. No pitch group is spared.

Fastballs: .409 BA, .727 SLG
Breaking: .278 BA, .694 SLG
Off-speed: .400 BA, .700 SLG

How do you attack this guy? I haven’t figured that out, nor have most MLB pitchers.

Athletics righty Osvaldo Bido will try his hand tonight. He’s had a rough go in his past four outings, allowing a collective .286/.344/.631 slash line to opposing hitters.

Bido throws all three fastball types to lefties a combined 60.7% of the time. LHHs are batting .302 with a .558 SLG against those offerings.

Freeman has proven he can hit anything, but fastballs seem to be the preferred choice. He’s gone over 1.5 bases in 17 of 32 games so far this year.

MLB prop picks made at 2:30 p.m. ET on 05/15/2025