Jordan Horrobin

Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.

Alex Ovechkin odds to score goal No. 895 vs. Islanders: Betting lines to pass Wayne Gretzky for all-time NHL record 

Alex Ovechkin goal odds

Alex Ovechkin just needs one more. His quest to stand alone as the NHL’s all-time leading goal scorer could end on Sunday against the New York Islanders.

The pregame narrative: Ovechkin potted two goals on Friday night at home against the Chicago Blackhawks, bringing his career goal total (894) even with Wayne Gretzky. Is today the day Ovi passes the Great One for good?

Check out our Alex Ovechkin goal odds for the April 6 matchup vs. the Islanders.

Alex Ovechkin goal odds

MarketOdds
Over 0.5 goals-108
Under 0.5 goals-130

Alex Ovechkin goal odds as of 10:30 a.m. on 04/06/2025.

Gretzky’s 894 career NHL goals came in 1,487 games.

Ovechkin, sitting at 894 career goals as well, can set the record on Sunday in his 1,487th game.

That’s only possible because of the latest rampage the Russian superstar has been on this month:

  • 1+ goals in four straight games
  • 11 goals in March (17 games)

Ovechkin has -108 odds to score, which seems reasonable based on his track record this season. He has scored in 55.0% of games (33 of 60), while the implied probability on this line is 51.9%.

It might be worth considering how Ovechkin wants to break the record, though.

He’s already made it clear he doesn’t want to score the 895th goal on an empty net. Would he be satisfied breaking the record on the road rather than in front of a home crowd?

That might be overthinking things a bit, but the Caps do play two of three at home after Sunday’s matchup on Long Island.

Assuming Ovechkin is in go-mode as long as a goalie is in the crease, the Islanders look like a good matchup for him.

In their past 25 games, the Isles have allowed the ninth-most goals per 60 (3.40) as well as the second-most xGA/60 (3.45), per Natural Stat Trick.

Ovechkin hasn’t had much recent success against New York, but he also hasn’t faced the division foe all year.

Key stat: Ovechkin has only scored in one of his past seven games against the Islanders (since January 2023).

Florida vs. Houston March Madness national championship odds: Gators are slight favourites to win 2025 NCAA title

March Madness odds

After a pair of epic Final Four matchups on Saturday, the stage is set for Monday’s March Madness national championship.

The latest: The No. 1 Florida Gators face the No. 1 Houston Cougars in what practically equates to a pick’em. Houston is a slight underdog despite its stunning comeback win over tourney favourite Duke in the semifinal.

Check out the latest March Madness odds for the 2025 national championship on April 7.

March Madness odds

Check out the latest odds to win March Madness. Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.

Embed: #112172

Best odds to win March Madness

The favourites: Florida Gators (-114)

The all-chalk Final Four delivered, with a pair of 1-vs.-1 matchups that went right down to the wire.

First up was Florida over Auburn in a battle between the two best teams from NCAA Division I’s best conference.

The Gators trailed by as many as nine early in the second half. Then Walter Clayton Jr. took over.

Clayton finished with 34 points on 11-of-18 shooting (5-for-8 from 3-point range). His shooting numbers since the start of the SEC tournament are off the charts:

  • 23.1 PPG
  • 49.1 FG%
  • 49.2 3PT%
  • 90.4 FT%

Everyone in San Antonio’s Alamodome on Monday will know that he’s the man to stop. But his ability to create off-balance shots — and his confidence to shoot from wherever, whenever — means he’s a threat at all times.

Florida is 15-4 in Quad 1 matchups, according to BartTorvik.com, with a 28-1 record in home or neutral games.

March Madness odds: The underdogs

Houston Cougars (-106)

It’s probably not fair to call Houston an underdog given how tight the odds are.

Also, both KenPom.com and BartTorvik.com project the Cougars to win outright.

That has a lot to do with Houston’s stifling defence, which ranks No. 1 in the country in scoring (58.5 PPG) and efficiency.

Nobody in the Cougars’ rotation is taller than 6-foot-8, while the Gators have three rotational bigs standing 6-foot-9 and above. But the scrappiness of Houston makes up for its vertical shortcomings.

And coming off a shocker over Duke, this is a tough squad to bet against.

Houston will want a rock fight, but if it needs buckets, LJ Cryer is the guy to watch.

Cryer played every minute against Duke, canning 6-of-9 threes in a 26-point performance. He paced the Big 12 this year with a 42.7 3PT%.

Betting notes

  • Florida is 28-11-0 ATS, per Team Rankings, covering by an average of 5.1 points per game. Also, overs are 10-1 for the Gators since the beginning of March.
  • Houston enters on an 18-game win streak. Unders are 9-3-1 in Cougars games since Feb. 22.
  • Neither team has any reported injuries entering the national championship game as of Sunday morning.

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Alex Ovechkin odds to score goal No. 895 vs. Islanders: Betting lines to pass Wayne Gretzky for all-time NHL record 

Alex Ovechkin goal odds

Alex Ovechkin just needs one more. His quest to stand alone as the NHL’s all-time leading goal scorer could end on Sunday against the New York Islanders.

The pregame narrative: Ovechkin potted two goals on Friday night at home against the Chicago Blackhawks, bringing his career goal total (894) even with Wayne Gretzky. Is today the day Ovi passes the Great One for good?

Check out our Alex Ovechkin goal odds for the April 6 matchup vs. the Islanders.

Alex Ovechkin goal odds

Embed: #112171

Gretzky’s 894 career NHL goals came in 1,487 games.

Ovechkin, sitting at 894 career goals as well, can set the record on Sunday in his 1,487th game.

That’s only possible because of the latest rampage the Russian superstar has been on this month:

  • 1+ goals in four straight games
  • 11 goals in March (17 games)

Ovechkin has -115 odds to score, which seems reasonable based on his track record this season. He has scored in 55.0% of games (33 of 60), while the implied probability on this line is 53.5%.

It might be worth considering how Ovechkin wants to break the record, though.

He’s already made it clear he doesn’t want to score the 895th goal on an empty net. Would he be satisfied breaking the record on the road rather than in front of a home crowd?

That might be overthinking things a bit, but the Caps do play two of three at home after Sunday’s matchup on Long Island.

Assuming Ovechkin is in go-mode as long as a goalie is in the crease, the Islanders look like a good matchup for him.

In their past 25 games, the Isles have allowed the ninth-most goals per 60 (3.40) as well as the second-most xGA/60 (3.45), per Natural Stat Trick.

Ovechkin hasn’t had much recent success against New York, but he also hasn’t faced the division foe all year.

Key stat: Ovechkin has only scored in one of his past seven games against the Islanders (since January 2023).

Ovechkin goal odds: Method of the record-breaker

MethodOdds
Even strength-335
Power play+200
Shorthanded+5,000
Doesn’t score No. 895 in ’24-25 regular season+5,000

With six Washington Capitals games left on the schedule, it’s highly unlikely that Ovechkin finishes the year empty-handed.

And although he’s the NHL’s all-team leader in power-play goals (324), it’s fair to see his even strength odds sitting at a much shorter price.

After all, the grand majority of Ovi’s ice time will come at even strength. And only 12 of his 41 goals this season happened on the power play.

Record-breaking goal odds: Opposing team

TeamOdds
New York Islanders-200
Carolina Hurricanes+300
Columbus Blue Jackets+350
Pittsburgh Penguins+4,000
Doesn’t score No. 895 in ’24-25 regular season+5,000

The Islanders are obvious favourites in this market, and not just because Ovechkin faces them on Sunday.

If he doesn’t score today, the winger will see New York again next Tuesday (April 15) back on Long Island.

There are three additional games between now and April 15, though: vs. Hurricanes, at Blue Jackets and vs. Blue Jackets.

Washington’s regular season finale, on April 17, is on the road against the Penguins. But it’s a long shot to think the record will remain unbroken by then.

Alex Ovechkin goal odds as of 9:10 a.m. on 04/06/2025.

Duke vs. Houston Final Four SGP predictions: Fade offence, bet on Khaman Maluach in +350 parlay

Duke vs. Houston predictions

The second entrant into the March Madness national championship game comes down to Saturday’s matchup between the Duke Blue Devils and Houston Cougars.

The pregame narrative: In a battle of 1-seeds, it’s tough to find an edge. Instead of picking a side, I like the alt under between two elite defences. This +350 SGP also features props on Khaman Maluach and J’Wan Roberts.

Check out my Duke vs. Houston SGP predictions for their Final Four matchup on April 5.

Duke vs. Houston predictions

BOOST: Duke -4.5, under 137.5 points, Flagg 20+ points (+633). Bet now

•BOOST: Florida ML, Clayton Jr. & Broome 20+ points each (+578). Bet now

Parlay: Under 140.5 points | Maluach over 7.5 points | Roberts 6+ rebounds (+350)

Embed: #112130

Under 140.5 points (-155): I already touted this pick in a different Final Four parlay, and I’m bullish enough on it to double down.

Among all 364 NCAA Division I schools, Duke and Houston rank No. 1 and 2, respectively, in opponent effective field goal percentage.

Houston is also No. 1 in scoring defence (58.3 points/game) while playing at the fifth-slowest pace in the country, per KenPom.com.

Since Feb. 15, 12 of Houston’s 14 games have gone under this total.

In last year’s NCAA tournament, Houston and Duke squared off in the Elite Eight — and the Blue Devils won a rock fight, 54-51.

Duke is a much different squad now, but Houston has four starters from that game back in action. I expect a slow pace in which two heavyweight foes take their time throwing punches.

BartTorvik.com projects just 129 points in Saturday’s game.

NCAA SGP legs

Maluach over 7.5 points (-177): Houston’s stout defence is built on feisty guard play — not elite size.

In fact, not a single player on the roster is taller than 6-foot-8. Size isn’t everything, but I do think the 7-foot-2 Maluach has an advantage the Blue Devils will want to exploit.

The South Sudan native has started all 38 of Duke’s games as a freshman, and he’s really been coming into his own in postseason play.

  • 11.6 PPG
  • 8+ points in 7 of 7 games
  • 81.8 FG%
  • 87.5 FT%

Gonzaga’s Graham Ike (6-foot-9) and Purdue’s Trey Kaufman-Renn (6-foot-9) both cruised past this number against Houston in previous tourney rounds.

Roberts 6+ rebounds (-210): Although Houston lacks size, someone on the Cougars will be bringing in rebounds. And Roberts is the man for the job.

  • The fifth-year senior paces the team with 6.3 rebounds per game.
  • He has 6+ rebounds in 22 of 35 games this season.

In the Elite Eight, Roberts only grabbed two boards. But he also only played 16 minutes, due to foul trouble plus the fact that it was a blowout.

Roberts typically plays 30-plus minutes, so he’ll have plenty of opportunities. He had eight rebounds against Duke in last year’s tournament.

Duke vs. Houston predictions made at 1:00 p.m. on 04/04/25

March Madness Final Four parlay predictions: Bet on Florida to win, Duke’s Knueppel to score

March Madness parlay predictions

The top four teams are the only ones left standing in March Madness.

The pregame narrative: In Saturday’s first best-on-best battle, I’m riding with the Florida Gators to topple the Auburn Tigers straight up. As for the second game, Kon Knueppel should fill the net even in a defence-first matchup.

Check out my March Madness parlay predictions for the Final Four on Saturday, April 5.

March Madness parlay predictions

BOOST: Duke -4.5, under 137.5 points, Flagg 20+ points (+633). Bet now

•BOOST: Florida ML, Clayton Jr. & Broome 20+ points each (+578). Bet now

Parlay: Florida ML | Duke/Houston under 140.5 points | Knueppel over 12.5 points (+370)

Embed: #112076

Florida ML (-148): Back in February, a shorthanded Florida team traveled to Auburn as an 11-point underdog and won, 90-81.

The Gators didn’t have second-leading scorer Alijah Martin (14.5 PPG) that day, but it didn’t matter.

Since then, Florida has rattled off 10 straight wins, which includes running the table at the SEC tournament — arguably as impressive as winning March Madness would be.

Florida and Auburn both rank in the top 10 in offensive and defensive efficiency, per KenPom.com, and they both have game-breaking stars (Walter Clayton Jr. and Johni Broome, respectively).

To me, the edge lies in the fact that the Gators earned a relatively comfortable road win against the Tigers already this year, and that it came without Martin.

Florida is 31-2 SU as a favourite. With Martin back, I expect another win for the Gators.

College basketball parlay picks

Duke/Houston under 140.5 points (-155): Duke and Houston rank No. 1 and 2 in NCAA Division I, respectively, in opponent effective field goal percentage.

It’s going to be difficult to buy buckets on Saturday night.

Duke has elite size and can clog up the paint. Given that Houston doesn’t shoot a ton of 3s (273rd in D-I in attempts), that will make for some tough sledding.

Also, the Cougars play at the fifth-slowest pace in the country, and they allow the fewest PPG (58.3). They’ve gone under this total in 12 of 14 games since Feb. 15.

KenPom projects a 132-point total in this matchup. BartTorvik.com projects a 129-point total.

Knueppel over 12.5 points (-177): Although I’m fading offence as a whole in the Houston vs. Duke game, I think a teased-down total for Knueppel is well within reach.

  • Knueppel is averaging 14.4 PPG this season.
  • He has 13+ points in 25 of 38 games.
  • He scored 20+ points in the Sweet 16 (vs. Arizona) and Elite Eight (vs. Alabama).

Cooper Flagg isn’t the only NBA lottery-bound freshman in Duke’s starting lineup. And while opposing teams do their best to slow down the projected No. 1 pick, Knueppel is talented enough to take advantage.

Through four March Madness games, Knueppel is averaging 14.8 PPG on 53.1% shooting (with a 90.0 FT% and 7-for-13 shooting beyond the arc).

March Madness parlay predictions made at 3:35 p.m. ET 04/02/2025.

March Madness Final Four odds, schedule and betting notes: Houston, Auburn are underdogs in powerhouse battles

Final Four odds

Only the biggest names remain at the Final Four of the 2025 men’s NCAA tournament. It’s an almost unprecedented extent of heavyweight power.

The latest: All four No. 1 seeds are alive at the Final Four for just the second time in 45 years. The previous all-chalk iteration was 2008. Neither matchup is a pick’em, though, with the Duke Blue Devils and Florida Gators favoured to advance.

Check out the latest Final Four odds for the March Madness semifinal games on Saturday, April 5.

Final Four odds

BOOST: Duke -4.5, under 137.5 points, Flagg 20+ points (+633). Bet now

•BOOST: Florida ML, Clayton Jr. & Broome 20+ points each (+578). Bet now

Matchup: Florida Gators vs. Auburn Tigers
Date: Saturday, April 5: 6:09 p.m. ET

Embed: #112061

Matchup: Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils
Date: Saturday, April 5: 8:49 p.m. ET

Embed: #112062

Final Four betting insights

  • Florida was an underdog when it previously faced Auburn, and that turned into a 90-81 road win for the Gators. Five Florida players finished in double figures in that Feb. 8 matchup.

    Florida is 7-3 ATS in March and has the best overall ATS record of the remaining teams (27-11).
  • Auburn is 3-1 ATS during March Madness and has won three of its four games by 12+ points. The Tigers have already faced all three of their Final Four contemporaries: Florida (90-81 L), Duke (84-78 L), and Houston (74-69 W).

    Also, unders are 5-1 in the Tigers’ past six games.
  • Houston surely has vengeance on the mind after losing to Duke, 54-51, in last year’s Sweet 16. Aside from losing Jamal Shead to the NBA, this Cougars squad is largely the same as last year (eighth in minutes continuity, per KenPom.com).

    Houston is on a 17-game win streak, and its opponent scored fewer than 70 points in 16 of those games.
  • Duke has been dominant so far, as many expected. The Blue Devils have three wins of 20+ points, as well as a seven-point win over Arizona in which they never trailed after the first six minutes.

    Cooper Flagg is doing his part, but he’s not alone. Kon Knueppel has back-to-back 20-point games, while Tyrese Proctor has scored at least 15 points in three of four matchups.

IPL betting odds and cricket schedule April 5-6: Sunrisers favoured to snap slump vs. Titans

IPL cricket odds

A weekend’s worth of Indian Premier League action is coming up, with three matchups on the slate for Saturday and Sunday morning.

There are two unbeaten IPL squads left in the 10-team field, and both are in action this weekend — but only one is favoured.

Check out our IPL cricket odds for the trio of matchups on April 5-6.

IPL cricket odds

Sunrisers Hyderabad (-125) vs. Gujarat Titans (+100)
Date: April 6 at 10 a.m.

After a win in their opening match, the Sunrisers have dropped three in a row and sit at the bottom of the 10-team IPL table.

Given that Hyderabad finished second in the league last year, the club has quite a hole to climb out of. The Sunrisers are also coming off their worst performance of the young season: an 80-run defeat against the Kolkata Knight Riders.

Gujarat is the underdog on Sunday despite beating Hyderabad in their only completed matchup last season (the other match was abandoned due to rain).

Punjab Kings (-150) vs. Rajasthan Royals (+120)
Date: April 5 at 10 a.m.

The Kings were a disappointing 5-9 last season, but they’re well on their way to turning things around thanks to a 2-0 start.

Punjab beat Gujarat by 11 runs in its opener, following that up with an eight-wicket victory over the Lucknow Super Giants.

If the Royals are going to pull this one off, they’ll likely need Sanju Samson to recapture the magic from his season-opening performance. On March 23, he tallied 66 runs off 37 balls against Hyderabad.

Chennai Super Kings (-125) vs. Delhi Capitals (+100)
Date: April 5 at 6 a.m.

Delhi, like Punjab, is off to a 2-0 start to the fresh IPL campaign. But the Capitals are slight underdogs on their home pitch on Saturday.

Chennai’s Noor Ahmad has been among the top bowlers so far, collecting an IPL-high nine wickets. Then again, Delhi’s Mitchell Starc (eight wickets) isn’t far behind.

In their lone matchup last year, the Capitals posted a 20-run victory at home over the Super Kings.

IPL cricket odds as of 4:15 p.m. on 04/04/25.

IPL betting odds and cricket schedule April 5-6: Sunrisers favoured to snap slump vs. Titans

IPL cricket odds

A weekend’s worth of Indian Premier League action is coming up, with three matchups on the slate for Saturday and Sunday morning.

There are two unbeaten IPL squads left in the 10-team field, and both are in action this weekend — but only one is favoured.

Check out our IPL cricket odds for the trio of matchups on April 5-6.

IPL cricket odds

Sunrisers Hyderabad (-130) vs. Gujarat Titans (+105)
Date: April 6 at 10 a.m.

After a win in their opening match, the Sunrisers have dropped three in a row and sit at the bottom of the 10-team IPL table.

Given that Hyderabad finished second in the league last year, the club has quite a hole to climb out of. The Sunrisers are also coming off their worst performance of the young season: an 80-run defeat against the Kolkata Knight Riders.

Gujarat is the underdog on Sunday despite beating Hyderabad in their only completed matchup last season (the other match was abandoned due to rain).

Punjab Kings (-150) vs. Rajasthan Royals (+120)
Date: April 5 at 10 a.m.

The Kings were a disappointing 5-9 last season, but they’re well on their way to turning things around thanks to a 2-0 start.

Punjab beat Gujarat by 11 runs in its opener, following that up with an eight-wicket victory over the Lucknow Super Giants.

If the Royals are going to pull this one off, they’ll likely need Sanju Samson to recapture the magic from his season-opening performance. On March 23, he tallied 66 runs off 37 balls against Hyderabad.

Chennai Super Kings (-130) vs. Delhi Capitals (+105)
Date: April 5 at 6 a.m.

Delhi, like Punjab, is off to a 2-0 start to the fresh IPL campaign. But the Capitals are slight underdogs on their home pitch on Saturday.

Chennai’s Noor Ahmad has been among the top bowlers so far, collecting an IPL-high nine wickets. Then again, Delhi’s Mitchell Starc (eight wickets) isn’t far behind.

In their lone matchup last year, the Capitals posted a 20-run victory at home over the Super Kings.

IPL cricket odds as of 3:15 p.m. on 04/04/25.

Best NBA prop bets April 4: Look for Gilgeous-Alexander, Reaves to star on Friday

NBA prop bets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Austin Reaves both have great opportunities to score in bunches on Friday night.

The pregame narrative: I like Reaves on a back-to-back, which is a situation he’s thrived in this season. SGA has excelled against pretty much everyone, and the Houston Rockets are no exception. Elsewhere, Donovan Mitchell is a worthy fade on his points prop.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 4.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Reaves over 2.5 threes (-154)

Reaves did his best Steph Curry impression last night, going 9-for-16 from beyond the arc in an exciting matchup against the Warriors.

I love this prop for Reaves, both because he’s shooting it well right now and because opportunities should come his way in the back-to-back setting.

  • Luka Doncic might take the night off after playing 37-plus minutes in six consecutive games. He’s rested in three of six back-to-backs since joining the Lakers.
  • LeBron James is unlikely to sit out, but his track record as a 3-point shooter is rough when playing on zero rest: 29.4 3PT%, 1.7 makes per game (9 games).

Reaves has only missed one of L.A.’s 11 back-to-backs this season. I could see him having a significant role against the New Orleans Pelicans.

Speaking of the Pelicans, they should provide a plus matchup for him. On a per-game basis, New Orleans allows the third-most made 3s (14.6) on the second-most attempts (40.0).

In his past 12 games, Reaves has cashed this bet eight times. He’s shooting 39.4 % from deep on 8.7 attempts in that span.

Key stat: Reaves is averaging 2.7 threes in 10 games on zero rest this season.

Best NBA picks

Mitchell under 25.5 points (-106): Without Victor Wembanyama manning the floor, the San Antonio Spurs are an easier team to score against.

But I think that benefit is more directly tied to big men than to guards like Mitchell.

  • The Spurs allow the ninth-fewest points per game to opposing point guards (24.0), according to Betting Pros.
  • Mitchell, who averages 24.0 PPG, finished with 25 points when he faced the Spurs last week. And that was without Evan Mobley in the lineup.

The Mobley-Jarrett Allen combo should be a force for Cleveland, and I don’t see Mitchell needing to do as much.

Mitchell has hit this under in eight of his past 11 games, averaging 22.1 PPG in that span.

Gilgeous-Alexander over 32.5 points (-112): As high as this line is, it actually sits a twinge below Gilgeous-Alexander’s scoring average for the year (32.8 PPG).

And the Rockets have proven to be a desirable matchup for the runaway MVP favourite.

Check out what he’s done in seven games against the Rockets since the start of last season:

  • 34.9 PPG
  • 56.8 FG%
  • 29+ points in 7 of 7
  • 32+ points in 5 of 7

When the Rockets last saw him, Gilgeous-Alexander put up 51 points on 18-of-30 shooting.

Houston allows the third-most points to opposing PGs — as well as the second-fewest assists.

NBA prop picks made at 1:35 p.m. ET on 04/04/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Mets prop picks April 4: Fade Kevin Gausman, back Juan Soto to score

Blue Jays picks

Kevin Gausman has had issues in the past against the New York Mets’ lineup, and I’m fading him in Friday’s series opener at Citi Field.

The pregame narrative: Gausman’s primary nemesis is first-year Met Juan Soto, who’s featured in my best bet for tonight. I also like the under on Gausman’s strikeouts prop.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. Mets for April 4.

Blue Jays picks vs. Mets

Best bet: Soto over 0.5 runs (-130)

I was really tempted to back Soto over 1.5 bases (+130). But his bat hasn’t really gotten going yet, and his tendency to draw walks is too high.

Though I don’t like making a habit of minus-odds run props, this one is perfectly palatable.

Just look at how well Soto has fared in his past experiences against Gausman:

  • 8-for-15 (.533)
  • 12 walks
  • .741 OBP
  • .867 SLG

As mentioned, Soto has been quiet on offence so far, batting 5-for-27 (.238) through six games. But he also has six walks and has reached safely in every matchup.

Though Soto leads the way, he isn’t the only Met who has thrived against Gausman. As a collective lineup, New York has a .319 BA and a .542 SLG against the righty in 97 plate appearances.

I love Soto’s chances of finding a way on base. He ranked in the 100th percentile in xBA and walk rate last year, per Baseball Savant.

From the No. 2 spot in the Mets’ order, there should be at least a couple of capable bats behind him who can get to Gausman and bring Soto around.

Key stat: As a Yankee, Soto scored a run in all four matchups against Gausman last year, reaching base 14 times in those games.

Prop predictions

Gausman under 5.5 Ks (-134): Gausman’s strikeout numbers plummeted last season, and that’s something to watch for in 2025.

Last year, Gausman had an 8.1 K/9 and a 21.4 K%. In each of the previous five seasons, he’d had at least a 10.0 K/9 and 25.3 K%.

It’s early, but the Mets don’t look like a team he’ll be able to rack up strikeouts against.

  • NYM has the 9th-lowest K% in the majors (20.7).
  • Opposing starters have gone under 5.5 Ks in 4 of 6 games vs. the Mets.

Gausman had four Ks in 6.0 innings against the Orioles in his season debut. Last year, he went under 5.5 Ks in 18 of 31 starts.

Blue Jays vs. Mets picks made at 10:20 a.m. ET on 04/04/2025.