Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox prop picks April 10: Back Springer, Devers to drive offence in series finale

After sweeping one NL East team and getting swept by another, the Toronto Blue Jays have a shot at sweeping a four-game set against the Boston Red Sox on Thursday afternoon.

The pregame narrative: George Springer and Rafael Devers are both off to wonderful starts in April. And they both have my attention on some plus-money plays today.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox for April 10.

Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox

Best bet: Devers over 1.5 bases (+120)

The sky was momentarily falling for Devers when the season began. But it’s a very long season, and the slugger didn’t need much time to right the ship.

March (5 games): 0-for-19, 15 strikeouts

April (8 games): 13-for-30, five doubles, one home run

So far this month, Devers has gone over 1.5 bases in five of eight games. He had a pair of doubles in last night’s extra-inning loss.

Devers hits the ball as hard as anyone, and he rarely chases. According to Baseball Savant, he has an MLB-high 71.4% hard-hit rate, as well as a 94th-percentile chase rate (17.1%).

He also has superb numbers against Toronto’s Chris Bassitt: 7-for-14, two doubles, three HRs.

In other words, this is an ideal matchup to see Devers continue his April surge.

Key stat: The left-hitting Devers has crushed right-handed pitching throughout his career. He owns a .286/.357/.553 slash line (138 wRC+) against RHPs.

Prop predictions

Springer over 0.5 RBI (+170): Springer has been a leadoff man for most of his career, but in 2025 he’s transitioned to a heart-of-the-order bat. And I’d say it’s going pretty well.

Through 13 games, Springer is batting .447 with a 1.336 OPS. He has notched an RBI in six of his past eight starts.

Boston starter Walker Buehler is off to a brutal start this season, allowing nine runs on 14 hits through just 9.1 innings. He just might be cooked.

If the Blue Jays can get to Buehler, Springer will have some chances to drive runners home. And with how well he’s mashing right now, this prop price is worth that opportunity to me.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox picks made at 11:48 a.m. ET on 04/10/2025.

Best MLB prop bets April 10: Fade Realmuto, bet on Witt and Ward to score

It’s getaway day in MLB, with five afternoon games and just one evening matchup on tap.

The pregame narrative: In the evening, look for J.T. Realmuto to struggle against an emerging ace from the Atlanta Braves. Earlier on, I like Taylor Ward and Bobby Witt Jr. both to score a run.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for April 10.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Realmuto under 0.5 hits (+115)

Spencer Schwellenbach gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves tonight, and this pick is a way to back him as much as it’s a way to fade Realmuto.

Let’s give Schwellenbach some flowers first, after the right-hander started Year 2 by torching his first two opponents:

14.0 innings
0 runs
3 hits
14 Ks

Schwellenbach ranks in the 85th percentile or better in xERA, chase rate, whiff rate and walk rate, per Baseball Savant. So his stuff backs up the strong start.

So what chance does Realmuto have to do damage? In my opinion, not a great one.

The catcher is 7-for-31 (.226) with nine strikeouts to start the year, going hitless in four of nine games.

Schwellenbach has six pitch offerings, and I’m hoping he leans on his cutter against Realmuto. Last year, righties batted just 6-for-32 (.188) against Schwellenbach’s cutter.

Realmuto was just 3-for-24 (.125) against cutters in 2024.

Key stat: Schwellenbach has held right-handed hitters to a .187 BA so far in his career (263 plate appearances).

Best MLB picks

Witt over 0.5 runs (+100): My initial instinct was to back Witt over 1.5 bases, but his run prop price is actually a bit better. Both options look like smash plays to me.

Witt hasn’t set the world on fire yet, but he’s off to a solid start with a .255/.340/.426 slash line (122 OPS+). And now he’ll face a pitcher who he’s dominated in the past.

Against Twins right-hander Bailey Ober, Witt is 9-for-19 with two triples and a home run.

As a whole, the Royals’ active lineup has been a nightmare for Ober: 33-for-105 (.314 BA), .600 SLG, 19.5% K rate.

Ober coughed up 14 runs on 19 hits in 13.1 innings against the Royals last season.

From the No. 2 spot in Kansas City’s lineup, Witt is in an excellent position to score.

Ward over 0.5 runs (-108): I can’t sugarcoat Ward’s start to the season. It’s been pretty ugly.

But that’s why he has such a compelling price today on his runs prop. And a .523 OPS through 11 games isn’t going to deter me when the matchup is right.

Ward and the Angels face Rays right-hander Zack Littell, who hasn’t fared well against L.A.’s active lineup in the past:

62 plate appearances
19-for-53 (.358 BA)
.642 SLG

Ward, who homered last night, is 2-for-5 with a walk against Littell.

His ability to succeed in this matchup, combined with the Angels’ overall success against Littell, gives me faith that the speedy outfielder can get it done.

MLB prop picks made at 11:45 a.m. ET on 04/10/2025.

Best MLB prop bets April 10: Fade Realmuto, bet on Witt and Ward to score

It’s getaway day in MLB, with five afternoon games and just one evening matchup on tap.

The pregame narrative: In the evening, look for J.T. Realmuto to struggle against an emerging ace from the Atlanta Braves. Earlier on, I like Taylor Ward and Bobby Witt Jr. both to score a run.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for April 10.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Realmuto under 0.5 hits (+118)

Spencer Schwellenbach gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves tonight, and this pick is a way to back him as much as it’s a way to fade Realmuto.

Let’s give Schwellenbach some flowers first, after the right-hander started Year 2 by torching his first two opponents:

14.0 innings
0 runs
3 hits
14 Ks

Schwellenbach ranks in the 85th percentile or better in xERA, chase rate, whiff rate and walk rate, per Baseball Savant. So his stuff backs up the strong start.

So what chance does Realmuto have to do damage? In my opinion, not a great one.

The catcher is 7-for-31 (.226) with nine strikeouts to start the year, going hitless in four of nine games.

Schwellenbach has six pitch offerings, and I’m hoping he leans on his cutter against Realmuto. Last year, righties batted just 6-for-32 (.188) against Schwellenbach’s cutter.

Realmuto was just 3-for-24 (.125) against cutters in 2024.

Key stat: Schwellenbach has held right-handed hitters to a .187 BA so far in his career (263 plate appearances).

Best MLB picks

Witt over 0.5 runs (-112): My initial instinct was to back Witt over 1.5 bases, but his run prop price is actually a bit better. Both options look like smash plays to me.

Witt hasn’t set the world on fire yet, but he’s off to a solid start with a .255/.340/.426 slash line (122 OPS+). And now he’ll face a pitcher who he’s dominated in the past.

Against Twins right-hander Bailey Ober, Witt is 9-for-19 with two triples and a home run.

As a whole, the Royals’ active lineup has been a nightmare for Ober: 33-for-105 (.314 BA), .600 SLG, 19.5% K rate.

Ober coughed up 14 runs on 19 hits in 13.1 innings against the Royals last season.

From the No. 2 spot in Kansas City’s lineup, Witt is in an excellent position to score.

Embed: #112343

Ward over 0.5 runs (+112): I can’t sugarcoat Ward’s start to the season. It’s been pretty ugly.

But that’s why he has such a compelling price today on his runs prop. And a .523 OPS through 11 games isn’t going to deter me when the matchup is right.

Ward and the Angels face Rays right-hander Zack Littell, who hasn’t fared well against L.A.’s active lineup in the past:

62 plate appearances
19-for-53 (.358 BA)
.642 SLG

Ward, who homered last night, is 2-for-5 with a walk against Littell.

His ability to succeed in this matchup, combined with the Angels’ overall success against Littell, gives me faith that the speedy outfielder can get it done.

MLB prop picks made at 9:45 a.m. ET on 04/10/2025.

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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox prop picks April 10: Back Springer, Devers to drive offence in series finale

After sweeping one NL East team and getting swept by another, the Toronto Blue Jays have a shot at sweeping a four-game set against the Boston Red Sox on Thursday afternoon.

The pregame narrative: George Springer and Rafael Devers are both off to wonderful starts in April. And they both have my attention on some plus-money plays today.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox for April 10.

Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox

Best bet: Devers over 1.5 bases (+107)

Embed: #112340

The sky was momentarily falling for Devers when the season began. But it’s a very long season, and the slugger didn’t need much time to right the ship.

March (5 games): 0-for-19, 15 strikeouts

April (8 games): 13-for-30, five doubles, one home run

So far this month, Devers has gone over 1.5 bases in five of eight games. He had a pair of doubles in last night’s extra-inning loss.

Devers hits the ball as hard as anyone, and he rarely chases. According to Baseball Savant, he has an MLB-high 71.4% hard-hit rate, as well as a 94th-percentile chase rate (17.1%).

He also has superb numbers against Toronto’s Chris Bassitt: 7-for-14, two doubles, three HRs.

In other words, this is an ideal matchup to see Devers continue his April surge.

Key stat: The left-hitting Devers has crushed right-handed pitching throughout his career. He owns a .286/.357/.553 slash line (138 wRC+) against RHPs.

Prop predictions

Springer over 0.5 RBI (+170): Springer has been a leadoff man for most of his career, but in 2025 he’s transitioned to a heart-of-the-order bat. And I’d say it’s going pretty well.

Through 13 games, Springer is batting .447 with a 1.336 OPS. He has notched an RBI in six of his past eight starts.

Boston starter Walker Buehler is off to a brutal start this season, allowing nine runs on 14 hits through just 9.1 innings. He just might be cooked.

If the Blue Jays can get to Buehler, Springer will have some chances to drive runners home. And with how well he’s mashing right now, this prop price is worth that opportunity to me.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox picks made at 10:28 a.m. ET on 04/10/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox prop picks April 9: Look for Bregman, Santander to cash in RBI props

I’m backing one player per side to drive in a run in Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox matchup.

The pregame narrative: Alex Bregman and Anthony Santander have both gotten used to batting with traffic on the basepaths, and I expect them to see some RBI opportunities tonight. At notable plus-money prices, I think both sluggers have value in this market.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox for April 9.

Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox

Best bet: Bregman over 0.5 RBI (+145)

Bregman doesn’t have very encouraging numbers against Toronto starter Kevin Gausman (2-for-12, one home run, six strikeouts). But there are some other aspects of tonight’s matchup that I really like.

For one thing, Bregman is seeing tons of RBI opportunities right now — and he’s making the most of them.

The third baseman is tied for 10th in MLB in plate appearances with runners on base (28).

In those PAs, he has a .357/.357/.714 slash line with 10 RBI.

Bregman bats third for Boston, and the two guys ahead of him have done well to get on base against Gausman. So there should be more RBI chances for Bregman tonight.

Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers are a combined 16-for-49 (.327) with 10 doubles and two walks against Gausman.

Even Boston’s No. 9 hitter, Ceddanne Rafaela, is in a groove. He has a .458 on-base percentage so far this month and will hopefully roll the lineup over successfully on Wednesday.

With all the potential for traffic on the basepaths, I’m buying Bregman’s opportunity over his head-to-head results with Gausman.

And hey, a sacrifice fly would do the trick, too.

Key stat: In 26 career games at Fenway Park, Bregman has 22 RBI and a blistering 1.194 OPS.

Prop predictions

Santander over 0.5 RBI (+162): This pick follows a similar formula to the Bregman one, but it’s not exactly the same.

Santander hasn’t been clutch whatsoever with runners on base, batting just .148 with zero extra-base hits in that situation.

But the opportunities from the No. 3 spot in the Blue Jays’ order have been bountiful. Santander has 32 PAs with runners on, which is tied for the fourth-most in the majors.

So, again, I’m buying Santander’s opportunity over anything else.

He’s been okay against Boston starter Tanner Houck, batting 4-for-14 (.286) with two walks.

And the two guys ahead of Santander, Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., are a combined 8-for-24 (.333) with two doubles and two walks against Houck.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox picks made at 4:08 p.m. ET on 04/09/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox prop picks April 9: Look for Bregman, Santander to cash in RBI props

I’m backing one player per side to drive in a run in Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox matchup.

The pregame narrative: Alex Bregman and Anthony Santander have both gotten used to batting with traffic on the basepaths, and I expect them to see some RBI opportunities tonight. At notable plus-money prices, I think both sluggers have value in this market.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox for April 9.

Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox

Best bet: Bregman over 0.5 RBI (+163)

Embed: #112332

Bregman doesn’t have very encouraging numbers against Toronto starter Kevin Gausman (2-for-12, one home run, six strikeouts). But there are some other aspects of tonight’s matchup that I really like.

For one thing, Bregman is seeing tons of RBI opportunities right now — and he’s making the most of them.

The third baseman is tied for 10th in MLB in plate appearances with runners on base (28).

In those PAs, he has a .357/.357/.714 slash line with 10 RBI.

Bregman bats third for Boston, and the two guys ahead of him have done well to get on base against Gausman. So there should be more RBI chances for Bregman tonight.

Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers are a combined 16-for-49 (.327) with 10 doubles and two walks against Gausman.

Even Boston’s No. 9 hitter, Ceddanne Rafaela, is in a groove. He has a .458 on-base percentage so far this month and will hopefully roll the lineup over successfully on Wednesday.

With all the potential for traffic on the basepaths, I’m buying Bregman’s opportunity over his head-to-head results with Gausman.

And hey, a sacrifice fly would do the trick, too.

Key stat: In 26 career games at Fenway Park, Bregman has 22 RBI and a blistering 1.194 OPS.

Prop predictions

Santander over 0.5 RBI (+170): This pick follows a similar formula to the Bregman one, but it’s not exactly the same.

Santander hasn’t been clutch whatsoever with runners on base, batting just .148 with zero extra-base hits in that situation.

But the opportunities from the No. 3 spot in the Blue Jays’ order have been bountiful. Santander has 32 PAs with runners on, which is tied for the fourth-most in the majors.

So, again, I’m buying Santander’s opportunity over anything else.

He’s been okay against Boston starter Tanner Houck, batting 4-for-14 (.286) with two walks.

And the two guys ahead of Santander, Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., are a combined 8-for-24 (.333) with two doubles and two walks against Houck.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox picks made at 3:08 p.m. ET on 04/09/2025.

Best MLB prop bets April 9: Bet on Yusei Kikuchi, Joe Ryan to thrive

A pair of pitcher props from Wednesday’s MLB betting markets have my attention.

The pregame narrative: Yusei Kikuchi’s outs prop is juiced up, but I still think it’s worth backing as he looks to keep the slumping Tampa Bay Rays quiet. If you’re looking for a plus-money play, consider riding with Joe Ryan versus a team he’s excelled against before.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for April 9.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Kikuchi over 17.5 outs (-143)

If you’re willing to put up with this much juice, I think Kikuchi is well worth backing tonight based on a handful of factors.

Kikuchi’s bullpen needs a breather. Things got dicey for the Angels late in last night’s 4-3 win over the Rays. L.A. wound up using five relief arms, and now four of its eight relievers have pitched twice in the past three days.

He’s an innings eater. Kikuchi has tossed 6.0 innings in both outings to begin the new season. Dating back to last year, he has cashed this bet in seven consecutive starts.

He has strong numbers against Tampa Bay. Having spent his whole career in the American League — including two-and-a-half seasons with Toronto in the AL East — Kikuchi has seen plenty of the Rays. He’s held the active lineup to 17-for-80 hitting (.212 BA) with a .325 SLG and a 33.0% K rate.

It also seems like Kikuchi is catching the Rays at a good time. They’re on a five-game losing streak, scoring just 14 total runs in those matchups.

In the past week, Tampa’s offence ranks 24th in wRC+ (77).

Key stat: Kikuchi has pitched into the sixth inning or later in 12 consecutive starts (since August 2024).

Best MLB picks

Naylor over 1.5 hits/runs/RBI (-118): After a stellar spring training, Naylor has carried his success forward into the regular season.

The Mississauga, Ontario native posted a .375/.456/.542 slash line in 19 spring games with the Arizona Diamondbacks. And now he has an .819 OPS through 12 games in Year 1 with the club.

The left-hitting Naylor will have the platoon advantage today against Baltimore right-hander Dean Kremer, who’s been roughed up in his first two outings: 9.2 innings, 13 hits, eight runs.

Naylor is 4-for-7 with a double and a walk against Kremer.

And against righties so far this season, Naylor is 10-for-27 (.370) with four doubles.

Ryan over 5.5 Ks (+125): Both Minnesota Twins starters preceding Ryan cashed this bet, and I think he can make it three in a row.

Ryan has a 32% K rate against the Royals’ active lineup in 125 plate appearances, per Baseball Savant. Last season, his 27.3 K% as a whole ranked in the 80th percentile.

Hopefully the leash is a bit longer for Ryan tonight after back-to-back starts with a low-80s pitch count. He has 11 Ks through 10.0 innings this season.

In four starts against the Royals since 2023, Ryan has tallied 29 Ks in 24.1 IP, hitting this over three times.

MLB prop picks made at 2:25 p.m. ET on 04/09/2025.

Luka Doncic props for must-see return to Dallas: Fade Lakers star vs. Mavericks on April 9

On Wednesday night, Luka Doncic returns to Dallas for the first time since the seismic midseason trade, as his Los Angeles Lakers face the Mavericks.

The pregame narrative: Doncic was a dominant force in his first matchup against his old team, notching a triple-double in a winning effort. But I cashed a fade of him on that night, and I’ll try to do so again.

Check out these Luka Doncic props for the April 9 matchup against the Mavericks.

BOOST: Luka to drop 30/10/10 in return to Dallas (+770, was +700). Bet now!

Luka Doncic props vs. Mavericks

Doncic markets	Betting odds
Over 30.5 points	-118
Under 30.5 points	-113
8+ rebounds	-150
Over 8.5 assists	+110
Under 8.5 assists	-148
Over 47.5 PRA	-121
Under 47.5 PRA	-109
Over 3.5 threes	-125
Under 3.5 threes	-106
To record a double-double	-130
To record a triple-double	+475

Best Doncic prop bet

Best Bet: Under 47.5 points/rebounds/assists (-109)

Embed: #112319

I’m trying to prevent the narrative of the night from taking over.

Because on one hand, wouldn’t you expect Doncic to set fire to American Airlines Center and give a mourning Dallas crowd a knife-twisting show?

On the other hand, this line has been too lofty for Doncic in recent weeks with the emergence of Austin Reaves. I’m not ready to refer to Doncic, LeBron James and Reaves as a Big Three … but they’re playing like it right now.

Here are their statistical averages since the start of March:

Doncic: 29.4 points, 7.9 rebounds, 8.1 assists (45.4 PRA)

LeBron: 23.1 points, 7.0 rebounds, 7.2 assists (37.3 PRA)

Reaves: 23.9 points, 5.2 rebounds, 5.2 assists (34.3 PRA)

When three players are capable of at least flirting with a 25/5/5 stat line on a nightly basis, it’s difficult to back any of them individually to clear a 47.5-PRA prop.

Doncic posted an inefficient triple-double in his first matchup against the Mavericks back in February. He scored 19 points on 6-of-17 shooting, but buoyed the stat line with 15 rebounds and 12 assists.

Anthony Davis, who is healthy now, didn’t play in that game. From a rebounding standpoint, that matters.

I expect AD to gobble up plenty of rebounds, while LeBron and Reaves will also dip into Doncic’s potential as a rebounder and passer.

Doncic should have some cathartic moments on Wednesday night. But that doesn’t convince me to buck his recent trend of reduced production.

Key stat: In his past 12 games, Doncic has averaged 42.7 PRA and hit this under 10 times. He landed on exactly 48 PRA in both outliers.

Luka Doncic prop odds as of 11:10 a.m. ET on 04/09/2025.

Best MLB prop bets April 9: Bet on Yusei Kikuchi, Joe Ryan to thrive

A pair of pitcher props from Wednesday’s MLB betting markets have my attention.

The pregame narrative: Yusei Kikuchi’s outs prop is juiced up, but I still think it’s worth backing as he looks to keep the slumping Tampa Bay Rays quiet. If you’re looking for a plus-money play, consider riding with Joe Ryan versus a team he’s excelled against before.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for April 9.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Kikuchi over 17.5 outs (-148)

Embed: #112327

If you’re willing to put up with this much juice, I think Kikuchi is well worth backing tonight based on a handful of factors.

Kikuchi’s bullpen needs a breather. Things got dicey for the Angels late in last night’s 4-3 win over the Rays. L.A. wound up using five relief arms, and now four of its eight relievers have pitched twice in the past three days.

He’s an innings eater. Kikuchi has tossed 6.0 innings in both outings to begin the new season. Dating back to last year, he has cashed this bet in seven consecutive starts.

He has strong numbers against Tampa Bay. Having spent his whole career in the American League — including two-and-a-half seasons with Toronto in the AL East — Kikuchi has seen plenty of the Rays. He’s held the active lineup to 17-for-80 hitting (.212 BA) with a .325 SLG and a 33.0% K rate.

It also seems like Kikuchi is catching the Rays at a good time. They’re on a five-game losing streak, scoring just 14 total runs in those matchups.

In the past week, Tampa’s offence ranks 24th in wRC+ (77).

Key stat: Kikuchi has pitched into the sixth inning or later in 12 consecutive starts (since August 2024).

Best MLB picks

Naylor over 1.5 bases (+145): After a stellar spring training, Naylor has carried his success forward into the regular season.

The Mississauga, Ontario native posted a .375/.456/.542 slash line in 19 spring games with the Arizona Diamondbacks. And now he has an .819 OPS through 12 games in Year 1 with the club.

The left-hitting Naylor will have the platoon advantage today against Baltimore right-hander Dean Kremer, who’s been roughed up in his first two outings: 9.2 innings, 13 hits, eight runs.

Naylor is 4-for-7 with a double and a walk against Kremer.

And against righties so far this season, Naylor is 10-for-27 (.370) with four doubles.

Ryan over 5.5 Ks (+117): Both Minnesota Twins starters preceding Ryan cashed this bet, and I think he can make it three in a row.

Ryan has a 32% K rate against the Royals’ active lineup in 125 plate appearances, per Baseball Savant. Last season, his 27.3 K% as a whole ranked in the 80th percentile.

Hopefully the leash is a bit longer for Ryan tonight after back-to-back starts with a low-80s pitch count. He has 11 Ks through 10.0 innings this season.

In four starts against the Royals since 2023, Ryan has tallied 29 Ks in 24.1 IP, hitting this over three times.

MLB prop picks made at 1:05 p.m. ET on 04/09/2025.

Best NBA prop bets April 9: Ride with Harrison Barnes, Christian Braun amid hot streaks

Wednesday’s NBA prop bets aren’t brimming with star power, but all three players have been putting on star-calibre performances recently.

The pregame narrative: Christian Braun is shooting the lights out from 3-point range, albeit on limited attempts. Still, he has great value on his 3s prop tonight, while Coby White and Harrison Barnes have enjoyed some impressive scoring surges of their own.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 9.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Braun over 1.5 threes (+140)

The sky is falling in Denver, where the Nuggets have fired head coach Michael Malone and announced they will not extend general manager Calvin Booth.

It’s a stunning set of moves for a team that is two seasons removed from a championship and heading back to the postseason for a seventh consecutive year.

But will this situation have any effect on Braun?

That’s difficult to predict, but with longtime Denver assistant David Adelman taking the helm on an interim basis, my guess is no. The shakeup is worth mentioning, but it shouldn’t deter bettors from a prop like this.

Braun is an efficient 3-point shooter (39.8%) whose volume disappoints at times. But he’s trending up in that regard, which is nice to see:

October – February (59 games): 2.6 attempts/game, 36.8 3PT%

March – April (17 games): 3.8 attempts/game, 46.9 3PT%

With a line this low, any 3-point shot volume increase is significant. And it should continue with a Grade-A matchup against the Sacramento Kings on deck.

The Kings allow the second-most 3s per game (14.7) on the highest opponent 3PT% (38.2).

Braun is 5-for-11 against the Kings from deep this season, cashing this bet in both games.

Key stat: Since the start of March, Braun has gone over 1.5 threes in 10 of 17 games.

Best NBA picks

White over 22.5 points (-130): If you haven’t been paying attention to the Bulls lately, you’re missing the Coby White show.

The sixth-year guard has been on a mission in the past month-plus, putting up big scoring numbers on almost a nightly basis.

Check out his stats in 18 games since March 1:

28.4 PPG
51.7 FG%
40.0 3PT%
89.3 FT%
25+ points in 15 of 18

White rested yesterday, so he should be in peak form despite the fact that the Chicago Bulls are on a back-to-back.

He finished just shy of this mark on the road against the Miami Heat recently (21 points on March 8), but that was a game in which he shot 0-for-8 from deep.

In tonight’s rematch at home, I love his opportunity to smash the over.

Barnes over 13.5 points (-118): Nearly a decade removed from his time with the Golden State Warriors, Barnes probably doesn’t qualify for the revenge game narrative when he links up with his old club.

But he has put up some solid numbers in recent head-to-head matchups, and he’s also on fire in general right now.

Barnes is averaging 18.3 PPG against the Warriors since November 2023. He’s cashed this bet 4 of 6 games during that span.

So far in April, Barnes has 17+ points in all five games, featuring some absurd shooting splits (61.3/57.6/92.9).

Both teams are on back-to-backs, which is fine with me. Barnes has gone over 13.5 points in four of five back-to-backs since the start of March.

NBA prop picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET on 04/09/2025.