Staff Writer

Timberwolves vs. Warriors SGP predictions Game 3: Back Butler and DiVincenzo on Sunday

The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves meet for Game 3 on Saturday.

The pregame narrative: Minnesota looks to build off its blowout win, and is favoured to do so against the Steph Curry-less Warriors. The Timberwolves have won seven of their last 10 road games, including two of three in Round 1.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Warriors SGP predictions for May 10, featuring Jimmy Butler and Donte DiVincenzo.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions

Parlay: Under 210.5 points | Butler 6+ assists | DiVincenzo 2+ threes (+270)

Under 210.5 points (-286): Golden State has been willing to play in rock fights this postseason, and now Steve Kerr’s hand is forced without Curry.

The Warriors had the seventh-best defensive rating during the regular season and should lean on that facet of their game rather than getting into a shootout with the Anthony Edwards-led T-Wolves.

Unders are 6-3 against this number in Golden State’s playoff games, including each of the last three.

Minnesota has the fourth-highest under rate on the road this season (54.6%).

The T-Wolves and Warriors both rank in the bottom-half of playoff teams in terms of pace (possessions per 48 minutes) and true shooting percentage, as well.

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NBA SGP legs

Butler 6+ assists (-157): Butler has been asked to do it all before, and led the Miami Heat to multiple finals appearances as the main man.

He averaged a healthy 5.9 assists in his 2023 finals run and is right around that number again this postseason.

Excluding Game 2 against the Houston Rockets, where he exited after eight minutes with an injury, Butler is putting up 5.8 APG and is 5-2 vs. this line.

He’s first on the Warriors in “potential assists” per game (10.3). NBA.com categorizes that as a pass leading directly to a shot.

DiVincenzo 2+ threes (-235): DiVincenzo is heaving up bricks from beyond-the-arc right now, but I still think he’s worth backing at this number.

The first-year Timberwolf is shooting 21.7% from deep this postseason on 6.6 attempts per game.

However, he shot 39.7% during the regular season and went 3-for-8 in Game 2. I’m hoping that positive result is what DiVincenzo needs to break out of a shooting slump.

He had cleared this mark in three straight games vs. Golden State before the playoffs, shooting a combined 11-for-26 from deep (42.0%).

Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions made at 1:00 p.m. ET 05/10/2025.

Best MLB prop bets May 10: Back Goldschmidt, Machado and Henderson on Saturday

I’m backing a trio of big bats to do damage in today’s MLB prop bets.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Manny Machado and Gunnar Henderson are heating up, and face a pair of struggling arms. Meanwhile, Paul Goldschmidt has been delivering for the New York Yankees and is playing in the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.

See how I’m backing them in my best MLB prop bets for May 10.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Goldschmidt over 1.5 bases (-125)

Filling the Juan Soto hole is impossible, but Goldschmidt has been as advertised and then some for the Yankees.

The first baseman is slashing an incredible .345/.395/.486 in his first year with New York. He has the fourth-best batting average in baseball, and this is a perfect matchup for him to hit for power.

Goldschmidt’s .501 xSLG, ranks in the 79th percentile, according to Baseball Savant.

He has three home runs in his last 10 games, clearing this line five times.

Sutter Health Park, where the Athletics play, is the second-most hitter-friendly park in baseball, according to Baseball Savant’s park factor.

Goldschmidt is going up against lefty JP Sears, who has had a solid season.

The lefty sports a 2.92 ERA but has struggled to miss bats, ranking in the 36th percentile for K rate and ninth percentile for Whiff rate.

Key stat: Goldschmidt is batting an absurd .581 against LHP this year with eight extra-base hits in 31 at-bats (1.032 SLG).

More MLB picks

Henderson over 1.5 bases (-134): This is a steep price to pay for a bases prop, but it’s worth it.

Henderson is heating up after a slow start to the season, batting .342 with a .605 SLG in his last 10 games. He’s cleared this mark in five of those contests and hit a home run and a triple in yesterday’s win over the Los Angeles Angels.

Tonight, he goes up against Jack Kochanowicz, who has been getting torched all season.

5.79 ERA
.294 opponent BA
1.7 HR/9
79 ERA+

Kochanowicz has given up a home run in four straight starts and will turn the ball over to a bullpen with the second-highest ERA (6.99) in MLB.

Machado 1+ RBI (-120): This seems like incredible value on Machado, who is red hot, and going up against an awful pitcher in a hitter-friendly environment.

Machado is batting .319 this season and has a hit in nine straight games. He has six RBI in that span, batting behind Fernando Tatis and Luis Arraez, both of whom are getting aboard at or above a .333 clip.

Bradley Blalock gets the ball for the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field, and that’s good news for the San Diego Padres.

The righty has an 8.03 ERA after posting a 6.07 ERA last year.

MLB prop picks made at 11:42 a.m. ET on 05/10/2025.

Best MLB prop bets May 10: Back Goldschmidt, Machado and Henderson on Saturday

I’m backing a trio of big bats to do damage in today’s MLB prop bets.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Manny Machado and Gunnar Henderson are heating up, and face a pair of struggling arms. Meanwhile, Paul Goldschmidt has been delivering for the New York Yankees and is playing in the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.

See how I’m backing them in my best MLB prop bets for May 10.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Goldschmidt over 1.5 bases (-122)

Filling the Juan Soto hole is impossible, but Goldschmidt has been as advertised and then some for the Yankees.

The first baseman is slashing an incredible .345/.395/.486 in his first year with New York. He has the fourth-best batting average in baseball, and this is a perfect matchup for him to hit for power.

Goldschmidt’s .501 xSLG, ranks in the 79th percentile, according to Baseball Savant.

He has three home runs in his last 10 games, clearing this line five times.

Sutter Health Park, where the Athletics play, is the second-most hitter-friendly park in baseball, according to Baseball Savant’s park factor.

Goldschmidt is going up against lefty JP Sears, who has had a solid season.

The lefty sports a 2.92 ERA but has struggled to miss bats, ranking in the 36th percentile for K rate and ninth percentile for Whiff rate.

Key stat: Goldschmidt is batting an absurd .581 against LHP this year with eight extra-base hits in 31 at-bats (1.032 SLG).

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More MLB picks

Henderson over 1.5 bases (-136): This is a steep price to pay for a bases prop, but it’s worth it.

Henderson is heating up after a slow start to the season, batting .342 with a .605 SLG in his last 10 games. He’s cleared this mark in five of those contests and hit a home run and a triple in yesterday’s win over the Los Angeles Angels.

Tonight, he goes up against Jack Kochanowicz, who has been getting torched all season.

5.79 ERA
.294 opponent BA
1.7 HR/9
79 ERA+

Kochanowicz has given up a home run in four straight starts and will turn the ball over to a bullpen with the second-highest ERA (6.99) in MLB.

Machado 1+ RBI (-125): This seems like incredible value on Machado, who is red hot, and going up against an awful pitcher in a hitter-friendly environment.

Machado is batting .319 this season and has a hit in nine straight games. He has six RBI in that span, batting behind Fernando Tatis and Luis Arraez, both of whom are getting aboard at or above a .333 clip.

Bradley Blalock gets the ball for the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field, and that’s good news for the San Diego Padres.

The righty has an 8.03 ERA after posting a 6.07 ERA last year.

MLB prop picks made at 11:42 a.m. ET on 05/10/2025.

Celtics vs. Knicks SGP predictions Game 3: Back Anunoby and White in +320 wager

This Eastern Conference semifinal shifts to the basketball Mecca, Madison Square Garden, for Game 3.

The pregame narrative: The New York Knicks can put a 3-0 stranglehold on the Boston Celtics after stealing a pair of wins on the road. Boston is a sizeable favourite, though, after posting a 33-8 record away from home this year.

Check out my Celtics vs. Knicks SGP predictions for Game 3 on May 10, featuring Derrick White and OG Anunoby.

Celtics vs. Knicks predictions

Parlay: Celtics moneyline | White 4+ threes | Anunoby 15+ points (+320)

Celtics moneyline (-235): I refuse to believe Boston will go out this sad.

The Celtics blew a pair of 20-point leads at home and now find themselves in a tough situation at the Garden. But championship-calibre teams fight back, and I expect Joe Mazzulla to rally the troops.

You have to have a 20-point lead to blow it, and Boston put itself in a favourable situation in back-to-back games.

The Celtics shot below 37.0% from the field in each game and are shooting 25.0% from deep this series. That’s unsustainable behaviour for a group this talented, which had the 11th-best 3-point rate (36.6%) during the regular season.

As mentioned, Boston went 33-8 on the road (2-0 vs. NYK). Its +9.5 road net rating was the second-best in the NBA.

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NBA SGP legs

White 4+ threes (-130): If Boston wants to turn around its 3-point problems, it’ll start with White, who is leading the team in 3-point makes (3.1) and attempts (9.4) per game this postseason.

He’s taken double-digit 3s in both games against the Knicks, going 5-for-16 in the series opener and 3-for-11 on Wednesday.

I expect that type of volume to continue.

White had torched the Knicks during the regular season, going 4-0 against this line while shooting 54.3% from deep.

Anunoby 15+ points (-157): Anunoby balled out in the series opener, scoring 29 points on 10-of-20 shooting. He took a back seat in Game 2, with just five points (2-of-9 shooting), but this seems like a good spot for him to rebound.

The former Toronto Raptor is averaging 17.3 PPG this postseason, reaching the milestone in five of eight games.

He also entered the postseason on a roll, clearing this mark in 11 of 12 games while averaging 25.3 points.

Boston defends every position well, but will likely focus on slowing down Jalen Brunson, which should lead to some open looks for Anunoby.

Knicks vs. Celtics predictions made at 9:30 a.m. ET 05/10/2025.

Golden Knights vs. Oilers prop picks Game 3: Bet on Evan Bouchard and Zach Hyman in Edmonton

The Edmonton Oilers are back home after taking both games in Vegas from the Golden Knights.

The pregame narrative: Edmonton has now authored six straight comeback victories in the playoffs, thanks to the unbelievable play of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. Vegas is an underdog in Game 3 and looks to avoid falling in a disastrous 3-0 hole.

Check out my Golden Knights vs. Oilers prop picks on Evan Bouchard and Zach Hyman for May 10.

Golden Knights vs. Oilers picks

Best bet: Hyman to record a point (-127)

Oilers fans must be happy with the way Hyman is rounding into form. After all, McDavid and Draisaitl can’t do everything.

The forward has seven points (three goals, four assists) in eight playoff games, finding the score sheet in three straight.

He had an assist, three shots, and was +2 in 21:11 of ice time in Game 2.

Hyman’s line with Evander Kane and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has struggled defensively, but they’re still generating plenty of quality chances.

The group has 19 high-danger chances (first among all of Edmonton’s lines).

They have also generated 3.48 xG (second to Draisaitl-McDavid-Corey Perry).

And, perhaps most importantly, Hyman skates on Edmonton’s top power play. That unit is 5-for-6 at home in the playoffs.

Key stat: Hyman has 17 points in 15 home playoff games since the start of last season, cashing this bet 11 times.

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Game 3 prop prediction

Bouchard to record an assist (-115): I backed Bouchard on this market in Game 2, and he went pointless.

But thankfully, Corey Perry came through with a point at +125 to make it a profitable night.

I’m happy to turn back to Edmonton’s top defenceman, though, for a few reasons:

Bouchard is averaging a team-high 26:48 of ice time this postseason (33:44 in Game 2) and has four goals and five assists in seven games.

He has 10 assists in Edmonton’s last 10 home playoff games and is 2-1 against this line at home in 2025.

The rearguard is leading the Oilers in chances (63) and is second in shots (26).

Bouchard is happy to fire pucks on net whenever possible, which opens opportunities for this bet to cash on a tip-in or rebound.

He’s also the trigger-man on Edmonton’s power play. Ideally, we can kill two birds with one stone in regards to Hyman.

Bouchard has 31 assists in 33 playoff games since the start of last season.

Golden Knights vs. Oilers picks prop picks made at 8:25 a.m. ET 05/10/2025.

Golden Knights vs. Oilers prop picks Game 3: Bet on Evan Bouchard and Zach Hyman in Edmonton

The Edmonton Oilers are back home after taking both games in Vegas from the Golden Knights.

The pregame narrative: Edmonton has now authored six straight comeback victories in the playoffs, thanks to the unbelievable play of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. Vegas is an underdog in Game 3 and looks to avoid falling in a disastrous 3-0 hole.

Check out my Golden Knights vs. Oilers prop picks on Evan Bouchard and Zach Hyman for May 10.

Golden Knights vs. Oilers picks

Best bet: Hyman to record a point (-130)

Oilers fans must be happy with the way Hyman is rounding into form. After all, McDavid and Draisaitl can’t do everything.

The forward has seven points (three goals, four assists) in eight playoff games, finding the score sheet in three straight.

He had an assist, three shots, and was +2 in 21:11 of ice time in Game 2.

Hyman’s line with Evander Kane and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has struggled defensively, but they’re still generating plenty of quality chances.

The group has 19 high-danger chances (first among all of Edmonton’s lines).

They have also generated 3.48 xG (second to Draisaitl-McDavid-Corey Perry).

And, perhaps most importantly, Hyman skates on Edmonton’s top power play. That unit is 5-for-6 at home in the playoffs.

Key stat: Hyman has 17 points in 15 home playoff games since the start of last season, cashing this bet 11 times.

Game 3 prop prediction

Bouchard to record an assist (-108): I backed Bouchard on this market in Game 2, and he went pointless.

But thankfully, Corey Perry came through with a point at +125 to make it a profitable night.

I’m happy to turn back to Edmonton’s top defenceman, though, for a few reasons:

Bouchard is averaging a team-high 26:48 of ice time this postseason (33:44 in Game 2) and has four goals and five assists in seven games.

He has 10 assists in Edmonton’s last 10 home playoff games and is 2-1 against this line at home in 2025.

The rearguard is leading the Oilers in chances (63) and is second in shots (26).

Bouchard is happy to fire pucks on net whenever possible, which opens opportunities for this bet to cash on a tip-in or rebound.

He’s also the trigger-man on Edmonton’s power play. Ideally, we can kill two birds with one stone in regards to Hyman.

Bouchard has 31 assists in 33 playoff games since the start of last season.

Golden Knights vs. Oilers picks prop picks made at 2:15 p.m. ET 05/09/2025.

NHL playoff anytime goalscorer picks May 9: Back Mikko Rantanen and Auston Matthews

A pair of elite goal scorers are featured in my NHL picks for May 9.

Today’s NHL narrative: Mikko Rantanen has been on an incredible heater and can be had at plus-money to score against the Winnipeg Jets tonight. Elsewhere, I’m looking at Auston Matthews as the Toronto Maple Leafs head to Florida to take on the Panthers with a 2-0 series lead.

Check out the best NHL anytime goal picks for Friday’s playoff games.

NHL anytime goal picks

Best Bet: Rantanen to score (+150)

Rantanen is on one of the greatest postseason runs of all time.

The Finnish winger has 14 points and eight goals in his last four games, and just became the first player to log back-to-back postseason hat tricks since Jari Kurri in 1985.

One of those hat tricks was to eliminate his former team, the Colorado Avalanche, from the playoffs.

The other was a natural hat trick against the soon-to-be Vezina-winning Connor Hellebuyck in Game 1.

So yeah, you could say this guy is a big-game player.

Dallas’ all-Finnish first line of Rantanen, Roope Hintz and Mikael Granlund has been unstoppable.

They generated a sizeable 19 chances (shot attempts) in 10:25 of ice time together in Game 1, according to Natural Stat Trick.

Rantanen is also the lynchpin of Dallas’ top power-play unit featuring Hintz, Wyatt Johnston, Thomas Harley and Matt Duchene.

That unit is clicking at a 32.0% rate, the second-best mark among all playoff teams.

Key stat: Rantanen has cleared this line in four straight games.

NHL prop predictions

Matthews to score (+140): Toronto’s captain is either snakebitten, hurt, or both. But the levee is bound to break soon, and I think tonight is the night.

Matthews is leading the Maple Leafs this postseason in the following categories:

Shots (29)
Chances (60)
High-danger chances (19)
Expected goals (4.51)

He’s only scored twice so far, but is consistently putting himself in positions to do damage.

I’ll take my chances and bet on a return to form from a guy who potted 69 goals last season.

Sergei Bobrovsky is elite, but is looking like a netminder who’s played 143 games over the last two seasons.

Bobrovsky has allowed 18 goals in his last five starts with an .850 SV%.

Fatigue sets in for even the best, and I think Matthews can take advantage.

NHL anytime goal picks made at 12:27 p.m. ET on 05/08/2025.

NHL playoff anytime goalscorer picks May 9: Back Mikko Rantanen and Auston Matthews

A pair of elite goal scorers are featured in my NHL picks for May 9.

Today’s NHL narrative: Mikko Rantanen has been on an incredible heater and can be had at plus-money to score against the Winnipeg Jets tonight. Elsewhere, I’m looking at Auston Matthews as the Toronto Maple Leafs head to Florida to take on the Panthers with a 2-0 series lead.

Check out the best NHL anytime goal picks for Friday’s playoff games.

NHL anytime goal picks

Best Bet: Rantanen to score (+150)

Rantanen is on one of the greatest postseason runs of all time.

The Finnish winger has 14 points and eight goals in his last four games, and just became the first player to log back-to-back postseason hat tricks since Jari Kurri in 1985.

One of those hat tricks was to eliminate his former team, the Colorado Avalanche, from the playoffs.

The other was a natural hat trick against the soon-to-be Vezina-winning Connor Hellebuyck in Game 1.

So yeah, you could say this guy is a big-game player.

Dallas’ all-Finnish first line of Rantanen, Roope Hintz and Mikael Granlund has been unstoppable.

They generated a sizeable 19 chances (shot attempts) in 10:25 of ice time together in Game 1, according to Natural Stat Trick.

Rantanen is also the lynchpin of Dallas’ top power-play unit featuring Hintz, Wyatt Johnston, Thomas Harley and Matt Duchene.

That unit is clicking at a 32.0% rate, the second-best mark among all playoff teams.

Key stat: Rantanen has cleared this line in four straight games.

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NHL prop predictions

Matthews to score (+160): Toronto’s captain is either snakebitten, hurt, or both. But the levee is bound to break soon, and I think tonight is the night.

Matthews is leading the Maple Leafs this postseason in the following categories:

Shots (29)
Chances (60)
High-danger chances (19)
Expected goals (4.51)

He’s only scored twice so far, but is consistently putting himself in positions to do damage.

I’ll take my chances and bet on a return to form from a guy who potted 69 goals last season.

Sergei Bobrovsky is elite, but is looking like a netminder who’s played 143 games over the last two seasons.

Bobrovsky has allowed 18 goals in his last five starts with an .850 SV%.

Fatigue sets in for even the best, and I think Matthews can take advantage.

NHL anytime goal picks made at 12:27 p.m. ET on 05/08/2025.

Cavaliers vs. Pacers prop picks Game 3: Back Evan Mobley and Myles Turner on Friday

The No. 1-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers have their backs against the wall as they head to Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday to take on the Indiana Pacers.

The pregame narrative: Indiana won both games on the road behind some Tyrese Haliburton heroics, and now has a chance to put Cleveland in a back-breaking 3-0 hole. Evan Mobley and Darius Garland are both questionable for the Cavs after missing Game 2.

Check out my Cavaliers vs. Pacers prop picks for May 9, featuring Mobley and Myles Turner.

Cavaliers vs. Pacers prop picks

Best bet: Turner over 22.5 points and rebounds (-113)

Turner has cleared this line in four straight games, smashing it in three of them:

Game 2 vs. CLE: 23 points, 8 rebounds
Game 1 vs. CLE: 13 points, 11 rebounds
Game 5 vs. MIL: 21 points, 9 rebounds
Game 4 vs. MIL: 23 points, 5 rebounds

Indiana’s centre is getting big minutes (32.2 in the playoffs) and has some stark home/away splits.

He averaged 23.9 points and rebounds at home during the regular season and 20.6 on the road.

Jarrett Allen is a capable rebounder, but the 6-foot-11, 250-pound Turner is by far the biggest player on the court for either team.

He should continue to do damage on the glass, and is shooting a respectable 50.6% this postseason (37.5% from 3).

Key stat: Turner is averaging 20.0 points and 8.3 rebounds in his last four games.

Game 3 prop prediction

Mobley over 16.5 points (-130): I’m taking a swing on Mobley, who missed Game 2 with an ankle injury.

There’s optimism that the Cavaliers’ big man will suit up tonight, according to Joe Vardon of The Athletic, but this is obviously something to monitor heading into game time.

One thing I do know is that when Mobley’s on the floor, he’s been effective:

16.3 PPG
59.5% shooting (47.1% from 3)
17+ points in 4 of 5 games

He has scored 20 points twice this postseason, including Game 1 against the Pacers. Indiana struggles to defend the mid-range, and that’s a spot Mobley can cook in.

Cavaliers vs. Pacers prop picks made at 11:25 a.m. ET 05/09/2025.

Cavaliers vs. Pacers SGP predictions Game 3: Back Evan Mobley and Myles Tuner at +300

The No. 1-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers have their backs against the wall as they head to Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday to take on the Indiana Pacers.

The pregame narrative: Indiana won both games on the road behind some Tyrese Haliburton heroics, and now has a chance to put Cleveland in a back-breaking 3-0 hole. Evan Mobley and Darius Garland are both questionable for the Cavs after missing Game 2.

Check out my Cavaliers vs. Pacers SGP predictions for May 9, featuring Mobley and Myles Turner.

Cavaliers vs. Pacers predictions

Parlay: Pacers +10.5 | Turner over 23.5 points and rebounds | Mobley over 16.5 points (+300)

Pacers +10.5 (-385): I think it’s time we put some respect on the Pacers’ name.

Indiana made light work of the Milwaukee Bucks in the first round, and now has the conference’s top seed on the ropes. And while it might seem like a surprise, it shouldn’t be.

Rick Carlisle’s squad was one of the league’s best teams following the all-star break (NBA ranks in parentheses):

20-9 record (fifth)
+5.6 net rating (seventh)
111.5 defensive rating (eighth)

In that same span, Cleveland went 20-8 with a +6.8 net rating. I can’t see the Cavs putting together a blowout win given that they’re banged up and on the road.

Indiana is 5-1 straight up against Cleveland this year, covering this line in the only loss.

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NBA SGP legs

Turner over 23.5 points and rebounds (-117): Turner has cleared this line in four straight games, smashing it in three of them:

Game 2 vs. CLE: 23 points, 8 rebounds
Game 1 vs. CLE: 13 points, 11 rebounds
Game 5 vs. MIL: 21 points, 9 rebounds
Game 4 vs. MIL: 23 points, 5 rebounds

Indiana’s centre is getting big minutes (32.2 in the playoffs) and has some stark home/away splits.

He averaged 23.9 points and rebounds at home during the regular season and 20.6 on the road.

Jarrett Allen is a capable rebounder, but the 6-foot-11, 250-pound Turner is by far the biggest player on the court for either team.

He should continue to do damage on the glass, and is shooting a respectable 50.6% this postseason (37.5% from 3).

Mobley over 16.5 points (-132): I’m taking a swing on Mobley, who missed Game 2 with an ankle injury.

There’s optimism that the Cavaliers’ big man will suit up tonight, according to Joe Vardon of The Athletic, but this is obviously something to monitor heading into game time.

One thing I do know is that when Mobley’s on the floor, he’s been effective:

16.3 PPG
59.5% shooting (47.1% from 3)
17+ points in 4 of 5 games

He has scored 20 points twice this postseason, including Game 1 against the Pacers. Indiana struggles to defend the mid-range, and that’s a spot Mobley can cook in.

Cavaliers vs. Pacers predictions made at 10:30 a.m. ET 05/09/2025.