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Oilers vs. Panthers Stanley Cup Final SGP predictions Game 4: Back Draisaitl and Marchand in +300 wager

The Edmonton Oilers and Florida Panthers meet for a pivotal Game 4 in the Stanley Cup Final on Thursday.

The pregame narrative: Florida is favoured to take a commanding 3-1 series lead after blowing out Edmonton at home on Monday. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl were both held pointless in Game 3, and have to step up to level this series and regain home ice.

Check out my Oilers vs. Panthers SGP predictions, featuring Draisaitl and Brad Marchand.

Oilers vs. Panthers predictions

Parlay: Oilers +1.5 | Draisaitl 1+ point | Marchand 1+ point (+300)

Oilers +1.5 (-186): It will be interesting to see how the Oilers perform after having two days to chew on an embarrassing 6-1 loss.

But I expect them to come out flying. One game doesn’t define a team, and Edmonton’s broader body of work suggests there will be serious pushback.

The Oilers are 13-4 since losing the first two games of the playoffs. They’ve covered a +1.5 puck line in 15 of those games.

Edmonton is 7-3 on the road in the playoffs, covering +1.5 eight times.

Panthers head coach Paul Maurice even said he expects Game 4 to be more like the first two in this series.

Is there some gamesmanship in there? Sure. But these teams are evenly matched, and Edmonton still has the best two players on the ice.

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NHL SGP legs

Draisaitl 1+ points (-375): Draisaitl was held pointless for just the second time this postseason, and I can’t picture that happening again.

The German winger had multiple points in four straight games before that, and has a point in every other road game this playoff.

Draisaitl ranks fifth all-time in playoff points per game (1.473). The only players ahead of him are Barry Pederson, McDavid, Mario Lemieux and Wayne Gretzky.

If you want to amplify this parlay’s payout, I recommend backing Draisaitl to score (+120). That would bring the total to +540.

Marchand 1+ points (-120): Marchand would still be among the greatest deadline acquisitions of all time even if he went pointless from here on out.

The longtime Boston Bruin has eight goals and 18 points in 20 playoff games for the Panthers.

He’s scored four goals in the Cup final, including the overtime winner in Game 2.

Marchand has found the stat sheet in five of his last six games.

His line with Anton Lundell and Eetu Luostarinen is leading the Panthers in chances (30), xG (1.57), and high-danger chances (five) this series.

I expect the veteran to stay hot and get some deserved down-ballot Conn Smythe votes as well.

Oilers vs. Panthers predictions made at 9:30 a.m. ET 06/12/2025.

Best MLB prop bets June 11: Back Robbie Ray, Jerar Encarnacion in Wednesday’s nightcap

It’s getaway day for a handful of teams in MLB, but I’ve still got three prop bets from the late-night slate.

Today’s MLB props narrative: The Colorado Rockies host the San Francisco Giants in Wednesday’s nightcap, and the road team is favoured with Robbie Ray pitching. I’m expecting Ray to cruise and Jerar Encarnacion to do damage against Colorado’s Kyle Freeland.

Check out my best MLB prop bets for June 11, also featuring Sean Burke.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Ray over 7.5 strikeouts (-103)

Blue Jays fans reading this will remember how electric Ray was during his 2021 Cy Young campaign. Well, nearly four years later, he’s back at that level.

2.44 ERA (14th)
1.07 WHIP (21st)
10.1 K/9 rate (14th)

The southpaw has an 83rd percentile K rate (28.4%) to pair with a 79th percentile whiff rate (29.7%), per Baseball Savant. Ray has cleared this line in three of his last five starts, landing on exactly seven Ks in both of the outliers.

Colorado is the laughing-stock of MLB through 60-odd games, with a 12-54 record. It ranks inside the bottom-three in batting average, wRC+ and K rate.

Ray suited up against the Rockies at the start of May and fanned eight batters over 7.0 shutout innings.

Key stat: Ray has a 38.2% K rate against this Rockies lineup across 34 combined plate appearances.

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Best MLB picks

Encarnacion to record an RBI (+108): You probably don’t know who Encarnacion is, and that’s fine. To be honest, I didn’t either until researching picks for this late game.

The 28-year-old is batting cleanup for the Giants in hitter-friendly Coors Field, behind guys like Heliot Ramos, Jung Hoo Lee, and Wilmer Flores, all of whom are favoured to go over 1.5 bases.

Encarnacion has struggled since his call-up from Triple-A Sacramento but was solid in the minors, and has a great matchup against Freeland.

Encarnacion has batted .351 over 40 Triple-A games the last two seasons (slugging .696 this year).

In 35 games with the Giants last year, he hit .262 vs. LHP and .239 vs. RHP.

Righties are batting .332 vs. Freeland this year.

Colorado’s southpaw has an unsightly 5.19 ERA this season. I expect San Fran to light him up and Encarnacion to do damage out of the cleanup spot.

Burke over 16.5 outs (-106): Burke has found his footing after a nightmarish start to the season.

April stats: 7.71 ERA, 0-5 vs. this line
Stats from May 1 onward: 2.70 ERA, 5-2 vs. this line

The Chicago White Sox righty has logged three straight quality starts (outings with 6.0-plus IP and three or fewer earned runs) against solid opponents.

He most recently held the MLB-best Detroit Tigers to two runs over 7.0 IP.

Tonight, Burke goes up against a Houston Astros team missing its best hitter, Yordan Alvarez. The Stros rank 27th in batting average and 29th in wRC+ over the last 15 days.

MLB prop picks made at 2:18 p.m. ET on 06/11/2025.

U.S. Open prop picks and best bets: Fade Cameron Smith and back Keegan Bradley at Oakmont Country Club

I’ve got three prop picks for the U.S. Open beginning on Thursday at Oakmont Country Club.

The latest: All signs point to this course setup being the most difficult we’ve seen in years. With that in mind, I’m fading former major champion Cameron Smith, who has fallen off the map since joining LIV Golf.

Check out my U.S. Open prop picks, also featuring Keegan Bradley and Ben Griffin.

U.S. Open prop picks

Full U.S. Open betting markets

Best bet: Smith to miss the cut (+100)

It feels like a lifetime ago that Smith was the No. 2 player in the world.

The fan-favourite Aussie was fresh off a three-win season, punctuated by winning the Open Championship at St Andrews.

But he’s been on a steady decline since joining LIV golf shortly thereafter.

	Masters	PGA	U.S. Open	Open
2023	T34	T9	4th	T33
2024	T6	T63	T32	MC
2025	MC	MC	—	—

Smith has missed the cut at three straight majors and is struggling to perform on LIV, too. He only has one top-five finish in eight starts this season and has been hemorrhaging strokes on approach.

According to DataGolf’s query tool, Smith ranks 112th out of 125 qualified players in the field in strokes gained: approach over the last three months.

He also ranks 130th out of 135 players in driving accuracy.

Missing the fairway means contending with five-inch-thick rough. This will get ugly, quickly for Smith.

Key stat: Oakmont’s fairways measure 28 yards wide on average. That is the 10th narrowest out of any course played in the last 10 years, per DataGolf.

More U.S. Open predictions

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Bradley top-30 finish (+110): Captain America at this year’s Ryder Cup should have a strong showing at his national open.

The 39-year-old veteran is playing some inspired golf lately. He has four straight top 30 finishes, including a T8 at the PGA Championship and a T7 at the Memorial Tournament in his last two starts.

Bradley ranks inside the top 30 in strokes gained off-the-tee (27th) and strokes gained: approach (14th) on the PGA Tour. That’ll play nearly anywhere.

Griffin over Pendrith 72-hole matchup (-125): Griffin and Taylor Pendrith are both having spectacular seasons, but I think the Canadian is in for a tough week.

Pendrith has at times struggled to keep his driver in play and is a very inconsistent putter and chipper. He made a mess in his Masters debut this year, shooting +8 and missing the cut by six strokes.

Oakmont’s green complexes are huge, but run off into bunkers and rough and require a strong short game.

Griffin has been on a rampage over his last three starts, with a T8 at the PGA Championship, a win at the Charles Schwab Challenge, and a runner-up at the Memorial Tournament.

He’s gaining strokes throughout the bag and has a much more reliable short game.

U.S. Open prop picks made at 1:10 p.m. on 06/11/2025.

Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Game 3 SGP predictions: Bet on Holmgren and Nembhard at +280

The NBA Finals shift to Indianapolis tied at one game apiece.

The pregame narrative: The Oklahoma City Thunder rebounded from a shocking Game 1 loss with a blowout victory, and are favoured to best the Indiana Pacers on the road on Wednesday. OKC is -560 to win the Finals, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander holds the same odds to win series MVP.

Check out my Thunder vs. Pacers SGP predictions for Game 3 on June 11, featuring Chet Holmgren and Andrew Nembhard.

Thunder vs. Pacers predictions

Parlay: Thunder moneyline | Holmgren 8+ rebounds | Nembhard 10+ points (+300)

Thunder moneyline (-210): I’m in the camp that Indianapolis used up all of its luck in Game 1. The Pacers erased a 15-point deficit to win on a last-second shot by Tyrese Haliburton, but have been massively outplayed for the majority of this series.

OKC has led for 91:22 out of a possible 96 minutes this series.

The Thunder’s largest lead was 23 points, while the Pacers’ largest lead was three points.

Mark Daigneault’s squad has a higher net rating, true shooting percentage, rebounding rate and assist rate through two games, per NBA.com.

None of this should come as a surprise after OKC authored one of the most dominant seasons of all time. It ranked second in net rating to the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls.

The Thunder are 36-11 on the road through the regular season and playoffs, which is the highest win percentage of any team.

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NBA SGP legs

Holmgren 8+ rebounds (-143): Holmgren has fallen short of this line in both games, and in all five against the Minnesota Timberwolves, but I like his chances of stepping up tonight.

The lanky power forward leads the Thunder in rebounding this postseason (8.3/game), and was 9-6 against this line before the NBA Finals. He landed on exactly seven rebounds three times vs. Minnesota.

Indiana’s biggest weakness this postseason has been cleaning the glass. The squad ranks 11th out of 16 playoff teams in rebounding rate.

Holmgren has the size to contend for boards, and will get plenty of run as long as this isn’t a complete blowout. And while I expect OKC to win, I can see this being within 10 points heading into the fourth quarter.

Nembhard 10+ points (-190): Nembhard isn’t the first or second option on the Pacers, but he’s turned into a money No. 3 — and that’s exactly what a team needs to go deep in the playoffs.

The Canadian is averaging 12.8 points per game on 45.7% shooting from deep.

He’s reached this milestone in both games this series and all four games against the Thunder, dating back to the regular season. In those contests, he’s averaging 16.0 PPG.

Thunder vs. Pacers predictions made at 10:30 a.m. ET 06/11/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Cardinals prop picks June 11: Bet on Guerrero and Kirk to rake in series finale

The red-hot Toronto Blue Jays aim to sweep the St. Louis Cardinals in Wednesday’s matinee.

The pregame narrative: Toronto has won 13 of its last 15 games but is a slight road underdog with lefty Eric Lauer on the bump. St. Louis counters with a southpaw of its own, Matthew Liberatore, who has gotten rocked lately.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Cardinals for June 11, with predictions on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Alejandro Kirk.

Blue Jays picks vs. Cardinals

Best Bet: Guerrero over 0.5 runs (-108)

This is a smash play in my book for a few reasons.

Toronto is averaging 5.73 runs in its last 15 games. In that span, the Jays rank top-three in wRC+ (138), K rate (13.0%), SLG (.492) and BA (.288).

Guerrero is hitting second, on the road, meaning he’ll have ample opportunities at the plate. He has scored 10 runs in Toronto’s last 15 games.

Liberatore has allowed 11 earned runs in his last two starts and has a 28th percentile xBA (.265), according to Baseball Savant.

The southpaw doesn’t issue many free passes, but he also doesn’t miss a ton of bats. Guerrero has hit for contact and power against lefties this season, boasting impressive .322/.424/.560 splits.

Behind Guerrero are George Springer, Addison Barger, and Kirk. All three of them are hitting north of .255 in June with SLGs above .545.

Key stat: Guerrero has cashed this wager in eight of his last 11 games.

Quick pick

Kirk over 1.5 total bases (+105): Kirk is making a strong case to be the AL’s starting catcher in the All-Star Game. He has the third-best batting average (.325) in baseball and is on fire over the last 10 games.

.475 BA
.725 SLG
2+ bases in 6 of 10 games

Kirk came through again last night, going 3-for-5 with a home run. He now has a whopping 15 total bases across his last two games.

Liberatore’s 97th percentile walk rate, 39th percentile K rate, and 27th percentile barrel rate mean Kirk should put the ball in play with authority.

Blue Jays picks made at 9:00 a.m. ET on 06/11/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Cardinals prop picks June 11: Bet on Guerrero and Kirk to rake in series finale

The red-hot Toronto Blue Jays aim to sweep the St. Louis Cardinals in Wednesday’s matinee.

The pregame narrative: Toronto has won 13 of its last 15 games but is a slight road underdog with lefty Eric Lauer on the bump. St. Louis counters with a southpaw of its own, Matthew Liberatore, who has gotten rocked lately.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Cardinals for June 11, with predictions on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Alejandro Kirk.

Blue Jays picks vs. Cardinals

Best Bet: Guerrero over 0.5 runs (-109)

This is a smash play in my book for a few reasons.

Toronto is averaging 5.73 runs in its last 15 games. In that span, the Jays rank top-three in wRC+ (138), K rate (13.0%), SLG (.492) and BA (.288).

Guerrero is hitting second, on the road, meaning he’ll have ample opportunities at the plate. He has scored 10 runs in Toronto’s last 15 games.

Liberatore has allowed 11 earned runs in his last two starts and has a 28th percentile xBA (.265), according to Baseball Savant.

The southpaw doesn’t issue many free passes, but he also doesn’t miss a ton of bats. Guerrero has hit for contact and power against lefties this season, boasting impressive .322/.424/.560 splits.

Behind Guerrero are George Springer, Addison Barger, and Kirk. All three of them are hitting north of .255 in June with SLGs above .545.

Key stat: Guerrero has cashed this wager in eight of his last 11 games.

Embed: #114718

Quick pick

Kirk over 1.5 total bases (+125): Kirk is making a strong case to be the AL’s starting catcher in the All-Star Game. He has the third-best batting average (.325) in baseball and is on fire over the last 10 games.

.475 BA
.725 SLG
2+ bases in 6 of 10 games

Kirk came through again last night, going 3-for-5 with a home run. He now has a whopping 15 total bases across his last two games.

Liberatore’s 97th percentile walk rate, 39th percentile K rate, and 27th percentile barrel rate mean Kirk should put the ball in play with authority.

Blue Jays picks made at 9:00 a.m. ET on 06/11/2025.

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U.S. Open predictions and betting preview: Back Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Aberg at Oakmont Country Club

This year’s U.S. Open at Oakmont Country Club is shaping up to be the hardest we’ve seen in years.

The latest: Scottie Scheffler is a huge favourite at a course that will demand a well-rounded game and distance off-the-tee. I can’t get down with his +250 odds, though, and am instead turning to a trio of elite players north of 20-to-1.

Check out my U.S. Open predictions for the 2025 PGA Tour tournament beginning on June 12, featuring Xander Schauffele.

Oakmont Country Club betting preview

Full U.S. Open betting markets

Don’t be surprised if this year’s winner comes in around even par.

Playing at 7,372 yards, Oakmont is a long par-70. Distance and accuracy off-the-tee are paramount, with extremely narrow fairways and five-inch-thick rough.

The greens are huge — 8,500 square feet on average — but feature heavy undulations and run-offs and are surrounded by deep, penalizing bunkers.

If golfers can hold the greens, lag putting will be paramount. On basically every hole, par is a great score.

Dustin Johnson won the 2016 U.S. Open at Oakmont at 4-under par. Only three other golfers broke par during a week where the course played uncharacteristically “easy” due to rain.

U.S. Open predictions

Best bet: Schauffele to win (+2,000) & top-20 finish (+105)

Betting against the likes of Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau, and Rory McIlroy is daunting.

But we shouldn’t forget that Schauffele is a month removed from holding two of the four major titles (PGA Championship, Open Championship) simultaneously.

The American cemented himself as a world-class player in 2024 and is back to playing great golf after suffering an injury to start the year.

Schauffele has six-straight top 30 finishes — highlighted by a T8 at the Masters — and ranks seventh in strokes gained: approach on the PGA Tour this season.

My one worry with Schauffele is his lack of accuracy off-the-tee. He’s bombing the ball but has struggled to find fairways while tinkering with new driver setups.

Still, his history at this tournament and pedigree winning major championships makes him a compelling pick at this price point.

Key stat: Schauffele has never finished worse than T14 in eight U.S. Open starts (seven top 10s, three top 5s).

Bet on the U.S. Open now

More U.S. Open predictions

Ludvig Aberg to win (+2,500): It’s been a bizarre season for Aberg, but things are finally starting to turn the corner.

The towering Swede finished T13 at the Canadian Open the week after logging a T20 at the Memorial Tournament. Those aren’t eye-popping finishes, but it’s a signal that he’s playing consistent golf at the right time.

Aberg won at the Genesis Invitational in February, which was played at another U.S. Open-calibre course (Torrey Pines).

He’s a generational driver of the golf ball, blending distance with accuracy off-the-tee. I’m expecting a huge week from a player with three top-15 finishes in six major starts.

Collin Morikawa to win (+2,200): Morikawa seems like the forgotten man at this tournament, and I can’t really argue with that sentiment.

The two-time major champion has just one win since his 2021 Open Championship victory (2023 Zozo Championship) despite being a perennial top-10 player in the world.

Still, he has been knocking on the door all season with elite iron play and off-the-tee accuracy.

Morikawa ranks sixth on SG: APP on the PGA Tour this season.
He also ranks second in driving accuracy, hitting 72.87% of his fairways.

Keeping the ball in play here is mandatory, and Morikawa has the iron play to capitalize on good tee shots to score.

U.S. Open predictions made at 1:10 p.m. on 06/09/2025.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast men’s soccer odds and best bet: Expect a low-scoring game at BMO Field

The Canadian men’s national team is back in action on Tuesday when it hosts the Ivory Coast in the Canadian Shield Tournament.

The pregame narrative: Canada erupted for a 4-2 victory over Ukraine in the tournament opener, securing its first win over a European opponent since 2011. Les Rouges are favoured to beat Ivory Coast, which lost its opener to New Zealand, 1-0.

Check out our Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds and my predictions for the men’s soccer match on June 10.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds

Go to full Canada vs. Ivory Coast betting markets

Canada vs. Ivory Coast markets	Betting odds
Canada to win	+100
Draw	+245
Ivory Coast to win	+260
Canada draw no bet	-223
Ivory Coast draw no bet	+155
Canada to win or tie	-350
Ivory Coast to win or tie	-130
Over 2.5 goals	+100
Under 2.5 goals	-125

Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET on 06/09/2024.

Best bet

Under 2.5 goals (-125)

Canada cashed the over on this total on its own Saturday … before the halftime whistle blew.

But I’m expecting a more measured contest against a Côte d’Ivoire side that has been great defensively over the last few years.

The Ivory Coast won the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations by conceding one or fewer goals in six of seven games.

In the last 12 months, the group is 7-1-3 while allowing just four total goals (0.36 per game). The under on this total is 9-2 in that span.

Canada’s offence has plenty of firepower, with Jonathan David, Cyle Larin and Tajon Buchanan all making noise for the country and European clubs. But Les Rouges are still missing their star player, Alphonso Davies, who suffered an ACL injury in March.

This seems like a match where Jesse Marsch’s squad will rely on securing possession in the midfield instead of relying on the counter-attack.

Key stat: Canada has gone under this mark in nine of its last 15 games, landing on exactly three goals in four of the outliers.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast predictions made at 3:30 p.m. on 06/09/25.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast men’s soccer odds and best bet: Expect a low-scoring game at BMO Field

The Canadian men’s national team is back in action on Tuesday when it hosts the Ivory Coast in the Canadian Shield Tournament.

The pregame narrative: Canada erupted for a 4-2 victory over Ukraine in the tournament opener, securing its first win over a European opponent since 2011. Les Rouges are favoured to beat Ivory Coast, which lost its opener to New Zealand, 1-0.

Check out our Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds and my predictions for the men’s soccer match on June 10.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds

Go to full Canada vs. Ivory Coast betting markets

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast markets	Betting odds
Canada to win	-106
Draw	+265
Ivory Coast to win	+280
Canada draw no bet	-245
Ivory Coast draw no bet	+175
Canada to win or tie	-420
Ivory Coast to win or tie	-122
Over 2.5 goals	-103
Under 2.5 goals	-130

Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET on 06/09/2024.

Best bet

Under 2.5 goals (-130)

Canada cashed the over on this total on its own Saturday … before the halftime whistle blew.

But I’m expecting a more measured contest against a Côte d’Ivoire side that has been great defensively over the last few years.

The Ivory Coast won the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations by conceding one or fewer goals in six of seven games.

In the last 12 months, the group is 7-1-3 while allowing just four total goals (0.36 per game). The under on this total is 9-2 in that span.

Canada’s offence has plenty of firepower, with Jonathan David, Cyle Larin and Tajon Buchanan all making noise for the country and European clubs. But Les Rouges are still missing their star player, Alphonso Davies, who suffered an ACL injury in March.

This seems like a match where Jesse Marsch’s squad will rely on securing possession in the midfield instead of relying on the counter-attack.

Key stat: Canada has gone under this mark in nine of its last 15 games, landing on exactly three goals in four of the outliers.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast predictions made at 3:30 p.m. on 06/09/25.

U.S. Open predictions and betting preview: Back Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Aberg at Oakmont Country Club

This year’s U.S. Open at Oakmont Country Club is shaping up to be the hardest we’ve seen in years.

The latest: Scottie Scheffler is a huge favourite at a course that will demand a well-rounded game and distance off-the-tee. I can’t get down with his +250 odds, though, and am instead turning to a trio of elite players north of 20-to-1.

Check out my U.S. Open predictions for the 2025 PGA Tour tournament beginning on June 12, featuring Xander Schauffele.

Oakmont Country Club betting preview

Full U.S. Open betting markets

Don’t be surprised if this year’s winner comes in around even par.

Playing at 7,372 yards, Oakmont is a long par-70. Distance and accuracy off-the-tee are paramount, with extremely narrow fairways and five-inch-thick rough.

The greens are huge — 8,500 square feet on average — but feature heavy undulations and run-offs and are surrounded by deep, penalizing bunkers.

If golfers can hold the greens, lag putting will be paramount. On basically every hole, par is a great score.

Dustin Johnson won the 2016 U.S. Open at Oakmont at 4-under par. Only three other golfers broke par during a week where the course played uncharacteristically “easy” due to rain.

U.S. Open predictions

Best bet: Schauffele to win (+2,200) & top-20 finish (+105)

Betting against the likes of Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau, and Rory McIlroy is daunting.

But we shouldn’t forget that Schauffele is a month removed from holding two of the four major titles (PGA Championship, Open Championship) simultaneously.

The American cemented himself as a world-class player in 2024 and is back to playing great golf after suffering an injury to start the year.

Schauffele has six-straight top 30 finishes — highlighted by a T8 at the Masters — and ranks seventh in strokes gained: approach on the PGA Tour this season.

My one worry with Schauffele is his lack of accuracy off-the-tee. He’s bombing the ball but has struggled to find fairways while tinkering with new driver setups.

Still, his history at this tournament and pedigree winning major championships makes him a compelling pick at this price point.

Key stat: Schauffele has never finished worse than T14 in eight U.S. Open starts (seven top 10s, three top 5s).

Embed: #114651

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More U.S. Open predictions

Ludvig Aberg to win (+2,500) & top-20 finish (+120): It’s been a bizarre season for Aberg, but things are finally starting to turn the corner.

The towering Swede finished T13 at the Canadian Open the week after logging a T20 at the Memorial Tournament. Those aren’t eye-popping finishes, but it’s a signal that he’s playing consistent golf at the right time.

Aberg won at the Genesis Invitational in February, which was played at another U.S. Open-calibre course (Torrey Pines).

He’s a generational driver of the golf ball, blending distance with accuracy off-the-tee. I’m expecting a huge week from a player with three top-15 finishes in six major starts.

Collin Morikawa to win (+2,800) & top-20 finish (+110): Morikawa seems like the forgotten man at this tournament, and I can’t really argue with that sentiment.

The two-time major champion has just one win since his 2021 Open Championship victory (2023 Zozo Championship) despite being a perennial top-10 player in the world.

Still, he has been knocking on the door all season with elite iron play and off-the-tee accuracy.

Morikawa ranks sixth on SG: APP on the PGA Tour this season.

He also ranks second in driving accuracy, hitting 72.87% of his fairways.

Keeping the ball in play here is mandatory, and Morikawa has the iron play to capitalize on good tee shots to score.

U.S. Open predictions made at 1:10 p.m. on 06/09/2025.