Avery Perri

Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.

Victor Wembanyama props vs. Pacers Jan. 25: Expect another scoring clinic in Paris

Victor Wembanyama props

The Victor Wembanyama show continues on Saturday in Paris, France.

The pregame narrative: Wemby put up a game-high 30 points in the San Antonio Spurs’ blowout victory over the Indiana Pacers on Thursday. He also added 11 rebounds, six assists and five blocks. I expect another monster performance in Round II.

Check out these Victor Wembanyama props for the Jan. 25 matchup against the Pacers.

Victor Wembanyama props vs. Pacers

Wembanyama marketsBetting odds
Over 27.5 points-125
Under 27.5 points-106
Over 11.5 rebounds-143
Under 11.5 rebounds+108
Over 3.5 assists-175
Under 3.5 assists+128
Over 44.5 PRA-113
Under 44.5 PRA-118
Over 3.5 threes+102
Under 3.5 threes-137
Over 3.5 blocks-148
Under 3.5 blocks+110

Go to full Spurs vs. Pacers betting markets.

Best Wembanyama prop bet

Embed: #107406

Best bet: Over 27.5 points (-125)

Wembanyama started the new year with a 35-point performance and just dropped 30 against Indiana. In the seven games between, he fell under this total each time.

But we’ve seen the big man go on heaters before — he had a 15-game stretch this season where he averaged 30.2 points, clearing this line nine times — and I think Thursday will be the start of a special run.

He gets to play Indiana again, which is a solid matchup for any elite scorer:

  • The Pacers are 20th in defensive rating (114.1) and 22nd in opponent FG percentage (47.4%).
  • Indiana also plays with the seventh-fastest pace (100.52 possessions/48 minutes), meaning more possessions will be available for Wembanyama.

At 7-foot-4, Wembanyama is practically unguardable. That said, Indiana has an undersized starting lineup with Myles Turner (6-foot-11) and Pascal Siakam (6-foot-8) being the only players above 6-foot-5.

And of course, we can’t discount the fact that Wemby is playing in front of his compatriots. He should be motivated to take even more shots than normal on Saturday.

Key stat: Wemby has scored 30+ points in back-to-back games against the Pacers, shooting above 60% in both matchups.

Pick as of 12:16 p.m. ET on 01/24/2025.

Golden Knights vs. Stars prop picks Jan. 24: Fade Miro Heiskanen, back Jason Robertson on Friday

Golden Knights vs. Stars prop picks

A burgeoning rivalry is renewed tonight when the Dallas Stars host the Vegas Golden Knights.

The pregame narrative: Dallas is struggling to score lately, so I’ll fade standout defenceman Miro Heiskanen on his points prop market. Jason Robertson has been putting pucks on net, though, which I expect to continue.

Check out my Golden Knights vs. Stars props for Jan. 24.

Golden Knights vs. Stars prop picks

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Best bet: Heiskanen under 0.5 points (-112)

Heiskanen is an uber-talented defenceman who will likely have a Norris Trophy under his belt when it’s all said and done.

But we’re seeing a serious offensive slump from the Finn, who has put up just 22 points in 47 games. That nets out to a 37-point pace over a full season, which is well below the 62-point pace he was chugging at last season.

Heiskanen has points in back-to-back games but has been held off the stat sheet more often than not lately.

In his last 15 games, he’s 9-6 against this line.

Dallas has also lost four of its last six games while averaging just 2.5 goals per game. Most of Heiskanen’s production comes in the assist department (five goals, 17 assists this year), so I don’t like him to break out of this slump tonight.

Key stat: Heiskanen has five points — all assists — in 15 regular-season games against the Golden Knights, going under this mark in five of the last six.

Quick picks

Robertson over 2.5 shots (-125): Robertson has been one Star doing damage during this skid, with five goals in his last six games. Over that stretch, he’s fired 23 pucks on net, averaging out to 3.8 shots per game.

  • The talented winger has 2+ shots in seven straight games, giving us a nice floor to work with.
  • He’s cashed this bet in five of those contests, with 4+ shots four times.

Robertson plays on Dallas’ top line and is integral to its power play. The latter unit has struggled to produce this year, but I’m not asking for Robertson to register a point. He has the most dangerous shot on the team and is the No. 1 option on the man advantage.

The 25-year-old is averaging 18.16 chances (shot attempts) per 60, according to Natural Stat Trick. That paces all Stars players.

Picks made at 10:00 a.m. ET on 01/24/2025.

Golden Knights vs. Stars prop picks Jan. 24: Fade Miro Heiskanen, back Jason Robertson on Friday

Golden Knights vs. Stars prop picks

A burgeoning rivalry is renewed tonight when the Dallas Stars host the Vegas Golden Knights.

The pregame narrative: Dallas is struggling to score lately, so I’ll fade standout defenceman Miro Heiskanen on his points prop market. Jason Robertson has been putting pucks on net, though, which I expect to continue.

Check out my Golden Knights vs. Stars props for Jan. 24.

Golden Knights vs. Stars prop picks

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Embed: #107359

Best bet: Heiskanen under 0.5 points (-107)

Heiskanen is an uber-talented defenceman who will likely have a Norris Trophy under his belt when it’s all said and done.

But we’re seeing a serious offensive slump from the Finn, who has put up just 22 points in 47 games. That nets out to a 37-point pace over a full season, which is well below the 62-point pace he was chugging at last season.

Heiskanen has points in back-to-back games but has been held off the stat sheet more often than not lately.

In his last 15 games, he’s 9-6 against this line.

Dallas has also lost four of its last six games while averaging just 2.5 goals per game. Most of Heiskanen’s production comes in the assist department (five goals, 17 assists this year), so I don’t like him to break out of this slump tonight.

Key stat: Heiskanen has five points — all assists — in 15 regular-season games against the Golden Knights, going under this mark in five of the last six.

Quick picks

Robertson over 2.5 shots (-106): Robertson has been one Star doing damage during this skid, with five goals in his last six games. Over that stretch, he’s fired 23 pucks on net, averaging out to 3.8 shots per game.

  • The talented winger has 2+ shots in seven straight games, giving us a nice floor to work with.
  • He’s cashed this bet in five of those contests, with 4+ shots four times.

Robertson plays on Dallas’ top line and is integral to its power play. The latter unit has struggled to produce this year, but I’m not asking for Robertson to register a point. He has the most dangerous shot on the team and is the No. 1 option on the man advantage.

The 25-year-old is averaging 18.16 chances (shot attempts) per 60, according to Natural Stat Trick. That paces all Stars players.

Picks made at 10:00 a.m. ET on 01/24/2025.

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Commanders vs. Eagles NFC championship prop picks: Back Jayden Daniels, A.J. Brown on Sunday

Commanders vs. Eagles prop picks

The Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles clash for a third time this season, and on Sunday, a Super Bowl appearance is on the line.

The pregame narrative: Jayden Daniels has put together a historic rookie campaign and I don’t expect him to slow down now. Bank on a strong outing from Washington’s quarterback and buy low on a struggling A.J. Brown.

Check out my Commanders vs. Eagles prop picks for the NFC championship game on Jan. 26.

Commanders vs. Eagles prop picks

Go to full NFC championship betting markets.

Best bet: Daniels over 283.5 passing and rushing yards (-118)

Daniels was viewed as an elite prospect in last year’s draft but no one would have believed he could turn the franchise around this quickly.

After all, Washington went 3-14 last season and is now on the precipice of its first Super Bowl appearance in 33 years. It hasn’t been all Daniels, of course, but the rookie quarterback is without a doubt the biggest factor in the Commanders’ meteoric rise.

  • Daniels threw for 3,568 passing yards and rushed for 891 yards in the regular season. That averages out to 262.29 passing/rushing yards per game.
  • It’s worth noting he was partially rested in two of those games (Week 7 vs. Panthers, Week 18 vs. Cowboys).
  • Daniels is 4-1 against this line in his last five full regular season games, averaging 314.8 total yards per game. One of those matchups was in Week 16 against Philadelphia (258 passing, 81 rushing).

And it doesn’t seem like playoff nerves are getting to the 24-year-old.

Daniels has cleared this mark in both playoff games and is coming off a 350-yard performance against the No. 1-seeded Detroit Lions.

Philly’s defence presents a much tougher task but this kid just seems different. Don’t be surprised if he punches Washington’s ticket to the Super Bowl.

Key stat: Daniels is 6-1 against this mark in his last seven full games.

Quick pick

Brown over 58.5 receiving yards (-118): You know something isn’t right when a star athlete is reading self-help books during the game.

Brown is dealing with a minor knee injury and has accrued just three catches for 24 yards in the playoffs. It’s been ugly — so why do I want to back him?

Great players find ways to perform when it matters most, and Brown is a great player.

Philly’s WR1 has put up 4,031 receiving yards across three seasons with the team, netting out to an average of 85.7 per game. I’ll side with that large body of work over this slump.

Brown cleared this line in both regular season meetings against the Commanders. In their last matchup on Dec. 22, he hauled in 8-of-15 targets for 97 yards.

If he can get even around half as many targets I like his chances of blowing by this total.

Philadelphia opted for a ground-heavy attack after taking an early lead against the Green Bay Packers in the wild-card round. In the divisional matchup against the Los Angeles Rams, Brown saw seven targets but struggled to haul them in during a blizzard.

Washington’s secondary has been sub-par all season and I expect Brown to snap out of it and have a field day against his divisional rival.

Picks made at 2:41 p.m. ET on 01/22/2025.

Bills vs. Chiefs AFC championship same-game parlay predictions: Back Buffalo on alt spread, Josh Allen at +400

Bills vs. Chiefs predictions

Another chapter in the Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs rivalry will be written on Sunday night.

The pregame narrative: Patrick Mahomes has sent Buffalo packing three times in the playoffs but I say the Bills keep this close with Josh Allen scoring a touchdown. Prop bets on each team’s tight end — Travis Kelce and Dalton Kincaid — round out this wager.

Check out my Bills vs. Chiefs same-game parlay predictions for the AFC championship game on Jan. 26.

Bills vs. Chiefs same-game parlay predictions

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Embed: #107277

Parlay: Bills +7.5 + Allen anytime TD + Kelce over 49.5 receiving yards + Kincaid over 29.5 receiving yards (+400)

Bills +7.5 (-315): Buffalo’s last two playoff defeats to Kansas City were heartbreaking.

Last year, Tyler Bass missed a game-tying 44-yard field goal late in the fourth quarter. And in 2022, the Bills were 13 seconds away from punching their ticket to the AFC championship game … we all know what happened after that.

But Buffalo kept each game close and I expect another instant classic on Sunday.

The Bills beat the Chiefs earlier this season, albeit in Buffalo, and have covered a +7.5 spread in all but one of their games (Week 4 vs. Baltimore).

KC needed a fair amount of luck to cobble together its 15-2 record, winning just five of those games by more than a score.

I won’t bet against Mahomes winning at Arrowhead but I also won’t bet on Allen getting blown out in the biggest game of his career.

Other parlay picks

Allen anytime TD (-124): Speaking of Allen, let’s take a look at how dominant he’s been through 12 career playoff games:

  • 23 passing TDs, 4 INTs
  • 7 rushing TDs
  • 101.5 passer rating

Any chances the Bills have of exorcising their playoff demons will start and end with No. 17.

Allen has been a battering ram at the goal line all season. Last week, he rushed for two touchdowns in a 27-25 win over the Baltimore Ravens.

And in the regular season, he turned 18 carries within the 10-yard line into 10 touchdowns.

Allen found the end zone in six of his last eight regular-season games, including against the Chiefs in Week 11. These are great odds for a proven red-zone threat.

Kelce over 49.5 receiving yards (-295): Kelce was basically a non-factor during the regular season but came out of hibernation when it mattered most.

The future Hall of Famer logged seven catches for 117 yards in the divisional round, adding to his illustrious playoff resume.

  • Kelce has logged 2,020 receiving yards over 23 playoff games (87.8 average).
  • He’s put up 70+ yards in 14 straight playoff games, with 90+ yards in 10 of those contests.

Defences have been trying to gameplan Kelce for half a decade with little success. I would be shocked if he failed to crack 50 yards against a banged-up Bills secondary.

Kincaid over 29.5 receiving yards (-148): Kincaid hasn’t lived up to the billing as a first-round pick but can flip the narrative with one big game.

The thing is, we don’t even need a “big game” out of the 25-year-old for this to cash. Buffalo’s tight end has cleared this number in 10 of 15 games (regular season and playoffs) and draws a nice matchup.

Kansas City allowed the most receiving yards per game to tight ends this season (69.78), per CBS Sports.

Kincaid missed the regular-season matchup against the Chiefs but had 45 yards against them in the playoffs last season.

Picks made at 1:42 p.m. ET on 01/17/2025.

Kings vs. Nuggets same-game parlay predictions Jan. 23: Bet on Jokic and DeRozan at +300

Kings vs. Nuggets predicitions

Two of the league’s hottest teams meet in Denver on Thursday when the Nuggets host the Sacramento Kings.

The pregame narrative: Doug Christie has Sacramento rolling and I’ll back the team as a sizeable road underdog, even on a back-to-back. Prop bets on Nikola Jokic and DeMar DeRozan round out this +300 SGP.

Check out my Kings vs. Nuggets same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 23.

Kings vs. Nuggets predictions

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Embed: #107196

Parlay: Kings +12.5 + DeRozan over 19.5 points + Jokic over 1.5 threes (+360)

Kings +12.5 (-225): The Kings erased an 18-point deficit on Wednesday to beat the Golden State Warriors, 123-117, marking their 10th win in 11 games.

Check out how Sacramento has performed since Christie took over as head coach on Dec. 27:

  • 10-2 record
  • 118.7 offensive rating (4th)
  • 111.4 defensive rating (7th)
  • +7.3 net rating (4th)

The Nuggets have been even better, however, ranking first in offensive rating (123.7) and third in net rating (+10.0) in the same span. But are they 12.5 points better? I don’t think so.

The Kings have covered this number in four of the last five meetings against the Nuggets, winning three games outright.

SGP legs

DeRozan over 19.5 points (-190): DeRozan has started 2025 off on the right foot, averaging 25.1 PPG with three 30-plus point games.

That comes on the heels of a middling December, where he averaged 18.4 points and didn’t crack 30 once.

It seems Christie has given the veteran the green light to shoot more, and that’s helped increase DeRozan’s scoring floor.

  • December: 14.5 FGA/game, 20+ points in 5/13 games
  • January: 20.1 FGA/game, 20+ points in 8/10 games

Denver has the league’s 17th-ranked mid-range defence (42.8%), per Cleaning the Glass. DeRozan takes 73% of his shots from that area of the court, which is in the 100th percentile for all NBA players.

Jokic over 1.5 threes (-106): Jokic has only cleared this line once in his last six games, which probably explains this favourable price point.

But on the whole, he’s been money against a 1.5 three-point line this season.

  • 2+ threes in 23/37 starts
  • 47.5 3PT%

Sacramento owns the fifth-worst perimeter defence in the League (37.5%) and I expect Jokic to be active from beyond the arc.

Picks made at 1:02 p.m. ET 01/23/2025

Commanders vs. Eagles NFC championship prop picks: Back Jayden Daniels, A.J. Brown on Sunday

Commanders vs. Eagles prop picks

The Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles clash for a third time this season, and on Sunday, a Super Bowl appearance is on the line.

The pregame narrative: Jayden Daniels has put together a historic rookie campaign and I don’t expect him to slow down now. Bank on a strong outing from Washington’s quarterback and buy low on a struggling A.J. Brown.

Check out my Commanders vs. Eagles prop picks for the NFC championship game on Jan. 26.

Commanders vs. Eagles prop picks

Go to full NFL playoff betting markets.

Embed: #107155

Best bet: Daniels over 279.5 passing and rushing yards (-114)

Daniels was viewed as an elite prospect in last year’s draft but no one would have believed he could turn the franchise around this quickly.

After all, Washington went 3-14 last season and is now on the precipice of its first Super Bowl appearance in 33 years. It hasn’t been all Daniels, of course, but the rookie quarterback is without a doubt the biggest factor in the Commanders’ meteoric rise.

  • Daniels threw for 3,568 passing yards and rushed for 891 yards in the regular season. That averages out to 262.29 passing/rushing yards per game.
  • It’s worth noting he was partially rested in two of those games (Week 7 vs. Panthers, Week 18 vs. Cowboys).
  • Daniels is 4-1 against this line in his last five full regular season games, averaging 314.8 total yards per game. One of those matchups was in Week 16 against Philadelphia (258 passing, 81 rushing).

And it doesn’t seem like playoff nerves are getting to the 24-year-old.

Daniels has cleared this mark in both playoff games and is coming off a 350-yard performance against the No. 1-seeded Detroit Lions.

Philly’s defence presents a much tougher task but this kid just seems different. Don’t be surprised if he punches Washington’s ticket to the Super Bowl.

Key stat: Daniels is 6-1 against this mark in his last seven full games.

Quick pick

Brown 60+ receiving yards (-120): You know something isn’t right when a star athlete is reading self-help books during the game.

Brown is dealing with a minor knee injury and has accrued just three catches for 24 yards in the playoffs. It’s been ugly — so why do I want to back him?

Great players find ways to perform when it matters most, and Brown is a great player.

Philly’s WR1 has put up 4,031 receiving yards across three seasons with the team, netting out to an average of 85.7 per game. I’ll side with that large body of work over this slump.

Brown cleared this line in both regular season meetings against the Commanders. In their last matchup on Dec. 22, he hauled in 8-of-15 targets for 97 yards.

If he can get even around half as many targets I like his chances of blowing by this total.

Philadelphia opted for a ground-heavy attack after taking an early lead against the Green Bay Packers in the wild-card round. In the divisional matchup against the Los Angeles Rams, Brown saw seven targets but struggled to haul them in during a blizzard.

Washington’s secondary has been sub-par all season and I expect Brown to snap out of it and have a field day against his divisional rival.

Picks made at 2:41 p.m. ET on 01/22/2025.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks same-game parlay predictions Jan. 22: Bet on Edwards, Irving at +280

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks predictions

Two struggling teams meet when the Dallas Mavericks host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday night.

The pregame narrative: Anthony Edwards is on a tear and I expect him to will the T-Wolves to victory against the Luka Doncic-less Mavs. Bet on Kyrie Irving to clear an alternate point total to round out this +280 wager.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Mavericks same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 22.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks predictions

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Embed: #107117

Parlay: Timberwolves moneyline + Edwards over 3.5 threes + Irving 20+ points (+280)

Timberwolves moneyline (-150): The NBA is a star-dominated league, so I’ll back the team with its top dog available.

Dallas is 10-11 without Doncic in the lineup, including 1-4 across its last five. That includes a pair of double-digit-point losses to the Denver Nuggets and defeats to the Charlotte Hornets and New Orleans Pelicans.

Minnesota hasn’t found its groove this season but still has Edwards, who is having a monster start to 2025 (more on that later).

The T-Wolves beat the Mavericks, 105-99, in Dallas earlier this season with Doncic playing.

SGP legs

Edwards over 3.5 threes (-103): Edwards is back in MVP-calibre form.

The third-year guard is averaging 30.7 PPG this month while shooting 46.5% from deep. He’s hit at least three 3s in nine of 11 games this month, clearing this total eight times.

When backing a player on a 3-point market, bettors want to see either high volume or elite accuracy; Ant Man has both.

Edwards is attempting the fourth-most 3s per game (9.9) and is making them at the 13th-best rate (42.8%).

Dallas ranks 15th in opponent 3-point percentage, so it’s not like this is a tough matchup.

Edwards cleared this mark in both games against the Mavs this year, shooting a combined 11-for-20 from deep (55.0%).

Irving 20+ points (-560): I was debating backing Irving over 2.5 threes (-157) but will opt for a much safer 20-point milestone.

For as heavily juiced as this pick is, it still vaults the SGP from +195 to +280.

The veteran guard is crafty in the midrange and is an elite finisher at the rim. He’s putting up 24.2 PPG this season and has cleared this mark in 23 of 33 starts (69.7%).

The T-Wolves are a great defensive team, but if you were to split hairs, they struggle to defend the mid-range. Check out their defensive metrics courtesy of Cleaning the Glass (NBA ranks in parenthesis):

  • 3-point defence: 35.4% (5th)
  • Rim defence: 64.6% (8th)
  • Mid-range defence: 42.0% (12th)

Irving takes 42% of his shots from the mid-range, which ranks in the 92nd percentile for all NBA players. This should be a cinch.

Picks made at 11:47 a.m. ET 01/22/2025

Farmers Insurance Open picks, predictions and odds: Back Will Zalatoris, Max Homa at Torrey Pines

Farmers Insurance Open picks

The PGA Tour heads to Torrey Pines for the Famers Insurance Open.

The latest: Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffele remain sidelined with injuries, leaving the field wide open. I’m backing two California natives — Will Zalatoris and Max Homa — alongside Englishman Aaron Rai.

Check out our Farmers Insurance Open picks for the tournament beginning on Jan. 22.

Farmers Insurance Open picks

Click linked odds to add selection to betslip.

Embed: #107069

Go to full The American Express betting markets.

Best bet: Zalatoris to win (+2,200) & top-20 finish (+100)

I believe Zalatoris is primed for a big year and this seems like a good place to start.

  • Zalatoris finished T13 at the Farmers Insurance Open last year and lost in a playoff to Luke List in 2022.
  • He ranks second in the field for average strokes gained at Torrey Pines South (+1.74 — min. 5 rounds), according to Data Golf.
  • Strong driving is a pre-requisite at Torrey Pines and Zalatoris has gained strokes off-the-tee in eight straight starts.

Zalatoris had his 2023 season derailed with a back injury and never quite looked right in 2024 but I’m not worried about his health.

That’s because the 28-year-old’s recent results are encouraging. He’s made the cut at six straight events, finishing inside the top 20 four times.

Zalatoris tends to perform in the toughest conditions and Torrey Pines plays to an average of 1.13 shots over par. That’s the second-highest of any PGA Tour course.

Key stat: Zalatoris has gained over a stroke to the field in four of his last six starts.

Quick picks

Homa to win (+3,000) & top-20 finish (+150): Homa is coming off an awful season but I’m looking to buy low.

Four of Homa’s six PGA Tour wins have come in California, including one at this tournament in 2023. On top of that win, he finished T13 here last year and T9 in 2020.

The Burbank native is hitting the ball well right now, picking up strokes off-the-tee and on approach in consecutive starts.

Homa’s putter has let him down in that stretch but I’m hoping a familiar venue will help get the ball rolling.

Rai to win (+5,500) top-20 finish (+188): Asking Rai — who doesn’t hit the ball very far — to win might be a lot. Still, I’m happy to take a flier on him and am very bullish on these top-20 odds.

The Englishman had a stellar 2024, picking up a win at the Wyndham Championship to go along with 11 additional top 20s.

He’s extremely accurate off-the-tee, which will help him avoid the penal rough at Torrey Pines, and a solid iron player.

Rai finished T6 at this event in 2022 and could contend if the putter gets hot.

Golf picks made at 3:12 p.m. on 01/21/2025.

76ers vs. Nuggets same-game parlay predictions Jan. 21: Back Denver and Jamal Murray at +360

76ers vs. Nuggets predictions

The Denver Nuggets are heavily favoured against the Joel Embiid-less Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday.

The pregame narrative: Denver is rolling and I expect it to win by double digits at home. Prop bets on each team’s point guard — Jamal Murray and Tyrese Maxey — round out this +360 wager.

Check out my 76ers vs. Nuggets same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 21.

76ers vs. Nuggets predictions

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Embed: #107044

Parlay: Nuggets -9.5 + Murray over 25.5 points/assists + Maxey over 5.5 assists (+360)

Nuggets -9.5 (-200): Sometimes teams need a fire lit under its behind. Back on Dec. 27, the Nuggets were blown out by the Cleveland Cavaliers, 149-135, in Denver.

But Michael Malone’s squad has looked like a championship-calibre team since getting embarrassed on its home court:

  • 10-3 record
  • 121.4 offensive rating (best in NBA)
  • +10.0 net rating (second-best in NBA)

The Nuggets covered this number in all 10 wins and didn’t have Nikola Jokic available for two of the losses. It’s been incredible, really.

I can smell a blowout coming with Jokic in the lineup and Embiid out. Philly is 8-20 without the 2023 MVP this season.

SGP legs

Murray over 25.5 points/assists (-112): Murray has been a big part of Denver’s recent success. Check out his numbers during its 10-3 run:

  • 21.7 PPG
  • 5.4 APG
  • 48.9 FG%

The Canadian point guard has cleared this total in three of the last four games, shooting over 50.0% in each contest.

If he keeps up the volume, I believe Murray could clear this mark on points alone.

Philly gives up the 12th-most overall assists per game (24.8) and the ninth-most points per game to opposing point guards (24.9), according to Fantasy Pros.

Maxey over 5.5 assists (-215): I backed Maxey to clear his 6.5 assist total in Tuesday’s best NBA prop bets and will tease that number down for some extra security.

Philly’s point guard averages about one fewer assist without Embiid (5.5) than he does with him (6.6). That said, Maxey has cleared this mark in six of the past eight games without the big man.

Denver is also a good matchup for him to produce, as it allows the third-most assists per game to point guards (10.07).

Maxey had nine helpers in his last game against the Nuggets, though Embiid was playing.

Picks made at 1:02 p.m. ET 01/21/2025