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Best NHL anytime goalscorer picks March 11: Back Sam Reinhart and Alexander Ovechkin on Tuesday

Sam Reinhart and Alexander Ovechkin are my two picks to score a goal during Tuesday’s NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: Ovechkin is nine goals away from breaking Wayne Gretzky’s record and has a dream matchup against the Anaheim Ducks. Before that, look for Reinhart to inflict damage against a Boston Bruins team that has waved the white flag.

Check out my NHL anytime goal picks for March 11.

NHL anytime goal picks

Best Bet: Ovechkin to score a goal (+105)

I’m not betting on Ovechkin just to ride the hype train.

The Great Eight is on a rampage, scoring 33 goals in 48 games despite breaking his leg in the middle of the season. He’s netted seven goals since the NHL’s 4 Nations Face-Off break and has cashed this wager in five of his last seven games.

With that said, and considering his opponent tonight, I’m a little surprised this sits at plus money.

Anaheim has over-indexed this season based on expectations but is still a mediocre 28-28-7, mainly because of its awful defence.

Check out how the Ducks rank defensively on 60-minute basis, courtesy of Natural Stat Trick:

32nd in high-danger chances (13.4)
31st in chances (66.22)
30th in shots (31.55)
20th in goals (2.99)

The only reason Anaheim doesn’t give up the most goals per game is because of Lukas Dostal, whose .912 save percentage ranks 10th in the NHL.

But I’ll take my chances with Ovechkin firing at will against the young netminder.

Key stat: Ovechkin’s 2.32 goals per 60 ranks first in the NHL.

Quick picks

Reinhart to score a goal (+130): Florida made waves during last Friday’s NHL trade deadline when it acquired Brad Marchand from Boston for a second-round pick.

The move firmly signified a re-tooling period for a Bruins team that had been a perennial Cup contender.

Other big names that departed were Charlie Coyle (Colorado), Trent Frederic (New Jersey) and Brandon Carlo (Toronto).

Boston is rolling out a weak team against Florida and I expect the Panthers to cruise even with Matthew Tkachuk sidelined and Marchand uncertain to play.

Reinhart leads all Panthers skaters with 32 goals and is coming off a season where he scored a career-high 57. The first-line winger — slotted alongside Aleksander Barkov and Carter Verhaeghe — should have plenty of opportunities to torch the Bs tonight.

Boston has lost eight of its last 10 games while allowing 2.9 goals per game.

Reinhart has scored six goals in his last five regular season games against Boston, clearing this mark four times.

NHL anytime goal picks made at 11:20 a.m. ET on 03/11/2025.

Best NHL anytime goalscorer picks March 11: Back Sam Reinhart and Alexander Ovechkin on Tuesday

Sam Reinhart and Alexander Ovechkin are my two picks to score a goal during Tuesday’s NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: Ovechkin is nine goals away from breaking Wayne Gretzky’s record and has a dream matchup against the Anaheim Ducks. Before that, look for Reinhart to inflict damage against a Boston Bruins team that has waved the white flag.

Check out my NHL anytime goal picks for March 11.

NHL anytime goal picks

Best Bet: Ovechkin to score a goal (+108)

Embed: #111151

I’m not betting on Ovechkin just to ride the hype train.

The Great Eight is on a rampage, scoring 33 goals in 48 games despite breaking his leg in the middle of the season. He’s netted seven goals since the NHL’s 4 Nations Face-Off break and has cashed this wager in five of his last seven games.

With that said, and considering his opponent tonight, I’m a little surprised this sits at plus money.

Anaheim has over-indexed this season based on expectations but is still a mediocre 28-28-7, mainly because of its awful defence.

Check out how the Ducks rank defensively on 60-minute basis, courtesy of Natural Stat Trick:

32nd in high-danger chances (13.4)
31st in chances (66.22)
30th in shots (31.55)
20th in goals (2.99)

The only reason Anaheim doesn’t give up the most goals per game is because of Lukas Dostal, whose .912 save percentage ranks 10th in the NHL.

But I’ll take my chances with Ovechkin firing at will against the young netminder.

Key stat: Ovechkin’s 2.32 goals per 60 ranks first in the NHL.

Quick picks

Reinhart to score a goal (+107): Florida made waves during last Friday’s NHL trade deadline when it acquired Brad Marchand from Boston for a second-round pick.

The move firmly signified a re-tooling period for a Bruins team that had been a perennial Cup contender.

Other big names that departed were Charlie Coyle (Colorado), Trent Frederic (New Jersey) and Brandon Carlo (Toronto).

Boston is rolling out a weak team against Florida and I expect the Panthers to cruise even with Matthew Tkachuk sidelined and Marchand uncertain to play.

Reinhart leads all Panthers skaters with 32 goals and is coming off a season where he scored a career-high 57. The first-line winger — slotted alongside Aleksander Barkov and Carter Verhaeghe — should have plenty of opportunities to torch the Bs tonight.

Boston has lost eight of its last 10 games while allowing 2.9 goals per game.

Reinhart has scored six goals in his last five regular season games against Boston, clearing this mark four times.

NHL anytime goal picks made at 11:20 a.m. ET on 03/11/2025.

Bucks vs. Pacers SGP predictions March 11: Bet on Milwuakee to win, Giannis to produce at +325

The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers re-ignite their rivalry on Tuesday night.

The pregame narrative: Only one game separates Milwaukee (36-27) and Indiana (35-28) in the standings coming down the home stretch. The Bucks have won both meetings against the Pacers this season, and I expect them to pick up another W behind Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Check out my Bucks vs. Pacers SGP predictions for March 11.

Bucks vs. Pacers predictions

Parlay: Bucks ML | Giannis 30+ points | Nesmith 2+ threes (+325)

Embed: #111146

Bucks moneyline (-148): This seems like a solid spot to back Milwaukee. The squad enters this contest coming off consecutive losses but had won eight of nine before that.

Take a look at how the Bucks have performed following the all-star break:

7-3 record
+6.0 net rating (8th in the NBA)
108.8 defensive rating (3rd)

A big storyline worth monitoring is the availability of Tyrese Haliburton (questionable), who has missed the last three games with a hip injury.

Indiana lost all three of those games, and if he’s out again, bettors should expect the line to move in Milwaukee’s favour. But I like this wager even if Haliburton plays, considering his recent struggles against the Bucks.

Haliburton has averaged 17.4 points on 41.1% shooting in his last five games versus Milwaukee.

The Bucks beat the Pacers twice this season by a combined 20 points with Haliburton in the lineup.

NBA SGP legs

Giannis 30+ points (-190): All we’re asking out of Giannis tonight is an average performance in an A-plus matchup.

The Greek Freak is averaging 30.1 PPG this season (second in the NBA) and has cleared this line in three straight games.

If you think that’s impressive, check out what he’s done in his last 10 games against the Pacers:

38.2 PPG
64.8% shooting
30+ points in 8 of 10 games
40+ points three times

I expect Giannis to feast once again versus a Pacers team allowing the third-most PPG to power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

Nesmith 2+ threes (-139): Backing Aaron Nesmith to nail a pair of 3s more than doubles this wager’s odds from +128 to +325.

And I don’t think it’s a huge ask considering the small forward’s form and Milwaukee’s defensive tendencies.

Nesmith is averaging 2.6 threes per game on 40.6% shooting since the all-star break.
In that span, he is 8-2 vs. this line.
Milwaukee is allowing the 6th-most 3s per game (39.1).

Nesmith missed both games against the Bucks this year but has been productive against them in the past, averaging 2.3 threes against them on 47.7% shooting since joining the Pacers (nine-game sample).

Bucks vs. Pacers predictions made at 10:00 a.m. ET on 03/11/2025.

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Dennis Shapovalov vs. Carlos Alcaraz Indian Wells odds: Canadian is a heavy underdog in Round of 32

Denis Shapovalov faces a stern test at the Indian Wells Open when he battles Carlos Alcaraz in the Round of 32.

The pregame narrative: The Canadian beat unseeded Adam Walton in the Round of 64 and now gets the world’s No. 3 ranked player. Alcaraz disposed of his last opponent, Quentin Halys, in straight sets and is a massive favourite to advance on Monday.

Check out the odds for Shapovalov vs. Alcaraz in the Round of 32 matchup.

Shapovalov vs. Alcaraz odds

Go to full Shapovalov vs. Alcaraz betting markets.

Betting markets	Odds
Shapovalov to win	+350
Alcaraz to win	-600
Shapovalov +4.5 games	-118
Alcaraz -4.5 games	-112
Over 21.5 total games	+105
Under 21.5 total games	-138

ATP odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET on 03/09/2025.

Shapovalov has to be at his best to see the last 16 at Indian Wells.

Alcaraz isn’t in top form but he’s still one of the best on Earth. In his last tournament at the Qatar Open, the Spaniard was shockingly bounced in the quarterfinal by Jiri Lehecka, reminding us that he is indeed human.

But his only other loss this season was to Novak Djokovic at the Australian Open.

Alcaraz won ATP Rotterdam in early February and has a good chance of securing this title with Alexander Zverev bowing out in the Round of 64.

Shapovalov has already proven himself capable of big things this year, though.

He beat reputable competitors like Taylor Fritz, Tommy Paul and Casper Rudd en route to winning the Dallas Open, which was the biggest achievement of his career thus far.

Still, Alcaraz is favoured to win this one in straight sets. These two met once before, at Roland Garros in 2023, and Alcaraz won 6-1, 6-4, 6-2.

Champions League Round of 16 picks and predictions: Take the under in Arsenal vs. PSV

The second leg of the Champions League Round of 16 takes place this week and I’ve got two bets for the action.

The pregame narrative: On Tuesday, back Robert Lewandowski to score for Barcelona against Benfica at home. After that, take the under at Emirates Stadium when Arsenal hosts PSV with a 7-1 aggregate lead.

Check out the best Champions League predictions for the Round of 16 second leg.

Champions League predictions

Go to full Champions League betting markets.

Best Bet: Lewandowski to score (-188)

Lewandowski was held off the score sheet in the first leg of this matchup, which Barcelona won 1-0.

But that’s been a rarity for the Polish striker lately and I expect him to get back in the mix on Tuesday.

Lewandowski generated 0.7 xG against Benfica in the first leg, the most of any player on either team, according to FBRef.
He has 30 goals across 34 La Liga and Champions League appearances this season, including nine goals in nine UCL games.
Lewandowski had scored in seven of his last nine games prior to last Wednesday’s match against Benfica.

Cracking Bruno Lage’s defence won’t be easy — Benfica has conceded the fewest goals in Liga Portugal (18) — but Barcelona should be up for the task.

Hansi Flick’s side has scored the most UCL goals per game (3.2) while generating the sixth-most xG (22.0), per FotMob.

Key stat: Lewandowski’s 1.07 xG/90 is the second-highest in the tournament.

Quick pick

Under 2.5 goals (+110): Arsenal’s main goal during Wednesday’s fixture against PSV should be to leave the pitch healthy.

The Gunners leapt out to a massive 7-1 lead on aggregate last week with Martin Odegaard bagging a brace and five of his teammates chipping in.

It was a massive overperformance, considering Arsenal only generated 1.9 xG.

PSV’s lone goal came on a penalty and I struggle to see it produce any offence at the Emirates with Mikel Arteta likely playing a hyper-defensive style.

Arsenal has conceded the fewest xG in the tournament (7.2) and had gone under this mark in four straight games across all competitions prior to last week’s drumming.

Picks made at 1:48 p.m. on 03/09/25.

Dennis Shapovalov vs. Carlos Alcaraz Indian Wells odds: Canadian is a heavy underdog in Round of 32

Denis Shapovalov faces a stern test at the Indian Wells Open when he battles Carlos Alcaraz in the Round of 32.

The pregame narrative: The Canadian beat unseeded Adam Walton in the Round of 64 and now gets the world’s No. 3 ranked player. Alcaraz disposed of his last opponent, Quentin Halys, in straight sets and is a massive favourite to advance on Monday.

Check out the odds for Shapovalov vs. Alcaraz in the Round of 32 matchup.

Shapovalov vs. Alcaraz odds

Go to full Shapovalov vs. Alcaraz betting markets.

Click link to add selection to betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

Betting markets	Odds
Shapovalov to win	+410
Alcaraz to win	-560
Shapovalov +1.5 sets	+135
Alcaraz -1.5 sets	-175
Shapovalov +4.5 games	-109
Alcaraz -4.5 games	-115
Over 22.5 total games	+107
Under 22.5 total games	-137

ATP odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET on 03/09/2025.

Shapovalov has to be at his best to see the last 16 at Indian Wells.

Alcaraz isn’t in top form but he’s still one of the best on Earth. In his last tournament at the Qatar Open, the Spaniard was shockingly bounced in the quarterfinal by Jiri Lehecka, reminding us that he is indeed human.

But his only other loss this season was to Novak Djokovic at the Australian Open.

Alcaraz won ATP Rotterdam in early February and has a good chance of securing this title with Alexander Zverev bowing out in the Round of 64.

Shapovalov has already proven himself capable of big things this year, though.

He beat reputable competitors like Taylor Fritz, Tommy Paul and Casper Rudd en route to winning the Dallas Open, which was the biggest achievement of his career thus far.

Still, Alcaraz is favoured to win this one in straight sets. These two met once before, at Roland Garros in 2023, and Alcaraz won 6-1, 6-4, 6-2.

Champions League Round of 16 picks and predictions: Take the under in Arsenal vs. PSV

The second leg of the Champions League Round of 16 takes place this week and I’ve got two bets for the action.

The pregame narrative: On Tuesday, back Robert Lewandowski to score for Barcelona against Benfica at home. After that, take the under at Emirates Stadium when Arsenal hosts PSV with a 7-1 aggregate lead.

Check out the best Champions League predictions for the Round of 16 second leg.

Champions League predictions

Go to full Champions League betting markets.

Best Bet: Lewandowski to score (-114)

Embed: #111102

Lewandowski was held off the score sheet in the first leg of this matchup, which Barcelona won 1-0.

But that’s been a rarity for the Polish striker lately and I expect him to get back in the mix on Tuesday.

Lewandowski generated 0.7 xG against Benfica in the first leg, the most of any player on either team, according to FBRef.
He has 30 goals across 34 La Liga and Champions League appearances this season, including nine goals in nine UCL games.
Lewandowski had scored in seven of his last nine games prior to last Wednesday’s match against Benfica.

Cracking Bruno Lage’s defence won’t be easy — Benfica has conceded the fewest goals in Liga Portugal (18) — but Barcelona should be up for the task.

Hansi Flick’s side has scored the most UCL goals per game (3.2) while generating the sixth-most xG (22.0), per FotMob.

Key stat: Lewandowski’s 1.07 xG/90 is the second-highest in the tournament.

Quick pick

Under 2.5 goals (+118): Arsenal’s main goal during Wednesday’s fixture against PSV should be to leave the pitch healthy.

The Gunners leapt out to a massive 7-1 lead on aggregate last week with Martin Odegaard bagging a brace and five of his teammates chipping in.

It was a massive overperformance, considering Arsenal only generated 1.9 xG.

PSV’s lone goal came on a penalty and I struggle to see it produce any offence at the Emirates with Mikel Arteta likely playing a hyper-defensive style.

Arsenal has conceded the fewest xG in the tournament (7.2) and had gone under this mark in four straight games across all competitions prior to last week’s drumming.

Picks made at 1:48 p.m. on 03/09/25.

Best NHL anytime goalscorer picks March 9: Back Alex Ovechkin, Mikko Rantanen

I’m targeting two big names to score a goal during Sunday’s NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: Alex Ovechkin is 10 goals away from passing Wayne Gretzky’s all-time record and is a solid bet to get closer today. Elsewhere, look for the newly-acquired Mikko Rantanen to produce for the Dallas Stars.

Check out my NHL anytime goal picks for March 9.

NHL anytime goal picks

Best Bet: Ovechkin to score (+100)

It’s looking more and more likely that Ovechkin will be the league’s all-time leading scorer before the playoffs begin.

The future Hall of Famer is in a great spot to put one home against the Seattle Kraken.

Seattle played on Saturday and started Philipp Grubauer, meaning Joey Daccord is between the pipes tonight — and the American netminder has struggled lately.

Daccord has an .848 save percentage in his last four starts.
He’s allowed 16 total goals in that span with at least three in every game.

Ovechkin has 31 goals on the season despite missing 17 games with a broken leg. He’s scored 17 times in 29 games since returning from injury and has six goals in eight games following the 4 Nations Face-Off break.

The Russian machine can’t be stopped and everyone on Washington is hyper-focused on helping Ovechkin pass the finish line.

Seattle also has the 12th-worst PK in the NHL and that’s where Ovechkin is at his most dangerous.

Key stat: Ovechkin leads all skaters in goals per 60 (2.29) and is second in shots per 60 (12.68), according to Natural Stat Trick.

Quick picks

Rantanen to score (+145): It’s been a weird year for Rantanen, who was traded from the Colorado Avalanche to the Carolina Hurricanes before being flipped again to the Dallas Stars during Friday’s trade deadline.

The Finnish superstar inked an eight-year deal with his new club and scored a goal in his debut. Hopefully that’s a sign of good things to come.

We all know Rantanen can score. He has 55 and 42 goals in his last two full seasons with the Avs and has 28 this year despite playing for three different teams.

It’s unclear who will start in net for the Vancouver Canucks, Rantanen’s opponent, tonight.

But the Canucks give up the seventh-most chances per 60, so I like his chances regardless.

Picks made at 11:02 a.m. ET on 03/09/2025.

Best NHL anytime goalscorer picks March 9: Back Alex Ovechkin, Mikko Rantanen

I’m targeting two big names to score a goal during Sunday’s NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: Alex Ovechkin is 10 goals away from passing Wayne Gretzky’s all-time record and is a solid bet to get closer today. Elsewhere, look for the newly-acquired Mikko Rantanen to produce for the Dallas Stars.

Check out my NHL anytime goal picks for March 9.

NHL anytime goal picks

Best Bet: Ovechkin to score (+104)

Embed: #111095

It’s looking more and more likely that Ovechkin will be the league’s all-time leading scorer before the playoffs begin.

The future Hall of Famer holds -182 odds to accomplish that and is in a great spot to put one home against the Seattle Kraken.

Seattle played on Saturday and started Philipp Grubauer, meaning Joey Daccord is between the pipes tonight — and the American netminder has struggled lately.

Daccord has an .848 save percentage in his last four starts.
He’s allowed 16 total goals in that span with at least three in every game.

Ovechkin has 31 goals on the season despite missing 17 games with a broken leg. He’s scored 17 times in 29 games since returning from injury and has six goals in eight games following the 4 Nations Face-Off break.

The Russian machine can’t be stopped and everyone on Washington is hyper-focused on helping Ovechkin pass the finish line.

Seattle also has the 12th-worst PK in the NHL and that’s where Ovechkin is at his most dangerous.

Key stat: Ovechkin leads all skaters in goals per 60 (2.29) and is second in shots per 60 (12.68), according to Natural Stat Trick.

Quick picks

Rantanen to score (+160): It’s been a weird year for Rantanen, who was traded from the Colorado Avalanche to the Carolina Hurricanes before being flipped again to the Dallas Stars during Friday’s trade deadline.

The Finnish superstar inked an eight-year deal with his new club and scored a goal in his debut. Hopefully that’s a sign of good things to come.

We all know Rantanen can score. He has 55 and 42 goals in his last two full seasons with the Avs and has 28 this year despite playing for three different teams.

It’s unclear who will start in net for the Vancouver Canucks, Rantanen’s opponent, tonight.

But the Canucks give up the seventh-most chances per 60, so I like his chances regardless.

Picks made at 11:02 a.m. ET on 03/09/2025.

Spurs vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions March 9: Back Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle at +380

Three player props constitute Sunday’s +380 SGP for the Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs matchup.

The pregame narrative: Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle have been a dynamite one-two punch this month, and I expect both of them to have a productive outing. On the other side, back Chris Paul to clear a modest assist milestone.

Check out my Spurs vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions for March 9.

Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions

Parlay: Randle 35+ PRA | Edwards 4+ threes | Paul 6+ assists (+380)

Embed: #111081

Randle 35+ points/rebounds/assists (-105): I would urge bettors to keep an eye on the Timberwolves’ injury report leading up to tip-off.

Rudy Gobert (back), who hasn’t played since Feb. 12, is questionable to suit up. This wager could swing a couple of counting stats in either direction based on his availability, but I like Randle’s chances of having a big night regardless.

The power forward is averaging 18.5 points, 8.5 rebounds and 6.5 assists (33.5 PRA) since returning to the lineup on March 2.

He’s only cleared this line in one of four games but draws an A-plus matchup against a Spurs team sans Victor Wembanyama.

San Antonio ranks 29th in rebounding rate since the all-star break. It’s also giving up the second-most PPG to power forwards over the last 30 days, according to Fantasy Pros.

NBA SGP legs

Edwards 4+ threes (-132): Edwards has been reliable against this number all season, shooting with both accuracy (40.1%) and volume (10.1 attempts/game) from beyond the arc.

And over the last 15 games he’s shooting and making plenty of 3s:

4.2 makes on 11.3 attempts
4+ threes in 9 of 15 games
3+ threes in 12 of 15 games

Edwards lives around this number on a nightly basis. And San Antonio provides a solid matchup for the guard to stay hot.

Since Wemby went down with an injury, the Spurs are giving up the ninth-most 3-point attempts per game.

Paul 6+ assists (-195): One worry with this wager is that the T-Wolves could run away with things if Randle and Edwards are cooking. That would likely mean fewer minutes for starting players.

But I’m hoping Paul can dish out enough assists to the likes of De’Aaron Fox and Devin Vassell to keep this one close.

The veteran PG is averaging 7.9 assists this year. He has cleared this mark in six of nine games with Wembanyama sidelined.

Paul has played the T-Wolves three times in 2024-25 and went well over this mark each time, tallying 36 total assists.

NBA picks made at 9:15 a.m. ET on 03/09/2025.