Denis Shapovalov faces a stern test at the Indian Wells Open when he battles Carlos Alcaraz in the Round of 32.
The pregame narrative: The Canadian beat unseeded Adam Walton in the Round of 64 and now gets the world’s No. 3 ranked player. Alcaraz disposed of his last opponent, Quentin Halys, in straight sets and is a massive favourite to advance on Monday.
Check out the odds for Shapovalov vs. Alcaraz in the Round of 32 matchup.
Shapovalov vs. Alcaraz odds
Go to full Shapovalov vs. Alcaraz betting markets.
| Betting markets | Odds |
| Shapovalov to win | +350 |
| Alcaraz to win | -600 |
| Shapovalov +4.5 games | -118 |
| Alcaraz -4.5 games | -112 |
| Over 21.5 total games | +105 |
| Under 21.5 total games | -138 |
ATP odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET on 03/09/2025.
Shapovalov has to be at his best to see the last 16 at Indian Wells.
Alcaraz isn’t in top form but he’s still one of the best on Earth. In his last tournament at the Qatar Open, the Spaniard was shockingly bounced in the quarterfinal by Jiri Lehecka, reminding us that he is indeed human.
But his only other loss this season was to Novak Djokovic at the Australian Open.
Alcaraz won ATP Rotterdam in early February and has a good chance of securing this title with Alexander Zverev bowing out in the Round of 64.
Shapovalov has already proven himself capable of big things this year, though.
He beat reputable competitors like Taylor Fritz, Tommy Paul and Casper Rudd en route to winning the Dallas Open, which was the biggest achievement of his career thus far.
Still, Alcaraz is favoured to win this one in straight sets. These two met once before, at Roland Garros in 2023, and Alcaraz won 6-1, 6-4, 6-2.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.