Avery Perri

Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.

5 picks to win the 2025 Masters: Augusta National golf predictions on Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas and more

Masters predictions

It’s Masters week, meaning someone will have an extra green jacket come Sunday. Let’s try and predict who that will be.

The latest: Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are the clear-cut favourites to win, but I’m turning elsewhere for value. Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas are my favourite plays. I’m also keen on Brooks Koepka, Sepp Straka and Will Zalatoris.

Check out my Masters predictions for the major championship beginning on April 10.

Masters predictions

Best bet: Rahm to win (+1,400)

Embed: #112218

Not long ago, Rahm was the consensus No. 1 player in the world — and then Scheffler came along.

But Rahm was still regarded as one of the game’s best after Scheffler took the throne, and I don’t think the Spaniard is that far off despite lurking in the shadows over on LIV.

He’s finished inside the top 10 in every start this year and just gained a ton of shots on approach (+0.68) and off the tee (+1.55) while finishing T9 at the difficult Trump National Doral.

Full Masters betting markets

I’ll happily strike Rahm’s T45 finish last year at the Masters from the record.

He had just switched tours and was the topic of heavy criticism while defending his title. He had made seven starts at Augusta before that, never finishing outside of the top 30 with five top 10s and a win.

Rahm also finished T7 at last year’s Open Championship, so it’s not like the entire major season was filled with bad vibes.

Key stat: Rahm’s +2.50 average strokes gained at Augusta is the fourth-best of anyone in this event with more than one start, per DataGolf.

Best bets to win Masters

Thomas to win (+2,000) & top-20 finish (-125): This is the best golf we’ve seen Thomas play in a long time, and I want to strike while the iron is hot.

The two-time major champ is gaining strokes across the board, hasn’t missed a cut all season, and is coming off a runner-up finish at the Valspar Championship.

In the last three months, he ranks ninth in strokes gained: approach and around-the-green. But perhaps more importantly, he’s rolling the rock well (23rd in strokes gained: putting).

Thomas flashed his elite ceiling by tying the course record at TPC Sawgrass last month with a 10-under 62. He’s contended at Augusta before, and I expect him to be a force this weekend.

Brooks Kopeka to win (+3,500) & top-20 finish (+125): I don’t want to be standing there with my pants down when Koepka wins another major championship.

It’s hard to predict how the five-time winner will play leading into the majors. But he did have a runner-up finish on LIV in March, and his Masters record speaks for itself (two runners-up, T7).

Koepka has been the greatest major golfer of this generation, and he’s far from over the hill at 34 years old. I’ll take a wing at palatable odds.

Bet on the Masters

Masters predictions: Semi-long shots

Straka to win (+5,000) & top-20 finish (+163): Straka has been a top-five iron player in the world this year, which is the bedrock of his impressive run:

  • 10 starts
  • Seven top 20s
  • Three top 10s
  • One win (American Express)

Straka is Austrian, but he attended the University of Georgia after his family moved to the state when he was 14. The Bulldog will contend when the putter gets hot. And he’s coming off a career-best T16 finish at Augusta last year — I love these odds.

Zalatoris to win (+5,500) & top-20 finish (+170): I bet on Zalatoris to win this event back in March and I’ll stick with it, despite a mediocre run of form.

The 28-year-old has gained strokes tee-to-green in eight straight starts, finishing inside the top 30 six times.

He hasn’t really threatened to win but was one shot off the lead at the Players Championship before a disastrous run of holes. Still, Zalatoris has a habit of turning up at majors, with seven top-10 finishes in 14 starts.

He has finished second, T6 and T9 in his three Masters starts.

Masters predictions made at 2:44 p.m. on 04/07/2025.

Best NBA prop bets April 5: Bet on Anthony Edwards, Giannis Antetokounmpo on Saturday

NBA prop bets

Anthony Edwards and Giannis Antetokounmpo headline Saturday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Edwards has a very attainable 3-point total against the Philadelphia 76ers while Giannis should keep his 30-point streak alive tonight against the Miami Heat. I’m also fading Memphis’ Zach Edey on the glass.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 5.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Edwards 3.5 threes (-118)

I’ve backed Edwards to clear his 3-point total in consecutive outings, and he’s come through.

The only thing that would give me pause about doing it again is Edwards playing reduced minutes in a blowout, with the Timberwolves being 15-point road favourites on Saturday.

But if Minnesota plans on running Philadelphia out of its building, it will likely be because Ant-Man has a game.

Edwards has been one of the league’s best 3-point shooters this season, ranking second in makes (4.0) and attempts (10.1) per game. And look what he’s done from deep in his last four games:

  • April 3 vs. Brooklyn: 5-for-10
  • April 1 vs. Denver: 5-for-15
  • March 30 vs. Detroit: 4-for-10
  • March 28 vs. Phoenix: 4-for-10

The 76ers are trotting out a disgustingly bad lineup in a blatant tank job to get yet another No. 1 pick. So unsurprisingly, their defence — particularly beyond the arc — has been horrible.

Key stat: Philadelphia’s opponents are shooting 38.0% from deep, the second-highest mark in the NBA.

Best NBA picks

Antetokounmpo over 29.5 points (-108): Giannis is likely going to finish third in MVP voting behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic and it’s not hard to see why.

The Greek Freak is averaging 30.4 points per game (second-best in the NBA) on 60.2% shooting and has been cooking down the home stretch.

He has scored 30-plus points in six straight games, shooting above 60.0% in each of those contests.

The Milwaukee Bucks take on a Miami Heat team which is above average defensively, though Giannis has been efficient against them in the past.

He’s 3-3 against this line in his last six games vs. Miami while shooting 58.5% from the field.

Edey under 10.5 rebounds (-125): Fading a 7-foot-4 centre on the glass is always scary, but this seems like the spot to do it.

Edey is going up against a Detroit Pistons team which ranks fourth in rebounding rate (51.3%) and allows the fourth-fewest rebounds to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

The Canadian has cleared this mark in consecutive games but was 1-9 against this mark in the 10 games before that. He’s also only averaging 7.9 rebounds as a starter this season, which is well below this number.

NBA prop picks made at 11:15 a.m. ET on 04/05/2025.

Best NBA prop bets April 5: Bet on Anthony Edwards, Giannis Antetokounmpo on Saturday

NBA prop bets

Anthony Edwards and Giannis Antetokounmpo headline Saturday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Edwards has a very attainable 3-point total against the Philadelphia 76ers while Giannis should keep his 30-point streak alive tonight against the Miami Heat. I’m also fading Memphis’ Zach Edey on the glass.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 5.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Edwards 3.5 threes (-121)

Embed: #112157

I’ve backed Edwards to clear his 3-point total in consecutive outings, and he’s come through.

The only thing that would give me pause about doing it again is Edwards playing reduced minutes in a blowout, with the Timberwolves being 15-point road favourites on Saturday.

But if Minnesota plans on running Philadelphia out of its building, it will likely be because Ant-Man has a game.

Edwards has been one of the league’s best 3-point shooters this season, ranking second in makes (4.0) and attempts (10.1) per game. And look what he’s done from deep in his last four games:

  • April 3 vs. Brooklyn: 5-for-10
  • April 1 vs. Denver: 5-for-15
  • March 30 vs. Detroit: 4-for-10
  • March 28 vs. Phoenix: 4-for-10

The 76ers are trotting out a disgustingly bad lineup in a blatant tank job to get yet another No. 1 pick. So unsurprisingly, their defence — particularly beyond the arc — has been horrible.

Key stat: Philadelphia’s opponents are shooting 38.0% from deep, the second-highest mark in the NBA.

Best NBA picks

Antetokounmpo over 28.5 points (-124): Giannis is likely going to finish third in MVP voting behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic and it’s not hard to see why.

The Greek Freak is averaging 30.4 points per game (second-best in the NBA) on 60.2% shooting and has been cooking down the home stretch.

He has scored 30-plus points in six straight games, shooting above 60.0% in each of those contests.

The Milwaukee Bucks take on a Miami Heat team which is above average defensively, though Giannis has been efficient against them in the past.

He’s 3-3 against this line in his last six games vs. Miami while shooting 58.5% from the field.

Edey under 9.5 rebounds (+102): Fading a 7-foot-4 centre on the glass is always scary, but this seems like the spot to do it.

Edey is going up against a Detroit Pistons team which ranks fourth in rebounding rate (51.3%) and allows the fourth-fewest rebounds to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

The Canadian has cleared this mark in consecutive games but was 1-9 against this mark in the 10 games before that. He’s also only averaging 7.9 rebounds as a starter this season, which is well below this number.

NBA prop picks made at 11:15 a.m. ET on 04/05/2025.

Best MLB prop bets April 5: Back Jacob deGrom and Robbie Ray to deal on Saturday

MLB prop bets

Two former Cy Young winners headline Saturday’s MLB prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Jacob deGrom and Robbie Ray face a pair of strikeout-prone teams. I’m backing the former to work deep against the Tampa Bay Rays and the latter to clear his K total against the Seattle Mariners. Also, bet on Rafael Devers to score.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for April 5.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Ray over 6.5 Ks (-121)

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The San Francisco Giants are banking on Ray returning to elite form, and he’s looked solid so far.

Last year, after returning from Tommy John surgery, the lefty posted a 33.3% K rate and 36.0% whiff rate in 30.2 innings for San Francisco.

It’s a small sample, but both would have ranked above the 95th percentile, per Baseball Savant.

And in this year’s debut, Ray carried a perfect game into the sixth inning before giving up three hits — two of which were home runs — to the Cincinnati Reds.

He ended that contest with four Ks and 78 pitches, a respectable workload. With a slightly longer leash, I expect Ray to toy with a strikeout-prone Mariners squad on Saturday.

  • Seattle had the fourth-highest K rate against LHP last year (25.5%).
  • This year, the Mariners have the fifth-highest K rate against LHP (29.0%).

Key stat: Seattle has faced three left-handed pitchers this season. Tarik Skubal (5.1 IP, 8 Ks), JP Sears (6.2 IP, 7 Ks) and Jeffrey Springs (6.0 IP, 9 Ks) all cleared this number.

Best MLB picks

deGrom over 16.5 outs (-103): I picked deGrom to win the AL Cy Young this season, and you’re going to see me back him quite a bit this year on the prop market.

This line asks deGrom to record 5.2 IP, which isn’t much.

The fireballing righty was dominant in his season debut, throwing five scoreless innings against the Boston Red Sox with six strikeouts and two walks.

Texas probably doesn’t want deGrom working too late into ballgames just yet, but I think he can keep his pitch count low against the Rays.

Tampa Bay had a 24.6% K rate (fifth-highest) and 92 wRC+ (seventh-lowest) against righties last year.

Devers to score (+107): Devers started his season off by going 0-for-19 with 15 strikeouts in March.

It was a comically bad way to begin the year, but the three-time all-star has shaken things off, and I want in.

Devers is 5-for-11 in April with a .571 OBP. He’s scored three runs in his last two games and has a good chance to add another against St. Louis Cardinals righty Andre Pallante.

Pallante doesn’t surrender a ton of hard contact but ranked in the 14th percentile for K rate last season (18.5) and 29th percentile for walk rate (9.4).

I expect Devers to get aboard and his teammates to drive him home.

MLB prop picks made at 11:11 a.m. ET on 04/05/2025.

Florida vs. Auburn Final Four SGP predictions April 5: Back the Gators to win, Clayton from deep

Florida vs. Auburn predictions

Florida and Auburn meet for the right to represent the SEC in Monday’s college basketball national championship game.

The pregame narrative: You could make a solid argument for either team to advance, but Florida has taken down Auburn once this season already, and it was in a tougher spot. Back the Gators to win alongside prop bets on Walter Clayton Jr. and Chad Baker-Mazara.

Check out my Florida vs. Auburn SGP predictions for their Final Four matchup on April 5.

Florida vs. Auburn predictions

BOOST: Duke -4.5, under 137.5 points, Flagg 20+ points (+633). Bet now

•BOOST: Florida ML, Clayton Jr. & Broome 20+ points each (+578). Bet now

Parlay: Florida moneyline | Clayton 3+ threes | Baker-Mazara 1+ threes (+300)

Embed: #112125

Florida moneyline (-148): The Gators were my pre-tournament pick to win it all, and I’m not shying away from them now.

Florida travelled to Auburn on Feb. 8 and picked up a 90-81 victory without Alijah Martin — the team’s second-leading scorer — in the lineup.

The Gators have won 10 straight and have only lost one game in a home or neutral setting all season long. That was back in January, when they lost by one point to the Missouri Tigers.

There aren’t many holes to poke in Auburn’s lineup, which ranks top 10 in KenPom’s offensive and defensive efficiency metrics.

Florida also sits inside the top 10 for both categories, though, as do Duke and Houston, which round out the Final Four.

A game this close could very well come down to free throws, and Auburn fouls at a very high rate (18.4 per game, 299th in D-1).

NCAA SGP legs

Clayton 3+ threes (-148): I debated backing Clayton on this line as one of my three best prop bets for the Final Four. These odds don’t exactly scream “standalone play,” though, so I decided against it.

But in an SGP? Sign me up.

Clayton has been the star of the tournament so far, averaging 22.2 PPG while shooting 45.2% from 3-point range. He’s coming off a 30-point game against Texas Tech where he shot 3-for-8 from deep and has been living around this number since Feb. 1:

  • 2+ threes in 17 of 17 games
  • 3+ threes in 11 of 17 games

The dynamic guard has cleared this mark in six of his last seven games and went 4-for-8 from deep against Auburn earlier this season.

Baker-Mazara 1+ threes (-305): I’ll be pretty rattled if Baker-Mazara sinks this SGP.

The third-year guard is a career 39.0% three-point shooter and is averaging 1.5 makes on 4.0 attempts this season.

He’s cleared this mark in five of his last six games and attempted a team-high eight 3s against the Michigan State Spartans in the Elite Eight.

If we get anywhere near that type of volume on Saturday, this should be a breeze.

Florida vs. Auburn predictions made at 10:15 a.m. on 04/04/25

March Madness 2025 Final Four prop bets: Fade Duke’s Cooper Flagg, back Florida’s Thomas Haugh in April 5 doubleheader

March Madness prop bets

The Final Four is coming this Saturday, and my favourite prop bet involves consensus No. 1 draft pick Cooper Flagg.

The pregame narrative: Flagg has been a stud for the Duke Blue Devils all season, but I’m taking the under on his point total against the Houston Cougars. Before that, bet on Florida’s Thomas Haugh and Will Richard.

Check out the best March Madness prop bets for April 5.

March Madness prop bets

BOOST: Duke -4.5, under 137.5 points, Flagg 20+ points (+633). Bet now

•BOOST: Florida ML, Clayton Jr. & Broome 20+ points each (+578). Bet now

Best Bet: Flagg under 18.5 points (-117)

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Fading the best player in the nation is risky, but I think it’s the right play.

  • Flagg has only cleared this total in one tournament game, scoring 16, 30, 18 and 14 points.
  • He is 2-8 against this line in his last 10 outings, excluding the ACC Tournament game he left early with an injury (though he was 1-for-7 from the field in 15 minutes before exiting).

I’m not saying Flagg has been playing poorly. He’s recorded 15-plus points in nine of those contests while shooting 49.6% from the field, so this will almost certainly be a sweat.

But I trust Houston to clamp down on Duke’s top dog.

The Cougars rank first in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency (87.4) and hold opponents to the fewest points per game (58.3).

  • Houston held Purdue’s top scorer, Trey Kaufman-Renn, to 14 points on 5-of-12 shooting in the Sweet 16.
  • It followed that up by holding Tennessee’s top scorer, Chaz Lanier, to 17 points on 4-of-18 shooting in the Elite Eight.

Key stat: Flagg is 1-5 against this line in his last six games against Quad 1 teams.

Final Four props

Haugh over 10.5 points (-132): Haugh is coming off the biggest game of his career, a 20-point effort against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in the Elite Eight.

Walter Clayton Jr. is going to lead the way for Florida, but I think there will be plenty of opportunity for the sophomore to chip in.

The 6-foot-9 forward has a dependable 3-point stroke (35.9%) and is a great free-throw shooter (81.0%). Auburn fouls at an inordinately high rate (18.4/game, 299th in D-1), so look for Haugh to do damage at the line.

Haugh is 8-2 against this line in his last 10 games.

Richard over 3.5 rebounds (-136): It might feel a little luck-based to back a guard on a rebounding line this low.

But Richard has been fairly consistent against this number since logging back-to-back 1-rebound outings on Feb. 11 and 15:

  • 4.1 rebounds/game
  • 3+ rebounds in 11/13 games
  • 4+ rebounds in 7/13 games

The Auburn Tigers rank a pedestrian 162nd in offensive rebounding rate (29.5%), so look for Richard to pick up boards and lead the Gators in transition.

March Madness prop bets made at 10:55 a.m. ET on 04/03/2025.

Best MLB prop bets April 5: Back Jacob deGrom and Robbie Ray to deal on Saturday

MLB prop bets

Two former Cy Young winners headline Saturday’s MLB prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Jacob deGrom and Robbie Ray face a pair of strikeout-prone teams. I’m backing the former to work deep against the Tampa Bay Rays and the latter to clear his K total against the Seattle Mariners. Also, bet on Rafael Devers to score.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for April 5.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Ray over 6.5 Ks (-118)

EMBED

The San Francisco Giants are banking on Ray returning to elite form, and he’s looked solid so far.

Last year, after returning from Tommy John surgery, the lefty posted a 33.3% K rate and 36.0% whiff rate in 30.2 innings for San Francisco.

It’s a small sample, but both would have ranked above the 95th percentile, per Baseball Savant.

And in this year’s debut, Ray carried a perfect game into the sixth inning before giving up three hits — two of which were home runs — to the Cincinnati Reds.

He ended that contest with four Ks and 78 pitches, a respectable workload. With a slightly longer leash, I expect Ray to toy with a strikeout-prone Mariners squad on Saturday.

  • Seattle had the fourth-highest K rate against LHP last year (25.5%).
  • This year, the Mariners have the fifth-highest K rate against LHP (29.0%).

Key stat: Seattle has faced three left-handed pitchers this season. Tarik Skubal (5.1 IP, 8 Ks), JP Sears (6.2 IP, 7 Ks) and Jeffrey Springs (6.0 IP, 9 Ks) all cleared this number.

Best MLB picks

deGrom over 16.5 outs (-130): I picked deGrom to win the AL Cy Young this season, and you’re going to see me back him quite a bit this year on the prop market.

This line asks deGrom to record 5.2 IP, which isn’t much.

The fireballing righty was dominant in his season debut, throwing five scoreless innings against the Boston Red Sox with six strikeouts and two walks.

Texas probably doesn’t want deGrom working too late into ballgames just yet, but I think he can keep his pitch count low against the Rays.

Tampa Bay had a 24.6% K rate (fifth-highest) and 92 wRC+ (seventh-lowest) against righties last year.

Devers to score (+100): Devers started his season off by going 0-for-19 with 15 strikeouts in March.

It was a comically bad way to begin the year, but the three-time all-star has shaken things off, and I want in.

Devers is 5-for-11 in April with a .571 OBP. He’s scored three runs in his last two games and has a good chance to add another against St. Louis Cardinals righty Andre Pallante.

Pallante doesn’t surrender a ton of hard contact but ranked in the 14th percentile for K rate last season (18.5) and 29th percentile for walk rate (9.4).

I expect Devers to get aboard and his teammates to drive him home.

MLB prop picks made at 10:29 a.m. ET on 04/05/2025.

March Madness 2025 Final Four prop bets: Back Florida’s Thomas Haugh and Will RIchard

March Madness prop bets

The Final Four is coming this Saturday, and I’ve got two prop bets for the first game between Florida and Auburn.

The pregame narrative: The Gators have already beaten the Tigers once this season, and I expect Florida’s Thomas Haugh and Will Richard to chip in for another victory.

Check out the best March Madness prop bets for April 5.

March Madness prop bets

Best Bet: Haugh over 10.5 points (-132)

Haugh is coming off the biggest game of his career, a 20-point effort against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in the Elite Eight.

He shot 6-for-11 in that game, and I would like to see a little more volume tonight.

Walter Clayton Jr. is going to lead the way for Florida, but I think there will be plenty of opportunity for the sophomore to chip in.

The 6-foot-9 forward has a dependable 3-point stroke (35.9%) and is a great free-throw shooter (81.0%).

He shot 4-of-6 from deep against the Red Raiders and made all four of his free throws.

Auburn fouls at an inordinately high rate (18.4/game, 299th in D-1), so look for Haugh to do damage at the line.

Key stat: Haugh is 8-2 against this line in his last 10 games.

Final Four props

Richard over 3.5 rebounds (-136): It might feel a little luck-based to back a guard on a rebounding line this low.

But Richard has been fairly consistent against this number since logging back-to-back 1-rebound outings on Feb. 11 and 15:

  • 4.1 rebounds/game
  • 3+ rebounds in 11/13 games
  • 4+ rebounds in 7/13 games

The Auburn Tigers rank a pedestrian 162nd in offensive rebounding rate (29.5%), so look for Richard to pick up boards and lead the Gators in transition.

March Madness prop bets made at 10:55 a.m. ET on 04/05/2025.

Mavericks vs. Clippers SGP predictions April 4: Bet on Anthony Davis, Norman Powell at +310

Mavericks vs. Clippers predictions

The Dallas Mavericks face the Los Angeles Clippers in one of Friday’s two NBA nightcaps.

The pregame narrative: Anthony Davis is coming off his best game as a Maverick, and I expect him to clear a modest point milestone — look for Los Angeles’ Norman Powell to do the same. Backing the Clippers to win at home rounds out this +310 wager.

Check out my Mavericks vs. Clippers SGP predictions for April 4.

Mavericks vs. Clippers predictions

Parlay: Clippers ML | Powell 20+ points | Davis 20+ points (+310)

Embed: #112084

Clippers moneyline (-455): Los Angeles is a 10.5-point favourite as of Friday afternoon, so it would be a shock to see the team lose at home.

The Mavericks are still without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II and Dante Exum, while the Clippers have a fully healthy starting five.

L.A. is 20-4 straight up as a home favourite this season. That ranks third behind the Oklahoma City Thunder (34-5) and Cleveland Cavaliers (33-5), who pace their respective conferences.

The Clippers have won those games by an average of 12.9 points (second-best in the NBA).

NBA SGP legs

Powell 20+ points (+116): Gone are the days of Powell being a walking 20-piece, though I think this is a good spot for him to have a night.

The shooting guard is still playing big minutes for the Clippers and has cleared this mark in two of his last three games, scoring 34 against the defensively stout Cleveland Cavaliers just five days ago.

Powell is averaging a career-best 22.4 PPG on clinical 48.9/42.3/81.5 shooting splits.

He has already torched the Mavericks this year for 28 and 29 points. That happened in consecutive road games back in December.

Dallas allows the 11th-most PPG to shooting guards over the last 30 days, according to Fantasy Pros.

Davis 20+ points (-167): Mavericks fans haven’t had much to cheer about over the last few months, but Davis reminded them on Wednesday that he’s still an elite player:

  • 30 minutes
  • 34 points (14-of-23 shooting)
  • 15 rebounds

That was AD’s largest workload since returning from a lengthy injury hiatus on March 24.

He’s officially listed as questionable tonight, which is something to keep an eye on, though I have to believe he’ll suit up.

Davis has scored 20-plus points in four of his last five games against the Clippers (all with the Los Angeles Lakers).

Mavericks vs. Clippers predictions made at 12:25 p.m. ET 04/04/2025.

Best NBA prop bets April 3: Bet on Edwards, Wagner and Grimes on Thursday

NBA prop bets

I’ve got three prop bets from Thursday’s six-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Philadelphia’s Quentin Grimes has been one of the league’s biggest late-season surprises and should stay hot against the Milwaukee Bucks. I’m also backing Franz Wagner and Anthony Edwards to show out.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 3.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Grimes over 23.5 points (-110)

Embed: #112082

Bettors should be eyeing Grimes’ point total on a nightly basis. Sometimes the number is a little rich for my blood, but not here.

The 76ers have shut down Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid for the season, and Grimes has filled that void. Check out what he’s done since the beginning of March:

  • 26.6 PPG
  • 50.0 FG%
  • 39.2 3PT%
  • 20+ points in 12/15 games
  • 25+ points in 11/15 games

In that span, Grimes is leading all Sixers in minutes (34.7) and field-goal attempts (18.8) per game.

And tonight, he gets to play a Bucks team which is horrible at containing opposing PGs.

Key stat: Milwaukee is allowing the second-most PPG to point guards, according to Fantasy Pros.

Best NBA picks

Wagner over 10.5 rebounds and assists (-121): The Orlando Magic (14-point favourites) are poised to blow out the Washington Wizards tonight.

I want in on the action and think this is a great way to back Wagner, whose inconsistent shooting makes him an undesirable target on scoring-related markets.

Orlando’s small forward is averaging 5.7 rebounds and 4.8 assists this season and has cleared this mark in seven of his last eight games.

That includes an outing against the Wizards on March 21, where he logged eight rebounds and five assists in 24 minutes of play.

He’s 3-0 against this line vs. Washington this year.

The Wizards are allowing the sixth-most rebounds (8.38) and second-most assists (4.82) per game to SFs over the last 30 days, per Fantasy Pros.

Edwards over 3.5 threes (-122): I’m hoping Edwards isn’t too tired after a herculean 50-minute effort against the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday.

The shooting guard scored 34 points and canned five threes in a double-overtime victory. That marked the third straight game where he’s cleared this total and attempted at least 10 threes.

Edwards attempts (10.2) and makes (4.0) the second-most 3s per game and draws an exploitable matchup against the Brooklyn Nets tonight.

Brooklyn allows the 13th-most 3s per game to shooting guards.

NBA prop picks made at 9:15 a.m. ET on 04/03/2025.