The Final Four is coming this Saturday, and I’ve got two prop bets for the first game between Florida and Auburn.
The pregame narrative: The Gators have already beaten the Tigers once this season, and I expect Florida’s Thomas Haugh and Will Richard to chip in for another victory.
Check out the best March Madness prop bets for April 5.
March Madness prop bets
Best Bet: Haugh over 10.5 points (-132)
Haugh is coming off the biggest game of his career, a 20-point effort against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in the Elite Eight.
He shot 6-for-11 in that game, and I would like to see a little more volume tonight.
Walter Clayton Jr. is going to lead the way for Florida, but I think there will be plenty of opportunity for the sophomore to chip in.
The 6-foot-9 forward has a dependable 3-point stroke (35.9%) and is a great free-throw shooter (81.0%).
He shot 4-of-6 from deep against the Red Raiders and made all four of his free throws.
Auburn fouls at an inordinately high rate (18.4/game, 299th in D-1), so look for Haugh to do damage at the line.
Key stat: Haugh is 8-2 against this line in his last 10 games.
Final Four props
Richard over 3.5 rebounds (-136): It might feel a little luck-based to back a guard on a rebounding line this low.
But Richard has been fairly consistent against this number since logging back-to-back 1-rebound outings on Feb. 11 and 15:
- 4.1 rebounds/game
- 3+ rebounds in 11/13 games
- 4+ rebounds in 7/13 games
The Auburn Tigers rank a pedestrian 162nd in offensive rebounding rate (29.5%), so look for Richard to pick up boards and lead the Gators in transition.
March Madness prop bets made at 10:55 a.m. ET on 04/05/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.