I’ve got three prop bets from Thursday’s six-game NBA slate.
The pregame narrative: Philadelphia’s Quentin Grimes has been one of the league’s biggest late-season surprises and should stay hot against the Milwaukee Bucks. I’m also backing Franz Wagner and Anthony Edwards to show out.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 3.
NBA prop bets
Best Bet: Grimes over 23.5 points (-110)
Bettors should be eyeing Grimes’ point total on a nightly basis. Sometimes the number is a little rich for my blood, but not here.
The 76ers have shut down Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid for the season, and Grimes has filled that void. Check out what he’s done since the beginning of March:
- 26.6 PPG
- 50.0 FG%
- 39.2 3PT%
- 20+ points in 12/15 games
- 25+ points in 11/15 games
In that span, Grimes is leading all Sixers in minutes (34.7) and field-goal attempts (18.8) per game.
And tonight, he gets to play a Bucks team which is horrible at containing opposing PGs.
Key stat: Milwaukee is allowing the second-most PPG to point guards, according to Fantasy Pros.
Best NBA picks
Wagner over 10.5 rebounds and assists (-121): The Orlando Magic (14-point favourites) are poised to blow out the Washington Wizards tonight.
I want in on the action and think this is a great way to back Wagner, whose inconsistent shooting makes him an undesirable target on scoring-related markets.
Orlando’s small forward is averaging 5.7 rebounds and 4.8 assists this season and has cleared this mark in seven of his last eight games.
That includes an outing against the Wizards on March 21, where he logged eight rebounds and five assists in 24 minutes of play.
He’s 3-0 against this line vs. Washington this year.
The Wizards are allowing the sixth-most rebounds (8.38) and second-most assists (4.82) per game to SFs over the last 30 days, per Fantasy Pros.
Edwards over 3.5 threes (-122): I’m hoping Edwards isn’t too tired after a herculean 50-minute effort against the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday.
The shooting guard scored 34 points and canned five threes in a double-overtime victory. That marked the third straight game where he’s cleared this total and attempted at least 10 threes.
Edwards attempts (10.2) and makes (4.0) the second-most 3s per game and draws an exploitable matchup against the Brooklyn Nets tonight.
Brooklyn allows the 13th-most 3s per game to shooting guards.
NBA prop picks made at 9:15 a.m. ET on 04/03/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.