Category: NBA

Suns vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 3: Bet on Booker, Portland to cover alt-spread

Suns vs. Trail Blazers predictions

The Portland Trail Blazers welcome back the Phoenix Suns in a rematch from Saturday’s showdown.

The pregame narrative: Portland has been a tough challenge for Phoenix, and I expect that to continue on Monday night. This +330 SGP also features player props on Devin Booker and Toumani Camara.

Check out my Suns vs. Trail Blazers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 3.

Suns vs. Trail Blazers predictions

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Parlay: Trail Blazers +7.5 | Booker 25+ points | Camara over 16.5 points/rebounds (+330)

Trail Blazers +7.5 (-190): If you’ve been backing the Blazers over the last few weeks, you’ve been cashing in big.

  • Eight straight ATS victories.
  • 7-1 SU in their last eight … with every win coming as an underdog. The lone defeat came against Oklahoma City.

Portland dominated Phoenix 127-108 on Saturday, in which they led for nearly the entire game. Plus, the Blazers covered the spread in all three head-to-head contests this season.

Although the Suns are a star-packed squad, they struggle to produce on the road, holding a lacklustre 10-14 record away from Arizona.

Phoenix needs to respond to stay within the Western Conference playoff chase, but I see this as a competitive matchup.

SGP legs

Booker 25+ points (-200): This pick from Saturday’s SGP piece cashed with ease, and I see no reason why he can’t do it again.

Booker just dropped 37 points against these Blazers over the weekend. Also, he’s reached this mark in 10 of his past 12 games, averaging 29.8 points during that stretch.

Tonight, the star guard could etch his name in the history books.

A 23+ point performance will move him past the late Walter Davis (15,666 points) to become the Suns’ all-time leading scorer.

You can almost always bank on Booker to put up points, no matter the matchup.

Camara over 16.5 points/rebounds (-104): Camara is developing into a promising player for Portland, and I believe he’s still flying under the radar.

In the last 10 games, the 24-year-old Belgian is shooting 54.9% from the field and 38.5% from behind the arc.

Against a below-average defensive team like the Suns, Camara can use his 7-foot wingspan to dominate the boards and collect rebounds.

He’s eclipsed this mark in five of his last six games, averaging 21.8 points/rebounds during that stretch. And he comes off a double-double performance over the Blazers on Saturday.

Picks made at 10:51 a.m. ET 02/03/2025

Rockets vs. Knicks same-game parlay predictions Feb. 3: Fade New York but back Towns at +300

Rockets vs. Knicks predictions

The Houston Rockets and New York Knicks take part in a marquee cross-conference matchup.

The pregame narrative: The Rockets are a well-oiled machine that continues to be competitive night in and night out. I like them to cover an alternate spread mixed with player props on Dillon Brooks and Karl-Anthony Towns in this +300 SGP.

Check out my Rockets vs. Knicks same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 3.

Rockets vs. Knicks predictions

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Parlay: Rockets +9.5 + Brooks over 13.5 points + Towns over 0.5 blocks (+300)

Rockets +9.5 (-195): Houston continues to be one of the best away teams in the NBA.

The Rockets have an incredible 17-7 road record and have covered this teased-up spread in 12 straight away games.

They have the league’s best ATS record as an underdog on the road (7-2-1), per Team Rankings. In late January, the Rockets beat both the Cleveland Cavaliers and Boston Celtics in their home arenas.

Houston has been a hard team to beat big all season and I expect that to be the case again on Monday.

Other SGP legs

Brooks over 13.5 points (-118): The Canadian is playing a ton of minutes for the Rockets and he’s scoring with great efficiency right now.

Brooks plays 32.0 minutes per game this season so it’s worth backing him when he’s on a hot streak.

He’s cleared this line in three of his past four games, including a season-high 36 points on the road against the Celtics on Jan. 27.

In those four contests, Brooks is scoring 21.3 points and shooting 51.4% on 8.8 three-point attempts per game.

And now Fred Van Vleet is sidelined with an injury opening up more touches for Brooks. I really like his floor tonight as a scorer.

Towns over 0.5 blocks (-235): Towns is in a major scoring slump right now but I’m backing the over on a defensive prop for the big man.

This leg is juiced considering Towns isn’t known for his rim protection but it brings the SGP from +160 to +310 and there’s some solid supporting data.

He has a block in 24-of-44 games this season (54.5%) which isn’t anything crazy but the Rockets have allowed the second most blocks to centres (2.7/game), per Fantasy Pros.

In his first meeting against the Rockets back on Nov. 4, Towns recorded a block in the loss.

Since Jan. 1, the Rockets allowed a block to 14-of-15 centres who started against them.

Picks made at 11:45 a.m. on 02/03/2025.

Magic vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions Feb. 3: Expect Banchero and Wagner to produce in a loss

Magic vs. Warriors predictions

The Golden State Warriors host a struggling Orlando Magic squad on Monday night.

The pregame narrative: Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner are back in the lineup but it hasn’t resulted in many wins. I’m taking Golden State to win but expect both of those players to produce in this +280 SGP.

Check out my Magic vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 3.

Magic vs. Warriors predictions

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Parlay: Warriors moneyline | Banchero 20+ points | Wagner 2+ threes (+280)

Warriors moneyline (-148): Neither of these teams is great but I simply can’t justify backing Orlando right now.

The Magic have lost 10 of their last 12 games with the wins coming against the middling Detroit Pistons and the Joel Embiid-less Philadelphia 76ers.

In that span, they’re averaging a league-worst 98.9 points per game.

Golden State, meanwhile, is 3-2 in its last five with an impressive win over the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Dubs are 14-13 at home, which again isn’t fantastic, but the Magic are an awful 9-17 on the road.

Golden State also went 2-0 against Orlando last year.

Other SGP legs

Banchero 20+ points (-335): I took the over on Banchero’s 23.5-point total in today’s best NBA prop bets. So naturally, I’m keen on backing him at a reduced number.

The third-year power forward has struggled since returning from an oblique tear on Jan. 10. But he’s been still reliable against this number:

Banchero is averaging 20.0 PPG in 11 games since returning, clearing this line seven times.

He’s no longer on a minutes restriction and is shooting the ball a ton, averaging 21.3 FGA over the last four games, which is what I want to see.

The Warriors is also a nice matchup for Banchero:

  • GSW owns the second-worst mid-range defence, according to Cleaning the Glass.
  • Banchero takes 41% of his shots from the mid-range, ranking in the 87th percentile for all NBA players.

Golden State also allows the fifth-most PPG to power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

Wagner 2+ threes (-200): Wagner went 0-for-3 from deep in his first game back from injury. But he’s been letting it fly since then.

  • 34 three-point attempts in last four games
  • 3-1 against this line

Golden State ranks 16th in opponent 3-point percentage. That’s not awful, but it isn’t great, either.

If Wagner keeps shooting with volume, this should be a cinch.

Picks made at 10:29 a.m. on 02/03/25.

Rockets vs. Knicks same-game parlay predictions Feb. 3: Fade New York but back Towns at +310

Rockets vs. Knicks predictions

The Houston Rockets and New York Knicks take part in a marquee cross-conference matchup.

The pregame narrative: The Rockets are a well-oiled machine that continues to be competitive night in and night out. I like them to cover an alternate spread mixed with player props on Dillon Brooks and Karl-Anthony Towns in this +310 SGP.

Check out my Rockets vs. Knicks same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 3.

Rockets vs. Knicks predictions

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Parlay: Rockets +9.5 + Brooks over 13.5 points + Towns over 0.5 blocks (+310)

Rockets +9.5 (-235): Houston continues to be one of the best away teams in the NBA.

The Rockets have an incredible 17-7 road record and have covered this teased-up spread in 12 straight away games.

They have the league’s best ATS record as an underdog on the road (7-2-1), per Team Rankings. In late January, the Rockets beat both the Cleveland Cavaliers and Boston Celtics in their home arenas.

Houston has been a hard team to beat big all season and I expect that to be the case again on Monday.

Other SGP legs

Brooks over 13.5 points (-105): The Canadian is playing a ton of minutes for the Rockets and he’s scoring with great efficiency right now.

Brooks plays 32.0 minutes per game this season so it’s worth backing him when he’s on a hot streak.

He’s cleared this line in three of his past four games, including a season-high 36 points on the road against the Celtics on Jan. 27.

In those four contests, Brooks is scoring 21.3 points and shooting 51.4% on 8.8 three-point attempts per game.

And now Fred Van Vleet is sidelined with an injury opening up more touches for Brooks. I really like his floor tonight as a scorer.

Towns over 0.5 blocks (-215): Towns is in a major scoring slump right now but I’m backing the over on a defensive prop for the big man.

This leg is juiced considering Towns isn’t known for his rim protection but it brings the SGP from +160 to +310 and there’s some solid supporting data.

He has a block in 24-of-44 games this season (54.5%) which isn’t anything crazy but the Rockets have allowed the second most blocks to centres (2.7/game), per Fantasy Pros.

In his first meeting against the Rockets back on Nov. 4, Towns recorded a block in the loss.

Since Jan. 1, the Rockets allowed a block to 14-of-15 centres who started against them.

Picks made at 11:06 a.m. on 02/03/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 3: Back Banchero, Brooks on Monday

Best NBA prop bets

I’ve got two prop bets for Monday’s action-packed NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Paolo Banchero is slumping but gets an A-plus matchup against the Golden State Warriors. I like him to score and am also backing Dillon Brooks from deep.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 3.

Best NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Banchero over 22.5 points (-130)

Banchero is fighting it right now but can you really blame him? The third-year forward tore his oblique weeks into the season and was asked to jump on a moving train after missing two months.

Still, I’m encouraged by a few things.

Banchero doesn’t appear to be on a minute restriction anymore. He’s played 40-plus minutes in two of his last three games after failing to crack 30 in his first five since returning.

And secondly, he’s taking a ton of shots, which is important, even if they’re not going in.

  • Banchero is averaging 21.3 FGA over his last four games.
  • He’s scored 20+ points twice in that span, clearing this line once.

I expect a rebound from Banchero coming off his worst game of the season (a 4-of-19 shooting performance against the Utah Jazz).

The Warriors own the second-worst mid-range defence, according to Cleaning the Glass. Banchero takes 41% of his shots from that area of the court, which ranks in the 87th percentile for all NBA players.

Key stat: Golden State allows the fifth-most PPG to power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

Quick pick

Brooks over 2.5 threes (+125): Brooks is on a mini-heater and I want in.

The Canadian shooting guard has made 18 threes in his last four games, clearing this line three times. He’s shooting with volume and accuracy and should get more looks with Fred VanVleet sidelined tonight.

Brooks is also going up against a New York Knicks team that is dreadful at defending the perimeter.

The Knicks have the highest opponent 3-point percentage (37.9) and give up the 11th-most 3s per game (11.7).

Picks made at 9:19 a.m. ET on 02/03/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 3: Back Banchero, Wembanyama on Monday

Best NBA prop bets

Two budding superstars headline Monday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Paolo Banchero is slumping but gets an A-plus matchup against the Golden State Warriors. I like him to score and am also backing Victor Wembanyama to fill the basket and Dillon Brooks from deep.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 3.

Best NBA prop bets

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Embed: #108320

Best bet: Banchero over 23.5 points (-121)

Banchero is fighting it right now but can you really blame him? The third-year forward tore his oblique weeks into the season and was asked to jump on a moving train after missing two months.

Still, I’m encouraged by a few things.

Banchero doesn’t appear to be on a minute restriction anymore. He’s played 40-plus minutes in two of his last three games after failing to crack 30 in his first five since returning.

And secondly, he’s taking a ton of shots, which is important, even if they’re not going in.

  • Banchero is averaging 21.3 FGA over his last four games.
  • He’s scored 20+ points twice in that span, clearing this line once.

I expect a rebound from Banchero coming off his worst game of the season (a 4-of-19 shooting performance against the Utah Jazz).

The Warriors own the second-worst mid-range defence, according to Cleaning the Glass. Banchero takes 41% of his shots from that area of the court, which ranks in the 87th percentile for all NBA players.

Key stat: Golden State allows the fifth-most PPG to power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

Quick picks

Wembanyama over 23.5 points (-121): The Victor Wembanyama show is about to get a lot more exciting with De’Aaron Fox in the mix.

San Antonio took a huge leap this year with Wemby breaking out as a scorer and now adds a bonafide stud PG in the mix.

But we’ll have plenty of time to talk about Fox — let’s look at what Wembanyama’s done over his last 20 games:

  • 25.4 PPG
  • 20+ points 16 times
  • 24+ points 9 times

Wembayma is getting to 20 points on most nights which is a great baseline to work with. The Memphis Grizzlies are a strong defensive team but give up the seventh-most points to opposing centres.

Brooks over 2.5 threes (+123): Brooks is on a mini-heater and I want in.

The Canadian shooting guard has made 18 threes in his last four games, clearing this line three times. He’s shooting with volume and accuracy and should get more looks with Fred VanVleet sidelined tonight.

Brooks is also going up against a New York Knicks team that is dreadful at defending the perimeter.

The Knicks have the highest opponent 3-point percentage (37.9) and give up the 11th-most 3s per game (11.7).

Picks made at 9:19 a.m. ET on 02/03/2025.

Grizzlies vs. Bucks same-game parlay predictions Feb. 2: Giannis Antetokounmpo has the right matchup to shine

Grizzles vs. Bucks predictions

The Memphis Grizzlies and Milwaukee Bucks headline Sunday’s five-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: I’m having a hard time picking a side between these two so I’ll take three player props in this SGP instead. Giannis Antetokounmpo, Desmond Bane and Luke Kennard are featured in this +375 ticket.

Check out my Grizzlies vs. Bucks same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 2.

Grizzlies vs. Bucks predictions

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Parlay: Antetokounmpo over 31.5 points + Bane over 21.5 points + Kennard over 12.5 points (+375)

Antetokounmpo over 31.5 points (-159): Giannis is listed as probable on the NBA injury report so I’m expecting him to play.

The ‘Greek Freak’ is firing on all cylinders right now, finishing seven of the last nine games with 32-plus points.

He’s averaging 33.1 points and shooting an other-worldly 63.8% from the field during that time.

The total for this game is the highest of the day, being set at 247 points. Memphis plays at the fastest pace in the league (103.7 possessions/game) which leads to inflated scores.

If this game finishes anywhere close to that lofty total, Giannis should see more than enough volume to clear this hefty total.

Other SGP legs

Bane over 21.5 points (-141): In my NBA props bets today, I took Bane to go over 28.5 points/assists but I’ll resort to this line for an SGP.

The Milwaukee Bucks allow the second-most points to opposing point guards (26.4), and with Morant trending towards missing his second straight game, PG would be the position Bane takes on.

And the guard has been on a tear since Dec. 21:

  • 21.4 PPG
  • 53.4 FG%
  • 43.8 3PT%

In his last game without Morant, Bane scored 24 points on 11-of-24 shooting. It was a below-average shooting night and he still managed to cash this wager.

Kennard over 12.5 points (-141): Kennard has seen success starting in Morant’s absence.

In his three starts since Jan. 17, Kennard is averaging:

  • 22.0 PPG
  • 65.7 FG%
  • 63.2 3PT%

He may not be able to match that production against the Bucks, but he doesn’t have to.

This line is well within Kennard’s reach even with an average shooting night with more minutes and an uptick in volume.

Picks made at 1:54 p.m. on 02/02/2025.

Celtics vs. 76ers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 2: Tail Porzingis and Fade Maxey at +285

Celtics vs. 76ers predictions

The Boston Celtics look to continue rolling against the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: The Celtics didn’t have the best January but I’m expecting their play to improve in preparation for a run at a second consecutive NBA title. I’m backing the Celtics to win comfortably in this SGP that includes prop picks on Kristaps Porzingis and Tyrese Maxey.

Check out my Celtics vs. 76ers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 2.

Celtics vs. 76ers predictions

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Parlay: Celtics -7.5 + Porzingis over 17.5 points + Maxey under 31.5 points (+285)

Celtics -7.5 (-210): Boston lost six games in January, which may not seem like a lot for most teams but standards are higher for the 34-15 Celtics.

The good news is they’re coming off back-to-back wins and covered this spread in six of 10 wins last month.

Boston strangely has a better record on the road (18-6) than at home (16-9) this season and the game is in Philly tonight.

The other thing working in the Celtics’ favour is the 76ers injury report. Joel Embiid and Paul George remain out.

Philadelphia is playing well right now, winning five of its last six games but the side lost the seven games before and I’m predicting the hobbled roster gets back to its losing ways.

Other SGP legs

Porzingis over 17.5 points (-141): Porzingis has a chance to have a high-scoring game with Embiid out.

The absence leaves Geurschon Yabusele as the 76ers starting centre and he is doing a solid job filling in, but he has a tough time defending dominant bigs.

Here are some centres and their recent performances against Philly:

  • Nikola Jokic (Jan. 31): 28 points, 11/16 shooting
  • Domantas Sabonis (Jan. 29): 13-point triple-double, 4/6 shooting
  • Nikola Vucevic (Jan. 25): 22 points, 8/12 shooting

Those are three examples from just the past 10 days.

And Porzingis has been cooking recently. Since Jan. 5, Porzingis is 10-2 against this line.

My biggest concern here is volume but it hasn’t mattered lately as the big man is averaging 20.6 points over that span while taking a mediocre 15 shots per game.

Maxey under 31.5 points (-141): Maxey has been on a tear but this total is just too high against one of the NBA’s premier defences.

On Christmas Day, Maxey squeaked past this line vs. the Celtics, scoring 33 points.

However, both Embiid and PG played in that game which made it harder for Boston to focus its defensive attention on Philly’s dynamic point guard.

With his teammates ruled out, I expect an abundance of double teams and different looks to slow down Maxey.

Boston boasts the fifth-best defensive rating (111.2) and can swarm the 76ers’ top-scoring option.

And even though Maxey is averaging 29.9 PPG since Jan. 1, he’s gone under this total in 11-of-16 games.

Picks made at 10:54 a.m. on 02/02/2025.

Clippers vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions Feb. 2: Take the Clippers to win, Leonard and Barnes to fill basket

Clippers vs. Raptors predictions

The Toronto Raptors look to bounce back with the Los Angeles Clippers visiting on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: I’ve got prop picks on one star from each team as I’m taking overs on Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard in this matchup. I’m tacking on Clippers moneyline to get this SGP to +370.

Check out my Clippers vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 2.

Clippers vs. Raptors predictions

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Parlay: Clippers moneyline + Barnes over 19.5 points + Leonard over 20.5 points (+370)

Clippers moneyline (-210): The Raptors went on an unexpected five-game winning streak that ended against the Chicago Bulls on Friday.

It was a nice run for Toronto but I feel another stretch of losses looming.

The Raptors had the benefit of playing six consecutive contests against teams under .500 (Orlando Magic, Atlanta Hawks x2, New Orleans Pelicans, Washington Wizards, Chicago Bulls). That luck is about to change.

Starting on Sunday, nine of Toronto’s next 10 opponents are currently above .500 and in playoff/play-in positions.

Why is this important? Well, I’m sure you won’t be shocked but the Raptors only have five wins against teams that currently have a record better than .500.

On the other side, the Clippers are 7-3 in their last 10 games. Plus, they own a 3-1 record over their last four away games.

Other SGP legs

Barnes over 19.5 points (-143): Barnes has had a solid floor as a scorer lately and I believe he can be productive again tonight.

He recorded 20-plus points in five-straight games and most of the reason why is pure volume.

Barnes isn’t playing lights out or anything, shooting 42.6% from the field and 20.0% from three over that span. But, he’s taking 18.8 shots a game and going to the free-throw line 6.8 times per game.

It’s not the most efficient basketball but it’s led Toronto to winning games so I expect Barnes to continue leading the offence.

The young forward was sidelined in his team’s first meeting with the Clippers this season but in one game against them last year, he scored 23 points on 9-of-21 shooting.

Leonard over 20.5 points (-113): As Leonard continues to receive more minutes, his production keeps rising.

He’s now played 28 minutes in back-to-back games and cleared this total in both. Not to mention, one of those games was against the San Antion Spurs where he recorded a season-high 27 points.

The Raptors, like the Spurs, are Leonard’s former team. I may be over-pushing the ‘revenge game’ narrative today, but I don’t think it’s a coincidence he attempted a season-high shot attempts (19) against San Antonio.

Toronto has the seventh-worst defensive rating (117.0) in the NBA and allows the eight-most points per game to small forwards (22.2).

Norman Powell is out on Sunday, too, which should open up more shots for Leonard.

Picks made at 10:54 a.m. on 02/02/2025.

Best NBA prop bets Feb. 2: Back Vucevic, Irving and Bane and Sunday

NBA prop bets

I’ve got three NBA prop bets for Sunday’s action.

The pregame narrative: Nikola Vucevic is set to lead the charge for the Chicago Bulls in their game with the Detroit Pistons. I’m taking the over on his points prop while adding in picks on Kyrie Irving for the Dallas Mavericks and Desmond Bane for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 2.

Best NBA prop bets

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Best bet: Vucevic over 19.5 points (-120)

Vucevic continues to be the target of trade rumours and here’s a good matchup for the big man to showcase his offensive skills.

The Pistons allow the ninth most points per game (23.2) to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Additionally, Vucevic has scored 20-plus in three of the past four games.

He’s an efficient scorer, shooting 54.7% from the field and 39.4% from 3-point range.

With Zach LaVine being doubtful to suit up on Sunday, more shots should be available for the Bulls’ centre. And with those efficiencies, I feel really good about his potential as a scorer today.

Key stat: Vucevic has 20-plus points in four-straight against the Pistrons, averaging 25.5 points in those games.

Quick picks

Irving over 27.5 points (-108): Irving is another player who is listed on the injury report ahead of Sunday.

But if he suits up, I love this spot.

The Cleveland Cavaliers allow the most PPG to point guards (26.4) and Irving is an elite scorer.

He’s averaging 24.3 points on 47.9% shooting and 41.5% from beyond the arc.

Since leaving the Cavs in 2017, Irving averaged 31.0 points in six games in Cleveland. He cleared this line in five of six of those games.

It’s been eight years but it appears the ‘revenge game’ narrative is still in play.

Bane over 7.5 assists (+105): Take a look at Bane’s stats since Dec. 21:

  • 21.4 PPG
  • 6.5 assists
  • 53.4 FG%
  • 43.8 3PT%

And lately, he’s been stepping up as a passer while Ja Morant manages an injury.

In three games without Morant since Jan. 17, Bane recorded 34 assists (11.3 per game). He unsurprisingly cleared this line in all three contests.

Morant is listed as doubtful to play on Sunday so that’s worth monitoring.

Their opponent, the Milwaukee Bucks allows 34.9 points/assists to point guards, which is the role Bane would play in Morant’s absence.

Picks made at 9:15 a.m. ET on 02/02/2025.