The Golden State Warriors host a struggling Orlando Magic squad on Monday night.
The pregame narrative: Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner are back in the lineup but it hasn’t resulted in many wins. I’m taking Golden State to win but expect both of those players to produce in this +280 SGP.
Check out my Magic vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 3.
Magic vs. Warriors predictions
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Parlay: Warriors moneyline | Banchero 20+ points | Wagner 2+ threes (+280)
Warriors moneyline (-148): Neither of these teams is great but I simply can’t justify backing Orlando right now.
The Magic have lost 10 of their last 12 games with the wins coming against the middling Detroit Pistons and the Joel Embiid-less Philadelphia 76ers.
In that span, they’re averaging a league-worst 98.9 points per game.
Golden State, meanwhile, is 3-2 in its last five with an impressive win over the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Dubs are 14-13 at home, which again isn’t fantastic, but the Magic are an awful 9-17 on the road.
Golden State also went 2-0 against Orlando last year.
Other SGP legs
Banchero 20+ points (-335): I took the over on Banchero’s 23.5-point total in today’s best NBA prop bets. So naturally, I’m keen on backing him at a reduced number.
The third-year power forward has struggled since returning from an oblique tear on Jan. 10. But he’s been still reliable against this number:
Banchero is averaging 20.0 PPG in 11 games since returning, clearing this line seven times.
He’s no longer on a minutes restriction and is shooting the ball a ton, averaging 21.3 FGA over the last four games, which is what I want to see.
The Warriors is also a nice matchup for Banchero:
- GSW owns the second-worst mid-range defence, according to Cleaning the Glass.
- Banchero takes 41% of his shots from the mid-range, ranking in the 87th percentile for all NBA players.
Golden State also allows the fifth-most PPG to power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.
Wagner 2+ threes (-200): Wagner went 0-for-3 from deep in his first game back from injury. But he’s been letting it fly since then.
- 34 three-point attempts in last four games
- 3-1 against this line
Golden State ranks 16th in opponent 3-point percentage. That’s not awful, but it isn’t great, either.
If Wagner keeps shooting with volume, this should be a cinch.
Picks made at 10:29 a.m. on 02/03/25.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.