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Pistons vs. Warriors SGP predictions March 8: Back Butler and Duren as scorers in this +290 wager

Two surging sides meet when the Detroit Pistons visit the Golden State Warriors.

The pregame narrative: Both teams are rolling right now and it’s difficult to pick a winner but this is too many points for the Pistons and I’m backing them on the spread. Prop picks on Jimmy Butler and Jalen Duren round out this +290 ticket.

Check out my Pistons vs. Warriors SGP predictions for March 8.

Pistons vs. Warriors predictions

Parlay: Pistons +8.5 | Butler over 19.5 points | Duren 10+ points (+290)

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Pistons +8.5 (-157): Detroit boasts the sixth-best ATS record (35-26-2) in the NBA so that’s a good place to start. Plus, buying a few points gives this leg extra insurance.

The Pistons have been incredibly consistent at covering this number specifically, doing so in 15 of the past 16 games.

They have an 18-14 record on the road and are on track for their first playoff appearance since 2019.

Golden State is 7-1 since the break but is playing its first game at home since Feb. 25. This is shaping up to be a let-down spot against the red-hot Pistons.

NBA SGP legs

Butler over 19.5 points (-120): Butler is coming off arguably his best game as a member of the Warriors and I’m buying in on the momentum.

He matched his high in points with his new squad, scoring 25 on 7-of-13 shooting.

He’s shot above 50% from the field in back-to-back games.

That’s positive news considering he shot 43.3% in his first nine games with the Warriors.

Detroit is a good defensive side, sporting the 11th-best defensive rating (112.1) but this number is low enough that Butler can easily clear it with another efficient outing.

Duren 10+ points (-265): The Pistons sophomore big man has been playing well recently and his floor as a scorer has been extremely reliable.

Since Jan. 11, he is averaging 13.5 PPG on a ridiculous 72.6% from the field.

He’s scored 10+ in 21/25 games during that time.

Duren has become Cade Cunningham’s main pick-and-roll partner and he’s benefiting greatly from Cunningham’s 9.4 assists per game.

The Pistons’ centre has played 30-plus minutes in three straight games vs. the Warriors and is 2-1 against this line.

Pistons vs. Warriors predictions made at 11:07 a.m. ET on 03/08/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets March 8: Back Adebayo, James and Siakam on Saturday

Saturday’s NBA prop bets include taking three all-star players to go over their point totals.

The pregame narrative: Bam Adebayo has seen an uptick in offensive production, which should continue in a prime matchup. I also like overs for LeBron James and Pascal Siakam.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 8.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Adebayo over 22.5 points (-118)

Let’s take a look at Adebayo’s stats since Feb. 1:

23.0 PPG
56.0 FG%
36.7 3PT%

All of those numbers are well above his season averages with the most noticeable being his points sitting almost six points higher over that stretch (17.7 PPG for the season).

Plus, this is a fantastic matchup. Adebayo spends time at centre and power forward and the Chicago Bulls are bad at defending both.

2nd most PPG allowed to centres (25.31).

5th most PPG allowed to power forwards (24.07).

Key stat: Adebayo has cleared this mark in five straight games against the Bulls, dating back to 2022.

Best NBA picks

James over 25.5 points (-112): Since the Los Angeles Lakers acquisition of Luka Doncic, it’s been LeBron who’s cooking. Take a look at his stats since the trade:

27.5 PPG
52.8 FG%
25+ points in 8/11 games

James has always played his most productive basketball alongside another elite ball handler so it’s unsurprising. Just look at what he did in his career with Kyrie Irving or Dwyane Wade.

Now, the Boston Celtics are no easy matchup, providing the fifth-best defensive rating in the NBA (112.0), but LeBron’s been matchup-proof over this 9-2 run that the Lakers are currently on.

I expect Los Angeles to keep this game close and James to put on a show.

Siakam over 23.5 points (-108): On March 6, Siakam scored 35 points against the Atlanta Hawks in a game that finished with 242 total points.

Even more scoring is expected tonight with the total being higher at 243 points.

And the Hawks allow the second most points per game (24.40) to opposing power forwards.

Additionally, the Indiana Pacers could once again be without Tyrese Haliburton and Bennedict Mathurin who both missed the last game with injuries. They are ruled as game-time decisions.

If either is out again tonight, it would open up more volume for Siakam who excels in this matchup.

Since being traded to Indiana, he has scored 20-plus in all three games against Atlanta and is 2-1 against this wager.

Picks made at 9:52 a.m. ET on 03/08/2025.

Wizards vs. Raptors SGP predictions March 8: Bet on Washington, Middleton in +475 SGP

Two surging basement dwellers meet on Saturday night as the Washington Wizards visit the Toronto Raptors.

The pregame narrative: Both teams enter this game feeling good about their recent results. Washington is catching a decent amount of points, however, I’m making it my ATS pick for this contest. Additionally, I’m interested in the game total under but will dabble on Khris Middleton’s points prop over.

Check out my Wizards vs. Raptors SGP predictions for March 8.

Wizards vs. Raptors predictions

Parlay: Wizards +4.5 | Under 229.5 points | Middleton over 13.5 points (+475)

Wizards +4.5 (-143): No team in the NBA sports a worse record than Washington (12-49).

But this wager doesn’t require the Wizards to win. They only need to keep it competitive on Saturday night.

The Raptors own the third-worst record in the Eastern Conference (21-42) and are well on their way to a top-five pick in the NBA Draft. Toronto has won three consecutive games ahead of this contest, however, but that’s not enough for me to back it against the spread.

For starters, the Raps are dealing with a noticeable rest disadvantage. Toronto played Friday night while Washington hasn’t played since Wednesday. That plays right into the hands of the Wizards:

Washington is 6-3 ATS on two-to-three days’ rest

Washington is 9-7 ATS with a rest advantage

Toronto hasn’t fared well in the favourite role this year, either, going an underwhelming 3-3 ATS despite rocking a 37-25-1 mark vs. the spread overall.

The Raptors have failed to cover this number in five of their last six games.

NBA SGP legs

Under 229.5 points (-182): Don’t expect there to be much offence between these two squads.

Neither offence is prolific in any sense of the word.

Washington ranks 27th in points per game (108.3)

Toronto ranks 23rd in points per game (110.5)

Washington’s point production is especially troubling considering its pace. The Wizards have the fourth-fastest pace (102.16) but have the league’s worst offensive rating (105.7).

It’s no surprise that Washington has fallen short of this total in five of its last seven contests.

The Raptors, meanwhile, have gone under this total in five of their last six games.

Middleton over 13.5 points (-110): Thirdly, I’m betting on a solid scoring night from one of Washington’s more consistent offensive threats.

Middleton enters this game with a steady stream of production. He’s recorded 14-plus points in each of his last three contests.

Looking at an even larger sample size, he’s usurped this mark in five of his last eight outings.

This is actually a pretty solid matchup for the small forward, too, as the Raptors cede the ninth-most points per game to the position (22.01), according to Fantasy Pros.

Wizards vs. Raptors predictions made at 10:07 a.m. ET on 03/08/2025.

Wizards vs. Raptors SGP predictions March 8: Bet on Washington, Middleton in +440 SGP

Two surging basement dwellers meet on Saturday night as the Washington Wizards visit the Toronto Raptors.

The pregame narrative: Both teams enter this game feeling good about their recent results. Washington is catching a decent amount of points, however, I’m making it my ATS pick for this contest. Additionally, I’m interested in the game total under but will dabble on Khris Middleton‘s points prop over.

Check out my Wizards vs. Raptors SGP predictions for March 8.

Wizards vs. Raptors predictions

Parlay: Wizards +4.5 | Under 229.5 points | Middleton over 13.5 points (+440)

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Wizards +4.5 (-114): No team in the NBA sports a worse record than Washington (12-49).

But this wager doesn’t require the Wizards to win. They only need to keep it competitive on Saturday night.

The Raptors own the third-worst record in the Eastern Conference (21-42) and are well on their way to a top-five pick in the NBA Draft. Toronto has won three consecutive games ahead of this contest, however, but that’s not enough for me to back it against the spread.

For starters, the Raps are dealing with a noticeable rest disadvantage. Toronto played Friday night while Washington hasn’t played since Wednesday. That plays right into the hands of the Wizards:

Washington is 6-3 ATS on two-to-three days’ rest

Washington is 9-7 ATS with a rest advantage

Toronto hasn’t fared well in the favourite role this year, either, going an underwhelming 3-3 ATS despite rocking a 37-25-1 mark vs. the spread overall.

The Raptors have failed to cover this number in five of their last six games.

NBA SGP legs

Under 229.5 points (-186): Don’t expect there to be much offence between these two squads.

Neither offence is prolific in any sense of the word.

Washington ranks 27th in points per game (108.3)

Toronto ranks 23rd in points per game (110.5)

Washington’s point production is especially troubling considering its pace. The Wizards have the fourth-fastest pace (102.16) but have the league’s worst offensive rating (105.7).

It’s no surprise that Washington has fallen short of this total in five of its last seven contests.

The Raptors, meanwhile, have gone under this total in five of their last six games.

Middleton over 13.5 points (-121): Thirdly, I’m betting on a solid scoring night from one of Washington’s more consistent offensive threats.

Middleton enters this game with a steady stream of production. He’s recorded 14-plus points in each of his last three contests.

Looking at an even larger sample size, he’s usurped this mark in five of his last eight outings.

This is actually a pretty solid matchup for the small forward, too, as the Raptors cede the ninth-most points per game to the position (22.01), according to Fantasy Pros.

Wizards vs. Raptors predictions made at 10:07 a.m. ET on 03/08/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 8: Back Adebayo, James and Siakam on Saturday

Saturday’s NBA prop bets include taking three all-star players to go over their point totals.

The pregame narrative: Bam Adebayo has seen an uptick in offensive production, which should continue in a prime matchup. I also like overs for LeBron James and Pascal Siakam.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 8.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Adebayo over 22.5 points (-118)

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Let’s take a look at Adebayo’s stats since Feb. 1:

23.0 PPG
56.0 FG%
36.7 3PT%

All of those numbers are well above his season averages with the most noticeable being his points sitting almost six points higher over that stretch (17.7 PPG for the season).

Plus, this is a fantastic matchup. Adebayo spends time at centre and power forward and the Chicago Bulls are bad at defending both.

2nd most PPG allowed to centres (25.31).

5th most PPG allowed to power forwards (24.07).

Key stat: Adebayo has cleared this mark in five straight games against the Bulls, dating back to 2022.

Best NBA picks

James over 24.5 points (-129): Since the Los Angeles Lakers acquisition of Luka Doncic, it’s been LeBron who’s cooking. Take a look at his stats since the trade:

27.5 PPG
52.8 FG%
25+ points in 8/11 games

James has always played his most productive basketball alongside another elite ball handler so it’s unsurprising. Just look at what he did in his career with Kyrie Irving or Dwyane Wade.

Now, the Boston Celtics are no easy matchup, providing the fifth-best defensive rating in the NBA (112.0), but LeBron’s been matchup-proof over this 9-2 run that the Lakers are currently on.

I expect Los Angeles to keep this game close and James to put on a show.

Siakam over 23.5 points (-118): On March 6, Siakam scored 35 points against the Atlanta Hawks in a game that finished with 242 total points.

Even more scoring is expected tonight with the total being higher at 243 points.

And the Hawks allow the second most points per game (24.40) to opposing power forwards.

Additionally, the Indiana Pacers could once again be without Tyrese Haliburton and Bennedict Mathurin who both missed the last game with injuries. They are ruled as game-time decisions.

If either is out again tonight, it would open up more volume for Siakam who excels in this matchup.

Since being traded to Indiana, he has scored 20-plus in all three games against Atlanta and is 2-1 against this wager.

Picks made at 9:52 a.m. ET on 03/08/2025.

Suns vs. Nuggets SGP predictions March 7: Back Denver to win, Jokic and Durant to put up points

The Phoenix Suns travel to Ball Arena to face the Denver Nuggets as part of a busy late-night window in the NBA on Friday night.

The pregame narrative: Phoenix is a mess and will have its hands full in the Mile High City. I like Denver to cover a fairly large number and round out this +420 same-game parlay recommendation with plays on Nikola Jokic and Kevin Durant.

Check out my Suns vs. Nuggets SGP predictions for March 7.

Suns vs. Nuggets predictions

Parlay: Nuggets -7.5 | Jokic 25+ points | Durant 25+ points (+420)

Nuggets -7.5 (-112): Denver is 21-9 at home this season with a point differential of +7.1, the fifth-best mark in the NBA.

The Western Conference’s No. 3 seed is 8-2 against this number in its last 10 games in Denver.

Tonight marks the fourth matchup of the season between these teams. Phoenix took down Denver on Christmas Day and lost the other two by 27 and 17 points.

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The Suns enter in poor form. New Durant rumours swirl daily, key players have had to address their locker room situation and Phoenix would not even be a play-in team if the season ended today.

A team with offensively gifted pieces like Durant and Devin Booker should never be taken lightly. But the reality is with just 20 games left in the season, this hasn’t been a very good team.

Phoenix is 4 games under .500
Worst ATS record in the West
20th in the NBA in net rating

NBA SGP legs

Jokic 25+ points (-225): This SGP hinges on Jokic’s availability. He’s questionable with ankle inflammation but was last game, too, and he suited up to drop 22 points and 15 rebounds.

The Nuggets’ superstar centre averages 28.8 points per game and has reached 25 points in all three meetings vs. the Suns this season.

Phoenix allows the third-most points to the centre position, per Betting Pros, and is 27th in the NBA in defensive efficiency.

Denver’s best player and scorer shouldn’t have much trouble getting to this number again.

Durant 25+ points (-143): This total of 238 points is the second biggest of the night. Lots of scoring is expected.

If the Suns are playing catch-up in a relatively close game, that bodes well for this pick.

Durant gets heavy minutes for the Suns and enters with a scoring average north of this number.

In two meetings vs. Denver this season, Durant scored 23 points and 27 in the other.

More recently, he’s dropped 25-plus points in five of eight contests since the All-Star Game and is 7-3 against this number since returning from a three-game absence in early February.

Phoenix is fighting for a chance to compete in the West playoffs and will need Durant at his best. The star has taken 45 shots in his last two games.

Expect a lot of volume — and points — out of him down the stretch.

Suns vs. Nuggets predictions made at 3:25 p.m. ET 03/07/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 7: Back De’Aaron Fox against former Kings, plus Kawhi Leonard and Jaden McDaniels

De’Aaron Fox makes his return to Sacramento and I’m backing the star point guard to do damage against his former team.

The pregame narrative: The over on Fox’s point total is my favourite prop pick of the night. I also have plays on Kawhi Leonard and Jaden McDaniels.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 7.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Fox over 22.5 points (-117)

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Fox has been quiet with the San Antonio Spurs and has failed to top 20 points in any of his last six games.

He’s been broke from beyond the arc and his lack of volume from the field has curbed his scoring upside.

With Kings: 19.6 FGA/game; 32.2 3P%
With Spurs: 16.4 FGA/game; 26.4 3P%

But we know what he’s capable of. The 27-year-old guard averaged 25.0 PPG before the trade after hitting that number in two consecutive seasons.

Fox is a gifted scorer who can contribute from the perimeter and often had point lines set well above this number.

It’s only a matter of time before he starts reeling off 25-plus point games again, and I’m leaning into the revenge angle here. He’s the No. 1 scoring option on the Spurs and he’ll be hungry tonight.

This isn’t a narrative play, though. Fox can hurt teams in multiple ways.

He’s among the top guards once he gets into the paint, scoring the fifth-most points per game in that area (per NBA.com).

Fox can get going from deep, too, even if he hasn’t shown that lately. And his former club is an ideal team to light up from the perimeter.

Key stat: Sacramento is tied for last in the NBA in opponent 3-point percentage and only two teams allow more triples per game.

Best NBA picks

Leonard over 22.5 points (-105): Leonard is coming on strong and there are several reasons to like him tonight.

Norman Powell, the Los Angeles Clippers’ leading scorer, is once again out.

Leonard is well rested, having not played since Tuesday after sitting out the second leg of a back-to-back.

That was Wednesday, where James Harden had to do the heavy lifting without Powell and Leonard, logging 38 minutes for the second consecutive night and dropping 50 points.

The New York Knicks are coming off a difficult overtime loss on Thursday and will be shorthanded on the B2B. Jalen Brunson will surely be out after spraining his ankle. OG Anunoby was questionable last night before suiting up, but his status is uncertain tonight, too.

Leonard is also doing his thing. He’s logged 30-plus minutes in each of his last eight contests (averaging 34.8/game).

Over that stretch, he’s averaging 21.4 points and shooting 41.3% from deep. He has scored 25-plus points three times in his last six games and landed on 21 in another two.

New York is tied with the Kings for the worst opponent 3-point percentage in the NBA and the club is 24th in defensive rating over the last month.

McDaniels over 18.5 points/rebounds (-121): The Minnesota Timberwolves injury report only lists Rudy Gobert as questionable tonight vs. the Miami Heat.

They are finally close to getting back to a fully healthy roster, which means McDaniels’ scorching run since the start of February is bound to slow.

But this line is quite light for a player who has done this since Feb. 1:

18.7 PPG
37.0 MPG
50.4 FG%
8.1 RPG

McDaniels has matched this number on points alone and reached double-digit rebounds six times over that 16-game stretch.

If Gobert sits, this play will be the steal of the night. But I like it regardless — McDaniels has cleared this line in nine straight.

Picks made at 11:52 a.m. ET on 03/07/2025.

Jazz vs. Raptors SGP predictions March 7: Back Barnes and Walter at +320

Two bottom-feeders meet when the Toronto Raptors host the Utah Jazz at Scotiabank Arena on Friday.

The pregame narrative: Toronto is playing good basketball right now and I don’t think the club will be able to out-tank the Jazz. I’m taking the Raptors to win and have player props on Scottie Barnes and Ja’Kobe Walter in this +320 same-game parlay wager.

Check out my Jazz vs. Raptors SGP predictions for March 7.

Jazz vs. Raptors predictions

Parlay: Raptors moneyline | Barnes 8+ rebounds | Walter 14+ points (+320)

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Raptors moneyline (-200): Despite coach Darko Rajakovic’s best efforts, the Raptors continue to win ball games.

Their injury report is extensive tonight but I’m not sure it’ll matter. RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Ochai Agbaji, Jonathan Mogbo and Gradey Dick are all ruled out for Toronto.

Utah is missing key pieces, too, as John Collins and Lauri Markkanen are sidelined.

In the Raptors’ last game against the Orlando Magic, Toronto closed the game with a unit of five bench players and the unthinkable happened.

https://twitter.com/NBA/status/1897118696537256357

More on Walter later, but it’s clear the players don’t care about any tank and the Raptors are at home on Friday where they hold a 13-19 record.

That’s much better than the Jazz’s 7-23 away record. They’ve lost 10 straight games on the road.

NBA SGP legs

Barnes 8+ rebounds (-143): With all the injuries to Toronto’s frontcourt, Barnes should step up on the glass.

The 6-foot-7 point forward averages 7.8 boards and is coming off a 13-rebound game.

Orlando Robinson should get the start at centre tonight and his hands will be full with Walker Kessler.

Utah’s big man averages 12.1 rebounds per game and will clean up against the inexperienced Robinson without some help.

Barnes has cashed this wager in four of the past six games that Poeltl has been sidelined.

Walter 14+ points (-106): Let’s get back to the rookie who looked more like Kobe than Ja’Kobe during his game-winning 3-pointer against the Magic.

With all the injuries, Walter should start again and he’s been more effective in that role this season.

Starter: 24.7 minutes, 11.9 PPG
Reserve: 18.6 minutes, 6.5 PPG

Since Feb. 4, the rookie has scored 13-plus points in all three starts, logging over 28 minutes in each contest.

He’s gaining the trust of the coaching staff and should be in for another hefty workload against Utah, which has the worst defensive rating (120.3) in the NBA.

Jazz vs. Raptors predictions made at 10 a.m. ET 03/07/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 6: Back Tatum on the glass, fade Brunson in Los Angeles

Two all-stars and Myles Turner make up Thursday night’s top NBA prop picks.

The pregame narrative: I’m fading New York Knicks point guard Jalen Brunson in a tough matchup and am backing Jayson Tatum on the glass vs. the Philadelphia 76ers.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 6.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Brunson under 25.5 points (-130)

The Los Angeles Lakers have played eight games since the Luka Doncic trade and only two point guards have cleared 20 points on them. Kyrie Irving and LaMelo Ball.

They’ve held some solid PGs under the 20-point mark:

Jamal Murray
Anfernee Simons
CJ McCollum
James Harden

While that group might not be the level of scorer as Irving or Ball, or Brunson for that matter, Simons (19.2 PPG) is the only one of those four averaging fewer than 20 a game.

The Lakers are 13th in the NBA in defensive rating. But since the Doncic trade, Los Angeles ranks No. 1.

New York was without Karl-Anthony Towns last game but he’ll be back tonight. He averages 24.5 points a night and cuts into Brunson’s production when he’s on the court.

Per StatMuse:

Brunson without Towns: 30.7 PPG
Brunson with Towns: 25.5 PPG

New York’s leading scorer will almost surely flirt with this number. He has scored more than 20 points in all seven contests since the All-Star Game but has only cleared this three times.

The Knicks are relatively healthy and well-balanced. Their starting unit is all averaging at least 14.0 points per game.

All five of them scored in double figures when these teams met in early February. Brunson was held to 17 points on 7-of-18 shooting.

Key stat: Brunson has gone under this number in 51.6% of his games.

Best NBA picks

Tatum over 8.5 rebounds (-125): Tatum (shoulder) was out for the Boston Celtics’ double-digit win over the Portland Trail Blazers last night and is questionable tonight.

Assuming he plays, he’ll be in a good spot against a battered Philadelphia 76ers team missing Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey.

Forwards have rebounded the ball well vs. the 76ers, who are generally weak on the glass. Philadelphia ranks last in the NBA in rebounding rate.

Tatum has played the Sixers three times this season, averaging 11.0 rebounds in those matchups and clearing this line twice.

Post-ASG, Boston’s star has secured double-digit boards in four of six games. His 8.8 rebounds per game represent a career-high mark.

Turner over 2.5 threes (+105): Here’s another plus-money play to close out today’s recommendations.

Three seems like a lot of 3-pointers for Turner, but consider this:

Turner has career highs in 3-pointers made (2.2) and attempts (5.5), and he’s shooting 40% from beyond the arc for the first time.

The Indiana Pacers centre is 6-4 against this line over his last 10 games (excluding a game he got hurt and held to six minutes).

Since Jan. 1, he has at least two threes in 18 of 20 games while averaging 6.4 attempts.

The Atlanta Hawks are No. 28 in the NBA in opponent 3-point percentage.

Tonight’s Pacers vs. Hawks game has a total of 246.5. There should be plenty of scoring to go around.

After taking 15 attempts from deep over his last two games, Turner should be firing it up from long range tonight.

Picks made at 11:20 a.m. ET on 03/06/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 6: Back Tatum on the glass, fade Brunson in Los Angeles

Two all-stars and Myles Turner make up Thursday night’s top NBA prop picks.

The pregame narrative: I’m fading New York Knicks point guard Jalen Brunson in a tough matchup and am backing Jayson Tatum on the glass vs. the Philadelphia 76ers.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 6.

NBA prop bets

Best bet: Brunson under 26.5 points (-127)

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The Los Angeles Lakers have played eight games since the Luka Doncic trade and only two point guards have cleared 20 points on them. Kyrie Irving and LaMelo Ball.

They’ve held some solid PGs under the 20-point mark:

Jamal Murray
Anfernee Simons
CJ McCollum
James Harden

While that group might not be the level of scorer as Irving or Ball, or Brunson for that matter, Simons (19.2 PPG) is the only one of those four averaging fewer than 20 a game.

The Lakers are 13th in the NBA in defensive rating. But since the Doncic trade, Los Angeles ranks No. 1.

New York was without Karl-Anthony Towns last game but he’ll be back tonight. He averages 24.5 points a night and cuts into Brunson’s production when he’s on the court.

Per StatMuse:

Brunson without Towns: 30.7 PPG
Brunson with Towns: 25.5 PPG

New York’s leading scorer will almost surely flirt with this number. He has scored more than 20 points in all seven contests since the All-Star Game but has only cleared this line twice.

The Knicks are relatively healthy and well-balanced. Their starting unit is all averaging at least 14.0 points per game.

All five of them scored in double figures when these teams met in early February. Brunson was held to 17 points on 7-of-18 shooting.

Key stat: Brunson has gone under this number in 60% of his games.

Best NBA picks

Tatum 10+ boards (+123): Tatum (shoulder) was out for the Boston Celtics’ double-digit win over the Portland Trail Blazers last night and is questionable tonight.

Assuming he plays, he’ll be in a good spot against a battered Philadelphia 76ers team missing Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey.

Forwards have rebounded the ball well vs. the 76ers, who are generally weak on the glass. Philadelphia ranks last in the NBA in rebounding rate.

Tatum has played the Sixers three times this season, averaging 11.0 rebounds in those matchups and clearing this line twice.

Post-ASG, Boston’s star has secured double-digit boards in four of six games. His 8.8 rebounds per game represent a career-high mark.

Turner over 2.5 threes (+116): Here’s another plus-money play to close out today’s recommendations.

Three seems like a lot of 3-pointers for Turner, but consider this:

Turner has career highs in 3-pointers made (2.2) and attempts (5.5), and he’s shooting 40% from beyond the arc for the first time.

The Indiana Pacers centre is 6-4 against this line over his last 10 games (excluding a game he got hurt and held to six minutes).

Since Jan. 1, he has at least two threes in 18 of 20 games while averaging 6.4 attempts.

The Atlanta Hawks are No. 28 in the NBA in opponent 3-point percentage.

Tonight’s Pacers vs. Hawks game has a total of 246.5. There should be plenty of scoring to go around.

After taking 15 attempts from deep over his last two games, Turner should be firing it up from long range tonight.

Picks made at 11:20 a.m. ET on 03/06/2025.